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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for inverse decision theory

IDT learns human preferences from uncertain decisions, even when humans are suboptimal.

problem Learning human preferences from uncertain and suboptimal decisions.
method Inverse decision theory (IDT) framework, statistical analysis of IDT, characterizing sample complexity.
result Learning preferences is easier when decisions are more uncertain, even if humans are suboptimal.

The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.

problem Modeling human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems with risk-seeking and loss-aversion behaviors.
method Forward policy design and inverse reward learning with iterative reasoning and cumulative prospect theory.
result The proposed algorithms demonstrate both risk-averse and risk-seeking behaviors in multi-agent systems.

This study develops a dynamic inverse optimization framework to recover hidden, time-varying preferences from observed allocation trajectories.

problem The gap between classical optimization theory and real-world practice, especially in the presence of drift and shocks.
method Dynamic inverse optimization framework using a drift-aware estimator grounded in convex analysis and online learning theory.
result Sharp static and dynamic regret bounds for the framework, demonstrating its responsiveness to gradual drift and sudden shocks.

This paper sets a lower bound for sample complexity in inverse reinforcement learning.

problem Finding a reward function that generates a desired optimal policy in MDPs.
method Information-theoretic lower bound using geometric construction and Fano's inequality.
result An O(nlogn)O(n \log n) sample complexity lower bound for IRL problems.

Paper develops a framework for learning interpretable representations of sequential decision behavior.

problem Obtaining a transparent description of existing behavior.
method Inverse decision modeling framework, formalizing both forward and inverse problems.
result Learning interpretable representations of behavior, including suboptimal actions, biased beliefs, and imperfect knowledge.

Given a set of human's decisions that are observed, inverse optimization has been developed and utilized to infer the underlying decision making problem. The majority of existing studies assumes that the decision making problem is with a single objective function, and attributes data divergence to noises, errors or bou…

2018-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of inverse reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes where the agent is risk-sensitive. In particular, we model risk-sensitivity in a reinforcement learning framework by making use of models of human decision-making having their origins in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, an…

2017-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel IRL method identifies suboptimal medical decisions in ICU data.

problem Identifying suboptimal medical decisions in clinical settings.
method Incorporates Inverse Reinforcement Learning with a pruning step to identify and remove suboptimal actions.
result Pruning step effectively identifies clinical priorities and values from suboptimal data.

Unified framework for estimating reward functions in competitive games.

problem Estimating unknown reward functions in competitive games.
method Unified framework with entropy regularization for reward function recovery.
result Strong theoretical guarantees and practical effectiveness demonstrated.

CREDO assesses decision optimality under uncertainty without assuming a model.

problem Uncertainty in decision-making without reliable quantification of optimality.
method CREDO uses the inverse feasible region and conformal prediction balls to estimate decision optimality probability.
result CREDO provides accurate, efficient, and reliable evaluations of decision optimality.

Bayesian method infers local rules for collective animal movement.

problem Learn local rules governing long-term group behaviors.
method Bayesian Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Linearly-Solvable Markov Decision Process.
result Recover true costs and find value of collective movement.

Paper proposes a robust method for inferring parameters in multiobjective optimization.

problem Uncertainty in hypothetical decision-making problem, data quality, and parameter space.
method Wasserstein distributionally robust approach for inverse multiobjective optimization.
result WRO-IMOP minimizes worst-case expected loss over a Wasserstein ball of distributions.

Modeling driver trajectories using inverse reinforcement learning and random utility.

problem Modeling rational driver behavior in road networks from sparse sensor data.
method Apply random utility theory to model unknown reward function, introduce extended state, and use Markov decision process.
result Maximum entropy inverse reinforcement learning is a special case of the proposed approach.

GEAR uses auxiliary data to estimate optimal decisions in studies with limited primary outcomes.

problem Estimating optimal decisions when primary outcomes are not available in experimental samples.
method GEAR uses augmented inverse propensity weighting to estimate optimal decisions based on auxiliary data.
result GEAR estimators and value estimators have established asymptotic properties and are validated in simulations and a real application.

Develops trace class operators and inverse Laplacian theory for infinite dimensions.

problem Understanding trace class operators and inverse Laplacian on infinite dimensional spaces.
method Presentation of trace class operators and construction of inverse Laplacian on closed manifolds.
result Original trace computations involving the inverse Laplacian on the torus.

New method uses CNN for seismic inversion uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in seismic inversion for noisy data.
method Plug-and-Play Stein Variational Gradient Descent (PnP-SVGD) with CNN denoiser.
result High-resolution, trustworthy posterior samples for subsurface structures.

The paper addresses statistical inference for online decision-making in a contextual bandit setting.

problem Understanding the performance of reward models in online decision-making with contextual information.
method The paper uses the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model and the ε\varepsilon-greedy policy to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It employs the martingale central limit theorem and inverse propensity score weighting to establish asymptotic normality of parameter estimators.
result The online ordinary least squares estimator and the online weighted least squares estimator are asymptotically normal, providing insights into the performance of the reward model.

The paper proposes a method to explain expert decisions by modeling preferences with 'what if' outcomes.

problem Interpreting and auditing decision-making policies in institutions.
method Integrating counterfactual reasoning into batch inverse reinforcement learning.
result The method effectively recovers accurate and interpretable descriptions of expert behavior.

Proposes a method to learn both constraints and objective functions from data.

problem Data-driven inverse optimization for mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs).
method Two-stage approach: first learns constraints, then estimates objective-function weights conditioned on learned constraints.
result Proposes and validates a method for learning both objective functions and constraints from data.

This work presents a game-theoretic method for AVs that handles imperfect communication and individual rewards.

problem Real-time, imperfect communication and individual rewards in multi-agent interactions.
method Game-theoretic approach that allows for imperfect communication and individual rewards.
result More realistic assumptions lead to better reward inference and prediction of future actions.

Bayesian method estimates dynamics from near-optimal trajectories.

problem Estimating dynamics from near-optimal expert trajectories in reinforcement learning.
method Constraint-based Bayesian approach integrating expert near-optimality.
result Significant improvements in decision-making and transfer success.

Inverse optimization is a powerful paradigm for learning preferences and restrictions that explain the behavior of a decision maker, based on a set of external signal and the corresponding decision pairs. However, most inverse optimization algorithms are designed specifically in batch setting, where all the data is ava…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Method learns evolving policies in healthcare contexts.

problem Understanding non-stationary behavior in evolving decision-making processes.
method Inverse Contextual Bandits (ICB) approach for learning interpretable representations of non-stationary behavior.
result Demonstrated applicability and accuracy of ICB method in liver transplantation policies.

Inverse optimal control, also known as inverse reinforcement learning, is the problem of recovering an unknown reward function in a Markov decision process from expert demonstrations of the optimal policy. We introduce a probabilistic inverse optimal control algorithm that scales gracefully with task dimensionality, an…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework calibrates decision robustness using inverse conformal risk control.

problem Inadequate robustness levels in decision-making due to ad hoc choices.
method Constructs valid estimators to trace miscoverage-regret Pareto frontier.
result Provides distribution-free, finite-sample guarantees on robustness levels.

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding bound is an immediate consequence of the theory. Moreover, we propose a rigorous and…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we demonstrate how to learn the objective function of a decision-maker while only observing the problem input data and the decision-maker's corresponding decisions over multiple rounds. We present exact algorithms for this online version of inverse optimization which converge at a rate of $ \mathcal{O}(1…

2018-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New method disentangles perceptual uncertainty and behavioral costs in partially observable systems.

problem Tackles inverse optimal control for non-linear partially observable systems.
method Probabilistic approach using maximum causal entropy formulations and local linearization.
result Disentangles perceptual factors and behavioral costs in sequential decision-making.

New RL approach handles non-exponential discounting for sequential decisions.

problem Modeling human discounting in sequential decision-making tasks.
method Generalized model-based reinforcement learning with arbitrary discount functions, using Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and collocation method.
result Validated approach on simulated problems, showing applicability to human discounting.

TgAE constructs surrogates for inverse modeling with theory-guided training.

problem Creating accurate surrogates for inverse modeling with limited data.
method Theory-guided Auto-Encoder (TgAE) framework based on CNN architecture.
result TgAE surrogate achieves satisfactory accuracy and efficiency in uncertainty quantification and parameter inversion.

The paper constructs a multi-valued inverse of quasiregular maps and develops pull-back theory for differential forms.

problem Understanding multi-valued inverses of quasiregular maps and their properties.
method Using Almgren's framework of multi-valued maps and developing pull-back theory for differential forms.
result The multi-valued inverse is a quasiregular ωω-curve with respect to a natural nn-form ωω.

The paper proves a generalized inverse function theorem for curved LL_\infty spaces.

problem Proving a generalized inverse function theorem for curved LL_\infty spaces.
method Obstruction theory for LL_\infty homomorphisms and homotopy transfer theorem for curved LL_\infty algebras.
result A morphism of curved LL_\infty spaces which is a quasi-isomorphism at a point has a local homotopy inverse.

Characterizing statistical properties of solutions of inverse problems is essential for decision making. Bayesian inversion offers a tractable framework for this purpose, but current approaches are computationally unfeasible for most realistic imaging applications in the clinic. We introduce two novel deep learning bas…

2018-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new geometric evolution equation for hypersurfaces in asymptotically flat spacetime initial data sets, that unites the theory of marginally outer trapped surfaces (MOTS) with the study of inverse mean curvature flow in asymptotically flat Riemannian manifolds. A theory of weak solutions is developed usin…

2012-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient algorithm for learning from indirect feedback in complex decision-making scenarios.

problem Learning from indirect feedback in realistic scenarios with personalized mechanisms.
method IGW algorithm for policy optimization, extending reward-estimator construction from single-step to multi-step.
result Achieves sublinear regret guarantee for contextual episodic MDPs with personalized feedback.

This study investigates how Decision-Focused Learning improves stock return predictions for better portfolio optimization.

problem The challenge of precise expected returns estimation in mean-variance optimization.
method Investigates Decision-Focused Learning (DFL) to adjust stock return prediction models for MVO.
result DFL tilts prediction errors by the inverse covariance matrix, leading to systematic prediction biases in portfolio optimization.