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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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4285127169 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for kernel-based score

Paper proposes an efficient causal discovery method with linear computational complexity.

problem Identifying causal relationships efficiently in large datasets.
method Approximate kernel-based generalized score function with low-rank technique and sampling algorithms.
result Significantly reduces computational costs while maintaining comparable accuracy.

Estimates system parameters from a single observation using kernel-based score.

problem Estimating parameters of a dynamical system from a high-dimensional signal.
method Kernel-based score to compare temporal dependencies between signal and model.
result Accuracy and efficiency demonstrated on chaotic systems.

Unified kernel-based methods improve nonlinear causal discovery.

problem Identifying nonlinear causal relationships between time series variables.
method Unified Kernel Principal Component Regression (KPCR) and Gaussian Process score-based model with Smooth Information Criterion.
result Improved performance in time series nonlinear causal discovery.

A new kernel-based nonconformity score improves multivariate prediction regions.

problem Tackling the challenge of compressing multivariate residual vectors into scalars while preserving geometric structure.
method Introducing a Multivariate Kernel Score (MKS) that decomposes into an anisotropic MMD, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees and convergence rates.
result The MKS produces prediction regions that explicitly adapt to geometric structure, reducing volume compared to ellipsoidal baselines.

Mathematical analysis improves SGMs, resolving memorization issues.

problem Improving performance and avoiding memorization in SGMs.
method Formulated SGMs using Wasserstein proximal operators and mean-field games.
result Improved SGM performance in terms of training samples and time.

A novel framework quantifies uncertainty using proper scores for various tasks.

problem Uncertainty quantification in machine learning for reliable applications.
method Proposes a general framework based on proper scores for epistemic, aleatoric uncertainty, and model calibration.
result Achieves state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation for large language models and generative models.

Improved image generation quality using closed-form discriminator guidance in diffusion models.

problem Enhancing the quality of images generated by diffusion models.
method Theoretical framework to analyze GAN discriminator's effect on Langevin sampling, proposing IPM-GAN optimization as smoothed score-matching.
result Closed-form kernel-based discriminator guidance improves metrics like CLIP-FID and KID.

We propose graph kernels based on subgraph matchings, i.e. structure-preserving bijections between subgraphs. While recently proposed kernels based on common subgraphs (Wale et al., 2008; Shervashidze et al., 2009) in general can not be applied to attributed graphs, our approach allows to rate mappings of subgraphs by …

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel method for time-series prediction with tighter confidence intervals.

problem Improving prediction intervals for time-series data.
method Kernel-based Optimally Weighted Conformal Prediction Intervals (KOWCPI) using adaptive weights.
result KOWCPI achieves narrower confidence intervals with guaranteed coverage.

KCal calibrates deep networks by embedding logits in a metric space.

problem Overconfident predictions from DNNs, especially in high-risk applications.
method KCal learns a metric space on the penultimate-layer latent embedding and generates predictions using kernel density estimates.
result KCal provides a provable full calibration guarantee and consistently outperforms baselines.

This work introduces a novel method to evaluate generative model novelty.

problem Evaluating the novelty of generative models compared to a reference model.
method Spectral approach to differential clustering and Kernel-based Entropic Novelty (KEN) score.
result The KEN score effectively detects novel modes and compares generative models.

Efficiently approximates statistical leverage scores for faster KRR.

problem Accurately estimating statistical leverage scores for fast KRR.
method Analytic formula for statistical leverage scores, leveraging kernel spectral density.
result Linear time approximation with theoretical guarantees, significantly faster than existing methods.

Signature kernel scoring rule improves weather forecasting by capturing temporal and spatial dependencies.

problem Lack of suitable scoring rules for probabilistic weather forecasting.
method Reframe weather variables as continuous paths using iterated integrals (signature kernels) to capture temporal and spatial dependencies.
result Signature kernel scoring rule outperforms conventional methods in weather forecasting, especially for long-term forecasts.

Score-based diffusion models achieve optimal error bounds under non-parametric assumptions.

problem Improving the minimax optimality of score-based diffusion models.
method Kernel-based score estimation and early stopping strategy.
result Achieves minimax optimal error bounds under sub-Gaussian and Sobolev space assumptions.

New metrics improve probabilistic forecasting, especially for rare events.

problem Current evaluation frameworks for probabilistic forecasting assume independence and lack sensitivity to tail events.
method Proposed signature kernel-based metrics: Sig-MMD and CSig-MMD.
result These metrics capture complex dependencies and prioritize tail event prediction.

We study quadrature rules for functions from an RKHS, using nodes sampled from a determinantal point process (DPP). DPPs are parametrized by a kernel, and we use a truncated and saturated version of the RKHS kernel. This link between the two kernels, along with DPP machinery, leads to relatively tight bounds on the qua…

2019-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

LCMQR improves prediction intervals by adapting to local heteroscedasticity.

problem Efficient and adaptive prediction intervals for local heteroscedasticity.
method LCMQR combines multi-quantile information with kernel-based localization.
result LCMQR constructs tighter intervals than prior methods, especially in heterogeneous environments.

The paper introduces a new framework to assess generative model uncertainty.

problem Lack of a theoretical framework for assessing generative models' generalization and uncertainty.
method Bias-variance-covariance decomposition for kernel scores, with unbiased and consistent estimators.
result Kernel-based variance and entropy for uncertainty estimation are more predictive than existing methods.

We illustrate relationships between classical kernel-based dimensionality reduction techniques and eigendecompositions of empirical estimates of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) operators associated with dynamical systems. In particular, we show that kernel canonical correlation analysis (CCA) can be interpreted…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces Kernel-based Information Criterion (KIC) for model selection in regression analysis. The novel kernel-based complexity measure in KIC efficiently computes the interdependency between parameters of the model using a variable-wise variance and yields selection of better, more robust regressors. Expe…

2014-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new method for learning non-parametric DAGs using RKHS.

problem Challenges of learning non-parametric causal models with large combinatorial search space.
method Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) and sparsity-inducing regularization terms based on partial derivatives to enforce acyclicity.
result Shows improved performance through simulations and data analyses.

Kernel-based function approximation improves reinforcement learning performance.

problem Average reward reinforcement learning in infinite horizon settings.
method Optimistic algorithm based on kernel ridge regression.
result No-regret performance guarantees and confidence intervals for kernel-based predictions.

Conditional density estimation is a general framework for solving various problems in machine learning. Among existing methods, non-parametric and/or kernel-based methods are often difficult to use on large datasets, while methods based on neural networks usually make restrictive parametric assumptions on the probabili…

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study provides guarantees for kernel clustering under non-parametric mixtures.

problem Statistical guarantees for kernel-based clustering without strong assumptions.
method Non-parametric mixture models, kernel-based clustering, consistency guarantees.
result Necessary and sufficient separability conditions for consistent clustering recovery.

Outlier detection methods have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to increased security concerns and because of its vast application to different fields. Recently, Pauwels and Lasserre (2016) noticed that the sublevel sets of the inverse Christoffel function accurately depict the shape of a cloud of data …

2018-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel confidence intervals improve convergence rates for sparse kernel-based models.

problem High computational cost in kernel-based learning models.
method Novel confidence intervals for Nyström method and sparse variational Gaussian process approximation.
result Improved performance bounds in regression and optimization problems.

Paper introduces FDM for efficient training of Neural SDEs.

problem Training Neural SDEs using existing methods is computationally expensive and unstable.
method Developed a novel scoring rule called Finite Dimensional Matching (FDM) to bypass signature kernels and reduce training complexity.
result FDM achieves superior performance in terms of computational efficiency and generative quality.

New theoretical tools simplify kernel-based tests analysis.

problem Asymptotic behavior of kernel-based tests in various scenarios.
method Avoids complex expansions and limit theorems, works directly with Hilbert spaces random functionals.
result Framework leads to simpler analysis with minimal regularity conditions.

Laplace kernel feature selection offers statistical guarantees for nonparametric models with few samples.

problem Statistical guarantees for kernel-based feature selection in nonconvex optimization problems.
method Sharp characterization of the gradient of the objective function for Laplace kernel feature selection.
result Model-selection consistency for Laplace kernel-based feature selection in nonparametric settings with nlogpn \sim \log p samples.

Optimal kernel improves estimation accuracy in modal statistical methods.

problem Estimation accuracy of kernel-based modal statistical methods depends on the kernel used.
method The study theoretically shows an optimal kernel that minimizes asymptotic error criterion.
result An optimal kernel minimizes the error criterion when using an optimal bandwidth.

Algorithm optimizes collaborative learning among distributed clients using kernel-based bandits.

problem Optimizing personalized objectives in a distributed system with limited global information.
method Kernel-based bandit framework with surrogate Gaussian process models, sparse approximations.
result Order-optimal regret performance (up to polylogarithmic factors) and reduced communication overhead.

We develop a multi-kernel based regression method for graph signal processing where the target signal is assumed to be smooth over a graph. In multi-kernel regression, an effective kernel function is expressed as a linear combination of many basis kernel functions. We estimate the linear weights to learn the effective …

2018-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Convolutional Neural Networks, as most artificial neural networks, are commonly viewed as methods different in essence from kernel-based methods. We provide a systematic translation of Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets) into their kernel-based counterparts, Convolutional Kernel Networks (CKNs), and demonstrate th…

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

FastKCI speeds up KCI tests for causal inference on large datasets.

problem Cubic computational complexity of kernel-based conditional independence tests.
method Mixture-of-experts approach with parallel Gaussian process inference.
result Substantial computational speedups with maintained statistical power.