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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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371013 · Jul 202019922001200920172026
48 results for input-output blending

Neural GDEs improve graph prediction by blending discrete structures and differential equations.

problem Dynamic graph prediction challenges in irregularly sampled data.
method Continuous-depth graph neural networks (GNNs) with Neural GDEs.
result Neural GDEs enhance performance across various applications.

We introduce the framework of continuous--depth graph neural networks (GNNs). Graph neural ordinary differential equations (GDEs) are formalized as the counterpart to GNNs where the input-output relationship is determined by a continuum of GNN layers, blending discrete topological structures and differential equations.…

2019-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New model improves volatility forecasting by reducing overestimation and underestimation.

problem SVR-GARCH model overestimates or underestimates volatility, hindering peak or trough behaviors.
method Proposes blending ARCH and augmented blending-ARCH models to improve volatility forecasting.
result Empirical results show improved volatility forecasting ability.

Study shows ethanol blends and incentives can significantly reduce transportation carbon emissions.

problem Rapid growth in electric vehicles requires complementary strategies to decarbonize transportation.
method Analysis of ethanol blending, regulatory incentives, and economic assessments.
result Ethanol blending, especially E15 and E85, can substantially reduce carbon emissions and provide economic benefits.

BayesBlend blends multiple models' predictions for better insurance loss predictions.

problem Improving insurance loss predictions by combining multiple models.
method Pseudo-Bayesian model averaging, stacking, and hierarchical stacking.
result BayesBlend provides a user-friendly way to blend model predictions and estimate weights.

This paper improves level generation using VAEs for coherent, logically following segments.

problem Generating coherent levels of non-fixed length and blending levels from different games.
method Sequential segment-based level generation using VAEs with a classifier for logical placement.
result Generated levels are more coherent and capable of blending levels from different games.

The paper proposes blending gradient boosted trees and neural networks for hierarchical time series forecasting.

problem Point and probabilistic forecasting of hierarchical time series.
method A blending methodology of gradient boosted trees and neural networks, with feature engineering and diverse model selection.
result Ranked within the gold medal range in both Accuracy and Uncertainty tracks of the M5 Competition.

New PCGML approach generates novel game content across multiple platformer domains.

problem Generating novel game content in new domains.
method Using a new affordance and path vocabulary, variational autoencoders trained on data from six platformer games produce new content with varying proportions of different domains.
result Captures latent level space spanning multiple domains and generates new content with varying proportions of different domains.

Economic systems, traditionally analyzed as almost independent national systems, are increasingly connected on a global scale. Only recently becoming available, the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) is one of the first efforts to construct the multi-regional input-output (MRIO) tables at the global level. By viewing t…

2014-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper presents a framework for optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.

problem Optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.
method The approach involves evaluating diverse pairings of generative model forecasts and objective functions, using simulations and blending strategies.
result Eclectic blended portfolios outperform individual generative model-based portfolios.

Unitary recurrent neural networks (URNNs) have been proposed as a method to overcome the vanishing and exploding gradient problem in modeling data with long-term dependencies. A basic question is how restrictive is the unitary constraint on the possible input-output mappings of such a network? This work shows that for …

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel approach for augmenting histopathological images by blending Gaussian-Laplacian pyramids.

problem Data imbalance and inter-patient variability in histopathological images.
method Image blending using Gaussian-Laplacian pyramids to distribute inter-patient variability.
result Promising gains in performance compared to existing data augmentation techniques.

CoCoAFusE fuses expert predictions to model complex patterns with interpretability and uncertainty.

problem Modeling complex patterns with interpretability and uncertainty quantification.
method Competitive/Collaborative Fusion of Experts (CoCoAFusE) that fuses expert distributions in addition to mixing.
result CoCoAFusE avoids multimodality artifacts and provides tighter credible bounds on the response variable.

Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.

problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.

PIML model improves hydrological predictions by blending physics and ML.

problem Hydrological models either lack predictive accuracy or fail to maintain physical consistency.
method Physics Informed Machine Learning (PIML) that integrates physics-based models and ML algorithms.
result PIML model outperforms both physics-based and ML models in predicting streamflow and evapotranspiration.

OPERA blends multiple OPE estimators to evaluate new policies offline.

problem Lack of reliable offline policy evaluation methods for new policies.
method Adaptive blending of multiple OPE estimators without explicit selection.
result Consistent and reliable policy evaluation framework for offline RL.

Matching pursuit algorithms are an important class of algorithms in signal processing and machine learning. We present a blended matching pursuit algorithm, combining coordinate descent-like steps with stronger gradient descent steps, for minimizing a smooth convex function over a linear space spanned by a set of atoms…

2019-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.

Improved prediction of polymer morphology through machine learning and simulations.

problem Understanding and predicting the morphology of multi-component polymer blends.
method Modified Cahn-Hilliard model for simulations, machine learning for clustering and prediction.
result Machine learning achieved \geq 90% accuracy in predicting polymer morphology.

We introduce a new framework for training deep generative models for high-dimensional conditional density estimation. The Bottleneck Conditional Density Estimator (BCDE) is a variant of the conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) that employs layer(s) of stochastic variables as the bottleneck between the input xx a…

2016-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Method combines clustering and matrix completion for missing data in I/O tables.

problem Reconstructing missing entries in World Input-Output (I/O) matrices due to data collection issues.
method Hierarchical clustering and Matrix Completion with LASSO-like nuclear norm penalty.
result The method effectively predicts missing values from previous and similar countries' data.

In this paper we explore techniques for generating new music using a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) neural network that was trained on a corpus of specific style. Instead of randomly sampling the latent states of the network to produce free improvisation, we generate new music by querying the network with musical input …

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Blend-ASC improves self-consistency efficiency by dynamically allocating samples, reducing costs.

problem Efficiently applying self-consistency to large datasets is computationally expensive.
method Blend-ASC dynamically allocates samples during inference, improving efficiency.
result Blend-ASC reduces sample usage by 6.8x on average compared to vanilla self-consistency.

New method ranks sectors and countries using local and aggregate I-O data.

problem Ranking sectors and countries in global value chains using incomplete I-O tables.
method Rank-11 approximation to I-O tables using local and aggregate information.
result Consistently good performance in reconstructing rankings of upstreamness and downstreamness.

BiPE blends intra-segment and inter-segment encodings for better length extrapolation.

problem Improving length extrapolation in language models.
method Bilevel Positional Encoding (BiPE) that separates intra-segment and inter-segment encodings.
result BiPE enhances length extrapolation across various text modalities.

New algorithm completes nonnegative tensors with fewer samples and faster convergence.

problem Tensor completion tension between sample complexity and computational complexity.
method Integer programming and Blended Conditional Gradients algorithm.
result Achieves information-theoretic sample complexity rate with practical convergence.

We consider the problem of learning a realization for a linear time-invariant (LTI) dynamical system from input/output data. Given a single input/output trajectory, we provide finite time analysis for learning the system's Markov parameters, from which a balanced realization is obtained using the classical Ho-Kalman al…

2018-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-to-Tree Neural Networks improve structured input-output translation in tasks like semantic parsing and math word problems.

problem Improving performance on tasks like semantic parsing and math word problem solving.
method Graph-to-Tree Neural Networks, consisting of a graph encoder and a hierarchical tree decoder.
result Graph2Tree model outperforms or matches state-of-the-art models on neural semantic parsing and math word problem tasks.

Mack-Net model combines Mack's model with RNNs for better insurance liability estimation.

problem Accurate estimation of insurance liabilities for better financial decision-making.
method Integrates Mack's reserving model with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs).
result Improves accuracy of general insurance liability assessment.

Machine learning in context of physical systems merits a re-examination of the learning strategy. In addition to data, one can leverage a vast library of physical prior models (e.g. kinematics, fluid flow, etc) to perform more robust inference. The nascent sub-field of \emph{physics-based learning} (PBL) studies the bl…

2019-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sampling efficiency for inverse problems using variance-reduced diffusion methods.

problem Efficiently estimating noisy scores in inverse problems.
method Developed a nonparametric self-normalized importance sampling estimator and a state-dependent blending rule.
result Improved sample quality for fixed simulation budgets in synthetic targets and PDE-governed inverse problems.

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested ifthenelseif-then-else questions, the testing nodes, leading to a set of predictions, th…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the learning of algorithmic tasks by mere observation of input-output pairs. Rather than studying this as a black-box discrete regression problem with no assumption whatsoever on the input-output mapping, we concentrate on tasks that are amenable to the principle of divide and conquer, and study what are it…

2016-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗