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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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5099149198 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for influence kernels

Estimates spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using tensor recovery.

problem Estimating influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes.
method Formulates influence function as a tensor kernel, assumes low-rank structure, solves as convex optimization problem.
result Provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates efficiency with simulations.

Advances in deep learning for spatio-temporal event modeling.

problem Limitations of traditional parametric models in capturing nonstationary dynamics.
method Integration of deep neural architectures to model conditional intensity function and influence kernels.
result Deep influence kernel approach enhances expressiveness and statistical explainability.

Paper introduces AIF to analyze robust optimization effects.

problem Quantifying robust optimization's impact on model optimizers and losses.
method Inspired by robust statistics, AIF is introduced to measure model sensitivity.
result AIF reveals how model complexity and randomized smoothing affect model sensitivity.

Paper presents a new way to estimate model changes without full model evaluation.

problem Efficiently estimating changes in model parameters and outputs due to data point removal.
method Dual representation of influence functions for linearizable models, reducing computational complexity.
result The dual representation can be an efficient alternative to original influence functions, especially for large models.

We introduce kernel nonparametric tests for Lancaster three-variable interaction and for total independence, using embeddings of signed measures into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. The resulting test statistics are straightforward to compute, and are used in powerful interaction tests, which are consistent against…

2013-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a deep non-stationary kernel for non-stationary spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Capturing non-stationary dependencies in point process data.
method Approximates the influence kernel with a novel low-rank decomposition and introduces a log-barrier penalty to maintain non-negativity.
result Demonstrates superior performance and computational efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Efficient estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.

problem Estimating smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.
method Pathwise differentiable Hilbert-valued parameters, efficient influence functions, regularized one-step estimators.
result Theoretical guarantees for efficient estimators even when nuisance functions are arbitrary.

ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.

problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.

Paper introduces a neural network-based non-stationary influence kernel for complex event data.

problem Modeling complex, non-stationary, and dependent discrete event data.
method Neural Spectral Marked Point Processes (NSMPP) with a versatile non-stationary influence kernel.
result NSMPP outperforms state-of-the-art models on synthetic and real data.

Calibrates Hawkes models for market events, revealing power-law feedback kernels.

problem Estimating the influence of past events and price changes on future market events.
method Proposes a calibration procedure for Quadratic Hawkes models, analyzing the kernel components.
result Empirically calibrated kernel components reveal power-law behavior, suggesting system near critical point.

Identifying significant subsets of the genes, gene shaving is an essential and challenging issue for biomedical research for a huge number of genes and the complex nature of biological networks,. Since positive definite kernel based methods on genomic information can improve the prediction of diseases, in this paper we…

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.

problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.

Linearized attention fails to converge to NTK limit even at large widths.

problem Understanding the convergence of attention mechanisms to the kernel regime.
method Analyzes linearized attention and its relationship to the NTK limit, considering practical widths and conditions.
result Linearized attention does not converge to its NTK limit at any practical width, revealing a fundamental trade-off.

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.

We propose a method for nonparametric density estimation that exhibits robustness to contamination of the training sample. This method achieves robustness by combining a traditional kernel density estimator (KDE) with ideas from classical MM-estimation. We interpret the KDE based on a radial, positive semi-definite ke…

2011-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper reviews the checkered history of predictive distributions in statistics and discusses two developments, one from recent literature and the other new. The first development is bringing predictive distributions into machine learning, whose early development was so deeply influenced by two remarkable groups at …

2017-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Kernels are powerful and versatile tools in machine learning and statistics. Although the notion of universal kernels and characteristic kernels has been studied, kernel selection still greatly influences the empirical performance. While learning the kernel in a data driven way has been investigated, in this paper we e…

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularized empirical risk minimization using kernels and their corresponding reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) plays an important role in machine learning. However, the actually used kernel often depends on one or on a few hyperparameters or the kernel is even data dependent in a much more complicated manner. …

2017-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze double descent in finite-width neural networks using influence functions.

problem Understanding double descent in finite-width neural networks.
method Using influence functions to derive population loss bounds and investigate loss function effects.
result Derived bounds exhibit double descent behavior at the interpolation threshold.

New findings show a balance between data fit and complexity in kernel hyperparameters.

problem Overcorrelation due to reparametrization of kernel hyperparameters.
method Reparametrization of kernel hyperparameters and analysis of marginal likelihood.
result Data fit term influences all other kernel hyperparameters, not just the complexity penalty.

We consider online learning for minimizing regret in unknown, episodic Markov decision processes (MDPs) with continuous states and actions. We develop variants of the UCRL and posterior sampling algorithms that employ nonparametric Gaussian process priors to generalize across the state and action spaces. When the trans…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

DKLM learns adaptive kernels for robust nonlinear subspace clustering.

problem Nonlinear structures in data and challenges with kernel-based clustering.
method Data-driven kernel learning with adaptive weighting and optimal block-diagonal affinity matrix.
result DKLM enhances robustness and preserves manifold structure in nonlinear space.

Paper establishes a generalization bound for gradient flow using a data-dependent kernel.

problem Understanding the generalization properties of gradient-based optimization methods.
method Establishes a generalization bound for gradient flow through a data-dependent kernel called the loss path kernel (LPK).
result The LPK captures the entire training trajectory and leads to tighter generalization guarantees.

The study explains how neural networks align their kernels to target functions during training.

problem Understanding how neural networks align their kernels to target functions during training.
method Theoretical analysis of kernel evolution in toy models and deep networks.
result Kernel alignment naturally emerges during training to accelerate convergence and improve generalization.

The paper establishes a central limit theorem for estimating the influence parameter in a partially observed Hawkes process system.

problem Estimating the influence parameter in a partially observed Hawkes process system.
method Central limit theorem applied to an estimator of the influence parameter in a partially observed system of Hawkes processes.
result Establishes a central limit theorem for the estimator of the influence parameter under the subcritical condition.

Since their emergence in the 1990's, the support vector machine and the AdaBoost algorithm have spawned a wave of research in statistical machine learning. Much of this new research falls into one of two broad categories: kernel methods and ensemble methods. In this expository article, I discuss the main ideas behind t…

2007-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

RFFNet scales kernel methods to large datasets by learning kernel relevance.

problem Scaling kernel methods to large datasets while maintaining interpretability.
method Designs random Fourier features for ARD kernels and uses first-order stochastic optimization for learning kernel relevances.
result RFFNet achieves low prediction error and identifies relevant features, leading to more interpretable solutions.

Large learning rates improve kernel method performance.

problem Improving generalization in kernel methods with large learning rates.
method Analyzing the spectral decomposition of the solution to a quadratic objective in a separable Hilbert space.
result Large learning rates influence the spectral decomposition of the solution, leading to better generalization.

The paper analyzes how Gaussian kernel parameters affect posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.

problem Understanding the influence of Gaussian kernel parameters on posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
method Geometric analysis and a posteriori error estimation techniques from adaptive finite element methods.
result The bandwidth parameter and spatial distribution of observations significantly influence posterior covariance and its matrix.

Selecting diverse and important items, called landmarks, from a large set is a problem of interest in machine learning. As a specific example, in order to deal with large training sets, kernel methods often rely on low rank matrix Nyström approximations based on the selection or sampling of landmarks. In this context, …

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗