A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a convex risk function remains difficult, as there is little guidance regarding ho…
Active learning from demonstration allows a robot to query a human for specific types of input to achieve efficient learning. Existing work has explored a variety of active query strategies; however, to our knowledge, none of these strategies directly minimize the performance risk of the policy the robot is learning. U…
Study on estimating invertible functions with minimax analysis.
problem Minimizing risk of estimating invertible functions on a plane.
method Introduce two types of L2-risks, derive lower and upper rates for minimax values, develop an asymptotically almost everywhere invertible estimator.
result Invertibility does not reduce the complexity of the estimation problem in terms of the rate.
One typical assumption in inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) is that human experts act to optimize the expected utility of a stochastic cost with a fixed distribution. This assumption deviates from actual human behaviors under ambiguity. Risk-sensitive inverse reinforcement learning (RS-IRL) bridges such gap by assum…
We address the problem of inverse reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes where the agent is risk-sensitive. In particular, we model risk-sensitivity in a reinforcement learning framework by making use of models of human decision-making having their origins in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, an…
In this paper, we obtain analytical expression for the distribution of the occupation time in the red (below level 0) up to an (independent) exponential horizon for spectrally negative Lévy risk processes and refracted spectrally negative Lévy risk processes. This result improves the existing literature in which only…
We model human decision-making behaviors in a risk-taking task using inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) for the purposes of understanding real human decision making under risk. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work applying IRL to reveal the implicit reward function in human risk-taking decision making…
The authors aim to develop numerical schemes of the two representative quadratic hedging strategies: locally risk minimizing and mean-variance hedging strategies, for models whose asset price process is given by the exponential of a normal inverse Gaussian process, using the results of Arai et al. \cite{AIS}, and Arai …
We consider the issue of solution uniqueness for portfolio optimization problem and its inverse for asset returns with a finite number of possible scenarios. The risk is assessed by deviation measures introduced by [Rockafellar et al., Mathematical Programming, Ser. B, 108 (2006), pp. 515-540] instead of variance as in…
Learning near-optimal behaviour from an expert's demonstrations typically relies on the assumption that the learner knows the features that the true reward function depends on. In this paper, we study the problem of learning from demonstrations in the setting where this is not the case, i.e., where there is a mismatch …
result Accurate recovery of transaction cost parameters and partial identifiability of ESG penalties under preference misspecification and market shocks.
Robo-advisors estimate clients' risk aversion using interactive questionnaires.
problem Estimating risk aversion of non-expert clients using adaptive questionnaires.
method Model risk aversion with cost functions and spectral risk measures. Use inverse reinforcement learning to design questions maximizing distinguishing power.
result Designing questions by maximizing distinguishing power achieves satisfactory accuracy in learning risk aversion with fewer than 50 questions.
Deep models memorize training data in geophysical inversion, leading to biased posterior distributions.
problem Memorization of training data biases learned priors in geophysical inverse problems.
method Casting generative models' training as maximum likelihood, we show memorization results in a reweighted empirical distribution for diffusion models, leading to Gaussian mixture priors and posteriors.
result Memorization leads to posterior distributions that are likelihood-weighted lookup among stored training examples, affecting full waveform inversion outcomes.
We analyze a nonlinear equation proposed by F. Black (1968) for the optimal portfolio function in a log-normal model. We cast it in terms of the risk tolerance function and provide, for general utility functions, existence, uniqueness and regularity results, and we also examine various monotonicity, concavity/convexity…
In the field of reinforcement learning there has been recent progress towards safety and high-confidence bounds on policy performance. However, to our knowledge, no practical methods exist for determining high-confidence policy performance bounds in the inverse reinforcement learning setting---where the true reward fun…
Inverse classification, the process of making meaningful perturbations to a test point such that it is more likely to have a desired classification, has previously been addressed using data from a single static point in time. Such an approach yields inflated probability estimates, stemming from an implicitly made assum…
In this paper, we obtain a property of the expectation of the inverse of compound Wishart matrices which results from their orthogonal invariance. Using this property as well as results from random matrix theory (RMT), we derive the asymptotic effect of the noise induced by estimating the covariance matrix on computing…
We present a Bayesian view of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM) for offline learning from logged bandit feedback. Using PAC-Bayesian analysis, we derive a new generalization bound for the truncated inverse propensity score estimator. We apply the bound to a class of Bayesian policies, which motivates a novel, pote…
This article examines arbitrage investment in a mispriced asset when the mispricing follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and a credit-constrained investor maximizes a generalization of the Kelly criterion. The optimal differentiable and threshold policies are derived. The optimal differentiable policy is linear with …
The standard probabilistic perspective on machine learning gives rise to empirical risk-minimization tasks that are frequently solved by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and variants thereof. We present a formulation of these tasks as classical inverse or filtering problems and, furthermore, we propose an efficient, g…
The study finds that specific distributions can be used for risk-neutral valuation in Heston's SV model.
problem Valuation of European options under Heston's stochastic volatility model.
method Analyzing scale-parameter distributions and proving their equivalence to Heston's solution.
result Any RND with mean as the forward spot price that satisfies Heston's option valuation solution must be a member of a scale-family of distributions.
A non-parametric method for evaluation of the aggregate loss distribution (ALD) by combining and numerically inverting the empirical characteristic functions (CFs) is presented and illustrated. This approach to evaluate ALD is based on purely non-parametric considerations, i.e., based on the empirical CFs of frequency …