Proposes new genetic algorithm rule for market competition.
problem Market competition genetic algorithm rules.
method Econophysics kinetic market model as an evolutionary algorithm.
result New replacement rule for genetic algorithms.
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48 results for “kinetic market model”
The use of kinetic modelling based on partial differential equations for the dynamics of stock price formation in financial markets is briefly reviewed. The importance of behavioral aspects in market booms and crashes and the role of agents' heterogeneity in emerging power laws for price distributions is emphasized and…
In this paper, we consider a simple kinetic model of economy involving both exchanges between agents and speculative trading. We show that the kinetic model admits non trivial quasi-stationary states with power law tails of Pareto type. In order to do this we consider a suitable asymptotic limit of the model yielding a…
Kinetic exchange models have been successful in explaining the shape of the income/wealth distribution in the economies. However, such models usually make some ad-hoc assumptions when it comes to determining the savings factor. Here, we examine a few models in and out of the domain of standard neo-classical economics t…
In this paper we introduce a simple model for a financial market characterized by a single stock or good and an interplay between two different traders populations, chartists and fundamentalists, which determine the price dynamic of the stock. The model has been inspired by the microscopic Lux-Marchesi model (T.Lux, M.…
Boltzmann legacy and wealth distributioncond-mat.stat-mech
We briefly review results on nonlinear kinetic equation of Boltzmann type which describe the evolution of wealth in a simple agents market. The mathematical structure of the underlying kinetic equations allows to use well-known techniques of wide use in kinetic theory of rarefied gases to obtain information on the proc…
Study explores how wealth dynamics change with preferential interactions in kinetic exchange models.
problem Investigate how preferential interactions affect wealth dynamics and distributions in kinetic exchange models.
method Conducted Monte Carlo simulations to explore two types of preferential interactions: one with random selection and another with wealth difference constraint.
result Emergence of quasi-oligarchic societies and segregation into economic classes observed in preferential interactions.
The probability flow in the Stock market and Spontaneous symmetry breaking in Quantum Financeq-fin.GN
This paper analyzes how kinetic terms in stock market equations can affect symmetry breaking.
problem Spontaneous symmetry breaking in quantum finance and its impact on stock market dynamics.
method Analyzes the role of kinetic terms in the context of the martingale condition in stock market equations.
result Kinetic terms can shift the effective location of the vacuum state, affecting symmetry breaking patterns.
We introduce and discuss optimal control strategies for kinetic models for wealth distribution in a simple market economy, acting to minimize the variance of the wealth density among the population. Our analysis is based on a finite time horizon approximation, or model predictive control, of the corresponding control p…
Exact solution to two-body financial dealer model: revisited from the viewpoint of kinetic theoryq-fin.TR
Exact solution found for two-body financial dealer model using kinetic theory.
problem Finding an exact solution for the two-body financial dealer model.
method Exact master-Liouville equations derived using kinetic theory and probability currents.
result Exact order-book profile and average transaction interval derived.
We introduce a system of kinetic equations describing an exchange market consisting of two populations of agents (dealers and speculators) expressing the same preferences for two goods, but applying different strategies in their exchanges. We describe the trading of the goods by means of some fundamental rules in price…
In the past decade there has been a growing interest in agent-based econophysical financial market models. The goal of these models is to gain further insights into stylized facts of financial data. We derive the mean field limit of the econophysical model by Cross, Grinfeld, Lamba and Seaman (Physica A, 354) and show …
A microscopic model is established for financial Brownian motion from the direct observation of the dynamics of high-frequency traders (HFTs) in a foreign exchange market. Furthermore, a theoretical framework parallel to molecular kinetic theory is developed for the systematic description of the financial market from m…
Recent technological development has enabled researchers to study social phenomena scientifically in detail and financial markets has particularly attracted physicists since the Brownian motion has played the key role as in physics. In our previous report (arXiv:1703.06739; to appear in Phys. Rev. Lett.), we have prese…
We introduce an auto-regressive model which captures the growing nature of realistic markets. In our model agents do not trade with other agents, they interact indirectly only through a market. Change of their wealth depends, linearly on how much they invest, and stochastically on how much they gain from the noisy mark…
RC flow learns molecular kinetics in low dimensions.
problem Discovering interpretable low-dimensional models of molecular kinetics.
method Normalizing flow for coordinate transformation and Brownian dynamics for kinetics approximation.
result Tractable and trainable model of reduced kinetics in continuous time and space.
Liquid markets and market liquids: collective and single-asset dynamics in financial marketscond-mat.dis-nn
We characterize the collective phenomena of a liquid market. By interpreting the behavior of a no-arbitrage N asset market in terms of a particle system scenario, (thermo)dynamical-like properties can be extracted from the asset kinetics. In this scheme the mechanisms of the particle interaction can be widely investiga…
As a model of market price, we introduce a new type of random walk in a moving potential which is approximated by a quadratic function with its center given by the moving average of its own trace. The properties of resulting random walks are similar to those of ordinary random walks for large time scales; however, thei…
We analyze an ideal gas like model of a trading market with quenched random saving factors for its agents and show that the steady state income () distribution in the model has a power law tail with Pareto index exactly equal to unity, confirming the earlier numerical studies on this model. The analysis s…
The new framework for finance is proposed. This framework based on three known approaches in econophysics. Assumptions of the framework are the following: 1. For the majority of situations market follows non-arbitrage condition. 2. For the small number of situations market influenced by the actions of big firms. 3. If …
Kinetic Exchange Models in Economics and Sociologyphysics.soc-ph
In this article, we briefly review the different aspects and applications of kinetic exchange models in economics and sociology. Our main aim is to show in what manner the kinetic exchange models for closed economic systems were inspired by the kinetic theory of gas molecules. The simple yet powerful framework of kinet…
We derive a mesoscopic description of the behavior of a simple financial market where the agents can create their own portfolio between two investment alternatives: a stock and a bond. The model is derived starting from the Levy-Levy-Solomon microscopic model (Econ. Lett., 45, (1994), 103--111) using the methods of kin…
We study here numerically the behavior of an ideal gas like model of markets having only one non-consumable commodity. We investigate the behavior of the steady-state distributions of money, commodity and total wealth, as the dynamics of trading or exchange of money and commodity proceeds, with local (in time) fluctuat…
Toward Development of Machine Learned Techniques for Production of Compact Kinetic Modelsphysics.chem-ph
Automated method creates compact chemical models from detailed ones, reducing complexity and improving accuracy.
problem Creating accurate low-dimensional chemical kinetic models from detailed ones is time-consuming and requires expert knowledge.
method Machine Learned Optimisation of Chemical Kinetics (MLOCK) algorithm systematically perturbs sub-models to find optimal compact models.
result Compact models (15 species) retain ~87% fidelity to detailed models, outperforming previous methods.
Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of quadratic term of the potential. In short time scales the price diffusion depends on …
Molecular Latent Space Simulatorsphysics.comp-ph
LSS learns molecular trajectories from MD data.
problem Limited integration time steps in MD simulations.
method Three deep learning networks for slow collective variables, dynamics, and configuration reconstruction.
result Generates ultra-long synthetic folding trajectories.
The paper extends Vlasov kinetic theory to time-dependent dynamics using cosymplectic and cocontact manifolds.
problem Extending Vlasov kinetic theory to time-dependent dynamics.
method Introducing geometric kinetic theories within cosymplectic and cocontact manifolds.
result Alternative realizations of cosymplectic and cocontact kinetic theories linked via Poisson/momentum maps.
An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock Exchange index IS…
Kinetic Economiesq-fin.GN
We study a minimalist kinetic model for economies. A system of agents with local trading rules display emergent demand behaviour. We examine the resulting wealth distribution to look for non-thermal behaviour. We compare and contrast this model with other similar models.
Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called CausalKinetiX, that identifies structure from discrete time, noisy observations…
Compact models for methane/air combustion reduce complexity without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Creating accurate, computationally efficient models for methane combustion.
method Data-oriented three-step methodology: 1) Remove non-essential species, 2) Numerically optimize to key species profiles, 3) Machine learning to refine parameters.
result Produced 19 and 15 species compact models that outperform current state-of-the-art models in accuracy and range of conditions.
Pareto Law in a Kinetic Model of Market with Random Saving Propensitycond-mat.stat-mech
We have numerically simulated the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving two-body collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce (quenched) saving propensity of the agents, distributed widely between the agents ($0 \le…
There is an increasing demand for computing the relevant structures, equilibria and long-timescale kinetics of biomolecular processes, such as protein-drug binding, from high-throughput molecular dynamics simulations. Current methods employ transformation of simulated coordinates into structural features, dimension red…
Modelling time-varying interactions in complex systems: the Score Driven Kinetic Ising Modelq-fin.ST
New model predicts time-varying interactions in complex systems.
problem Challenges in modeling time-varying interactions in complex systems.
method Score-Driven Kinetic Ising Model (KIM) generalization.
result Model accurately predicts dynamics and separates different components.
An Empirical Analysis on Financial Markets: Insights from the Application of Statistical Physicsq-fin.TR
Model uses statistical physics principles to predict financial market volatility and returns.
problem Predicting price volatility and expected returns in financial markets.
method Inspired by statistical physics, the study introduces a physical model using Level 3 order book data to measure kinetic energy and momentum.
result The model outperforms traditional and machine learning approaches in forecasting volatility and expected returns.
This paper optimizes paths for generative models using kinetic energy.
problem Improving generative model performance and sample quality.
method Investigating and optimizing Gaussian probability paths with kinetic energy.
result Kinetic optimal Gaussian paths simplify particle trajectories and improve model performance.
A fast method learns plasma collision kernels from simulations, improving kinetic models.
problem Improving kinetic models for plasma dynamics beyond the weakly coupled regime.
method Data-driven collisional operator, fast spectral separation method.
result Accurately captures plasma dynamics in moderately coupled regime.
Variational Selection of Features for Molecular Kineticsphysics.bio-ph
The modeling of atomistic biomolecular simulations using kinetic models such as Markov state models (MSMs) has had many notable algorithmic advances in recent years. The variational principle has opened the door for a nearly fully automated toolkit for selecting models that predict the long-time kinetics from molecular…
We introduce and analyze a linear kinetic model that describes the evolution of the probability density of the number of firms in a society, in which the microscopic rate of change obeys to the so-called law of proportional effect proposed by Gibrat. Despite its apparent simplicity, the possible mean field limits of th…
We derive a diffusion approximation for the kinetic Vlasov-Fokker-Planck equation in bounded spatial domains with specular reflection type boundary conditions. The method of proof involves the construction of a particular class of test functions to be chosen in the weak formulation of the kinetic model. This involves t…
Kinetic models for wealth exchange on directed networksphysics.soc-ph
We propose some kinetic models of wealth exchange and investigate their behavior on directed networks though numerical simulations. We observe that network topology and directedness yields a variety of interesting features in these models. The nature of asset distribution in such directed networks show varied results, …
Variational principle to regularize machine-learned density functionals: the non-interacting kinetic-energy functionalphysics.chem-ph
New method trains deep neural networks for non-interacting kinetic-energy functionals in DFT.
problem Lack of exact relationship between electron density and non-interacting kinetic energy.
method Variational principle to regularize machine-learned density functionals.
result Excellent results on kinetic-energy functionals for various systems.
We discuss several multi-agent models that have their origin in the kinetic exchange theory of statistical mechanics and have been recently applied to a variety of problems in the social sciences. This class of models can be easily adapted for simulations in areas other than physics, such as the modeling of income and …
Training neural networks under physical constraints using a stochastic augmented Lagrangian approachphysics.comp-ph
Stochastic approach improves neural network training for kinetic simulations.
problem Training neural networks under physical constraints in kinetic fusion simulations.
method Stochastic augmented Lagrangian approach using pyTorch.
result Higher model prediction accuracy achieved compared to fixed penalty method.
Paper proposes a smart neck-band for detecting neck postures using integrated kinematic and kinetic data.
problem Improper neck postures lead to musculoskeletal disorders requiring therapy and rehabilitation.
method Integrated use of kinematic and kinetic data with machine learning algorithms.
result 100% accuracy in predicting neck postures using the proposed platform.
New method uses machine learning to analyze catalyst reactions.
problem Understanding complex reaction mechanisms in catalytic materials.
method Combining transient kinetics and machine learning.
result Correct estimates of micro-kinetic coefficients and mechanism.
Revises mean-field theory of Santa Fe model using kinetic theory.
problem Deriving a solid mathematical foundation for the Santa Fe model.
method Systematic derivation of BBGKY hierarchy from exact master equation.
result Explicit and closed-form solutions for mean-field equations.
Linear stochastic models and discretized kinetic theory are two complementary analytical techniques used for the investigation of complex systems of economic interactions. The former employ Langevin equations, with an emphasis on stock trade; the latter is based on systems of ordinary differential equations and is bett…