Study consumption-investment problem in markets with rank-based returns.
problem Consumption-investment problem in markets with rank-based returns.
method Derives an HJB equation with Neumann boundary conditions for the value function and proves a corresponding verification theorem.
result Explicit solutions for unconstrained, open market constraints, and fully invested cases.
Proposes a new method to rank risky investments based on Omega measure.
problem Evaluating and ranking risky investment projects.
method Introduces an investment certainty equivalence approach and uses the Omega measure.
result Proposed method ranks projects differently from conventional risk-adjusted discount rate (RADR) approach.
Paper ranks stocks by compression risk, not volatility.
problem Investment risk not correlated with stock price volatility.
method Binary-ternary compressive coding of price change time series.
result Compression risk is a better indicator of stock investment risk.
Study shows risk-averse investors have consistent ranking of risky assets.
problem Ranking of risky assets in short-term investments.
method Analyzes various decision problems regarding risky assets with continuous returns.
result Risk-averse decision makers have the same ranking over risky assets.
Investment challenge study finds luck and strategy equally important.
problem The role of luck and strategic considerations in M6 investment challenge performance.
method Introduced a stylized model to derive and analyze a portfolio strategy.
result Improving chances of winning without attaining abnormal returns possible.
Research tackles investor confusion in ESG rankings, offering tailored strategies.
problem Widespread confusion among investors regarding ESG rankings.
method Developed ESG ensemble strategies, integrated ESG scores into RL model, proposed Double-Mean-Variance model, introduced ESG-adjusted CAPMs.
result Optimized portfolios that balance financial returns and ESG-focused outcomes.
This paper ranks Latin American countries based on AI potential.
problem Identifying emerging AI powers in Latin America.
method Ranking based on infrastructure, education, and finance.
result Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Costa Rica, and Ecuador are new emerging powers in AI.
Challenge identifies best-performing stocks over 6 months using financial predictors.
problem Identifying the best performing stocks over a 6-month period.
method Analyzed financial predictors and semi-annual returns; used various models including neural networks and boosting algorithms.
result Top six participants used diverse approaches, showcasing varied solutions.
This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.
problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.
RIC-NN predicts stock returns with deep learning, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Predicting stock returns consistently over long periods with minimal human intervention.
method Deep learning framework with nonlinear multi-factor approach, ranked IC stopping criteria, and deep transfer learning.
result RIC-NN outperforms machine learning methods and major equity funds in stock return prediction.
Investment strategies for rank-dependent utility agents are derived in a continuous-time market.
problem Time inconsistency in rank-dependent utility models.
method Study of consistent planners seeking intra-personal equilibrium strategies.
result Explicit final wealth profile replicating equilibrium strategies, with scaling function derived.
Introduces new performance criteria for investment under distorted probabilities.
problem Reconciling time-consistent performance with probability distortions.
method Two definitions of forward rank-dependent criteria, equivalence established; characterization of viable probability distortion processes.
result Characterization of optimal wealth process and new distorted measure.
This paper won 1st place in forecasting and investment challenges, improving on meta-learning and parametric models.
problem Forecasting and investment challenges in time-series data.
method Hypernetworks and adversarial portfolios to design time-series models.
result Outperformed state-of-the-art meta-learning methods and conventional parametric models.
ValueBlindBench tests LLM-generated investment rationales for validity before returns are known.
problem Delayed-ground-truth evaluation of LLM-generated investment rationales.
method Agreement-gated stress testing protocol to validate LLM-judged rationales.
result ValueBlindBench prevents overclaims and identifies flawed financial constructs.
A new framework assesses financial and ESG risks for sustainable investing.
problem Measuring risk and reward in sustainable investing considering environmental, social, and governance factors.
method Proposes axiomatic definitions for ESG-coherent risk measures and reward-risk ratios based on bivariate random variables.
result Empirical analysis ranks stocks using the proposed measures.
Proposes new rule for ranking investment prospects over long horizons.
problem Ranking investment prospects over long horizons considering bounded risk aversion.
method Introduces asymptotic fractional-order stochastic dominance with bounded relative risk aversion.
result Establishes equivalent conditions for the new rule under lognormal returns without mean non-negativity constraint.
MiM-StocR combines momentum indicators and adaptive ranking loss for better stock recommendation.
problem Lack of simultaneous short-term trend and ranking prediction in stock recommendation models.
method Integrates momentum indicators and proposes Adaptive-k ApproxNDCG for ranking optimization.
result MiM-StocR outperforms state-of-the-art MTL baselines in stock recommendation.
We study Atlas-type models of equity markets with local characteristics that depend on both name and rank, and in ways that induce a stable capital distribution. Ergodic properties and rankings of processes are examined with reference to the theory of reflected Brownian motions in polyhedral domains. In the context of …
TechRank ranks companies and technologies based on investor preferences.
problem Estimating influence and ranking companies and technologies.
method Recursive algorithm based on a bi-partite graph with weighted nodes, incorporating investor preferences.
result Provides investors with a quantitative ranking of technologies for optimal portfolio design.
Investment strategy for NYSE stocks minimizes market correlation.
problem Minimizing market correlation for steady returns.
method Combining momentum, fundamentals, and analyst recommendations; feature selection; backtesting various portfolio construction methods.
result Risk parity outperformed other methods, offering higher Sharpe ratio and lower beta.
We study ranking quantilized mean-field games to select top-performing agents.
problem Selecting top-performing agents in competitive scenarios.
method Developed two formulations: target-based and threshold-based, and provided analytic and semi-explicit solutions.
result Analytic and semi-explicit solutions for quantilized mean-field consistency conditions.
Model predicts Bitcoin's future movements using multimodal pattern matching.
problem Challenges in predicting Bitcoin's volatile future movements.
method Ranking similar past chart patterns given current chart information.
result Improves directional prediction of Bitcoin's future movements.
We consider systems of diffusion processes ("particles") interacting through their ranks (also referred to as "rank-based models" in the mathematical finance literature). We show that, as the number of particles becomes large, the process of fluctuations of the empirical cumulative distribution functions converges to t…
Study analyzes market co-movements in critical mineral investments using change point detection and cross-sectional analysis.
problem Market dynamics in critical mineral investments during significant global events.
method Combines change-point detection (PELT algorithm) with cross-sectional analysis on ESG-ranked ETFs.
result Investors herded during market downturns and shifted to anti-herding after positive news and geopolitical shocks.
AutoAlpha efficiently discovers effective alpha factors for quantitative investment.
problem Mining effective alpha factors for successful quantitative investment models.
method Hierarchical evolutionary algorithm with PCA-QD search, warm start, and replacement methods.
result AutoAlpha discovers and generates effective formulaic alphas for portfolio optimization.
SVAT reduces investment risks by making stock models sensitive to adversarial perturbations.
problem Risk control in stock recommendation models is insufficient, leading to high investment losses.
method SVAT combines adversarial learning and variational perturbation generation to enhance risk awareness.
result SVAT reduces investment risks by more than 30% compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
Proposes a comprehensive framework for financial product lead recommendations using graph representation learning and link prediction.
problem Challenges in surface lead recommendations for financial products due to changing market scenarios and difficulty in capturing holder's mindset.
method Bi-partite graph representation of financial holders and funds, GraphSage model for learning representations, link prediction model for ranking recommendations.
result The proposed graph ML solution outperforms baseline by 42%, 22%, and 14% in hit rate for top-k recommendations (50, 100, 200) and 18%, 19%, and 18% on unseen holders.
A strategy to beat benchmarks by investing in heavily shorted but fundamentally sound securities.
problem Overcoming behavioral biases in investing, particularly the 'rebound effect'.
method Quantitative metrics, historical data, and securities lending modeling.
result The Bounce Basket strategy can outperform market returns during market downturns.
This study examines representation bias in open-source Qwen models for investment decisions.
problem Representation bias in financial applications of large language models.
method Balanced round-robin prompting over 150 U.S. equities, constrained decoding, token-logit aggregation.
result Firm size and valuation increase model confidence, while risk factors decrease it.
In the seminal work [9], several macroscopic market observables have been introduced, in an attempt to find characteristics capturing the diversity of a financial market. Despite the crucial importance of such observables for investment decisions, a concise mathematical description of their dynamics has been missing. W…
A technique from stochastic portfolio theory [Fernholz, 1998] is applied to analyse equity returns of Small, Mid and Large cap portfolios in an emerging market through periods of growth and regional crises, up to the onset of the global financial crisis. In particular, we factorize portfolios in the South African marke…
New algorithm predicts ranked stock lists for long-short portfolios.
problem Constructing effective long-short stock portfolios using machine learning.
method Proposes a new listwise learn-to-rank loss function to emphasize top and bottom of a rank list.
result Demonstrates superior performance in constructing long-short portfolios with a 38% annual return.
Study finds Jamal Khashoggi's murder negatively impacts Saudi Arabia's economy.
problem Investment deterrence due to Jamal Khashoggi's murder.
method Event-study methodology and asset pricing model.
result Khashoggi's murder had a severe adverse impact on banks, financial services, and materials sectors.
We analyze a negative-parameter variant of the diversity-weighted portfolio studied by Fernholz, Karatzas, and Kardaras (Finance Stoch 9(1):1-27, 2005), which invests in each company a fraction of wealth inversely proportional to the company's market weight (the ratio of its capitalization to that of the entire market)…
A fuzzy expert system selects stocks for BSE using AI techniques.
problem Selecting stocks for investment allocation is challenging due to many influencing factors.
method Dempster-Shafer (DS) evidence theory for rule base generation, portfolio optimization model with ACO algorithm.
result The model's performance is satisfactory for short-term investment.
This paper evaluates various loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.
problem Evaluating loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.
method Systematic evaluation of advanced loss functions (pointwise, pairwise, listwise) on S&P 500 data.
result Different loss functions impact a model's ability to discern profitable relative orderings among assets.
Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…
The paper analyzes a five-factor capital market model and facilitates exact simulation.
problem Analyzing and simulating a five-factor capital market model.
method Using a Vasicek interest rate model, mean-reverting excess return, and realized inflation with expectation, the paper derives the necessary distributional results and describes practical methods to overcome rank deficiency.
result Exact simulation from the model can be achieved by sampling from a seven-dimensional normal distribution.
With the advent of Web 2.0, various types of data are being produced every day. This has led to the revolution of big data. Huge amount of structured and unstructured data are produced in financial markets. Processing these data could help an investor to make an informed investment decision. In this paper, a framework …
The study finds a time lag effect in FDI-GDP correlations, with significant statistical significance.
problem The relationship between FDI and GDP growth is not immediate.
method Time-dependent Pearson correlation coefficient matrix analysis of 43 countries' data from 1970-2015.
result The correlation between FDI and GDP growth is time-lagged, evolving from positive to negative as inequality-adjusted human development index increases.
We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this case financial market dynamics, in an equation-free manner by decomposing the s…
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
problem Maximizing utility from an unknown contingent claim.
method Robust optimization with quantile formulation and variational inequalities.
result Optimal trading strategy and utility indifference price determined.
In the present paper, the minimal investment risk for a portfolio optimization problem with imposed budget and investment concentration constraints is considered using replica analysis. Since the minimal investment risk is influenced by the investment concentration constraint (as well as the budget constraint), it is i…
The paper clarifies long-horizon investment and DCA, showing no risk reduction but different exposure profiles.
problem Misleading claims about reducing risk with longer investment horizons and DCA.
method Unified probabilistic framework, defining risk and uncertainty, and introducing effective investment exposure.
result Different investment timing strategies can lead to distinct exposure profiles over time, affecting risk and uncertainty.
Study benchmarks mutual funds in India using DEA, finding efficiency metrics.
problem Benchmark mutual funds in India based on efficiency metrics.
method Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model incorporating risk, cost, return, and information ratio.
result DEA model identifies efficiency frontier and compares results with traditional metrics.
ChatGPT scores corporate investment plans, predicting future spending and returns.
problem Measuring and predicting corporate investment plans.
method Created a firm-level ChatGPT investment score based on conference calls.
result The investment score predicts future capital expenditures and returns.
Investment herding can reduce household consumption, a phenomenon called crowding-out effect.
problem Investment herding's impact on household consumption.
method Optimal control theory to model and solve for household investment and consumption decisions.
result Existence of crowding-out effect due to investment herding.
Qlib aims to integrate AI into quantitative investment.
problem Challenges in applying AI to quantitative investment.
method Design and develop Qlib to accommodate AI-driven workflow.
result Qlib realizes the potential of AI technologies in quantitative investment.