A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Policy shifts between Trump and Biden impact ESG investments, creating volatility.
This article examines arbitrage investment in a mispriced asset when the mispricing follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and a credit-constrained investor maximizes a generalization of the Kelly criterion. The optimal differentiable and threshold policies are derived. The optimal differentiable policy is linear with …
ChatGPT scores corporate investment plans, predicting future spending and returns.
Limited liability creates a conflict of interests between policyholders and shareholders of insurance companies. It provides shareholders with incentives to increase the risk of the insurer's assets and liabilities which, in turn, might reduce the value policyholders attach to and premiums they are willing to pay for i…
New approach to goal-based investing using hedging and reinforcement learning.
We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However, unemployment, investment, consumption, and inflation are interlinked. Understanding dynamic…
We discuss the turnpike property for optimal investment and consumption problems. We find there exists a threshold value that determines the turnpike property for investment policy. The threshold value only depends on the Sharpe ratio, the riskless interest rate and the discount rate. We show that if utilities behave a…
We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…
We study a practical optimization problems for venture capital investments and/or Research and Development (R&D) investments. The first problem is that, given the amount of the initial investment and the reward function at the initial public offering (IPO) market, the venture capitalist wants to maximize overall discou…
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
A new approach to MV portfolio optimization with jumps and RL.
When we implement a portfolio selection methodology under a mean-risk formulation, it is essential to correctly model investors' risk aversion which may be time-dependent, or even state-dependent during the investment procedure. In this paper, we propose a behavior risk aversion model, which is a piecewise linear funct…
This paper measures the intensity of implicit government guarantees using PMC index model.
Study analyzes climate-tech investments across 14 sectors.
RL learns to ignore factors in factor investing portfolios.
In this paper, we assume an insure is allowed to purchase proportional reinsurance and can invest his or her wealth into the financial market where a savings account, stocks and bonds are available. Different from classical optimal investment and reinsurance problem, this paper studies the insurer's long-term investmen…
Study analyzes FIT schemes under market and regulatory uncertainty.
The study designs a green investment fund and a hedging strategy for insurance policies linked to it.
Investors benefit from long horizons in a market with mean-reverting equity returns.
Unified approach to Merton's portfolio problem using Pontryagin's principles.
Investigates optimal pension policies in PAYG systems with forward utility and ageing population.
Study aims to optimize financial investments by balancing risk and reward efficiently.
We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…
Study optimal investment under uncertain conditions.
In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless account. The market coefficients and discount factor switches…
Although portfolio management didn't change much during the 40 years after the seminal works of Markowitz and Sharpe, the development of risk budgeting techniques marked an important milestone in the deepening of the relationship between risk and asset management. Risk parity then became a popular financial model of in…
Selecting the best policy to keep the balance between what a company holds in cash and what is placed in alternative investments is by no means straightforward. We here introduce PyCaMa, a Python module for multiobjective cash management based on linear programming that allows to derive optimal policies for cash manage…
We consider an investor who wants to select her/his optimal consumption, investment and insurance policies. Motivated by new insurance products, we allow not only the financial marke but also the insurable loss to depend on the regime of the economy. The objective of the investor is to maximize her/his expected total d…
Even in the face of deteriorating and highly volatile demand, firms often invest in, rather than discard, aging technologies. In order to study this phenomenon, we model the firm's profit stream as a Brownian motion with negative drift. At each point in time, the firm can continue operations, or it can stop and exit th…
Developed an explainable DRL model for financial portfolio management.
Study uses RL to optimize investment with financial constraints, showing exploration benefits.
This paper proposes an embedding-based neural network for more accurate investment return prediction.
We consider in this paper the optimal dividend problem for an insurance company whose uncontrolled reserve process evolves as a classical Cramér--Lundberg process. The firm has the option of investing part of the surplus in a Black--Scholes financial market. The objective is to find a strategy consisting of both invest…
Model for optimal cybersecurity investment considering clustered cyberattacks.
This paper investigates the relationship between private and public investment in R&D, while taking into account the effect of several instruments policies such as subsidies and taxes. We design a new look of knowledge spillovers and R&D cooperation to explain the contribution of public and private R&D on growth. We pr…
Study uses SGD to find near-optimal execution cost policies in dynamic markets.
Kurdistan Region is a tourist hub. This research analyzes other Non-Oil Sectors that have huge attractions of Foreign Direct Investments into the Kurdistan Region from 2005 to 2013. Comparative analysis was carried out between Iraq and the Region, and among influential Sectors of the Economy. T-test and ANOVA are stati…
Paper introduces a new method for risk-sensitive investment management using RL.
This paper outlines a critical gap in the assessment methodology used to estimate the macroeconomic costs and benefits of climate policy. It shows that the vast majority of models used for assessing climate policy use assumptions about the financial system that sit at odds with the observed reality. In particular, the …
Investment herding can reduce household consumption, a phenomenon called crowding-out effect.
The paper examines smoothness of value function in consumption-investment models with borrowing constraints.
In this paper, we study an optimal excess-of-loss reinsurance and investment problem for an insurer in defaultable market. The insurer can buy reinsurance and invest in the following securities: a bank account, a risky asset with stochastic volatility and a defaultable corporate bond. We discuss the optimal investment …
Study finds implicit government guarantee improves municipal investment bond ratings.
We consider a singular control problem with regime switching that arises in problems of optimal investment decisions of cash-constrained firms. The value function is proved to be the unique viscosity solution of the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. Moreover, we give regularity properties of the value functi…
In a market with one safe and one risky asset, an investor with a long horizon, constant investment opportunities, and constant relative risk aversion trades with small proportional transaction costs. We derive explicit formulas for the optimal investment policy, its implied welfare, liquidity premium, and trading volu…
We are witnessing an increasing use of data-driven predictive models to inform decisions. As decisions have implications for individuals and society, there is increasing pressure on decision makers to be transparent about their decision policies. At the same time, individuals may use knowledge, gained by transparency, …
This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…
This paper solves optimal consumption-investment problems with time-varying preferences.