arXiv research

Paper revises power theory using classical mechanics concepts.

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: $dX_t=a_tdt+σ_tdW_t$, where $X$ denotes the log-price and $σ$ is a càdlàg semi-martingale. In the spirit of a series of recent works on the estimation of the cumulated volatility, we here focus …

Paper revisits five IF paradoxes using differential geometry.

New model for pricing volatility derivatives considering rough volatility and jumps.

We prove uniqueness of instantaneously complete Ricci flows on surfaces. We do not require any bounds of any form on the curvature or its growth at infinity, nor on the metric or its growth (other than that implied by instantaneous completeness). Coupled with earlier work, particularly [23, 11], this completes the well…

We study a robust portfolio optimization problem under model uncertainty for an investor with logarithmic or power utility. The uncertainty is specified by a set of possible Lévy triplets; that is, possible instantaneous drift, volatility and jump characteristics of the price process. We show that an optimal investment…

New framework IDOL identifies latent causal processes with instantaneous relations from time series data.

This paper studies the concept of instantaneous arbitrage in continuous time and its relation to the instantaneous CAPM. Absence of instantaneous arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a trading strategy which satisfies the CAPM beta pricing relation in place of the market. Thus the difference between the arbitrag…

New formula for instantaneous frequency in unbalanced systems.

iCITRIS learns causal variables from interactive systems with instantaneous effects.

Study compares Fourier estimators to mitigate asynchrony effects in finance.

We present an expansion for portfolio optimization in the presence of small, instantaneous, quadratic transaction costs. Specifically, the magnitude of transaction costs has a coefficient that is of the order $ε$ small, which leads to the optimization problem having an asymptotically-singular Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman eq…

The Ricci flow preserves product structures with instantaneous curvature bounds.

Paper introduces REED for noncoherent OTA-FL, reducing latency without phase alignment.

This work demonstrates the potential of deep reinforcement learning techniques for transmit power control in wireless networks. Existing techniques typically find near-optimal power allocations by solving a challenging optimization problem. Most of these algorithms are not scalable to large networks in real-world scena…

This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts around a constant level, with a speed of mean reversion that is affine in the in…

Study cryptocurrency price dynamics using adaptive EMD and spectral analysis.

Modeling continuous movement of entities in latent space for interaction timing.

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a multivariate counting process with stochastic intensities. The interest rate, drift, …

We consider a model of optimal investment and consumption with both habit formation and partial observations in incomplete Itô processes market. The investor chooses his consumption under the addictive habits constraint while only observing the market stock prices but not the instantaneous rate of return. Applying the …

Motivated by the need for accurate frequency information, a novel algorithm for estimating the fundamental frequency and its rate of change in three-phase power systems is developed. This is achieved through two stages of Kalman filtering. In the first stage a quaternion extended Kalman filter, which provides a unified…

Working on different aspects of algorithmic trading we empirically discovered a new market invariant. It links together the volatility of the instrument with its traded volume, the average spread and the volume in the order book. The invariant has been tested on different markets and different asset classes. In all cas…

Collective behaviours taking place in financial markets reveal strongly correlated states especially during a crisis period. A natural hypothesis is that trend reversals are also driven by mutual influences between the different stock exchanges. Using a maximum entropy approach, we find coordinated behaviour during tre…

Study optimal execution in a transient price impact model with multiple traders.

Paper shows geometric frequency and Lagrange derivative equivalence for electric and fluid systems.

Estimates chirp signal frequencies using probabilistic models.

A new principle minimizes residual and introduces momentum to improve PDE solution dynamics.

New model identifies regimes in non-stationary data.

Unified framework for optimal liquidation with small market impact and semimartingale strategies.

In many optimization problems in wireless communications, the expressions of objective function or constraints are hard or even impossible to derive, which makes the solutions difficult to find. In this paper, we propose a model-free learning framework to solve constrained optimization problems without the supervision …

To convert standard Brownian motion $Z$ into a positive process, Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) $e^{βZ_t}, β>0$ is widely used. We generalize this positive process by introducing an asymmetry parameter $α\geq 0$ which describes the instantaneous volatility whenever the process reaches a new low. For our new process, …

The ARCH process (R. F. Engle, 1982) constitutes a paradigmatic generator of stochastic time series with time-dependent variance like it appears on a wide broad of systems besides economics in which ARCH was born. Although the ARCH process captures the so-called "volatility clustering" and the asymptotic power-law prob…

An average instantaneous cross-correlation function is introduced to quantify the interaction of the financial market of a specific time. Based on the daily data of the American and Chinese stock markets, memory effect of the average instantaneous cross-correlations is investigated over different price return time inte…

We explore the effect of past market movements on the instantaneous correlations between assets within the futures market. Quantifying this effect is of interest to estimate and manage the risk associated to portfolios of futures in a non-stationary context. We apply and extend a previously reported method called the P…

The informational context is regularly questioned in a transitional economic regime like the one implemented in China or Vietnam. This article investigates this issue and the predictive power of fundamental analysis in such context and more precisely in a Chinese context with an analysis of 3 different industries (medi…

We develop a theory for valuing non-diversifiable mortality risk in an incomplete market. We do this by assuming that the company issuing a mortality-contingent claim requires compensation for this risk in the form of a pre-specified instantaneous Sharpe ratio. We apply our method to value life annuities. One result of…

We use a continuous version of the standard deviation premium principle for pricing in incomplete equity markets by assuming that the investor issuing an unhedgeable derivative security requires compensation for this risk in the form of a pre-specified instantaneous Sharpe ratio. First, we apply our method to price opt…

HHT feature generation enhances financial time series forecasting.

We study the Yamabe flow on a Riemannian manifold of dimension $m\geq3$ minus a closed submanifold of dimension $n$ and prove that there exists an instantaneously complete solution if and only if $n>\frac{m-2}{2}$. In the remaining cases $0\leq n\leq\frac{m-2}{2}$ including the borderline case, we show that the removab…

Study shows gaps in Bitcoin order book are linked to returns but only in the short term.

This paper introduces a new metric, ULI, for RL that ensures both cumulative and instantaneous performance.

There are two major streams of literature on the modeling of financial bubbles: the strict local martingale framework and the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) financial bubble model. Based on a class of models that embeds the JLS model and can exhibit strict local martingale behavior, we clarify the connection between th…

Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual time series, whereas traditional methods like Granger causality exploit the var…

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary non-Gaussian process which captures many features observed in time series of real stock r…

We develop a theory for pricing non-diversifiable mortality risk in an incomplete market. We do this by assuming that the company issuing a mortality-contingent claim requires compensation for this risk in the form of a pre-specified instantaneous Sharpe ratio. We prove that our ensuing valuation formula satisfies a nu…

Study optimal liquidation strategies on Uniswap v2/v3 considering price impact.

State-augmented algorithm optimizes wireless network resource management.

In this paper we propose and solve an optimal dividend problem with capital injections over a finite time horizon. The surplus dynamics obeys a linearly controlled drifted Brownian motion that is reflected at the origin, dividends give rise to time-dependent instantaneous marginal profits, whereas capital injections ar…