The paper clarifies long-horizon investment and DCA, showing no risk reduction but different exposure profiles.
problem Misleading claims about reducing risk with longer investment horizons and DCA.
method Unified probabilistic framework, defining risk and uncertainty, and introducing effective investment exposure.
result Different investment timing strategies can lead to distinct exposure profiles over time, affecting risk and uncertainty.
In the present paper, the minimal investment risk for a portfolio optimization problem with imposed budget and investment concentration constraints is considered using replica analysis. Since the minimal investment risk is influenced by the investment concentration constraint (as well as the budget constraint), it is i…
In the study of investment problem, aside from the investment risk the background risk appears. Both the investment risk and the background risk are probabilistically described by random variables. This paper starts from the hypothesis that the two types of risk can be represented both probabilistically (by random vari…
In portfolio optimization problems, the minimum expected investment risk is not always smaller than the expected minimal investment risk. That is, using a well-known approach from operations research, it is possible to derive a strategy that minimizes the expected investment risk, but this strategy does not always resu…
Geometric structure reveals optimal investment and hedging products.
problem Optimal design of investment and hedging products.
method Investigation of geometric structure in risks and returns using a simple formula.
result Duality between hedging and investment with geometric interpretation of rationality.
Optimizes investment strategies for retirees with longevity risk.
problem Maximizing retirement savings under longevity risk for a group of investors.
method Analytic and numerical solutions for investment strategies in both discrete and continuous time models.
result Analytic formulae for optimal investment strategies in both discrete and continuous time models.
Investment strategy optimized for ambiguity and interest rate risk.
problem Dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and ambiguity.
method Closed-form solution for optimal investment strategy.
result Ambiguity affects speculative motives, not hedging of interest rate risk.
Kelly investing improved with options to reduce estimation risk.
problem Estimation risk in Kelly investing leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Introduced European options into the Kelly framework in a binomial model.
result Constructed growth optimal portfolios robust to estimation risk.
Paper studies optimal investing for retirees with risk constraints.
problem Retirees' longevity and living standard risks in a fluctuating market.
method Formulated as a portfolio choice problem under time-varying risk capacity constraint. Derived optimal investment strategy using differential equations. Demonstrated endogenous spending measure and active investment strategy.
result Time-varying risk capacity constraint impacts asset allocation in retirement.
Study measures investment funds' climate transition risk, finds moderate losses.
problem Measuring the impact of climate transition on investment portfolios.
method Comprehensive framework using geographical, sectoral, company and ISIN-level data.
result Investment funds suffer a moderate 5.7% loss in high transition risk scenario.
This paper solves optimal consumption-investment choices with wealth-driven risk aversion using neural networks.
problem Optimal consumption-investment choices under wealth-driven risk aversion.
method Neural network LSTM trained on jump-diffusion model data to optimize investment rate and consumption.
result Neural network approach shows promising results in solving the investment problem.
This paper assesses risks in DeFi investments.
problem Risks in decentralized finance investments.
method Overview of DeFi components and risk quantification methodology.
result Proposes an allocation methodology to integrate and quantify risks.
A new framework assesses financial and ESG risks for sustainable investing.
problem Measuring risk and reward in sustainable investing considering environmental, social, and governance factors.
method Proposes axiomatic definitions for ESG-coherent risk measures and reward-risk ratios based on bivariate random variables.
result Empirical analysis ranks stocks using the proposed measures.
In the present work, the optimal portfolio minimizing the investment risk with cost is discussed analytically, where this objective function is constructed in terms of two negative aspects of investment, the risk and cost. We note the mathematical similarity between the Hamiltonian in the mean-variance model and the Ha…
Optimizes investment model using LSTM for better risk control.
problem Enhancing risk control in multi-factor investment models.
method Combines LSTM with multi-factor investment model for factor selection and weight determination.
result LSTM model outperforms benchmark in risk control metrics.
The study assesses carbon risk in investment portfolios and proposes new management strategies.
problem The impact of carbon risk on stock pricing and portfolio construction.
method Developed a BMG risk factor and estimated time-varying carbon beta using a multi-factor model.
result Carbon risk can be incorporated into portfolio construction to reduce unrewarded financial risks.
"What are the origins of risks?" and "How material are they?" -- these are the two most fundamental questions of any risk analysis. Quantitative Structuring -- a technology for building financial products -- provides economically meaningful answers for both of these questions. It does so by considering risk as an inves…
This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.
problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.
Investment strategy optimizes risk using a specific risk measure.
problem Optimizing investment with risk controlled by a weighted entropic risk measure.
method Investigation of expected utility maximization and risk minimization problems with solutions provided iteratively.
result Explicit characterization of solutions to optimization problems.
Paper uses inverse optimization to measure risk preference from investment portfolios.
problem Measuring subjective risk preference in investment portfolios.
method Inverse optimization on mean-variance framework.
result Quantified risk preference parameters validated with existing measures.
Proposes a new method to rank risky investments based on Omega measure.
problem Evaluating and ranking risky investment projects.
method Introduces an investment certainty equivalence approach and uses the Omega measure.
result Proposed method ranks projects differently from conventional risk-adjusted discount rate (RADR) approach.
The paper develops diverse risk models for US stock portfolios.
problem Maximizing profits while minimizing risk in stock markets.
method Various high-dimensional risk models and investment strategies tested.
result Out-of-sample tests show improved portfolio performance.
SVAT reduces investment risks by making stock models sensitive to adversarial perturbations.
problem Risk control in stock recommendation models is insufficient, leading to high investment losses.
method SVAT combines adversarial learning and variational perturbation generation to enhance risk awareness.
result SVAT reduces investment risks by more than 30% compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
Study shows risk-averse investors have consistent ranking of risky assets.
problem Ranking of risky assets in short-term investments.
method Analyzes various decision problems regarding risky assets with continuous returns.
result Risk-averse decision makers have the same ranking over risky assets.
The study analyzes how large language models form and express investor risk profiles.
problem Understanding how large language models (LLMs) form and express investor risk profiles.
method Examined three LLMs (GPT, Gemini, and Llama) and assessed their responses to a standardized risk questionnaire under varying prompts.
result LLMs generally form long-term investment profiles, but they exhibit different risk tolerance levels.
Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.
problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.
Investment strategy for DC pension plan with inflation risk and tail VaR constraint.
problem Maximizing terminal wealth for pension member with tail VaR constraint.
method Lagrange method and quantile optimization techniques.
result Optimal investment strategy and output in closed-form derived.
Traders underestimated risk-free rates, leading to poor investments.
problem Incorrect setting of risk-free rates by traders.
method Analysis of investment decisions and financial models.
result Underestimating risk-free rates led to flawed investment decisions.
Optimizes dynamic investment portfolios with correlated jumps.
problem Maximizing expected terminal wealth in a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps.
method Approximating CVaR with comonotonic bounds and maximizing expected terminal wealth.
result Improved optimization of dynamic investment portfolios.
Model investor risk preferences to adjust real option valuation.
problem Investor risk preferences impact real option valuation.
method Model investor heterogeneity with different required returns, discounting cash flows with investor and market rates.
result Risk-adjusted valuation model facilitates subjective decision making.
This research develops a new framework to measure AI investment returns considering both gains and risks.
problem Traditional ROI calculations fail to account for AI's dual impact on risk reduction and new exposures.
method Integrates ISO 42001 and regulatory exposure into a comprehensive financial framework using risk quantification methods.
result Accurate AI investment evaluation requires modeling both productivity gains and risk exposures.
Analyzes national real estate investment risks and returns.
problem Investors and home buyers face increasing costs and risks.
method Examines economic vulnerabilities and traditional market analysis.
result Ensures positive returns and fair prices for real estate investments.
Optimal investment and risk control strategies for insurers are derived using a time-consistent approach.
problem Optimal investment and risk control for insurers under mean-variance criterion.
method Introducing a deterministic forward auxiliary process to formulate a time-consistent problem.
result Optimal strategy and value function obtained in closed-form for the new problem.
Study optimal reinsurance and investment to minimize drawdown risk.
problem Minimizing drawdown risk in a risk model with correlated insurance claims.
method Optimal reinsurance-investment strategy under expected value and variance premium principles, considering per-loss reinsurance and financial market investment.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal reinsurance-investment strategies and value functions.
Dual risk models are popular for modeling a venture capital or high tech company, for which the running cost is deterministic and the profits arrive stochastically over time. Most of the existing literature on dual risk models concentrated on the optimal dividend strategies. In this paper, we propose to study the optim…
The paper analyzes investment and consumption strategies under uncertain market conditions.
problem Investment and consumption under drift and volatility uncertainties.
method Randomization approach to construct robust preferences and strategies.
result Developed optimal and robust investment and consumption strategies remain valid in the physical market.
Paper studies portfolio investment under volatility uncertainty and short-sale constraints, improving risk-adjusted returns.
problem Investment portfolio optimization under volatility uncertainty and short-sale constraints.
method Sublinear expectation model to handle volatility uncertainty, constructing SLE-MUV model.
result Pareto frontier of SLE-MUV model is a continuous convex curve with polynomial analytical expression.
Study examines how risk tolerance impacts long-term investment returns.
problem Understanding the impact of risk tolerance on investment returns over time.
method Used Malliavin calculus and Hansen--Scheinkman decomposition.
result Risk aversion affects long-term investment utility through eigenvalues and eigenfunctions.
AI enhances quantitative investment for better returns and risk control.
problem Achieving stable returns through AI in quantitative investment.
method Application of AI technology in quantitative investment strategies.
result AI improves investment performance and risk management.
This article examines arbitrage investment in a mispriced asset when the mispricing follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and a credit-constrained investor maximizes a generalization of the Kelly criterion. The optimal differentiable and threshold policies are derived. The optimal differentiable policy is linear with …
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.
problem Maximizing expected utility across all capital levels in an insurance company's investment strategy.
method Dynamic Programming Principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of optimal investment strategy proven under certain conditions.
Solves VaR-constrained portfolio optimization in markets with stochastic volatility.
problem Optimizing portfolio in markets with stochastic volatility under VaR constraints.
method Dynamic programming approach to Heston's stochastic volatility model.
result Optimal investment strategy linked to unconstrained problem via a vega-neutral derivative.
Empirical evidence supports new financial market definitions.
problem Investor risk attitudes in financial markets.
method Developed a new method to analyze risk attitudes.
result Risk-averse behavior in equity investors, risk-loving behavior in risk-free asset investors.
Paper introduces a new method for risk-sensitive investment management using RL.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio management with unknown model parameters.
method Combines RL and risk-sensitive stochastic control with Gaussian perturbations for exploration.
result Endogenous relative-entropy regularization and optimal investment strategy derived.
This study examines return and risk of Puerto Rico stock market IRA products.
problem Performance of Puerto Rico stock market IRA products not previously studied.
method Parametric modeling approach estimating conditional expected return and variance.
result PRIRAs underperform the stock market but carry substantial risk.
We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…
This paper investigates how two important sources of risk -- market tail risk and extreme market volatility risk -- are priced into the cross-section of asset returns across various investment horizons. To identify such risks, we propose a quantile spectral beta representation of risk based on the decomposition of cova…