Modeling dealer competition, internalisation and externalisation impact market dynamics and costs.
problem Understanding and optimizing dealer competition in risky asset markets.
method Variational approach to derive Nash equilibrium for dealer competition.
result Dealers using internalisation are incentivized to increase externalisation, leading to higher hedging costs and wider spreads.
Paper solves trade-off between internalisation and externalisation in stochastic trade flows.
problem Managing risk in stochastic trade flows between internalisation and externalisation.
method Derives almost-closed-form solutions using Almgren-Chriss framework for quadratic execution costs. Uses numerical methods for more general cases. Proposes reinforcement learning as an alternative.
result Almost-closed-form solutions and numerical methods for optimal strategies.
Insider trading is reduced when penalized, affecting expected penalties in a non-monotone way.
problem Reducing insider trading behavior when insiders face legal penalties.
method Characterized via a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) with a non-linear operator.
result The insider's expected penalties are non-monotone in the fee structure and determined by relative entropy.
New ML methods improve physical system understanding by quantifying uncertainty across diverse regimes.
problem Capturing multi-regime physical systems with standard ML techniques.
method Coverage-oriented uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods.
result Coverage-oriented UQ models deliver physically consistent uncertainty estimates.
Study shows marketable order routing to wholesalers benefits all traders, leading to lower market depth and price volatility.
problem Determining the preference of retail traders for marketable order routing.
method Two models: one for market makers competing for retail order flow (Bertrand model) and another for price-taking competitive liquidity providers (open exchange model).
result Routing marketable orders to wholesalers is preferred by all traders, leading to mean reverting inventories and lower market depth.
Strategic brokers exploit private information in broker-mediated markets, affecting informed traders' performance.
problem Strategic interactions and information leakage in broker-mediated markets.
method Study of strategic trading behavior and information leakage in a broker-mediated market.
result Brokers hold a strategic advantage over informed traders due to information leakage in trading flows.
Paper develops a fast Bayesian method to predict toxic trades in financial transactions.
problem Predicting and managing toxic trades in financial transactions.
method PULSE: an online learning Bayesian procedure for neural networks.
result Neural networks trained with PULSE outperform traditional methods in predicting toxic trades.
Solves a game between brokers and informed traders using stochastic differential equations.
problem Optimizing wealth in a game between brokers and informed traders with private signals.
method Closed-form solutions to a mean-field game using forward-backward SDEs.
result Optimal trading strategies for both brokers and informed traders are found.
Model optimizes trading strategy with unobservable toxicity.
problem Maximizing daily trading profit with unobservable toxicity.
method Formulated as a partially observable stochastic control problem, solved in two steps.
result P&L performance gap is negligible (0.01%) in all scenarios.
The causes underlying unfair decision making are complex, being internalised in different ways by decision makers, other actors dealing with data and models, and ultimately by the individuals being affected by these decisions. One frequent manifestation of all these latent causes arises in the form of missing values: p…