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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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145290435580 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for kernel debiased plug-in estimation

A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.

problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.

ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.

problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.

Paper develops PGMM framework for debiased inference on nonparametric IV estimators.

problem Automatic debiased inference on nonparametric IV functionals.
method Penalized GMM (PGMM) framework for functionals of IV estimators.
result PGMM-based debiased estimator performs well, achieving near-nominal coverage.

Semiparametric method removes bias in functional bilevel gradient estimation.

problem First-order bias in plug-in hypergradient when lower-level problem is nonparametric.
method Semiparametric debiasing theory based on efficient influence function leads to cross-fitted orthogonal hypergradient estimator.
result Asymptotic normality and uniform control over outer parameter established for the estimator.

Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.

problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.

ADML combines debiased learning with data-driven model selection for efficient inference.

problem Debiased machine learning estimators can be unstable and biased in nonparametric models.
method Data-driven model selection techniques combined with debiased machine learning.
result ADML estimators yield superefficient inference for pathwise differentiable parameters.

Automatic debiasing for causal and policy effects using Neural Nets and Random Forests.

problem Estimating causal and policy effects from high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions.
method Automatic learning of Riesz representation using Neural Nets and Random Forests.
result Automatic debiasing method performs well compared to state-of-the-art algorithms.

Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.

problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.

Develops a new method for statistical optimal allocation problems.

problem Statistical optimal allocation problems with constraints.
method Functional differentiability approach and Hadamard differentiability of value functions.
result Validates margin assumption for fast convergence rate of plug-in methods.

DebiNet uses over-parameterized neural networks to improve linear model performance and debiasing.

problem Improving linear model performance and debiasing in high-dimensional settings.
method Incorporates over-parameterized neural networks into semi-parametric models to estimate parameters consistently.
result DebiNet offers valid inference and accurate prediction by leveraging neural networks' universal approximation and linear model's interpretability.

The paper analyzes rates of convergence for optimal transport map estimators using barycentric projections.

problem Estimating optimal transport maps from data sampled according to two distributions.
method Comprehensive analysis of rates of convergence for plug-in estimators defined via barycentric projections.
result New stability estimate for barycentric projections under minimal smoothness assumptions.

A new method for faster estimation of Wasserstein distance using Sinkhorn divergence.

problem Estimating the squared Wasserstein distance between probability distributions.
method Proposes a new estimator based on the Sinkhorn divergence with debiasing terms, and analyzes its sample complexity and computational efficiency.
result The proposed estimator allows higher regularization levels, leading to improved computational complexity and speedup in practice.

Unified framework for debiased machine learning using Riesz representer and Bregman divergence.

problem Estimating causal and structural parameters in machine learning.
method Generalized Riesz regression for fitting Riesz representer via Bregman divergence minimization.
result Automatic covariate balancing and Neyman orthogonality properties for debiased estimation.

MixCIT tests conditional independence for mixed data types efficiently and reliably.

problem Testing conditional independence for mixed data types, especially when at least one is continuous.
method Graph-based test statistic comparing kernel similarities, debiased local-polynomial approach for continuous variables.
result Unified, efficient, and statistically guaranteed solution across heterogeneous data types.

New method estimates hazard ratios without bias in observational studies.

problem Uninterpretable hazard ratios due to unspecified baseline hazard.
method Kernel-based machine learning to model risk set changes.
result Debiased maximum-likelihood estimators identify true hazard ratios.

This study examines biases in flow matching samplers using finite-sample estimation.

problem Biases in flow matching samplers when using finite-sample surrogates.
method Finite-sample plug-in estimation and hierarchy of empirical FM models.
result Exact empirical minimizer and smoothed plug-in regime identified for affine conditional flows.

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift problem, we derive high probability confidence bounds for the kernel mean matching (…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates time-series drifts from i.i.d. data using a direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in method.

problem Nonparametric estimation of Schrödinger bridge drifts from single time interval data.
method Direct Nadaraya-Watson plug-in estimator based on kernelized numerator and denominator terms.
result Uniform non-asymptotic bound, CLT under undersmoothing, and adaptive bandwidth selector.

Develops efficient inference for noise heterogeneity in machine learning models.

problem Downstream procedures based on residuals can be biased in additive noise models.
method Semiparametrically efficient inference using a novel Hilbert-valued one-step estimator.
result Constructs tests and confidence intervals for residual independence and goodness of fit.

Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.

problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.

CPME embeds counterfactual outcomes in RKHS for flexible policy evaluation.

problem Estimating counterfactual policy outcomes for decision-making.
method Counterfactual Policy Mean Embedding (CPME) framework in RKHS, plug-in and doubly robust estimators, kernel test statistic.
result Doubly robust estimator improves convergence rates and asymptotic normality.

A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.

Proposes a method to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments using instrumental variables.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Introduces a novel framework using instrumental variables and a uniform regular weighting function to identify and estimate average dose-response functions.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods for estimating average dose-response functions.

The paper proves statistical consistency and fairness guarantees for a plug-in algorithm.

problem Establishing statistical guarantees for fairness-aware binary classification.
method Proves statistical consistency and derives finite sample guarantees for the plug-in algorithm.
result The plug-in algorithm is statistically consistent and guarantees fairness and differential privacy.

Study optimizes KSD estimation from samples, revealing Hilbert-Schmidt vs trace scales.

problem Optimizing estimation of Kernel Stein Discrepancy from samples.
method Identifying and comparing minimax scales for U-statistic and V-statistic.
result Hilbert-Schmidt norm of Stein covariance operator gives optimal scale.

Paper develops a distributed debiased estimator for sparse statistical inference.

problem High computational costs in debiased estimator construction for high-dimensional models.
method Develops a multi-round distributed debiased estimator using both labeled and unlabelled data.
result Unlabeled data improves statistical rate of each iteration in distributed setup.

T-Cal tests model calibration with a minimax optimal test.

problem Detecting mis-calibration of predictive models using a finite validation dataset.
method T-Cal is a minimax optimal test for calibration based on a debiased plug-in estimator of the 2\ell_2-Expected Calibration Error (ECE).
result T-Cal is a practical tool for testing the calibration of probabilistic classification methods.

Study improves statistical inference for CATEs using Lasso and DML.

problem Estimating and inferring CATEs in high-dimensional settings.
method Doubly robust estimator, Lasso regularization, debiased Lasso, DML.
result TDL (triple/debiased Lasso) achieves n\sqrt{n}-consistency and confidence intervals.

This paper improves bandwidth selectors for SPBNs to enhance their performance.

problem Suboptimal density estimation and reduced predictive performance in SPBNs due to normal rule bandwidth selection.
method Theoretical framework for state-of-the-art bandwidth selectors (cross-validation and plug-in methods) are established and evaluated.
result Cross-validation selectors outperform the normal rule, especially in high sample size scenarios.

Proposes a three-stage debiasing framework to improve out-of-distribution accuracy.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimations in bias-only models damage ensemble-based debiasing performance.
method Calibrates the bias-only model to improve its uncertainty estimations, creating a three-stage ensemble-based debiasing framework.
result The three-stage debiasing framework consistently outperforms traditional methods in out-of-distribution accuracy.

Develops an online method for solving constrained optimization problems with debiasing techniques.

problem Online inference of solutions to constrained optimization problems with equality and inequality constraints.
method Stochastic Sequential Quadratic Programming (SSQP) with momentum debiasing.
result Achieves global almost-sure convergence and local asymptotic normality with optimal primal-dual limiting covariance.

ScoreMatchingRiesz improves debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.

problem Improving debiased machine learning and policy effects estimation.
method Score matching and Riesz representer estimation.
result Estimates policy path for continuous treatments, improving interpretability.

Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors achieves optimal convergence rates for regression function and its derivatives.

problem Estimating the regression function and its derivatives in nonparametric regression.
method Bayesian approach with Gaussian process priors, focusing on convergence rates and plug-in property.
result Equivalence of convergence rates of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators for regression function and its derivatives.

Estimates the effect of time-varying treatments using machine learning.

problem Estimating the impact of time-varying treatments over multiple periods.
method Difference-in-Differences framework with double/debiased machine learning.
result Higher vaccination rates reduce COVID-19 mortality after several weeks.