Complete criterion for VoI in multi-decision influence diagrams established.
problem Analyzing safety and fairness properties of AI systems using influence diagrams.
method Introduced ID homomorphisms and Tree of Systems to prove properties of multi-decision influence diagrams.
result First complete graphical criterion for VoI in influence diagrams with multiple decisions.
Dynamic Influence Tracker measures changing sample importance during model training.
problem Static influence measurements during training overlook how sample importance varies over time.
method Dynamic Influence Tracker (DIT) captures time-varying sample influence across arbitrary time windows.
result DIT reveals distinct learning phases with shifting priorities and detects corrupted samples more efficiently.
Latent factor models (LFMs) such as matrix factorization achieve the state-of-the-art performance among various Collaborative Filtering (CF) approaches for recommendation. Despite the high recommendation accuracy of LFMs, a critical issue to be resolved is the lack of explainability. Extensive efforts have been made in…
New framework for online influencer selection considering cost constraints.
problem Real-world social advertising budget limitations and cost variability of influencers.
method Introduces a budgeted framework for online influence maximization using an algorithm with semi-bandit feedback.
result Improves the state of the art regret bound for cardinality constraint setting.
Study explores factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.
problem Factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.
method Quantitative approach with cross-sectional survey design, structured questionnaire, descriptive statistics, reliability analysis, regression analysis.
result Only financial management practices had a significant positive relationship with saving behavior.
MISS identifies influential subsets in ML models.
problem Capturing collective influence of training samples.
method Analyzed and compared influence-based greedy heuristics and adaptive versions.
result Adaptive heuristics can better capture sample interactions.
In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the uncertainty of the prediction into account and, therefore, to devise optimal decisions, e…
This study prioritizes temporal resolution over spatial in energy systems models due to higher influence.
problem The impact of spatial and temporal resolution on energy system models.
method Global sensitivity analysis to compare structural aspects, spatial, and temporal resolution.
result Temporal resolution has a higher influence on all results parameters compared to spatial resolution.
Study analyzes Echo State Network parameters for Rossler attractor dynamics.
problem Understanding the influence of network type on Echo State Network performance.
method Experimental analysis of Echo State Network parameters using Rossler attractor.
result Exploration of how network type affects Echo State Network performance.
The paper analyzes methods to identify influential data points in deep models.
problem Interpreting deep learning models and debugging datasets.
method Curated experiments to analyze influence of data points on classifiers.
result Training loss-based sample selection outperformed other methods in detecting mislabels.
A new method, VIF, calculates influence for non-decomposable losses efficiently.
problem Efficiently calculating influence for complex machine learning models with non-decomposable losses.
method Revisiting influence function from robust statistics, proposing Versatile Influence Function (VIF) for any non-decomposable loss.
result VIF method is up to 10^3 times faster than brute-force methods and closely matches influence results.
This study analyzes mutual influence on investment strategies of financial market agents.
problem Mutual influence among agents in financial markets and its impact on investment strategies.
method Formulated optimal investment differential game problem, derived analytical solutions, proposed fast algorithm, and theoretically analyzed mutual influence.
result Agents' optimal strategies converge to the asymptotic strategy when mutual influence is strong and approaches infinity.
Optimal intervention in economic networks modeled as influence maximization, with hard computational problems.
problem Optimal intervention in economic networks modeled as influence maximization.
method Transformed into influence maximization-like form, with theoretical and practical implications.
result Optimal intervention is NP-hard and cannot be approximated to a constant factor in polynomial time.
DataInf efficiently approximates data influence in large models, improving transparency and identifying mislabeled data.
problem Efficiently estimating data influence in large-scale models like LoRA-tuned LLMs and diffusion models.
method DataInf uses a closed-form expression to approximate influence scores efficiently.
result DataInf outperforms existing methods in computational and memory efficiency, accurately identifying influential data points.
The paper proposes a method to balance fairness and prediction accuracy by adjusting data representations.
problem Machine learning models can inherit and amplify historical biases, leading to unfair outcomes.
method The paper uses subspace decomposition and influence analysis to control the fairness-utility trade-off.
result The method effectively improves fairness while preserving predictive performance.
Using the United Nations COMTRADE database we apply the reduced Google matrix (REGOMAX) algorithm to analyze the multiproduct world trade in years 2004-2016. Our approach allows to determine the trade balance sensitivity of a group of countries to a specific product price increase from a specific exporting country taki…
In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties of time series of stock market indices (SMIs) of developing economies of Western Balkans, and have compared the results we have obtained with the results from more developed economies. We have used three different techniques of data analysis to obtain and verify our fin…
We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend for the coefficient. This phenomenon supports the increasing external influences …
Develops Austen plots for assessing bias from unobserved confounding in observational studies.
problem Bias in causal estimates due to unobserved confounding.
method Formalizes confounding strength, uses Austen plots to visualize and quantify bias.
result Allows domain experts to assess the plausibility of strong confounders.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
The paper investigates instance-based interpretation methods for VAEs.
problem Understanding how VAEs make predictions without supervision.
method Formally framed influence functions for VAEs and developed VAE-TracIn.
result Varying training samples significantly impacts VAE predictions.
The rise of Online Social Networks (OSNs) has caused an insurmountable amount of interest from advertisers and researchers seeking to monopolize on its features. Researchers aim to develop strategies for determining how information is propagated among users within an OSN that is captured by diffusion or influence model…
RKUM is an R package for robust kernel-based unsupervised methods.
problem Robust analysis under contaminated or noisy data conditions.
method Robust kernel covariance and cross-covariance operators using generalized loss functions.
result RKUM reduces sensitivity to contamination and effectively identifies outliers.
Data samples collected for training machine learning models are typically assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid). Recent research has demonstrated that this assumption can be problematic as it simplifies the manifold of structured data. This has motivated different research areas such as data poiso…
New method estimates data influence efficiently by leveraging test samples.
problem Efficiently estimating influence of training data on model predictions.
method Mirrored Influence Hypothesis, forward pass for test samples.
result Significant improvement in efficiency over existing methods.
Using the new data from the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities we construct the Google matrix G of this directed network and perform its detailed analysis. The network contains 58 countries and 37 activity sectors for years 1995, 2000, 2005, 2008, 2009. The construction of G, based on Markov chain transi…
Proposes a new framework to disentangle event influences in MTPP.
problem Underexplored how individual events influence overall dynamics over time.
method Decoupled MTPP framework using Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs).
result Significantly improves performance on real-life datasets compared to state-of-the-art methods.
MONSTOR estimates influence in unseen networks with high accuracy.
problem Estimating and maximizing influence in social networks.
method Inductive machine learning approach replacing Monte Carlo simulations.
result Highly accurate estimates with strong correlation to actual influence.
There is an especially strong need in modern large-scale data analysis to prioritize samples for manual inspection. For example, the inspection could target important mislabeled samples or key vulnerabilities exploitable by an adversarial attack. In order to solve the "needle in the haystack" problem of which samples t…
Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.
problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.
Influence functions estimate the effect of removing a training point on a model without the need to retrain. They are based on a first-order Taylor approximation that is guaranteed to be accurate for sufficiently small changes to the model, and so are commonly used to study the effect of individual points in large data…
Predicting event attendance using social influence from social networks.
problem Predicting people's participation in real-world events.
method Modeling social influence, using non-geotagged posts and social group structures, applying graph embedding techniques, and training a neural network.
result The proposed classifier achieves 89% accuracy on the VFestival dataset, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Mastering the dynamics of social influence requires separating, in a database of information propagation traces, the genuine causal processes from temporal correlation, i.e., homophily and other spurious causes. However, most studies to characterize social influence, and, in general, most data-science analyses focus on…
A non-parametric method for ranking stock indices according to their mutual causal influences is presented. Under the assumption that indices reflect the underlying economy of a country, such a ranking indicates which countries exert the most economic influence in an examined subset of the global economy. The proposed …
Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.
problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.
This paper studies how social media posts, especially by executives, affect stock prices.
problem Predicting stock market movements using social media data.
method Integrated sentiment analysis of Twitter and Reddit posts with historical stock data using time series models and deep learning.
result Improvements in stock price prediction when social media data, especially executive posts, are included.
Paper introduces Influence Function to assess OOD generalization stability.
problem Assessing OOD generalization accuracy when target domains are unknown.
method Introduced Influence Function from robust statistics to monitor model stability.
result Accuracy on test domains and Influence Function variance can distinguish OOD algorithms and generalization quality.
We consider an online influence maximization problem in which a decision maker selects a node among a large number of possibilities and places a piece of information at the node. The node transmits the information to some others that are in the same connected component in a random graph. The goal of the decision maker …
We consider the correlated multiarmed bandit (MAB) problem in which the rewards associated with each arm are modeled by a multivariate Gaussian random variable, and we investigate the influence of the assumptions in the Bayesian prior on the performance of the upper credible limit (UCL) algorithm and a new correlated U…
Improves understanding of neural network predictions using influence functions.
problem Challenges in understanding neural network predictions.
method Utilized NTK theory to calculate influence functions for over-parameterized neural networks.
result Proved that the approximation error of IF can be arbitrarily small in the over-parameterized regime.
Improved data attribution for high-dimensional models.
problem Inaccurate influence functions in high-dimensional settings.
method Rescaled influence functions (RIF) for more precise data attribution.
result RIFs offer significantly better predictions in practice.
Meta-analysis finds people value insurance for low-probability risks more than expected.
problem Low-probability risks insurance demand is lower than expected.
method Conducted a meta-analysis of contingent valuation studies.
result Average stated willingness to pay (WTP) for insurance is 87% of expected losses.
Data augmentation impacts adversarial risk; careful application recommended.
problem Understanding how data augmentation affects adversarial risk in deep learning.
method Empirical analysis using three measures of adversarial risk.
result Data augmentation does not always improve adversarial risk; augmented data influences models more.
In this study, the authors develop a structural model that combines a macro diffusion model with a micro choice model to control for the effect of social influence on the mobile app choices of customers over app stores. Social influence refers to the density of adopters within the proximity of other customers. Using a …
Bayesian inference forgetting framework removes influence of single data points.
problem Enforcement of the right to be forgotten in machine learning causes high costs for companies.
method Develops forgetting algorithms for variational and Markov chain Monte Carlo in Bayesian inference.
result Proves removal of influence of single datums on learned models with guaranteed generalizability.
Dataset analyzes tweets' impact on stock returns.
problem Understanding how public opinion affects stock market outcomes.
method Created a dataset of 862,231 labeled tweets, provided baselines and multi-view learning approach.
result Demonstrated the impact of tweets on stock returns over various time frames.
The presence of significant cross-correlations between the synchronous time evolution of a pair of equity returns is a well-known empirical fact. The Pearson correlation is commonly used to indicate the level of similarity in the price changes for a given pair of stocks, but it does not measure whether other stocks inf…
Advances in deep learning for spatio-temporal event modeling.
problem Limitations of traditional parametric models in capturing nonstationary dynamics.
method Integration of deep neural architectures to model conditional intensity function and influence kernels.
result Deep influence kernel approach enhances expressiveness and statistical explainability.