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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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82165247329 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for intervention design

Adaptive IP approach optimizes intervention design for causal graph recovery.

problem Designing efficient interventions to recover causal relationships from data.
method Iterative integer programming approach for optimizing information gain.
result Adaptive IP approach achieves full causal graph recovery with fewer interventions.

Expands experimental design for causal discovery from limited data.

problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational and interventional data.
method Bayesian optimal experimental design incorporating recent advances in causal discovery.
result Active causal discovery of large, nonlinear SCMs with both intervention target and value selection.

We consider the minimum cost intervention design problem: Given the essential graph of a causal graph and a cost to intervene on a variable, identify the set of interventions with minimum total cost that can learn any causal graph with the given essential graph. We first show that this problem is NP-hard. We then prove…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes intervention design for causal discovery using integer programming.

problem Identifying causal structures from observational data due to confounding variables.
method Uses integer programming to design minimal intervention sets for causal structure identifiability.
result Provides exact and modular solutions adaptable to various experimental settings and constraints.

A new experimental design method for combinatorial interventions reduces complexity and improves accuracy.

problem Efficiently conducting all possible combinatorial interventions with multiple treatments and potential interactions.
method Probabilistic factorial experimental design, applying random combinations of treatments and adapting over multiple rounds.
result Optimal dosage of 1/2 for each treatment yields near-optimal design for estimating any k-way interaction model.

GIT uses gradient estimators to target interventions for causal discovery.

problem Challenges in inferring causal structure from observational data.
method GIT uses gradient estimators to target interventions for causal discovery.
result GIT performs on par with competitive baselines, surpassing them in low-data regimes.

It is known that from purely observational data, a causal DAG is identifiable only up to its Markov equivalence class, and for many ground truth DAGs, the direction of a large portion of the edges will be remained unidentified. The golden standard for learning the causal DAG beyond Markov equivalence is to perform a se…

2019-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient algorithms learn causal graphs with minimal interventions.

problem Learning causal relationships between observed variables in the presence of latents.
method Bi-criteria approximation goal combining intervention design and graph property testing.
result Achieve intervention cost within a small constant factor of the optimal.

Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.

problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.

The paper presents efficient methods for identifying causal graphs with latent variables.

problem Recovering causal graphs with latent variables while minimizing intervention costs.
method Two intervention cost models (linear and identity) are considered. Algorithms are provided for both models.
result Upper bounds on the number of interventions needed for recovery, and approximation factors for the linear cost model.

New algorithm reduces interventional strategy complexity for causal graph discovery.

problem Designing efficient interventional strategies for causal graph discovery.
method Developed an r-adaptive algorithm for causal graph discovery that minimizes the number of interventions.
result Achieved an approximation of O(min{r, log n} * n^{1/min{r, log n}}) for the verification number.

Develops a personalized reinforcement learning algorithm for dyadic health interventions.

problem Personalizing health interventions for dyadic relationships in mobile health.
method Dyadic Reinforcement Learning (dyadic RL), a Bayesian and hierarchical online algorithm.
result Established a regret bound and demonstrated empirical performance through simulations and real data.

New framework infers causal shifts in event sequences under out-of-domain interventions.

problem Inferring causal relationships in event sequences without considering out-of-domain interventions.
method Proposes a new causal framework to define ATE, designs an unbiased ATE estimator, and uses a Transformer-based neural network model.
result Demonstrates superior performance in ATE estimation and goodness-of-fit under out-of-domain-augmented point processes.

This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.

problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.

Develops a method to efficiently learn causal DAGs using directed clique trees.

problem Efficiently learning causal DAGs in the presence of large cliques.
method Decomposes DAGs into independently orientable components using directed clique trees and designs a two-phase intervention algorithm.
result Proves that the number of single-node interventions necessary to orient any DAG in an EC is at least the sum of half the size of the largest cliques in each chain component of the essential graph.

Synthetic Combinations learns unit-specific causal outcomes for combinatorial interventions.

problem Estimating unit-specific causal outcomes for all combinations of pp interventions in a heterogeneous setting.
method Latent factor model with Fourier expansion sparsity, imposing structure across units and interventions.
result Synthetic Combinations provides consistent estimation with poly(r) * (N + s^2p) observations, outperforming previous methods.

This paper tackles unknown causal graphs and soft interventions, establishing regret bounds and an efficient algorithm.

problem Designing causal bandit algorithms with unknown causal graphs and stochastic intervention models.
method Establishes novel regret bounds and presents a computationally efficient algorithm for unknown graph and soft interventions.
result Regret bounds for unknown graph and soft interventions, with a universal minimax lower bound.

Optimizes experiment design for causal structure learning in linear models with cycles.

problem Causal structure learning from combined observational and interventional data in linear non-Gaussian cyclic models.
method Combinatorial characterization of equivalence classes, adaptive stochastic optimization, greedy policy with near-optimal performance guarantee, sampling-based estimator for reward function.
result Optimal experiment design reduces the equivalence class of causal graphs to a single true graph with a small number of interventions.

An app-based mHealth intervention uses reinforcement learning to send effective reminder notifications.

problem Designing an effective reinforcement learning algorithm for app-based mHealth interventions.
method Developed a reinforcement learning algorithm to send reminder notifications based on participant likelihood of app engagement.
result The algorithm improved app-based mHealth interventions by reducing participant burden and promoting behavior change.

This work shifts focus from prediction to intervention in social systems.

problem The limitations of focusing solely on prediction in automated decision systems.
method Shift from prediction-focused paradigm to intervention-oriented approach.
result A new perspective unifies statistical frameworks and tools for ADS design, implementation, and evaluation.

A fast algorithm for counting Markov equivalent DAGs and designing experiments.

problem Counting Markov equivalent DAGs and designing experiments efficiently.
method LazyIter algorithm for efficient iteration over MECs, utilizing intervention results.
result Significant reduction in time complexity for sparse graphs (O(n)).

New method estimates stochastic intervention effects in decision-making domains.

problem Current causal inference methods are limited to deterministic treatment, unable to handle stochastic policies.
method Developed a new stochastic propensity score and stochastic intervention effect estimator (SIE) with a customized genetic algorithm (Ge-SIO).
result Empirical study shows significant performance improvement over state-of-the-art baselines.

VACA models graph data for causal inference without hidden confounders.

problem Causal inference in observational data with hidden confounders.
method Variational graph autoencoders for structural causal models.
result Accurately approximates interventional and counterfactual distributions.

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models are popular for capturing causal relationships. From observational and interventional data, a DAG model can only be determined up to its \emph{interventional Markov equivalence class} (I-MEC). We investigate the size of MECs for random DAG models generated by uniformly sampling and o…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study efficient algorithms for identifying minimum interventional sets to learn causal relationships.

problem Identify the smallest set of interventions to learn causal relationships between a subset of edges.
method Develop algorithms for subset verification and search problems under assumptions of faithfulness, causal sufficiency, and ideal interventions.
result For subset verification, an efficient algorithm is provided to compute a minimum sized interventional set.

The paper tackles intervention generalization using factor graph models.

problem Generalizing from past experiments to novel conditions is hard due to combinatorial space of possible interventions.
method The approach is based on intervention factor models (IFMs) and factor graph models.
result Conditions for identifiability of expected outcomes of new regimes are derived.

Paper establishes identifiability and achievability for causal representation learning.

problem Identifying and recovering latent causal models and variables from observational and interventional data.
method Establishes identifiability and achievability using uncoupled interventions and a recovery algorithm.
result Guaranteed perfect recovery of latent causal model and variables under uncoupled interventions.

New findings show single-treatment effects are unidentifiable in factorial experiments.

problem Identifying the effect of a single intervention in factorial experiments.
method Formalized sufficient conditions for the identifiability of single-treatment effects and developed nonparametric sharp bounds.
result Researchers must justify assumptions for extrapolating single-treatment effects.

We consider the problem of learning a causal graph over a set of variables with interventions. We study the cost-optimal causal graph learning problem: For a given skeleton (undirected version of the causal graph), design the set of interventions with minimum total cost, that can uniquely identify any causal graph with…

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles causal representation learning with linear and general transformations.

problem Identify and recover latent causal variables and graphs under unknown transformations.
method Score-based algorithms that use gradients of log-density functions for identifiability and achievability.
result Two stochastic hard interventions per node are sufficient for identifiability of general transformations.

This paper tackles causal interactions in mixtures of DAGs using interventions.

problem Learning causal interactions among variables governed by a mixture of causal systems.
method Establishes necessary and sufficient conditions for intervention size, designs an adaptive algorithm.
result Identifies true edges in a mixture of DAGs using optimal or near-optimal interventions.

TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.

problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.

The paper shows how to learn causal representations with few environments and finite samples.

problem Learning causal representations from limited data and environments.
method Explicit, finite-sample guarantees with a logarithmic number of interventions.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal graph, mixing matrix, and unknown intervention targets.

Promising results have driven a recent surge of interest in continuous optimization methods for Bayesian network structure learning from observational data. However, there are theoretical limitations on the identifiability of underlying structures obtained from observational data alone. Interventional data provides muc…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Evaluation metrics for prediction models don't fully reflect intervention impact.

problem Standard metrics don't accurately reflect reduction in patient outcomes from model use.
method Synthesized and discussed various evaluation methods, analyzed with simulated and real data.
result Evaluations without interventional data are limited or require strong assumptions.

The paper tackles causal bandits with unknown SCMs and soft interventions, providing upper and lower bounds on regret.

problem Optimizing interventions in a causal system with unknown SCMs and soft interventions.
method Assumes unknown SCMs from a general class, allows infinite interventions, and provides upper and lower bounds on regret.
result General upper and lower bounds on cumulative achievable regret for various SCMs.

Meta-learning method for estimating time-varying mHealth intervention effects.

problem Complex mHealth data and uncertain randomization probabilities.
method DR-WCLS meta-learning procedure for causal excursion effects.
result More efficient and consistent estimates of causal excursion effects.

GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.

problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.