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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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75151226301 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for joint probability decomposition

Novel approach for estimating joint probability densities using tensor decompositions and dictionaries.

problem Estimating joint probability densities of mixed discrete and continuous variables.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition combined with dictionary learning.
result Better classification and lower error rates compared to existing methods.

Method estimates joint probability density from samples using low-rank decomposition and random projections.

problem Estimating joint probability density from limited samples.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition, dictionaries, and Radon transforms.
result Algorithm outperforms previous methods in estimating synthetic probability densities.

This work proposes a new method to estimate joint probability from pairwise marginals, reducing sample complexity.

problem Direct nonparametric estimation of high-dimensional joint probability is infeasible due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Developed a coupled nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF) framework using only pairwise marginals.
result The method provably recovers the joint probability mass function up to bounded error in finite iterations under reasonable conditions.

Estimates joint probability distribution from 1-way marginals using low-rank tensors and random projections.

problem Nonparametric estimation of joint probability mass function (PMF) from limited data.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition and random projections to link data to PMF estimation.
result Estimates joint density from 1-way marginals using transformed space and novel algorithm.

Paper studies matching of samples from two distributions with a Gibbs probability weight.

problem Matching two independent i.i.d. samples from two distributions with a weighted cost.
method Uses chaos decomposition of polynomial functions of empirical distributions to derive asymptotics.
result Convergence of resulting random joint distribution to Schrödinger problem solution as N→∞.

A deep generative model improves imputation of MNAR data by treating missing and complete data equally.

problem Missing Not At Random (MNAR) data in analysis.
method A generative model-specific joint probability decomposition method (conjunction model) and a deep generative imputation model (GNR).
result GNR surpasses state-of-the-art MNAR baselines with significant margins in RMSE and better mask reconstruction.

This paper presents a Bayesian method for estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF.

problem Estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF from observed data.
method Bayesian framework for estimating low-rank components and rank simultaneously, using variational inference.
result Automatic rank detection and improved estimation accuracy compared to cross-validation methods.

Proposes joint LCA for multiview data to identify shared and view-specific components.

problem Extracting shared components sequentially from multiview data.
method Formulates a matrix decomposition model with joint and individual structures, proposes a penalty term objective function, and employs a refitting procedure.
result Achieves simultaneous estimation and rank selection for cross covariance.

A new framework for efficient Bayesian network inference.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian networks are hard to infer due to computational scaling.
method Directed convex subgraphs and minimal d-decomposition tree for decomposition, enabling parallel computation.
result The method reduces computational cost and enables parallel computation.

Identifies conditions for multiple invariant probabilities in Markov kernels.

problem Global irreducibility and recurrence do not guarantee uniqueness of invariant probabilities.
method Uses Jordan decomposition of the difference of two invariant probabilities.
result A Markov kernel has more than one invariant probability if and only if it admits a visible absorbing decomposition.

The paper bounds and identifies joint probabilities in causal inference with monotonicity assumptions.

problem Bounding and identifying joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables under monotonicity assumptions.
method Proposes new families of monotonicity assumptions, formulates bounding problem as linear programming, introduces new monotonicity assumption for identification.
result Validated methods through numerical experiments and applied to real-world datasets.

We consider the problem of approximate joint triangularization of a set of noisy jointly diagonalizable real matrices. Approximate joint triangularizers are commonly used in the estimation of the joint eigenstructure of a set of matrices, with applications in signal processing, linear algebra, and tensor decomposition.…

2016-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo correlated random walks and a company defaults if its assets fall below a threshold provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Typical one year default correlations are small, i.e., of order a few percent, but nonetheless including correlations…

2008-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a monotonically increasing sequence of probability spaces. By targeting these auxili…

2014-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.

problem Empirical evidence shows correlation risk is significant in credit risk models.
method Introduces a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek model using circular diffusion.
result Demonstrates how correlation volatility and persistence affect joint default and survival probabilities.

Bayesian approach approximates probability functions of Gaussian mixtures.

problem Approximating probability functions of non-spherical Gaussian mixtures.
method Bayesian decomposition, spherical radial decomposition, random sampling.
result Established differentiability and integral representation of gradient for probability functions.

Quantum probability theory reveals hidden structure in joint probability distributions.

problem Understanding hidden structure in joint probability distributions.
method Modeling joint probability distributions as density operators and applying partial trace.
result Decoding extra information in reduced density operators that captures subsystem interactions.

Proposes a Structural Matrix Autoregressive model for joint analysis of asset returns, realized volatility, and trading volume.

problem Joint analysis of asset returns, realized volatility, and trading volume
method Structural Matrix Autoregressive model
result Volatility is primary driver of trading activity, with informational shocks incorporated through price variability.

We analyse time series of CDS spreads for a set of major US and European institutions on a pe- riod overlapping the recent financial crisis. We extend the existing methodology of ε-drawdowns to the one of joint ε-drawups, in order to estimate the conditional probabilities of abrupt co-movements among spreads. We correc…

2012-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions, probability density for such a model is less studied in the literature. We show i…

2017-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves probabilistic circuits using transformations for better predictions.

problem Predictive limitations of probabilistic circuits in robotic scenarios.
method Integrates transformations into joint probability trees, extending their capabilities.
result Achieves higher likelihoods with fewer parameters on various data sets.

This work extends stochastic localization to joint probability measures for data analysis.

problem Data distributional analysis in high-dimensional probability.
method Unified stochastic localization under Eldan's α-scheme, coupled probability measures via shared Brownian motion.
result Eldan's α-distance as a scalable surrogate for Wasserstein distance.

Polynomial-time algorithm finds short non-orientable loops intersecting graph edges up to 30 times.

problem Finding short non-orientable loops intersecting graph edges efficiently.
method Combining computational biology techniques with recent graph theory results.
result Existence of short canonical non-orientable systems of loops.

The paper analyzes multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.

problem Analyzing the time-dependent joint probability distribution of multivariate Hawkes processes.
method Exact and asymptotic analysis of general multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.
result Full characterization of the time-dependent joint transform of the multivariate population process and its intensity process.