A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Model infers functions for attributes using multi-aggregate datasets with knowledge transfer.
problem Modeling aggregate data with varying granularities and spatial supports.
method Multi-output Gaussian process (MoGP) with linear mixing of independent latent GPs, aggregation process, and prior distribution of mixing weights.
result Proposed model outperforms in refining coarse-grained aggregate data.
Paper proves impossible for large language models to control hallucinations without sacrificing other properties.
problem Achieving truthful knowledge representation, semantic information conservation, and knowledge-constrained optimality simultaneously in large language models.
method Modeling inference as an auction of ideas, using mechanism design, proper scoring rules, and transformer architecture analysis.
result No LLM can simultaneously achieve all four essential properties without violating at least one.
The policy objective of safeguarding financial stability has stimulated a wave of research on systemic risk analytics, yet it still faces challenges in measurability. This paper models systemic risk by tapping into expert knowledge of financial supervisors. We decompose systemic risk into a number of interconnected seg…
In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating prior knowledge about the event being forecasted and about salient properties o…
State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends on the data analysts' knowledge and is largely ad hoc. In this paper, we propos…
We prove a lower bound for feature dimension in linear MDPs and propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework.
problem The limitation of feature dimension in linear MDPs and the need for efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning.
method We propose a novel dynamics aggregation framework based on structural dynamics and design a provably efficient hierarchical reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Our algorithm achieves a regret of ildeO(dψ3/2H3/2NT) and meets the condition dψ3N≪d3 in most real-world environments.
A key factor in developing high performing machine learning models is the availability of sufficiently large datasets. This work is motivated by applications arising in Software as a Service (SaaS) companies where there exist numerous similar yet disjoint datasets from multiple client companies. To overcome the challen…
We analyze a fast incremental aggregated gradient method for optimizing nonconvex problems of the form minx∑ifi(x). Specifically, we analyze the SAGA algorithm within an Incremental First-order Oracle framework, and show that it converges to a stationary point provably faster than both gradient descent and s…
Since time immemorial, people have been looking for ways to organize scientific knowledge into some systems to facilitate search and discovery of new ideas. The problem was partially solved in the pre-Internet era using library classifications, but nowadays it is nearly impossible to classify all scientific and popular…
Online news recommender systems aim to address the information explosion of news and make personalized recommendation for users. In general, news language is highly condensed, full of knowledge entities and common sense. However, existing methods are unaware of such external knowledge and cannot fully discover latent k…
We consider the multi-label ranking approach to multi-label learning. Boosting is a natural method for multi-label ranking as it aggregates weak predictions through majority votes, which can be directly used as scores to produce a ranking of the labels. We design online boosting algorithms with provable loss bounds for…