arXiv research

RPN 2 improves function learning by modeling data interdependence.

This paper develops a federated approach to learn Granger causality in interdependent industrial clients.

Paper tackles RCA in complex networks with unknown interdependencies.

New measure shows how LSTM models compose hierarchical representations.

We study the problem of learning Granger causality between event types from asynchronous, interdependent, multi-type event sequences. Existing work suffers from either limited model flexibility or poor model explainability and thus fails to uncover Granger causality across a wide variety of event sequences with diverse…

Study the Mexican stock market's interdependency structure from 2000-2019.

Model shows how financial contagion spreads through complex interdependencies.

Federated learning interprets temporal dynamics across clients with graph attention.

Recent results in Reinforcement Learning (RL) have shown that agents with limited training environments are susceptible to a large amount of overfitting across many domains. A key challenge for RL generalization is to quantitatively explain the effects of changing parameters on testing performance. Such parameters incl…

A new random forest algorithm uncovers feature interdependencies better than traditional methods.

To identify emerging interdependencies between traded stocks we investigate the behavior of the stocks of FTSE 100 companies in the period 2000-2015, by looking at daily stock values. Exploiting the power of information theoretical measures to extract direct influences between multiple time series, we compute the infor…

We generalize the scale-free network model of Barabàsi and Albert [Science 286, 509 (1999)] by proposing a class of stochastic models for scale-free interdependent networks in which interdependent nodes are not randomly connected but rather are connected via preferential attachment (PA). Each network grows through the …

In the current era of worldwide stock market interdependencies, the global financial village has become increasingly vulnerable to systemic collapse. The recent global financial crisis has highlighted the necessity of understanding and quantifying interdependencies among the world's economies, developing new effective …

Extends Bayesian theory to handle complex interdependencies in multidimensional event spaces.

Graph Posterior Network improves uncertainty estimation for node classification in interdependent graphs.

New approach protects privacy of deleted records in machine learning.

This paper uses Factored Latent Analysis (FLA) to learn a factorized, segmental representation for observations of tracked objects over time. Factored Latent Analysis is latent class analysis in which the observation space is subdivided and each aspect of the original space is represented by a separate latent class mod…

Federated framework learns causal states to predict counterfactuals without centralizing data.

Study maps interdependence of SDGs, finds complex, dynamic linkages.

We apply the recently developed reduced Google matrix algorithm for the analysis of the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities. This approach allows to determine interdependences and interactions of economy sectors of several countries, including China, Russia and USA, properly taking into account the influence …

In this paper, we propose a new framework to study the generalization property of classifier chains trained over observations associated with multiple and interdependent class labels. The results are based on large deviation inequalities for Lipschitz functions of weakly dependent sequences proposed by Rio in 2000. We …

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies between the components of the sparse signal of interest. A hierarchical Gaussian p…

This paper is concerned with structured machine learning, in a supervised machine learning context. It discusses how to make joint structured learning on interdependent objects of different nature, as well as how to enforce logical con-straints when predicting labels. We explain how this need arose in a Document Unders…

CoI framework models clinical feature interactions, revealing temporal dependencies and enhancing transparency.

New approach for causal inference with interdependent, time-varying latent confounders.

This study maps systemic risks in TradFi and DeFi, highlighting their interdependence.

Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial innovation like CDS could heighten financial instability. After describing the operating principles of credit derivatives i…

We present a new approach to estimating the interdependence of industries in an economy by applying data science solutions. By exploiting interfirm buyer--seller network data, we show that the problem of estimating the interdependence of industries is similar to the problem of uncovering the latent block structure in n…

Let $X_{λ_1},\ldots,X_{λ_n}$ be dependent non-negative random variables and $Y_i=I_{p_i} X_{λ_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1},\ldots,I_{p_n}$ are independent Bernoulli random variables independent of $X_{λ_i}$'s, with ${\rm E}[I_{p_i}]=p_i$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. In actuarial sciences, $Y_i$ corresponds to the claim amo…

This paper proposes a new method to learn combinatorial patterns for airline crew pairing optimization.

Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.

The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover the global emerging organization of the international trade network. Here we an…

Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial system and the interdependence of financial markets, respectively. Two early-warni…

The paper analyzes the crash of stock and commodity markets during COVID-19 using Topological Data Analysis.

Paper proposes C-STM for multimodal neuroimaging data classification.

Following Goussarov's paper `Interdependent Modifications of Links and Invariants of Finite Degree' [Topology 37 (1998) 595--602] we describe an alternative finite type theory of knots. While (as shown by Goussarov) the alternative theory turns out to be equivalent to the standard one, it nevertheless has its own share…

This paper presents a novel decentralized high-dimensional Bayesian optimization (DEC-HBO) algorithm that, in contrast to existing HBO algorithms, can exploit the interdependent effects of various input components on the output of the unknown objective function f for boosting the BO performance and still preserve scala…

Based on the property that solving the system of linear matrix equations via the column space and the row space projections boils down to an approximation in the least squares error sense, a formulation for learning the weight matrices of the multilayer network can be derived. By exploiting into the vast number of feas…

Empirical study finds IT project costs follow a power-law distribution, exposing risk underestimation.

LOBDIF predicts limit order book events using a diffusion model.

Deep learning predicts M&A events in industry networks.

Let $X_{λ_1},\ldots,X_{λ_n}$ be a set of dependent and non-negative random variables share a survival copula and let $Y_i= I_{p_i}X_{λ_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1},\ldots,I_{p_n}$ be independent Bernoulli random variables independent of $X_{λ_i}$'s, with ${\rm E}[I_{p_i}]=p_i$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. In actuarial scie…

Improves parallel deep model performance by restructuring and pruning.

The paper solves portfolio optimization problems with risk constraints.

Paper corrects bias in online learning algorithms with endogenous data.

We present a set of high-probability inequalities that control the concentration of weighted averages of multiple (possibly uncountably many) simultaneously evolving and interdependent martingales. Our results extend the PAC-Bayesian analysis in learning theory from the i.i.d. setting to martingales opening the way for…

CDA framework infers channel influence from aggregated data without user identifiers.

For many structured learning tasks, the data annotation process is complex and costly. Existing annotation schemes usually aim at acquiring completely annotated structures, under the common perception that partial structures are of low quality and could hurt the learning process. This paper questions this common percep…