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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for innovation estimation

Develops inequalities for high-dimensional linear processes with dependent innovations.

problem Estimating high-dimensional VAR(p) systems and HAC covariance estimation.
method Concentration inequalities for ll_\infty norm of vector linear processes with sub-Weibull, mixingale innovations.
result Obtained concentration bounds for the maximum entrywise norm of lag-hh autocovariance matrices.

New framework IIA identifies innovations in general nonlinear vector autoregressive processes.

problem Limited generality of NVAR models due to additive innovation assumption.
method Independent Innovation Analysis (IIA) framework, assuming mutual independence and modulation by an auxiliary variable.
result Guarantees identifiability of innovations with arbitrary nonlinearities, up to permutation and component-wise invertible nonlinearities.

Study LASSO for high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.

problem Understanding sparse regularization in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.
method LASSO estimation for weakly sparse VAR models with heavy tailed innovations, under L1L^1 mixingale condition.
result Oracle properties of LASSO estimation in high-dimensional VAR models with weakly dependent innovations.

The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows for the innovations to be contemporaneously correlated. We overcome the lack of …

2016-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a novel theoretical framework for Return On Investment (ROI) maximization in repeated decision-making. Our setting is motivated by the use case of companies that regularly receive proposals for technological innovations and want to quickly decide whether they are worth implementing. We design an algorithm …

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides an algorithm for the risk estimation when a company selects an outsourcing service provider for innovation product. Calculations are based on expert surveys conducted among customers and among providers of outsourcing. The surveys assessed the degree of materiality of species at risk.

2016-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines the time series properties of cryptocurrency assets, such as Bitcoin, using established econometric inference techniques, namely models of the GARCH family. The contribution of this study is twofold. I explore the time series properties of cryptocurrencies, a new type of financial asset on which the…

2018-04-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models predict which ideas will be innovated based on subjective perspectives.

problem Predicting high-impact innovation based on subjective perspectives and interpersonal innovation opportunities.
method Quantifying subjective perspectives and their interaction based on innovator positions within a geometric space of concepts.
result Subjective perspectives predict which ideas individuals and groups will creatively attend to and successfully combine in the future.

The paper tackles transfer learning for growing matrix representations, improving estimation accuracy.

problem Structured matrix estimation under growing ambient dimensions and latent representations.
method Proposes a general transfer framework decomposing target parameters into embedded source components, low-rank innovations, and sparse edits. Develops an anchored alternating projection estimator.
result Establishes deterministic error bounds that separate target noise, representation growth, and source estimation error, yielding improved rates.

Innovation is among the key factors driving a country's economic and social growth. But what are the factors that make a country innovative? How do they differ across different parts of the world and different stages of development? In this work done in collaboration with the World Economic Forum (WEF), we analyze the …

2016-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Nanotechnology is the first major worldwide research initiative of the 21st century and probably is the solution vector in the economic environment. Also, innovation is widely recognized as a key factor in the economic development of nations, and is essential for the competitiveness of the industrial firms as well. Pol…

2013-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Existence of convex body with prescribed generalized curvature measures is discussed, this result is obtained by making use of Guan-Li-Li's innovative techniques. In surprise, that methods has also brought us to promote Ivochkina's C2C^2 estimates for prescribed curvature equation in \cite{I1, I}.

2011-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a network of interacting agents and we model the process of choice on the adoption of a given innovative product by means of statistical-mechanics tools. The modelization allows us to focus on the effects of direct interactions among agents in establishing the success or failure of the product itself. Mimic…

2014-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores how innovative financing solutions boost Moroccan businesses' performance.

problem Market volatility, ecological transitions, and technological change pose challenges to business sustainability.
method Examines innovative financing solutions like venture capital, green finance, crowdfunding, and blockchain.
result Embracing innovative financial strategies can transform business challenges into opportunities.

A centered innovation MA is equivalent to a digamma-link DARMA for bank-asset shares.

problem Predicting bank-asset shares using Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA models.
method Replacing raw additive log-ratio residuals with centered innovations in B--DARMA.
result Centered specification and digamma-link DARMA are predictively equivalent under specified conditions.

Innovation is to organizations what evolution is to organisms: it is how organisations adapt to changes in the environment and improve. Governments, institutions and firms that innovate are more likely to prosper and stand the test of time; those that fail to do so fall behind their competitors and succumb to market an…

2016-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Being one of the most important factors of economic growth of the country, innovations became one of the key vectors in Russian economic policy. In this field technology parks are one of the most effective instruments which can provide growth of innovative activity in sectors, regions and economies. In this paper, we m…

2014-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.

problem Understanding the dynamics of drug pipelines in global pharmaceutical industry.
method Multilayer network analysis of drug pipeline, global supply chain, and ownership data.
result Proven similarities in knowledge flows between pharmaceutical and AI industries.

Prior work finds a diversity paradox: diversity breeds innovation, and yet, underrepresented groups that diversify organizations have less successful careers within them. Does the diversity paradox hold for scientists as well? We study this by utilizing a near-population of ~1.2 million US doctoral recipients from 1977…

2019-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New complete panel dataset for LMICs helps analyze innovation and development.

problem Lack of complete data for empirical analyses in LMICs.
method Predictive Mean Matching multiple imputation technique.
result Created a large dataset of 47 variables for 82 LMICs from 2005-2019.

Modeling spatial extremes with non-Gaussian fields using SAR models and CNNs.

problem Challenges in modeling spatial data with heavy-tailed distributions and missing cells.
method Spatial autoregressive models with Generalized Extreme Value innovations, combined with CNN for fast parameter estimation.
result Effective modeling of spatial extremes in non-Gaussian fields, demonstrated on precipitation data.

Proposes CE-BASS for robust Kalman filtering with innovative and additive outliers.

problem Robustness to both innovative and additive outliers in Kalman filtering.
method Particle mixture Kalman filter with re-sampling of past states.
result CE-BASS efficiently handles multi-modality and trend changes in hidden state distributions.

Research shows eco-innovation boosts earnings management, especially in constrained firms.

problem The impact of eco-innovation on earnings management in firms with financial constraints.
method Multi-method approach including entropy balancing, PSM, and Heckman Test correction.
result Eco-innovation positively correlates with earnings management, especially in firms facing financial constraints.

We consider the problem of stochastic comparison of general Garch-like processes, for different parameters and different distributions of the innovations. We identify several stochastic orders that are propagated from the innovations to the Garch process itself, and discuss their interpretations. We focus on the convex…

2012-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a statistical model for pairs of traded assets, based on a Cointegrated Vector Auto Regression (CVAR) Model. We extend standard CVAR models to incorporate estimation of model parameters in the presence of price series level shifts which are not accurately modeled in the standard Gaussian error correction mo…

2010-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗