arXiv research

Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the sense that the ``constant pricing rule " actually assumes an adaptive expected price…

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model in the style of Kyle (1985)'s inside trading model, by assuming that there are at least two insiders in the market with long-lived private information, under the requirement that each insider publicly discloses his stock trades after the fact. Based on this model, …

Insider trading is reduced when penalized, affecting expected penalties in a non-monotone way.

Study risk-averse insider's behavior in dynamic signal asset pricing.

Network analysis detects insider trading by flagging coordinated trades.

Researchers tackle insider trading in incomplete markets using a discrete-time jump process approach.

New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.

This paper studies the Glosten Milgrom model whose risky asset value admits an arbitrary discrete distribution. Contrast to existing results on insider's models, the insider's optimal strategy in this model, if exists, is not of feedback type. Therefore a weak formulation of equilibrium is proposed. In this weak formul…

Insiders camouflage trading to balance wealth and stealth, avoiding legal penalties.

We study the gain of an insider having private information which concerns the default risk of a counterparty. More precisely, the default time τis modelled as the first time a stochastic process hits a random barrier L. The insider knows this barrier (as it can be the case for example for the manager of the counterpart…

We study super--replication of European contingent claims in an illiquid market with insider information. Illiquidity is captured by quadratic transaction costs and insider information is modeled by an investor who can peek into the future. Our main result describes the scaling limit of the super--replication prices wh…

A model for insider trading with past price dependencies.

Continuous-time model shows insider trading constraints impact market dynamics.

Study shows Skorokhod insider outperforms forward insider in logarithmic utility maximization.

In this paper, the Kyle model of insider trading is extended by characterizing the trading volume with long memory and allowing the noise trading volatility to follow a general stochastic process. Under this newly revised model, the equilibrium conditions are determined, with which the optimal insider trading strategy,…

Study uses random forest to detect unlawful insider trading in financial data.

We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio $π(t)$ in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process $X(t)=X^π(t)$ modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=π(t)X(t)[α(t)dt+β(t)dB(t)]; \quad t\in[0, T] X(0)&=x_0>0, \end{cases} \end{align} where $B(\cdot)$ is a Brownian motion. We assum…

Analysis of an organization's computer network activity is a key component of early detection and mitigation of insider threat, a growing concern for many organizations. Raw system logs are a prototypical example of streaming data that can quickly scale beyond the cognitive power of a human analyst. As a prospective fi…

In a unified framework we study equilibrium in the presence of an insider having information on the signal of the firm value, which is naturally connected to the fundamental price of the firm related asset. The fundamental value itself is announced at a future random (stopping) time. We consider two cases. First when t…

Insider trading is one of the numerous white collar crimes that can contribute to the instability of the economy. Traditionally, the detection of illegal insider trades has been a human-driven process. In this paper, we collect the insider tradings made available by the US Securities and Exchange Commissions (SEC) thro…

In this paper, we consider the pricing and hedging of a financial derivative for an insider trader, in a model-independent setting. In particular, we suppose that the insider wants to act in a way which is independent of any modelling assumptions, but that she observes market information in the form of the prices of va…

Honest traders can outperform insiders in a Black-Scholes market with positive probability.

Study examines insider trading in short-selling restricted markets.

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…

Before a person can be prosecuted and convicted for insider trading, he must first execute the overt act of trading. If no sale of security is consummated, no crime is also consummated. However, through a complex and insidious combination of various financial instruments, one can capture the same amount of gains from i…

Paper presents a new approach to a strategic insider equilibrium problem in continuous time.

We study arbitrage opportunities, market viability and utility maximization in market models with an insider. Assuming that an economic agent possesses from the beginning an additional information in the form of a random variable G, which only becomes known to the ordinary agents at date T, we give criteria for the No …

The folk result in Kyle-Back models states that the value function of the insider remains unchanged when her admissible strategies are restricted to absolutely continuous ones. In this paper we show that, for a large class of pricing rules used in current literature, the value function of the insider can be finite when…

Study proves existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple insiders.

XGBoost detects unlawful insider trading with high accuracy.

ADSAGE detects anomalies in graph edge sequences for insider threat detection.

Consider a mean curvature flow of hypersurfaces in Euclidean space, that is initially graphical inside a cylinder. There exists a period of time during which the flow is graphical inside the cylinder of half the radius. Here we prove a lower bound on this period depending on the Lipschitz-constant of the initial graphi…

On a flat plane, convexity of a set is preserved by both radial expansion and contraction of the set about any point inside it. Using the Poincaré disk model of hyperbolic geometry, we prove that radial expansion of a hyperbolic convex set about a point inside it always preserves hyperbolic convexity. Using stereograph…

Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.

Within the well-known framework of financial portfolio optimization, we analyze the existing relationships between the condition of arbitrage and the utility maximization in presence of \emph{insider information}. We assume that, since the initial time, the information flow is altered by adding the knowledge of an addi…

Given a Markovian Brownian martingale $Z$, we build a process $X$ which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies $X_1 = Z_1$. We call $X$ a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value $Z_1$ is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ an…

We study a multiply warped products manifold associated with the Reissner-Nordstrom metric to investigate the physical properties inside the black hole event horizons. It is shown that, different from the uncharged Schwarzschild metric, the Ricci curvature components inside the Reissner-Nordstrom black hole horizons ar…

Study identifies roots of hyperelliptic involutions and braid groups in mapping class groups.

Illegal insider trading of stocks is based on releasing non-public information (e.g., new product launch, quarterly financial report, acquisition or merger plan) before the information is made public. Detecting illegal insider trading is difficult due to the complex, nonlinear, and non-stationary nature of the stock ma…

Study detects unlawful insider trading using SHAP and CF, identifying key features.

The background for the general mathematical link between utility and information theory investigated in this paper is a simple financial market model with two kinds of small traders: less informed traders and insiders, whose extra information is represented by an enlargement of the other agents' filtration. The expecte…

We construct an algebraic version of Lagrangian Floer homology for immersed curves inside the pillowcase. We first associate to the pillowcase an algebra A. Then to an immersed curve L inside the pillowcase we associate an A infinity module M(L) over A. Then we prove that Lagrangian Floer homology HF(L,L') is isomorphi…

Generalizes insider trading model to multiple assets.

Study on Kyle-Back model with risk aversion and non-Gaussian beliefs.

Method detects insider trading using trading data and dimensionality reduction.

Extends Kyle model to multiple traders with different time-preference coefficients.

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

Model shows phase transitions in asset pricing with market maker incentives.