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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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76152227303 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for interpretable insights

CrystalCandle creates user-friendly explanations for machine learning models.

problem Low trust in predictive models due to lack of interpretability.
method End-to-end pipeline for model interpretation, including Model Importer, Interpreter, Narrative Generator, and Exporter.
result CrystalCandle leads to higher adoption rates and improved downstream metrics.

This paper enhances LSTM neural networks for multi-variable time series data, providing interpretable insights.

problem Accurate prediction of multi-variable time series data with interpretable insights.
method Variable-wise hidden states and a mixture attention mechanism to model the generative process of the target variable.
result Enhanced prediction performance by capturing the dynamics of different variables.

ALICE combines feature selection and inter-rater agreeability for ML model insights.

problem Improving interpretability of black box machine learning models.
method Integrates feature selection and inter-rater agreeability into a user-friendly Python library.
result Initial experiments on customer churn modeling show promising insights.

GAMLA learns manifold structures with auto-encoding for global insights.

problem Limited global insight and lack of interpretable analytical descriptions in manifold learning.
method Two-round auto-encoding process to derive character and complementary representations.
result GAMLA provides global and analytical descriptions of smooth manifolds.

FRED explains text model predictions by identifying key words and providing counterfactual examples.

problem Lack of interpretable methods for text models that are complex, lack foundations, and have unguaranteed performance.
method FRED identifies minimal influential word sets, assigns token importance, and generates counterfactual examples.
result FRED provides reliable and effective explanations for text model predictions.

The study identifies patient subgroups with enhanced or diminished opioid treatment effects.

problem Lack of prescribing guidelines for opioids leading to adverse outcomes.
method Generative model using mixture distribution and sparsity to discover subgroups with treatment effects.
result Human-interpretable insights on subgroups with enhanced or diminished treatment effects.

BRACE generates efficient counterfactual explanations by integrating causal reasoning.

problem Challenges in traditional counterfactual explanations, especially neglecting causal relationships.
method Backtracking counterfactuals with causal reasoning.
result Our method provides deeper insights into model outputs and is computationally efficient.

AdaptHetero uses MLI to tailor EHR models for subgroup-specific predictions.

problem Lack of subgroup-specific, operationalizable modeling strategies in EHRs.
method Integrates MLI with unsupervised clustering to identify subgroup-specific characteristics.
result Improves predictive performance by up to 174.39 percent across many subpopulations.

We provide a novel notion of what it means to be interpretable, looking past the usual association with human understanding. Our key insight is that interpretability is not an absolute concept and so we define it relative to a target model, which may or may not be a human. We define a framework that allows for comparin…

2017-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for multi-arm HTE estimation.

problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in multi-arm settings.
method Rule-based ensemble approach for HTE estimation in multi-arm trials.
result Achieved lower bias and higher estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

Paper explores balancing market dynamics and interpretable forecasting models for energy prices.

problem Tackles the challenge of accurately predicting mFRR price and understanding market dynamics.
method Compares XGBoost and EBM for forecasting mFRR activation price in the balancing market.
result EBM provides comparable forecasting accuracy to XGBoost but with higher interpretability.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Boosted additive models reveal new insights and potential pathologies.

problem Theoretical understanding of boosted additive models (BAMs) and their convergence behavior.
method Study of solution paths of BAMs and derivation of convergence results.
result Uncovering pathologies of boosting for certain additive model classes.

Explaining neural network computation in terms of probabilistic/fuzzy logical operations has attracted much attention due to its simplicity and high interpretability. Different choices of logical operators such as AND, OR and XOR give rise to another dimension for network optimization, and in this paper, we study the o…

2019-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper provides a guide to feature importance methods for better scientific inference.

problem Limited understanding of data-generating process due to opaque ML model mechanisms.
method Comprehensive review and new proofs of global feature importance methods.
result Facilitates a thorough understanding and concrete recommendations for FI methods.

We consider the problem of matrix completion on an n×mn \times m matrix. We introduce the problem of Interpretable Matrix Completion that aims to provide meaningful insights for the low-rank matrix using side information. We show that the problem can be reformulated as a binary convex optimization problem. We design Opt…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

With the rise of deep neural networks for quantum chemistry applications, there is a pressing need for architectures that, beyond delivering accurate predictions of chemical properties, are readily interpretable by researchers. Here, we describe interpretation techniques for atomistic neural networks on the example of …

2018-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

State of the art machine learning algorithms are highly optimized to provide the optimal prediction possible, naturally resulting in complex models. While these models often outperform simpler more interpretable models by order of magnitudes, in terms of understanding the way the model functions, we are often facing a …

2016-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Model-agnostic interpretation methods can mislead if not used carefully.

problem Misinterpretation of machine learning models due to improper use of techniques.
method General pitfalls of model-agnostic interpretation methods.
result Many pitfalls exist when using global interpretation techniques for machine learning models.

New strategy uses interpretability to improve adversarial learning.

problem Improving adversarial learning speed and effectiveness.
method Spatially constrained one-pixel adversarial perturbations guided by gradient-based interpretability.
result Spatially constrained one-pixel adversarial perturbations noticeably improve convergence and attack success.

The chapter improves deep learning models by interpreting and improving their performance.

problem Deep learning models often lack interpretability, leading to poor understanding of their predictions.
method The approach involves attributing importance to features and feature groups, including interactions, to improve model performance.
result The proposed attributions provide insights across various domains and can be used to improve model generalization.

The paper investigates interpretability techniques for deep learning models in medical data.

problem Understanding the logic behind predictions of black-box models in medical decision-making.
method Applied deep neural networks and random forests to a medical dataset. Used autoencoders and local interpretable models to provide insights.
result Local interpretable models and autoencoders provide meaningful insights into cancer predictions, identifying distinct and non-generalizable features.

Study evaluates deep learning models for solar flare prediction with interpretability analysis.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for solar flare prediction.
method Proximity-based metric for analyzing attribution maps generated by Guided Grad-CAM.
result Models' predictions align with active region characteristics, offering insights into their behavior.

Study detects and explains positional bias in financial LLMs.

problem Positional bias in financial decision-making using LLMs.
method Unified framework and benchmark for detecting and quantifying bias in Qwen2.5 models.
result Positional bias is pervasive, scale-sensitive, and resurfaces under nuanced prompt designs.

SPLICE method disentangles shared and private latent variables from multi-view data.

problem Lack of methods to characterize nonlinear relationships and preserve geometric information in multi-view data.
method Neural network-based approach to infer disentangled, interpretable representations of shared and private latent variables.
result SPLICE yields more interpretable representations by preserving geometry and is more robust to incorrect latent dimensionality.

The paper explores how to handle uncertain evidence in probabilistic models.

problem Handling uncertain evidence in probabilistic models and stochastic simulators.
method The paper considers distributional evidence, Jeffrey's rule, and virtual evidence as methods for interpreting uncertain evidence.
result The paper provides guidelines on how to account for uncertain evidence and highlights the importance of careful consideration.

Deep learning benchmarks ECG analysis with strong performance.

problem Lack of appropriate datasets and evaluation procedures for ECG interpretation.
method Benchmarking on PTB-XL and ICBEB2018 datasets using convolutional neural networks.
result Convolutional neural networks, especially resnet- and inception-based architectures, outperform feature-based algorithms.

Interprets feature interactions in ad-click prediction models.

problem Improving interpretability of black-box recommender systems.
method Interprets feature interactions from a source model and encodes them in a target model.
result Interpretations significantly outperform existing recommender models.

LIME explanations can be uncertain, even for accurate models.

problem Uncertainty in LIME explanations undermines trust in machine learning models.
method Demonstrated two sources of uncertainty in LIME: sampling randomness and varying interpretation quality.
result Uncertainty in LIME explanations is present even in high-performing models.

Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.

problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.

Curvature penalties improve interpretability of KANs without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Pathologically high-curvature oscillations in KANs activations make them hard to interpret.
method Derived a curvature penalty and proved an upper bound on model curvature.
result KANs with curvature penalties achieve substantially smoother activations while maintaining accuracy.