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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for interval regret

New online conformal prediction methods minimize strongly adaptive regret and achieve near-optimal coverage.

problem Uncertainty quantification in online settings with changing data distributions.
method Developed new online conformal prediction methods that minimize strongly adaptive regret.
result Achieve near-optimal strongly adaptive regret and approximately valid coverage.

Research aims to improve confidence intervals for RKHS elements in online learning.

problem Improper confidence intervals lead to suboptimal regret bounds in kernel-based bandit and reinforcement learning.
method Formalizes the open problem of online confidence intervals in RKHS and reviews existing results.
result Identifies the online nature of observation points as the main challenge for tight confidence intervals.

Consider the classical problem of predicting the next bit in a sequence of bits. A standard performance measure is {\em regret} (loss in payoff) with respect to a set of experts. For example if we measure performance with respect to two constant experts one that always predicts 0's and another that always predicts 1's …

2013-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate online convex optimization in changing environments, and choose the adaptive regret as the performance measure. The goal is to achieve a small regret over every interval so that the comparator is allowed to change over time. Different from previous works that only utilize the convexity condition, this pa…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles lifelong learning in multi-armed bandits, aiming to minimize average regret over multiple tasks.

problem Minimizing average regret in multi-armed bandits over multiple tasks.
method Confidence interval tuning of UCB algorithms and greedy algorithms applied to a bandit over bandit approach.
result Empirical improvement over previous work in the mortal bandit problem.

Kernel-based function approximation improves reinforcement learning performance.

problem Average reward reinforcement learning in infinite horizon settings.
method Optimistic algorithm based on kernel ridge regression.
result No-regret performance guarantees and confidence intervals for kernel-based predictions.

New algorithms achieve optimal regret in sliding window model with limited memory.

problem Experts problem in the sliding window model with limited information.
method 2 queries, polylog(nT) memory, exponential improvement on memory.
result Achieve optimal regret of sqrt(nW)polylog(nT) with 2 queries and polylog(nT) memory.

Two algorithms for linear contextual bandits with rare updates achieve optimal regret and efficiency.

problem Linear contextual bandits with infrequent parameter updates.
method Two practical algorithms with O(loglogT)O(\log\log T) updates, BLCE-G and BLCE.
result Minimax-optimal regret with low computational complexity.

Paper proposes algorithms to minimize both dynamic and adaptive regret simultaneously.

problem Traditional regret minimization algorithms are suboptimal for changing environments.
method Developed novel online algorithms to minimize dynamic and adaptive regret simultaneously.
result Proposed algorithms minimize dynamic and adaptive regret over any interval.

Most bandit algorithm designs are purely theoretical. Therefore, they have strong regret guarantees, but also are often too conservative in practice. In this work, we pioneer the idea of algorithm design by minimizing the empirical Bayes regret, the average regret over problem instances sampled from a known distributio…

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a discounted algorithm for online convex optimization that adapts to unknown discount factors.

problem Developing an algorithm that can adapt to an unknown discount factor in online convex optimization.
method Smoothed Online Gradient Descent (SOGD) with Discounted-Normal-Predictor (DNP).
result Achieves a uniform O(logT/1λ)O(\sqrt{\log T/1-λ}) discounted regret across a continuous interval of discount factors.

Efficient methods reduce projections in non-stationary online learning.

problem Optimizing dynamic and adaptive regret in non-stationary online learning environments.
method Presented efficient methods reducing the number of projections per round from O(logT)O(\log T) to 11.
result Reduced number of projections per round from O(logT)O(\log T) to 11 for optimizing dynamic and adaptive regret.

New algorithms balance collaboration and adversarial behavior in linear bandits.

problem Minimizing regret in a collaborative linear bandit problem with adversarial agents.
method Robust collaborative phased elimination algorithm with tight analyses.
result Achieves near-optimal regret bounds of $O\left(α+ 1/\sqrt{M} ight) \sqrt{dT}$ for good agents.

Develops a new method for online conformal prediction without manual tuning.

problem Achieving long-run 1α1-α coverage for arbitrary data streams in an informative manner.
method Linearized regret theory and universal portfolio algorithms.
result Strong finite-time bounds on miscoverage for UP-OCP, outperforming prior methods.

Paper shows how online betting algorithms' regret can be used to create tight confidence sequences.

problem Estimating the expectation of random variables from samples and creating time-uniform confidence sequences.
method Converts the regret guarantee of universal portfolio algorithms into time-uniform concentration inequalities and confidence sequences.
result Numerically obtained confidence sequences are never vacuous and satisfy the law of iterated logarithm.

KL-MS improves regret bounds for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.

problem Designing efficient exploration algorithms for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.
method Kullback-Leibler Maillard Sampling (KL-MS) for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.
result KL-MS achieves a worst-case regret bound of O(μ(1μ)KTlnK+KlnT)O(\sqrt{μ^*(1-μ^*) K T \ln K} + K \ln T).

A new pricing controller handles resource constraints to infer target prices effectively.

problem Resource constraints prevent fixed-price inference, leading to support exclusion.
method Formalizes support-exclusion failure, designs a target-aware controller, and uses a realized information clock.
result The controller can certify feasible target bands and log continuous local densities, leading to polynomial rates of inference.

Adaptive MAB algorithms handle composite, anonymous feedback without reward interval knowledge.

problem Multi-armed bandit with composite and anonymous feedback, especially without reward interval size knowledge.
method Proposed adaptive algorithms for stochastic and adversarial cases, without reward interval knowledge.
result First algorithm for adversarial case handling non-oblivious adversary and unknown reward interval size.

Paper improves CMAB regret bounds by reducing batch-size dependency.

problem Reducing batch-size dependency in combinatorial semi-bandits.
method Developed BCUCB-T and SESCB algorithms with new TPVM conditions.
result Significantly improved regret bounds for various applications.

Develops algorithms to optimize machine replacement schedules using operational data.

problem Optimizing machine replacement intervals when the lifetime distribution is unknown.
method Formulates as a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem and proposes Hoeffding- and Bernstein-based algorithms.
result Achieves optimal or near-optimal replacement intervals with minimal regret.

Near-logarithmic regret per switch achieved for mixable/exp-concave losses.

problem Online optimization of mixable loss functions with dynamic environments.
method Online mixture framework using static solvers and hyper-expert creations.
result Near-logarithmic regret per switch with sub-polynomial complexity.

Most contextual bandit algorithms minimize regret against the best fixed policy, a questionable benchmark for non-stationary environments that are ubiquitous in applications. In this work, we develop several efficient contextual bandit algorithms for non-stationary environments by equipping existing methods for i.i.d. …

2017-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces online decision-making regret with efficient LP re-solving and parallel first-order method.

problem Worse regret guarantees and high computational cost of LP-based OLP algorithms.
method Combines LP-based and first-order OLP methods, re-solving LP subproblems periodically and using parallel first-order method.
result Achieves O(log(T/f)+f)\mathscr{O}(\log (T/f) + \sqrt{f}) regret, balancing computational efficiency and superior regret guarantee.

We consider stochastic multi-armed bandits where the expected reward is a unimodal function over partially ordered arms. This important class of problems has been recently investigated in (Cope 2009, Yu 2011). The set of arms is either discrete, in which case arms correspond to the vertices of a finite graph whose stru…

2014-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of adaptively placing sensors along an interval to detect stochastically-generated events. We present a new formulation of the problem as a continuum-armed bandit problem with feedback in the form of partial observations of realisations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We design a solution m…

2019-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes DG-ETC for online submodular maximization with stochastic bandit feedback.

problem Online unconstrained submodular maximization with stochastic bandit feedback.
method Double-Greedy - Explore-then-Commit (DG-ETC) approach.
result DG-ETC achieves logarithmic regret O(dlog(dT))O(d\log(dT)) for 1/21/2-approximate pseudo-regret.

We present differentially private algorithms for the stochastic Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problem. This is a problem for applications such as adaptive clinical trials, experiment design, and user-targeted advertising where private information is connected to individual rewards. Our major contribution is to show that the…

2015-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal online linear regression in dynamic environments using discounted Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth forecaster.

problem Achieving optimal performance in dynamic online linear regression without prior knowledge.
method Developed a discounted variant of the Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth forecaster to achieve optimal dynamic regret guarantees.
result Achieved dynamic regret of the form $O\left(d\log(T)\vee \sqrt{dP_{T}^γ(\vec{u})T} ight)$, with a learnable discount factor.

End-to-end framework learns LLM routing from observational data.

problem Compounding errors in decoupled approaches and reliance on full-feedback data.
method Causal end-to-end framework minimizing decision-making regret from observational data.
result Method outperforms existing baselines across different embedding models.

LqgOpt learns optimal control in unknown LQG systems with minimal regret.

problem Adaptive control in partially observable linear quadratic Gaussian systems with unknown dynamics.
method Optimism in the face of uncertainty, predictor state evolution, closed-loop system identification, confidence bounds.
result Proves a regret upper bound of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) for LQG systems.

Algorithm tackles adaptive discretization in adversarial Lipschitz bandits for dynamic pricing and auctions.

problem Adaptive discretization in adversarial Lipschitz bandits.
method Adversarial Zooming algorithm for adaptive discretization.
result First algorithm for adversarial Lipschitz bandits with instance-dependent regret bounds.

Efficiently solves exploration-exploitation in LQR using Lagrangian relaxation.

problem Exploration-exploitation dilemma in linear quadratic regulator (LQR) setting.
method Relax optimistic optimization into a constrained extended LQR problem, then solve using Riccati equations.
result Computes εε-optimistic controller efficiently with O(log(1/ε))O\big(\log(1/ε)\big) Riccati equations.