A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We study the information-theoretic lower bound of the sample complexity of the correct recovery of diffusion network structures. We introduce a discrete-time diffusion model based on the Independent Cascade model for which we obtain a lower bound of order Ω(klogp), for directed graphs of p nodes, and at most k…
The paper develops a theory for identifying the best arm in non-parametric multi-armed bandits with a fixed budget.
problem Identifying the best arm in non-parametric multi-armed bandits with a limited number of trials.
method The paper proposes upper and lower bounds on the average log-probability of misidentification using information-theoretic quantities and a refined analysis of the successive-rejects strategy.
result The paper provides new upper and lower bounds on the average log-probability of misidentification, which generalize existing bounds.
Gaussian processes struggle with compositional functions, but deep Gaussian processes can outperform.
problem Gaussian process regression struggles with compositional functions.
method We study information-theoretic lower bounds for posterior contraction rates in Gaussian process regression for a continuous regression model.
result Posterior based on any mean-zero Gaussian process can only recover the truth at a rate strictly slower than the minimax rate for generalized additive functions.
We consider the problem of learning a dictionary matrix from a number of observed signals, which are assumed to be generated via a linear model with a common underlying dictionary. In particular, we derive lower bounds on the minimum achievable worst case mean squared error (MSE), regardless of computational complexity…
Feature selection is one of the most fundamental problems in machine learning. An extensive body of work on information-theoretic feature selection exists which is based on maximizing mutual information between subsets of features and class labels. Practical methods are forced to rely on approximations due to the diffi…
We analyze the necessary number of samples for sparse vector recovery in a noisy linear prediction setup. This model includes problems such as linear regression and classification. We focus on structured graph models. In particular, we prove that sufficient number of samples for the weighted graph model proposed by Heg…
Advances in unsupervised learning enable reconstruction and generation of samples from complex distributions, but this success is marred by the inscrutability of the representations learned. We propose an information-theoretic approach to characterizing disentanglement and dependence in representation learning using mu…
In statistical inference problems, we wish to obtain lower bounds on the minimax risk, that is to bound the performance of any possible estimator. A standard technique to obtain risk lower bounds involves the use of Fano's inequality. In an information-theoretic setting, it is known that Fano's inequality typically doe…
In classic papers, Zellner demonstrated that Bayesian inference could be derived as the solution to an information theoretic functional. Below we derive a generalized form of this functional as a variational lower bound of a predictive information bottleneck objective. This generalized functional encompasses most moder…
We consider in this paper the problem of noisy 1-bit matrix completion under a general non-uniform sampling distribution using the max-norm as a convex relaxation for the rank. A max-norm constrained maximum likelihood estimate is introduced and studied. The rate of convergence for the estimate is obtained. Information…
We consider the problem of dictionary learning under the assumption that the observed signals can be represented as sparse linear combinations of the columns of a single large dictionary matrix. In particular, we analyze the minimax risk of the dictionary learning problem which governs the mean squared error (MSE) perf…
Despite great popularity of applying softmax to map the non-normalised outputs of a neural network to a probability distribution over predicting classes, this normalised exponential transformation still seems to be artificial. A theoretic framework that incorporates softmax as an intrinsic component is still lacking. I…
Consider the problem of learning the drift coefficient of a stochastic differential equation from a sample path. In this paper, we assume that the drift is parametrized by a high dimensional vector. We address the question of how long the system needs to be observed in order to learn this vector of parameters. We prove…
The paper explores high-dimensional learning in finance, proving key aspects and setting lower bounds.
problem Understanding when and how large, over-parameterized models achieve predictive success in finance.
method Theoretical foundations and empirical validation of two key aspects: standardization and information-theoretic lower bounds.
result Empirical validation shows that high-dimensional learning in finance often relies on lower-complexity artefacts rather than the intended mechanism.
We consider the mixed regression problem with two components, under adversarial and stochastic noise. We give a convex optimization formulation that provably recovers the true solution, and provide upper bounds on the recovery errors for both arbitrary noise and stochastic noise settings. We also give matching minimax …
We characterize the communication complexity of the following distributed estimation problem. Alice and Bob observe infinitely many iid copies of ρ-correlated unit-variance (Gaussian or ±1 binary) random variables, with unknown ρ∈[−1,1]. By interactively exchanging k bits, Bob wants to produce an estimate $…
Relative to the large literature on upper bounds on complexity of convex optimization, lesser attention has been paid to the fundamental hardness of these problems. Given the extensive use of convex optimization in machine learning and statistics, gaining an understanding of these complexity-theoretic issues is importa…
We study the linear contextual bandit problem with finite action sets. When the problem dimension is d, the time horizon is T, and there are n≤2d/2 candidate actions per time period, we (1) show that the minimax expected regret is Ω(dT(logT)(logn)) for every algorithm, and (2) introduce a V…