arXiv research

We introduce nonlinear higher-order label spreading for semi-supervised learning.

New approach verifies tree ensembles efficiently, making them more robust.

This paper combines data-driven and model-driven methods for real-time misinformation detection. Our algorithm, named QuickStop, is an optimal stopping algorithm based on a probabilistic information spreading model obtained from labeled data. The algorithm consists of an offline machine learning algorithm for learning …

In this paper we propose a domain adaptation algorithm designed for graph domains. Given a source graph with many labeled nodes and a target graph with few or no labeled nodes, we aim to estimate the target labels by making use of the similarity between the characteristics of the variation of the label functions on the…

AUC-spec optimizes graph-based SSL for complex label distributions.

Label Propagation (LPA) and Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCN) are both message passing algorithms on graphs. Both solve the task of node classification but LPA propagates node label information across the edges of the graph, while GCN propagates and transforms node feature information. However, while conceptual…

The usage of machine learning models has grown substantially and is spreading into several application domains. A common need in using machine learning models is collecting the data required to train these models. In some cases, labeling a massive dataset can be a crippling bottleneck, so there is need to develop model…

Aspect based Sentiment Analysis is a major subarea of sentiment analysis. Many supervised and unsupervised approaches have been proposed in the past for detecting and analyzing the sentiment of aspect terms. In this paper, a graph-based semi-supervised learning approach for aspect term extraction is proposed. In this a…

Semi-supervised learning methods are usually employed in the classification of data sets where only a small subset of the data items is labeled. In these scenarios, label noise is a crucial issue, since the noise may easily spread to a large portion or even the entire data set, leading to major degradation in classific…

A new model predicts bid-ask spread dynamics in financial markets.

Bid-ask spread is taken as an important measure of the financial market liquidity. In this article, we study the dynamics of the spread return and the spread volatility of four liquid stocks in the Chinese stock market, including the memory effect and the multifractal nature. By investigating the autocorrelation functi…

The paper uses moment matching method for pricing spread options under Lévy models.

We explain a persistent cost-of-carry spread in EUA market and suggest ECB policy change.

We introduce propagation kernels, a general graph-kernel framework for efficiently measuring the similarity of structured data. Propagation kernels are based on monitoring how information spreads through a set of given graphs. They leverage early-stage distributions from propagation schemes such as random walks to capt…

We establish that, over certain ground fields, the set of osculating tangents of Cayley's ruled cubic surface gives rise to a (maximal partial) spread which is also a dual (maximal partial) spread. It is precisely the Betten-Walker spreads that allow for this construction. Every infinite Betten-Walker spread is not an …

We study the relationship between price spread, volatility and trading volume. We find that spread forms as a result of interplay between order liquidity and order impact. When trading volume is small adding more liquidity helps improve price accuracy and reduce spread, but after some point additional liquidity begins …

ICA model detects misinformation during high impact events like COVID-19.

Ask-n-Learn uses gradient embeddings for active learning in image classification.

We develop a classification algorithm for estimating posterior distributions from positive-unlabeled data, that is robust to noise in the positive labels and effective for high-dimensional data. In recent years, several algorithms have been proposed to learn from positive-unlabeled data; however, many of these contribu…

New approximations for Asian basket spread options using stochastic Taylor expansions.

The statistical properties of the bid-ask spread of a frequently traded Chinese stock listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange are investigated using the limit-order book data. Three different definitions of spread are considered based on the time right before transactions, the time whenever the highest buying price or th…

Study analyzes price response and spread impact in foreign exchange markets.

Machine learning fails to improve recession prediction with yield spread.

Model estimates LIBOR rates and finds COVID-19 spread spike due to credit risk.

The term structure of credit spreads is studied with an aim to predict its future movements. A completely new approach to tackle this problem is presented, which utilizes nonlinear parametric models. The Brain-Cousens regression model with five parameters is chosen to describe the term structure of credit spreads. Furt…

Deep learning models predict COVID-19 spread.

New model predicts credit spreads using stochastic CIR++ intensities.

GPR models epidemic spread on logarithmic scale.

We observe the effects of the three different events that cause spread changes in the order book, namely trades, deletions and placement of limit orders. By looking at the frequencies of the relative amounts of price changing events, we discover that deletions of orders open the bid-ask spread of a stock more often tha…

Centroid-Encoder reduces high-dimensional data for better visualization.

Model predicts bid and ask price dynamics with spread-dependent intensities.

We study the relaxation dynamics of the bid-ask spread and of the midprice after a sudden, large variation of the spread, corresponding to a temporary crisis of liquidity in a double auction financial market. We find that the spread decays very slowly to its normal value as a consequence of the strategic limit order pl…

Paper uses reinforcement learning to optimize bid-ask spreads in OTC markets.

We use high-frequency data of 1364 Chinese A-share stocks traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange to investigate the intraday patterns in the bid-ask spreads. The daily periodicity in the spread time series is confirmed by Lomb analysis and the intraday bid-ask spreads are found to exhibit $L$…

Paper forecasts recession indicators using yield spread models.

The paper explores how machine learning models can be learnable despite label shifts.

The paper uses option theory to estimate corporate bond liquidity spreads.

The global crisis of 2008 provoked a heightened interest among scientists to study the phenomenon, its propagation and negative consequences. The process of modelling the spread of a virus is commonly used in epidemiology. Conceptually, the spread of a disease among a population is similar to the contagion process in e…

The paper prices energy spread options using a complex stochastic model.

In this work, we provide a framework linking microstructural properties of an asset to the tick value of the exchange. In particular, we bring to light a quantity, referred to as implicit spread, playing the role of spread for large tick assets, for which the effective spread is almost always equal to one tick. The rel…

Study of influenza A virus spread using mathematical equations.

For distributions $\mathbb{P}$ and $\mathbb{Q}$ with different supports or undefined densities, the divergence $\textrm{D}(\mathbb{P}||\mathbb{Q})$ may not exist. We define a Spread Divergence $\tilde{\textrm{D}}(\mathbb{P}||\mathbb{Q})$ on modified $\mathbb{P}$ and $\mathbb{Q}$ and describe sufficient conditions for t…

The paper explains how to construct a credit spread curve from bond prices.

Alternative closed-form formula for spread call option prices under log-normal models.

We identify and analyze statistical regularities and irregularities in the recent order flow of different NASDAQ stocks, focusing on the positions where orders are placed in the orderbook. This includes limit orders being placed outside of the spread, inside the spread and (effective) market orders. We find that limit …

New formula for efficient spread option pricing in copula markets.

We develop an efficient method to calibrate CDS spreads using asymptotic approximations.

Study quantifies how COVID-19 spread affects US stock markets.