Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.
problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.
Robustly detects and attributes climate change impacts under interventions.
problem Detect and attribute climate change impacts from observations robustly.
method Supervised learning with anchor regression for robust predictions under interventions.
result CO2 forcing can be robustly predicted from temperature patterns under strong solar forcing interventions.
Proposes DRIG for robust predictions using noise interventions.
problem Developing robust prediction models against distribution shifts.
method Distributional Robustness via Invariant Gradients (DRIG) exploiting general noise interventions.
result DRIG yields robust predictions among a data-dependent class of distribution shifts.
Proposes a method to create robust linear models with noisy proxies of unobserved variables.
problem Learning robust linear models to handle interventions on unobserved variables with noisy proxies.
method Regularization term that balances in-distribution performance and robustness to interventions.
result Single proxy can create prediction optimal estimators under interventions of bounded strength.
Paper relaxes faithfulness assumption for causal discovery using interventions.
problem Violation of faithfulness assumption in natural systems leads to incorrect causal structure identification.
method Use intervention-immediacy faithfulness assumption to identify causal structures with hard interventions.
result Interventions contain information about causal structure that can identify causal structures when faithfulness is violated.
New approach to meaningful and robust algorithmic recourse.
problem Ineffective and unmeaningful algorithmic recourse explanations.
method Meaningful Algorithmic Recourse (MAR) and Effective Algorithmic Recourse (EAR).
result Proposes new constraints for algorithmic recourse that improve both prediction and target.
Optimizes intervention design for causal discovery using integer programming.
problem Identifying causal structures from observational data due to confounding variables.
method Uses integer programming to design minimal intervention sets for causal structure identifiability.
result Provides exact and modular solutions adaptable to various experimental settings and constraints.
RoME optimizes mobile health interventions by modeling user and time-specific effects.
problem Challenges in optimizing mobile health interventions due to participant heterogeneity, nonstationarity, and nonlinear relationships.
method RoME uses a Robust Mixed-Effects contextual bandit algorithm with random effects, network cohesion penalties, and debiased machine learning.
result RoME achieves robust regret bounds even with complex baseline rewards, demonstrating superior performance in simulations and studies.
Bayesian method optimizes interventions for causal discovery.
problem Active interventions are needed for causal discovery when observational data is insufficient.
method Bayesian optimization-based approach using observational data and pre-experimental evaluation of interventions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness through various experiments.
ADIGen: Automatic, Debiased, and Invariant Counterfactual Generation
problem Generative models for counterfactual outcomes
method ADIGen combines Riesz regression, causal invariance, and orthogonal statistical learning
result ADIGen controls counterfactual risk under general interventions
New methods estimate interventional effects with multiple mediators using machine learning.
problem Estimating interventional effects with multiple mediators.
method Flexible machine learning techniques for estimation, with weak convergence results for confidence intervals.
result Closed-form confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for interventional mediation effects.
MetaCaDI learns causal graphs and unknown interventions from few data instances.
problem Discovering causal mechanisms in systems with high data costs and unknown interventions.
method MetaCaDI is a Bayesian meta-learning framework that optimizes for rapid adaptation to new intervention targets.
result MetaCaDI significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in causal graph recovery and intervention target prediction.
IntDC framework uncovers causal relationships from non-interventional data.
problem Detecting causal relationships in non-interventional complex systems.
method Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE) for causal strength measurement.
result IEE accurately finds causal edges and quantifies causal strength robustly.
New method evaluates multiple social disparities using machine learning.
problem Reduction of educational disparities across multiple dimensions.
method Triply-Robust Machine Learning Approach for Causal Decomposition Analysis.
result Simultaneous interventions across multiple domains reduce disparities.
Resolves spurious correlations in causal models via intervention design.
problem Spurious correlations lead to incorrect causal models in reinforcement learning environments.
method Proposes a method to design interventions that improve causal models by incentivizing agents to find errors.
result Experimental results show improved causal models compared to baselines.
Study examines robustness of NPI effectiveness models against COVID-19.
problem How do NPI effectiveness estimates vary with model assumptions and data?
method Investigated 2 NPI effectiveness models and 6 variants, evaluated robustness to unseen countries, parameters, and data.
result NPI effectiveness estimates are remarkably robust to different variables.
New method for selective prediction under interventions learns causal structure from data.
problem Tight uncertainty sets in selective conformal prediction under unknown interventional settings.
method Partial causal structure learning for descendant indicators, contamination-robust coverage theorem, algorithms for descendant discovery and distance estimation.
result Valid selective conformal prediction under contamination up to 30% with controlled coverage.
PULSE estimator improves prediction in causal inference with bounded interventions.
problem Optimizing causal models for bounded interventions.
method Relates K-class estimators to anchor regression, introduces PULSE estimator for minimization of mean squared prediction error with bounded constraints.
result PULSE estimator outperforms other estimators in real data and simulation experiments, especially in weak instrument settings.
A new method centers outliers in robust PCA without manual intervention.
problem Outliers in robust PCA require manual centering, complicating the analysis.
method Introduces a 'bias trick' to automatically center non-outliers.
result First optimal RPCA algorithm with automatic centering.
New framework identifies causal models with arbitrary interventions, improving realism.
problem Identify causal models with realistic interventions.
method Theoretical framework for identifying causal models with arbitrary interventions.
result Identify causal models with arbitrary interventions, up to a higher-level abstraction.
Unified framework for estimating indirect effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounding.
problem Challenges in evaluating indirect effects due to unmeasured confounding and unethical exposures.
method Developed a unified identification and estimation framework using proximal causal inference.
result Unified identification and estimation of PIIE and causal effect of an intervening variable in settings with pervasive unmeasured confounding.
Paper tackles intervention extrapolation using identifiable representations.
problem Predicting effects of unseen interventions on outcomes.
method Combines identifiable representation learning with autoencoders to enforce linear invariance.
result Identifiable representations enable non-linear extrapolation of interventions.
In a wide variety of applications, including personalization, we want to measure the difference in outcome due to an intervention and thus have to deal with counterfactual inference. The feedback from a customer in any of these situations is only 'bandit feedback' - that is, a partial feedback based on whether we chose…
DoubleGen addresses bias in generative modeling of counterfactuals.
problem Bias in generative models for counterfactual outcomes.
method Doubly robust framework that modifies generative modeling training objectives to mitigate confounding and misspecification biases.
result Successfully addresses confounding bias even if only one auxiliary model is correct.
COCA refactors training data to identify and erase unsafe concepts in LLMs.
problem Identifying and erasing unsafe concepts in Large Language Models (LLMs) for safety alignment.
method Concept Concentration (COCA) refactors training data with an explicit reasoning process to identify and erase unsafe concepts.
result COCA significantly reduces both in-distribution and out-of-distribution jailbreak success rates while maintaining strong performance on regular tasks.
Generative Intervention Models predict perturbation effects without knowing the underlying mechanisms.
problem Predicting perturbation effects when the mechanisms are unknown.
method Generative Intervention Models (GIM) that map perturbation features to distributions over atomic interventions in a causal model.
result GIMs achieve robust out-of-distribution predictions and infer underlying perturbation mechanisms.
Meta-learning method for estimating time-varying mHealth intervention effects.
problem Complex mHealth data and uncertain randomization probabilities.
method DR-WCLS meta-learning procedure for causal excursion effects.
result More efficient and consistent estimates of causal excursion effects.
Framework learns interpretable concepts from data without interventions.
problem Learning spurious correlations between concepts in CBMs.
method Causal representation learning (CRL) to align latent variables with interpretable concepts using few labels.
result Framework provides theoretical guarantees on correctness and number of required labels without interventions.
This tutorial introduces causal modeling methods for researchers.
problem Understanding causal relationships in research studies.
method Integrates potential outcomes and graphical methods for causal modeling.
result Clear notation and practical examples for applied researchers.
Increasing technological sophistication and widespread use of smartphones and wearable devices provide opportunities for innovative and highly personalized health interventions. A Just-In-Time Adaptive Intervention (JITAI) uses real-time data collection and communication capabilities of modern mobile devices to deliver…
Method learns optimal treatment sequences from observational data.
problem Optimal dynamic treatment regimes for public policies and medical interventions.
method Doubly robust classification-based approach via backward induction.
result Achieves optimal convergence rate of n^(-1/2) for welfare regret.
Develops algorithms to balance personalization and statistical power in mobile health studies.
problem Balancing personalization and statistical power in mobile health studies.
method Develops general meta-algorithms to modify existing bandit algorithms.
result Guarantees sufficient power while improving user well-being.
An app-based mHealth intervention uses reinforcement learning to send effective reminder notifications.
problem Designing an effective reinforcement learning algorithm for app-based mHealth interventions.
method Developed a reinforcement learning algorithm to send reminder notifications based on participant likelihood of app engagement.
result The algorithm improved app-based mHealth interventions by reducing participant burden and promoting behavior change.
Novel causal effect estimators and distributionally robust prediction methods.
problem Estimating causal effects and distributional robustness in statistical models.
method Developed novel estimators and proposed a general framework for distributional robustness.
result Mean squared error improvements in causal effect estimation compared to existing methods.
Estimates price sensitivity from transaction data using a novel odds ratio method.
problem Estimate price sensitivity from transaction-level data with partially observed treatment assignments.
method Recursive partitioning procedure with adversarial imputation for robust estimation.
result Validated on synthetic data and applied to three case studies, demonstrating heterogeneity in treatment effects.
Neural network learns causal graph structure from data.
problem Inferring causal graph structure from observational and interventional data.
method Supervised training of a neural network on synthetic graphs.
result Learned model generalizes to new graphs, robust to distribution shifts, and outperforms existing methods.
This paper addresses robust CBs for linear SEMs with model fluctuations.
problem Designing interventions in causal systems with linear SEMs that are robust to model fluctuations.
method Develops a robust CB algorithm and analyzes its regret under model deviation.
result The proposed algorithm achieves nearly optimal i l d e O ( T ) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) i l d e O ( T ) regret when C C C is o ( T ) o(\sqrt{T}) o ( T ) and maintains sub-linear regret for a broader range of C C C . Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
Proposes DR-ME test for interpretable distributional treatment effects.
problem Detects invisible differences in treatment effects on distributional outcomes.
method Semiparametrically efficient finite-location test using kernel witnesses and orthogonal features.
result DR-ME reveals causal-discrepancy coordinates and has noncentral chi-square local power.
Estimates outcomes under hypothetical scenarios using a flexible framework.
problem Adapting to sudden shifts in treatment patterns.
method Doubly robust estimator using incremental interventions.
result Achieves n \sqrt{n} n -consistency and asymptotic normality. This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.
problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.
Bayesian ARMA model with directional shifts captures structural breaks in compositional time series.
problem Structural breaks in compositional time series due to external shocks or policy changes.
method Developed a Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA model augmented with a directional-shift intervention mechanism.
result The model captures structural breaks through interpretable parameters and produces coherent probabilistic forecasts.
This paper considers the actor-critic contextual bandit for the mobile health (mHealth) intervention. The state-of-the-art decision-making methods in mHealth generally assume that the noise in the dynamic system follows the Gaussian distribution. Those methods use the least-square-based algorithm to estimate the expect…
New algorithm reduces regret in CBs with time-varying models.
problem Designing robust interventions in CBs with unknown, fluctuating causal models.
method Proposes a robust CB algorithm with upper and lower bounds on regret.
result Achieves nearly optimal i l d e O ( T ) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) i l d e O ( T ) regret under certain conditions. The ability to learn disentangled representations that split underlying sources of variation in high dimensional, unstructured data is important for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. While various approaches aiming towards this goal have been proposed in recent times, a commonly accepted definition and …
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
Causal diagrams based on do intervention are useful tools to formalize, process and understand causal relationship among variables. However, the do intervention has controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables, and it also lacks the power to check the conditions related to counterfactu…
Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…