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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for joint distributions

Researchers derived formulas for joint moments of elliptical distributions.

problem Calculating joint moments of elliptical distributions.
method Used Stein's lemma and two different methods to derive expressions.
result New formulae for expectations of product of normally distributed random variables and simplified expressions for other distributions.

We provide a distribution-free test that can be used to determine whether any two joint distributions pp and qq are statistically different by inspection of a large enough set of samples. Following recent efforts from Long et al. [1], we rely on joint kernel distribution embedding to extend the kernel two-sample test…

2016-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved multimodal variational models capture more complex joint distributions.

problem Limited expressiveness of multimodal variational models.
method Used normalizing flows to approximate and transform a simple parametric joint posterior into a more complex one.
result The model improves on state-of-the-art multimodal variational methods on various tasks.

A new method compresses conditional distributions of labelled data.

problem No existing method directly compresses the conditional distribution of labelled data.
method Introduce Average Maximum Conditional Mean Discrepancy (AMCMD), derive a closed form estimator, and extend Kernel Herding (KH) to Average Conditional Kernel Herding (ACKH).
result Directly compressing conditional distributions outperforms joint distribution compression and greedy selection.

The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.

problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.

Study proposes a new model for joint survival annuity valuation.

problem Valuation of joint survival annuities and options.
method Linear-rational Wishart mortality model based on stochastic matrix affine process.
result Derives closed-form expression for joint survival annuity and option.

A new framework CyGen models joint distributions using cyclic conditionals.

problem Modeling a joint distribution using only two conditional models without relying on an uninformative prior.
method Developed a general theory for operable equivalence criteria for compatibility and sufficient conditions for determinacy. Proposed CyGen framework and methods to achieve compatibility and determinacy.
result CyGen better fits data and captures more representative features compared to models using an uninformative prior.

Extends SW and GSW to compare heterogeneous joint distributions.

problem Limited applicability of SW and GSW to heterogeneous joint distributions.
method Introduces HHRT and PGRT to extend SW and GSW.
result H2SW distance for heterogeneous joint distributions.

Novel approach for estimating joint probability densities using tensor decompositions and dictionaries.

problem Estimating joint probability densities of mixed discrete and continuous variables.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition combined with dictionary learning.
result Better classification and lower error rates compared to existing methods.

New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.

problem Limitations in recent multimodal autoencoders restrict their quality on complex datasets.
method Proposes a multistage training process with variational inference and Normalizing Flows, leveraging shared modality information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

Generative model for joint discrete distributions using randomized assignment flows.

problem Efficiently representing and sampling from complex joint distributions of discrete variables.
method Randomized assignment flows on the statistical submanifold of factorizing distributions.
result Our model can efficiently represent and sample from any target distribution and assess likelihood of unseen data points.

DeepBDC improves few-shot classification by measuring joint distributions of image features.

problem Few-shot classification with limited training data.
method DeepBDC method using deep learning and Brownian Distance Covariance.
result DeepBDC significantly outperforms existing methods on various benchmarks.

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Consider the Slepian process SS defined by S(t)=B(t+1)B(t),t[0,1] S(t)=B(t+1)-B(t),t\in [0,1] with B(t),tRB(t),t\in \R a standard Brownian motion.In this contribution we analyze the joint distribution between the maximum ms=max0usS(u)m_{s}=\max_{0\leq u\leq s}S(u) certain and the maximum Mt=max0utS(u)M_t=\max_{0\leq u\leq t}S(u) for 0<s<t0< s < t fixed. Explicit inte…

2016-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.

problem Uncertainty in ML model predictions and model inputs.
method Develops a theoretical framework to decouple and transform uncertainties.
result Generates joint distribution of ML predictions considering uncertainties.

Improves joint distribution learning for high-dimensional datasets with complex correlations.

problem Conditional independence assumption limitations in VAE decoders for high-dimensional datasets.
method Cramer-Wold distance regularization and two-step learning method for flexible prior modeling.
result Effective joint distributional learning for high-dimensional datasets with multiple categorical variables.

Estimates joint probability distribution from 1-way marginals using low-rank tensors and random projections.

problem Nonparametric estimation of joint probability mass function (PMF) from limited data.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition and random projections to link data to PMF estimation.
result Estimates joint density from 1-way marginals using transformed space and novel algorithm.

The paper emphasizes the importance of joint predictions over marginal predictions for decision-making.

problem The need for accurate joint predictions in decision-making problems.
method The paper analyzes combinatorial decision problems, sequential predictions, and multi-armed bandits, introducing an approximate Thompson sampling algorithm and new regret bounds.
result Accurate joint predictions are essential for good performance in decision-making problems.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

Deep networks have been successfully applied to learn transferable features for adapting models from a source domain to a different target domain. In this paper, we present joint adaptation networks (JAN), which learn a transfer network by aligning the joint distributions of multiple domain-specific layers across domai…

2016-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.

problem Empirical evidence shows correlation risk is significant in credit risk models.
method Introduces a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek model using circular diffusion.
result Demonstrates how correlation volatility and persistence affect joint default and survival probabilities.

Method estimates joint probability density from samples using low-rank decomposition and random projections.

problem Estimating joint probability density from limited samples.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition, dictionaries, and Radon transforms.
result Algorithm outperforms previous methods in estimating synthetic probability densities.

JoLT uses LLMs to make probabilistic predictions on tabular data.

problem Making probabilistic predictions on tabular data efficiently and without preprocessing.
method JoLT leverages LLMs' in-context learning to define joint distributions over tabular data.
result JoLT outperforms other methods on tabular classification and regression tasks.

Traditionally, when generative models of data are developed via deep architectures, greedy layer-wise pre-training is employed. In a well-trained model, the lower layer of the architecture models the data distribution conditional upon the hidden variables, while the higher layers model the hidden distribution prior. Bu…

2014-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Unpaired multi-domain causal representation learning is possible with sufficient conditions.

problem Learning shared causal representation from unpaired data across domains.
method Identify sufficient conditions for joint distribution and shared causal graph recovery.
result Practical method to recover shared latent causal graph from marginal distributions.

A statistical test of independence may be constructed using the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) as a test statistic. The HSIC is defined as the distance between the embedding of the joint distribution, and the embedding of the product of the marginals, in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). It has …

2015-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.

problem Analyzing the time-dependent joint probability distribution of multivariate Hawkes processes.
method Exact and asymptotic analysis of general multivariate Hawkes processes and their induced population processes.
result Full characterization of the time-dependent joint transform of the multivariate population process and its intensity process.

The paper explores the relationship between joint mixability and negative dependence structures.

problem Understanding the connection between joint mixability and various negative dependence concepts.
method Analyzes the properties of joint mixes and their relation to negative dependence structures.
result Derives necessary and sufficient conditions for a joint mix to be negatively dependent.

Bayesian framework improves robustness in nonlinear regression models.

problem Measurement error, model misspecification, and distributional misspecification in regression analyses.
method Joint Dirichlet process prior on latent covariate-response distribution, updating with posterior pseudo-samples.
result Improved stability and consistency in estimators under increasing measurement error.

Paper introduces CWDAE for better synthetic data generation.

problem Measuring discrepancy between generative and ground-truth distributions.
method Introduces mixture Cramer-Wold distance for joint and marginal distributional learning.
result CWDAE shows remarkable performance in generating synthetic data.

Proposes a new neural network architecture inspired by biology to improve learning and information flow.

problem Improving artificial neural networks to match biological neuron properties like multidirectional propagation and probabilistic modeling.
method Extends KAN approach with joint distribution neurons that can propagate values and distributions, including variance and higher-order moments.
result Proposed architecture can predict and propagate distributions, including expected values and variances.

Markov networks are extensively used to model complex sequential, spatial, and relational interactions in a wide range of fields. By learning the structure of independences of a domain, more accurate joint probability distributions can be obtained for inference tasks or, more directly, for interpreting the most signifi…

2016-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for distributed online learning with communication constraints reduces joint regret.

problem Joint regret minimization in a distributed online learning setting with communication constraints.
method Adaptive graph partitioning and comparator-adaptive online convex optimization with delayed gradient information.
result Optimal graph partition selection for adversarial activations and gradients reduces joint regret.

The Neural Testbed evaluates joint predictions of neural agents, revealing their limitations.

problem Evaluating the quality of joint predictions generated by neural agents.
method Developed an open-source benchmark (The Neural Testbed) to assess agents' marginal and joint predictions.
result Popular Bayesian deep learning agents perform poorly on joint predictions, even with accurate marginal predictions.