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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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57114171228 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for intrinsic causal contributions

New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.

problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.

A new measure of causal influence quantifies intrinsic contributions in DAGs.

problem Quantifying intrinsic causal contributions in Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs).
method Recursive decomposition of node contributions, structure-preserving interventions, Shapley symmetrization.
result A measure of intrinsic causal contribution that is invariant to node relabeling.

EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables for counterfactual fairness in machine learning.

problem Balancing fairness and predictive accuracy in models with sensitive attributes.
method EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables to define an auxiliary node and a control node for counterfactual fairness.
result EXOC framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in achieving counterfactual fairness.

Generates counterfactuals in target domain from source domain observations.

problem Cross-domain learning with domain shifts and lack of parallel datasets.
method Unsupervised, Neural Causal Models, Joint Causal Graphs, Effect-Intrinsic vs Domain-Intrinsic Variables.
result Framework generates counterfactuals that closely match ground truth.

LAVARNET predicts multivariate time series by estimating causal variable relationships.

problem Forecasting multivariate time series requires understanding causal interrelationships among variables.
method LAVARNET is a neural network architecture that estimates causal effects and predicts future values.
result LAVARNET outperforms other models on various real-world data sets.

Reasoning based on causality, instead of association has been considered as a key ingredient towards real machine intelligence. However, it is a challenging task to infer causal relationship/structure among variables. In recent years, an Independent Mechanism (IM) principle was proposed, stating that the mechanism gene…

2019-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper reviews intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.

problem Understanding intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.
method Defining intrinsic motivations, presenting psychological/neuroscientific and computational models.
result Links between psychological/neuroscientific and computational models of intrinsic motivations.

Efficiently estimates SAGE values using causal structure learning.

problem Computational infeasibility of exact SAGE calculations.
method Uses causal structure learning to identify conditional independencies and accelerate SAGE approximation.
result Empirically demonstrates efficient and accurate estimation of SAGE values.

Unified multilinear model for causal factor disentanglement.

problem Disentangling causal factors from complex data without direct manipulation.
method Hierarchical block multilinear factorization (M-mode Block SVD) and incremental approach.
result Interpretable object representation robust to occlusion and reduced training data.

Develops methods for causal inference in longitudinal data.

problem Estimating Individual Treatment Effects (ITEs) in high-dimensional, time-varying data.
method Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE) and long-term counterfactual regression framework.
result CDVAE outperforms baselines and improves state-of-the-art models, approaching oracle performance.

Study finds a method to discover causal relationships that are invariant to marginal distributions.

problem Current causal discovery methods are sensitive to marginal distributions, leading to unreliable results.
method Proposes a non-parametric estimator that marginalizes the marginals to find intrinsic causal relationships.
result The proposed method yields causal estimators competitive with current methodologies and emphasizes uncertainty.

Null distance encodes causal structure in spacetimes.

problem Encoding causal structure in Lorentzian manifolds.
method Using null distance defined by Sormani and Vega, and proving causal structure is encoded by null distance.
result Lorentzian isometry between spacetimes with bijective map preserving null distance and cosmological time function.

Framework identifies causal factors of climate change using correlations and machine learning.

problem Understanding socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions and climate change.
method Three-step framework: correlation analysis, causal discovery, LLM interpretations.
result Adaptable solutions for data-driven policy-making and strategic decision-making.

Chronological Causal Bandits (CCB) tackles dynamic causal decision-making.

problem Dynamic causal decision-making in a system where rewards depend on past interventions.
method Introduces a new MAB problem (Chronological Causal Bandit) where rewards are influenced by a dynamic causal model.
result Early findings show the CCB can transfer information between sequential MABs.

Novel causal effect estimators and distributionally robust prediction methods.

problem Estimating causal effects and distributional robustness in statistical models.
method Developed novel estimators and proposed a general framework for distributional robustness.
result Mean squared error improvements in causal effect estimation compared to existing methods.

We present the Causal Gaussian Process Convolution Model (CGPCM), a doubly nonparametric model for causal, spectrally complex dynamical phenomena. The CGPCM is a generative model in which white noise is passed through a causal, nonparametric-window moving-average filter, a construction that we show to be equivalent to …

2018-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study identifies latent variables and causal relationships from multiple environments.

problem Identify latent variables and causal relationships from multiple environments.
method Proposes algorithm LiNGCReL for identifying causal graph up to surrounded-node ambiguity.
result Identifies latent variables up to surrounded-node ambiguity (SNA) in linear causal models.

Causal autoregressive flows enable accurate causal inference and prediction.

problem Causal discovery and interventional predictions in machine learning.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows with fixed variable orderings.
result Causal models derived from autoregressive flows are identifiable and allow for accurate interventional and counterfactual predictions.

New method estimates intrinsic dimensionality using angles, not distances.

problem Estimating local intrinsic dimensionality accurately.
method Introduces a new estimator using the distribution of angles between neighbor points.
result New estimator behaves similarly but complementarily to existing measures of intrinsic dimensionality.

New method identifies latent causal variables from observed data, overcoming indeterminacies.

problem Identifying latent causal variables from observed data, especially when latent variables are weight-variant.
method Introduces a novel identifiability condition for latent causal models, proposing SuaVE method.
result Identifies latent causal variables up to trivial permutation and scaling, demonstrating consistency and efficacy.

GACBO optimizes unknown causal graphs with interventions.

problem Optimizing a target variable on an unknown causal graph with interventions.
method Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation (GACBO) seeks to balance exploitation and exploration of causal structures and functions.
result GACBO outperforms baselines in simulated and real-world applications.

CRL uses causality to build interpretable AI models from complex data.

problem Interpreting deep neural networks' implicit representations.
method Causal representation learning (CRL) synthesizing latent variable models, causal graphical models, and nonparametric statistics.
result CRL can improve interpretability of generative AI models.

This paper improves causal inference using deep neural networks for low-dimensional covariates.

problem Improving causal inference with deep learning for high-dimensional covariates.
method Doubly robust off-policy learning with deep neural networks on low-dimensional manifolds.
result Nonasymptotic regret bounds for finite- and continuous-action scenarios, converging at a fast rate depending on intrinsic manifold dimension.

Bayesian method optimizes interventions for causal discovery.

problem Active interventions are needed for causal discovery when observational data is insufficient.
method Bayesian optimization-based approach using observational data and pre-experimental evaluation of interventions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness through various experiments.

FairTrade uses variational inference to create fair predictions in causal models.

problem Creating fair predictions in machine learning models with causal reasoning.
method FairTrade uses variational inference to account for unobserved confounders and integrates fairness constraints on causal paths.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of FairTrade in creating fair predictions in both simulated and real-world datasets.

Benchmark assesses LLMs' causal inference skills, revealing significant limitations.

problem Lack of rigorous evaluation of LLMs' causal inference capabilities.
method CausalPitfalls benchmark with structured challenges and grading rubrics.
result Significant limitations in current LLMs' statistical causal inference.

A new approach to rationalization identifies true rationales by considering causal relationships.

problem Existing rationalization methods struggle with spuriousness, where snippets with similar contributions are hard to distinguish.
method The method leverages causal inference to identify non-spurious rationales, defining probabilities of causation based on a structural causal model.
result The proposed causal rationalization outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.

New method identifies causal variables from partially observed data.

problem Learning from unpaired observations with instance-dependent partial observability.
method Proposes two methods enforcing sparsity in the inferred representation.
result Establishes two identifiability results for linear and piecewise linear mixing functions.

New framework optimizes decisions under uncertainty considering causal and continuous data.

problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain distributions with causal and continuous data structures.
method Developed a framework using Causal Sinkhorn DRO with Soft Regression Forest decision rules.
result Framework provides interpretable and tractable decision rules for optimizing under uncertainty.

In this contribution we present an intrinsic description of time-variant Port Hamiltonian systems as they appear in modeling and control theory. This formulation is based on the splitting of the state bundle and the use of appropriate covariant derivatives, which guarantees that the structure of the equations is invari…

2012-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Resolves spurious correlations in causal models via intervention design.

problem Spurious correlations lead to incorrect causal models in reinforcement learning environments.
method Proposes a method to design interventions that improve causal models by incentivizing agents to find errors.
result Experimental results show improved causal models compared to baselines.

Survey of deep causal models for industrial applications.

problem Estimating causal effects using deep learning.
method Deep causal models map covariates to a representation space and use objective functions for unbiased counterfactual data estimation.
result Comprehensive overview of deep causal models with industry applications.

New method uses information theory to uncover causal relationships in complex systems.

problem Discovering causal relationships in multivariate systems, especially in Bayesian networks and hypergraphs.
method Partial Information Decomposition (PID) to explicitly model higher-order interactions.
result PID components reveal direct causal neighbors and collider relationships in Bayesian networks and multi-tail hyperedges in causal hypergraphs.