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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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74148222296 · May 202619922001200920182026
48 results for jump diffusion risk

Paper introduces a new volatility estimator for jump-diffusion models.

problem Disentangling integrated variance from total process quadratic variation.
method Order statistics approach to estimate time-varying volatility and jumps.
result Empirical tests show improved Value at Risk forecasting.

Investigates optimal PPI strategies in jump-diffusion models to mitigate downside risk.

problem Gap risk in PPI strategies due to jumps in asset price dynamics.
method Optimization problem with S-shaped utility functions, solved via martingale approach in a jump-diffusion framework.
result Determines optimal PPI strategy to maximize expected utility of terminal wealth.

Unified kernel for prediction markets reduces belief variance forecast error.

problem Lack of standardized tools for quoting and hedging belief risk in prediction markets.
method Logit jump-diffusion model with risk-neutral drift, calibration pipeline, and coherent derivative layer.
result Model reduces forecast error compared to diffusion-only and probability-space baselines.

Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.

problem Analyzing the impact of parameters on bond pricing models with jumps.
method Theoretical analysis and MATLAB simulations of a Brownian motion and compound Poisson process.
result Explicit call price formula and verification of sensitivities.

The paper values and hedges EPS products with jumps and default risks.

problem Valuation and risk management of EPS products under financial crises and default risks.
method Developed pricing frameworks using jump-diffusion and default models, derived closed-form formulas, and analysed hedging strategies.
result Quantified residual losses from counterparty default risk and defined default-adjusted premiums.

Study optimal portfolio selection in a complex market with jumps and regime shifts.

problem Optimal portfolio selection in a market with jumps and regime shifts.
method Modeling a market with Lévy processes and regime switching, using various securities to complete the market, solving the portfolio selection problem for power and logarithmic utilities.
result Conditions for asymptotic-arbitrage-free market and solutions for optimal portfolio selection.

Study on hedging CVA in jump-diffusion setting using Monte Carlo simulations.

problem Hedging Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) in financial portfolios.
method Monte Carlo simulation in Black-Scholes and Merton jump-diffusion settings.
result Hedging CVA is crucial for stable trading strategies, especially in jump-diffusion settings.

Neural Lévy model improves risk and density forecasting for financial returns.

problem Financial returns exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering, and jumps.
method Proposes a neural Lévy jump-diffusion framework that learns conditional drift, diffusion, jump intensity, and size distribution.
result Demonstrates improved calibration, sharper tail control, and risk reduction.

Unified framework for growth models with environmental risk and pollution-dependent disasters.

problem Analyzing how rare but catastrophic shocks interact with capital accumulation and pollution in stochastic growth models.
method General Poisson point process formulation leading to non-local HJB equations with closed-form solutions.
result Unified framework captures how environmental degradation amplifies macroeconomic vulnerability and strengthens incentives for abatement.

Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.

problem Characterize implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.
method Explicit moment generating function derived from solving ODEs; large deviation principle applied.
result Asymptotic behaviors of implied volatility in large-maturity and large-strike regimes characterized.

Study optimizes investment strategies in markets with contagious price jumps.

problem Optimizing portfolios in financial markets with contagious price jumps.
method Applied stochastic maximum principle, backward stochastic differential equations, and linear-quadratic control techniques.
result Obtained efficient strategy and efficient frontier in semi-closed form.

Investment and insurance decisions are studied in a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.

problem Investment and insurance decisions under a model with nonlinear portfolio frictions and background risk.
method Dynamic programming approach to find optimality conditions.
result Agent can choose to assume, partially assume, or purchase total insurance against adverse jumps in wealth.

This paper examines how the U.S.--China trade war affects stock markets, finding evidence of financial contagion and changes in risk channels.

problem The impact of the U.S.--China trade war on stock markets and financial contagion.
method Developed a novel jump-diffusion process to account for risk contagion, using high-frequency financial data and quasi-maximum likelihood estimator.
result Evidence of financial contagion from the U.S. to China, with changes in risk contagion channels.

This paper uses Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models.

problem Pricing and delta computation of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models with stochastic intensity.
method Utilizes Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta, applying the Euler scheme for convergence analysis.
result Established the convergence of approximated solution, financial derivative, and its delta Greeks.

Proposes second-order Esscher transform for Lévy models in financial markets.

problem Risk management and quantification in markets with jumps and Lévy dynamics.
method Derives densities, equivalent measures, and pricing formulas for European call options.
result Option prices are bounded and monotonic with the second-order Esscher parameter.

The aim of this paper is to examine the time scaling of the semivariance when returns are modeled by various types of jump-diffusion processes, including stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and in volatility. In particular, we derive an exact formula for the semivariance when the volatility is kept const…

2013-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper solves the inversion problem for jump processes using Markovian projections.

problem Calibrating jump-diffusion models with both local and stochastic features.
method Inverting Markovian projections for pure jump processes.
result Constructs calibrated local stochastic intensity (LSI) models for credit risk applications.

Mandatory emission trading schemes are being established around the world. Participants of such market schemes are always exposed to risks. This leads to the creation of an accompanying market for emission-linked derivatives. To evaluate the fair prices of such financial products, one needs appropriate models for the e…

2010-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes insurer's investment strategy in a fluctuating market with memory effects.

problem Optimizing insurer's investment in a market with regime switching and noisy memory.
method Formulated as a stochastic differential delay game, solved using BSDE approach.
result Derives analytical solutions for a specific case of a quadratic penalty function.

New model estimates corporate defaults using pure jump processes, capturing extreme events.

problem Estimating corporate defaults using standard diffusion models that underestimate short-term probabilities.
method Introduced pure jump processes with negative jumps only, derived formulas, calibrated parameters, and implemented practical tools.
result Models redistribute credit risk towards shorter maturities, improving short-term default probability estimates.

The paper prices and replicates various financial contracts on a risky asset with stochastic volatility and jumps.

problem Pricing and replicating financial contracts on assets with stochastic volatility and jumps.
method Develops pricing and hedging formulas for various financial contracts, independent of the volatility process dynamics.
result Pricing and hedging formulas for financial contracts are derived without dependence on the volatility process dynamics.

This paper solves optimal consumption-investment choices with wealth-driven risk aversion using neural networks.

problem Optimal consumption-investment choices under wealth-driven risk aversion.
method Neural network LSTM trained on jump-diffusion model data to optimize investment rate and consumption.
result Neural network approach shows promising results in solving the investment problem.

Efficiently reconstructs jump-diffusion processes from data using neural networks.

problem Reconstructing jump-diffusion processes from data.
method Temporally decoupled squared Wasserstein distance method using parameterized neural networks.
result Enhanced reconstruction of jump-diffusion processes from data.

This paper uses entropy to derive stock price dynamics and option valuation.

problem Deriving stock price dynamics and option valuation from information constraints.
method Develops an entropic inference framework to derive stochastic processes from information constraints, representing price changes through two channels: continuous and jump.
result The derived dynamics is the Merton jump diffusion, with Geometric Brownian Motion as the no jump limit.

The paper analyzes optimal retirement strategies in a market with habit persistence and jump diffusion, finding discontinuous investment strategies.

problem Optimal retirement decision in a market with habit persistence and jump diffusion.
method Habit reduction method and duality approach to solve the dual problem using a C1C^1 version of Itô's formula.
result Discontinuous investment strategies are possible when the so-called ``de facto wealth'' exceeds a critical proportion of wage.

We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess all polynomial moments. We establish parametric conditions which guarantee existen…

2011-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

RL for jump-diffusions applies to financial portfolio selection and option hedging.

problem Optimizing control in systems with jump-diffusion dynamics.
method Entropy-regularized exploratory control with stochastic policies, using existing diffusion algorithms with modifications.
result RL algorithms and parameterizations are invariant to jumps in jump-diffusion systems.

New framework detects crypto wash trading using liquidity measures.

problem Detecting and monitoring wash trading in crypto assets.
method Developed a new framework to detect wash trading through real-time liquidity fluctuation measures.
result Joint elevation in liquidity jump and diffusion indicates wash trading in crypto assets.

A new jump diffusion regime-switching model is introduced, which allows for linking jumps in asset prices with regime changes. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the risk-sensitive asset management criterion maximisation problem in this setting. We provide an ODE for the optimal value function, wh…

2014-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on MMV in jump-diffusion models resolves MV's non-monotonicity issues.

problem Non-monotonicity and free cash flow stream problems in MV preferences.
method Explicit solution for MMV preferences in jump-diffusion models, proving non-negative potential measures.
result MMV resolves MV's non-monotonicity and free cash flow stream issues.

Masking diffusion outperforms other discrete diffusion models by incorporating jump times into the model.

problem Improving the performance of discrete diffusion models.
method Conditioning on the jump schedule of discrete Markov processes.
result Schedule-conditioned discrete diffusion (SCUD) models outperform classical and masking diffusion models.

Optimal strategies identified for unit linked life insurance contracts in a jump-diffusion model.

problem Mean-variance hedging of unit linked life insurance contracts with basis risk.
method Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection problem solved with Nash subgame perfect equilibrium and PIDEs.
result Explicit solution to the extended HJB system and optimal trading strategies in closed-form.

Model explains stock price bubbles through debt crises and financial crashes.

problem Analyzing financial fragility and stock price bubbles.
method Stock-flow consistent model integrating macroeconomic and financial market dynamics.
result Model demonstrates how credit expansion and crash risk lead to recurrent boom-bust cycles.