A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
FIBS extracts relevant features from IBTSs for classification.
A new framework for mining high utility patterns in interval-based sequences.
Confidence intervals based on penalized maximum likelihood estimators such as the LASSO, adaptive LASSO, and hard-thresholding are analyzed. In the known-variance case, the finite-sample coverage properties of such intervals are determined and it is shown that symmetric intervals are the shortest. The length of the sho…
Paper presents robust confidence sequences for means with known moment bounds and arbitrary corruption.
New method uses interval-based metric to validate prediction uncertainty in machine learning.
Complex activity recognition is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty and diversity of performing a complex activity. Normally, each instance of a complex activity has its own configuration of atomic actions and their temporal dependencies. We propose in this paper an atomic action-based Bayesian model that const…
Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…
TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.
Improved incremental sequence classification with temporal consistency.
We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors may depend on and diverge with sample size . In addition to the case of known error variance, we define and study versions of the estimators when…
Mobile phones can record individual's daily behavioral data as a time-series. In this paper, we present an effective time-series segmentation technique that extracts optimal time segments of individual's similar behavioral characteristics utilizing their mobile phone data. One of the determinants of an individual's beh…
GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.
Survey on modeling event sequences through temporal processes.
Generative Link Sequence Modeling predicts future links in evolving networks.
DGE learns event representations from image sequences without manual annotations.
Study develops curvature for contact-sequence networks, revealing temporal dynamics.
Proposes a new method to model event sequences using normalizing flows.
Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …
Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.
We report an extension of a Keras Model, called CTCModel, to perform the Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC) in a transparent way. Combined with Recurrent Neural Networks, the Connectionist Temporal Classification is the reference method for dealing with unsegmented input sequences, i.e. with data that are a co…
New insights into how encoder-decoder networks generate attention matrices.
Temporal point process is an expressive tool for modeling event sequences over time. In this paper, we take a reinforcement learning view whereby the observed sequences are assumed to be generated from a mixture of latent policies. The purpose is to cluster the sequences with different temporal patterns into the underl…
Deep conditional generative models are developed to simultaneously learn the temporal dependencies of multiple sequences. The model is designed by introducing a three-way weight tensor to capture the multiplicative interactions between side information and sequences. The proposed model builds on the Temporal Sigmoid Be…
Recent works demonstrated the usefulness of temporal coherence to regularize supervised training or to learn invariant features with deep architectures. In particular, enforcing smooth output changes while presenting temporally-closed frames from video sequences, proved to be an effective strategy. In this paper we pro…
TIMeSynC combines financial service interactions for intent prediction.
Sequence models assign probabilities to variable-length sequences such as natural language texts. The ability of sequence models to capture temporal dependence can be characterized by the temporal scaling of correlation and mutual information. In this paper, we study the mutual information of recurrent neural networks …
The paper tackles video prediction by estimating conditional densities implicitly.
Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.
Graph Hawkes Neural Network forecasts evolving graph sequences.
EventFlow forecasts event sequences without autoregression, improving accuracy.
We consider the general problem of modeling temporal data with long-range dependencies, wherein new observations are fully or partially predictable based on temporally-distant, past observations. A sufficiently powerful temporal model should separate predictable elements of the sequence from unpredictable elements, exp…
Process Monitoring involves tracking a system's behaviors, evaluating the current state of the system, and discovering interesting events that require immediate actions. In this paper, we consider monitoring temporal system state sequences to help detect the changes of dynamic systems, check the divergence of the syste…
We investigate the problem of modeling symbolic sequences of polyphonic music in a completely general piano-roll representation. We introduce a probabilistic model based on distribution estimators conditioned on a recurrent neural network that is able to discover temporal dependencies in high-dimensional sequences. Our…
Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g., whether a series of blood tests are completed at once or in rapid succession should n…
The goal of temporal alignment is to establish time correspondence between two sequences, which has many applications in a variety of areas such as speech processing, bioinformatics, computer vision, and computer graphics. In this paper, we propose a novel temporal alignment method called least-squares dynamic time war…
We present our solution to the job recommendation task for RecSys Challenge 2016. The main contribution of our work is to combine temporal learning with sequence modeling to capture complex user-item activity patterns to improve job recommendations. First, we propose a time-based ranking model applied to historical obs…
Understanding temporal dynamics has proved to be highly valuable for accurate recommendation. Sequential recommenders have been successful in modeling the dynamics of users and items over time. However, while different model architectures excel at capturing various temporal ranges or dynamics, distinct application cont…
This paper introduces time-uniform CLT-based confidence intervals for statistical inference.
A new method aligns convolution filters for temporal sequences using Dynamic Time Warp.
Enhanced LSTM model learns complex temporal dependencies.
TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.
ADD-THIN improves TPP forecasting by handling long-term data sequences.
Predict sepsis early from EHR data with aggregated clinical events.
Multistep traffic forecasting on road networks is a crucial task in successful intelligent transportation system applications. To capture the complex non-stationary temporal dynamics and spatial dependency in multistep traffic-condition prediction, we propose a novel deep learning framework named attention graph convol…
Encoder-decoder recurrent neural network models (RNN Seq2Seq) have achieved great success in ubiquitous areas of computation and applications. It was shown to be successful in modeling data with both temporal and spatial dependencies for translation or prediction tasks. In this study, we propose an embedding approach t…
Next-generation sequencing (NGS) to profile temporal changes in living systems is gaining more attention for deriving better insights into the underlying biological mechanisms compared to traditional static sequencing experiments. Nonetheless, the majority of existing statistical tools for analyzing NGS data lack the c…
Recent advancements in recurrent neural network (RNN) research have demonstrated the superiority of utilizing multiscale structures in learning temporal representations of time series. Currently, most of multiscale RNNs use fixed scales, which do not comply with the nature of dynamical temporal patterns among sequences…
Meta-learning improves event prediction from short sequences.