Active learning reduces spin network inference complexity by 10^6-fold.
problem Difficulty in inferring direct interactions in complex networks.
method Information geometry framework to quantify inference difficulty and information gain from perturbations.
result Designed perturbations reduce sampling complexity by 10^6-fold across various network architectures.
Method infers causal direction using data discretization and complexity calculation.
problem Determining causal direction between continuous variables.
method MDL Binning technique for data discretization and complexity calculation.
result Captures the shape of the data to determine causal direction.
PE-SVI reduces SVI inference complexity by finding a suitable start point.
problem Complex posterior inference in graphical models leads to suboptimal learning.
method PE-SVI uses a pseudo-encoded start point to reduce gradient steps and step sizes.
result PE-SVI achieves the same ELBo objective as SVI with less than 1% of the required steps.
Simulation-based inference tackles complex inverse problems in science.
problem Challenging inverse problems in complex simulations.
method Review and identification of forces driving the field.
result Expanding the audience to appreciate the impact on science.
ConDiSim uses diffusion models to approximate complex system posteriors efficiently.
problem Simulation-based inference of systems with intractable likelihoods.
method Conditional diffusion model with forward and reverse processes.
result Effective posterior approximation across various benchmark and real-world problems.
New method improves robustness and efficiency of inference from complex models.
problem Inability of existing methods to handle outliers in simulator-based models.
method Generalised Bayesian inference with neural approximation of weighted score-matching loss.
result Provable robustness to outliers and computational efficiency.
This paper analyzes how differential privacy and data skewness affect membership inference attacks.
problem Membership inference attacks on privately trained models.
method Developed MPLens system to evaluate membership inference vulnerability.
result Membership inference risk is higher with skewed training data and differential privacy has trade-offs.
Max-Entropy approach improves variational inference for complex posterior distributions.
problem Efficient inference with simple families vs. accuracy in variational inference.
method Greedy approximation of the posterior distribution with Max-Entropy approach.
result Demonstrated ability to capture complex multimodal posterior distributions.
A framework infers causal direction from symbolic sequences using compression measures.
problem Inferring causal direction from two observed discrete symbolic sequences.
method Lossless compressors for inferring context-free grammars (CFGs) and quantifying compression extent.
result Grammar inferred from one sequence better compresses the other sequence, indicating causal direction.
Proposes a new method for causal inference in high-dimensional complex data.
problem Challenges in making causal inference with high-dimensional, nonlinear data.
method Combines deep learning techniques like sparse deep learning and stochastic neural networks.
result Outperforms existing methods in numerical studies.
The paper develops methods to infer modes of linear systems from noisy data.
problem Detecting oscillations in power flow in AC electrical networks.
method Develops methods to infer modes (real or complex) from observations of linear systems forced by Gaussian noise.
result Inference of damping rates, frequencies, and mode shapes for real and complex modes.
New method for efficient inference over complex parameter spaces.
problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for high-dimensional, intractable likelihoods.
method Arbitrary Marginal Neural Ratio Estimation (AMNRE) for simulation-based inference.
result Efficient inference over arbitrary subsets of parameters without numerical integration.
Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only single observations are present. We develop a theory how to generate causal grap…
Neurally-Guided Structure Inference combines search and data-driven methods for efficient, robust structure inference.
problem Combining the advantages of exhaustive search and data-driven methods for structure inference.
method Neurally-Guided Structure Inference (NG-SI) uses a neural network to guide hierarchical search over structures.
result NG-SI outperforms search-based and data-driven methods on probabilistic matrix decomposition and symbolic program parsing.
A new method combines Laplace and Variational Bayes for scalable inference.
problem Complex models and large datasets make exact inference infeasible.
method Low-Rank Variational Bayes Correction (VBC) using Laplace method and Variational Bayes correction in a lower dimension.
result The method ensures scalability in both model complexity and data size.
Framework integrates Markov and causal models for accurate counterfactual inference.
problem Lack of counterfactual inference in Markov models and identification in causal models.
method Defines structural causal models in terms of Markov process parameters and equilibrium dynamics, enabling consistent counterfactual inference.
result Proposed framework alleviates identifiability issues and improves accuracy of counterfactual inference.
Learning representations for counterfactual inference from observational data is of high practical relevance for many domains, such as healthcare, public policy and economics. Counterfactual inference enables one to answer "What if...?" questions, such as "What would be the outcome if we gave this patient treatment $t_…
New algorithm improves graph inference tasks.
problem Complex graph reasoning and prediction tasks.
method Policy Message Passing algorithm reformulates graph inference as stochastic sequential processes.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models.
Paper infers intrinsic dimension from quasi-convex measurements.
problem Inferring intrinsic dimension from measurements by quasi-convex functions.
method Developed a method using filtration of Dowker complexes based on discrete data of point orderings.
result Correct intrinsic dimension can be inferred in the limit of large data under generic assumptions.
The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference, focusing on mean-field or other simple structured approximations. This restricti…
Bayesian inference simplified for machine learning models.
problem Difficulty in specifying general prior belief in machine learning architectures.
method Parsimonious inference using information theory and Kolmogorov complexity.
result Framework quantifies model complexity and prediction information, reducing memorization.
This paper proposes a new method for learning covers of geometric datasets to improve topological inference and visualization.
problem Improving topological inference and visualization of large-scale geometric datasets.
method Proposes a method for learning topologically-faithful covers of geometric datasets using optimization.
result Simplicial complexes obtained from learned covers outperform standard methods in terms of size and representation of large-scale topology.
Improved Gaussian process inference for spatio-temporal data.
problem Cubic computational costs in Gaussian process inference, especially in spatio-temporal settings.
method Proposes the Vanilla-SPDE Exchange, leveraging an equivalence between standard and SPDE formulations to achieve improved computational cost.
result Demonstrates improved computational efficiency through complexity analysis and numerical experiments.
Differentiable ABMs face challenges in inference and optimisation.
problem Challenges in parameter inference and optimisation for differentiable ABMs.
method Discussion and experiments highlighting challenges.
result Challenges remain in constructing differentiable ABMs.
Improved SBI with neural networks for complex models.
problem Accurate inference for complex models with intractable likelihood.
method Structured mixtures of probability distributions for likelihood and posterior approximation.
result Accurate posterior inference with smaller computational footprint.
ACI uses Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes from effects in complex systems.
problem Capturing instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems.
method Assimilative causal inference (ACI) leverages Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes backward from observed effects.
result ACI provides online tracking of causal roles that may reverse intermittently and reveals how far effects propagate.
Despite advances in scalable models, the inference tools used for Gaussian processes (GPs) have yet to fully capitalize on developments in computing hardware. We present an efficient and general approach to GP inference based on Blackbox Matrix-Matrix multiplication (BBMM). BBMM inference uses a modified batched versio…
ASVI automates variational inference for complex models.
problem Efficient variational inference for complex probabilistic models.
method Automatic structured variational inference (ASVI) using convex updates.
result ASVI outperforms other methods on a wide range of problems.
Bayesian method for knot inference in multivariate spline regression.
problem Inference on knot locations in multivariate spline regression due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions.
method Fully Bayesian approach with a new prior on knot number and analytic formula for normal model, extended Bayesian information criterion for non-normal cases, reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrated superior performance in function fitting with jumping discontinuity.
New framework for variational coresets simplifies Bayesian inference for complex models.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference for complex models like neural networks.
method Black-box variational inference for coresets that handle intractable posterior distributions.
result Principled application of variational coresets to Bayesian neural networks.
Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data, standard strategies for sparsifying the model can prevent the approximation of …
We present arguments for the formulation of unified approach to different standard continuous inference methods from partial information. It is claimed that an explicit partition of information into a priori (prior knowledge) and a posteriori information (data) is an important way of standardizing inference approaches …
We infer both microscopic and macroscopic behaviors of a three-dimensional chaotic fluid flow using reservoir computing. In our procedure of the inference, we assume no prior knowledge of a physical process of a fluid flow except that its behavior is complex but deterministic. We present two ways of inference of the co…
Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric variational family, which adapts its shape to match complex posterior distributions. T…
AR CI framework handles complex confounders and sequential actions.
problem Low-dimensional confounders and singleton actions in causal inference.
method Sequencification to transform data into sequences, enabling CI with complex confounders and sequential actions.
result AR model can estimate multiple causal quantities using a single model, simplifying inference and improving outcome prediction.
Extends GP regression to complex Helmholtz problems, improving wavefield inference in brain elastography.
problem Infer complex Helmholtz wavefields from sparse, noisy data.
method Operator-informed Gaussian processes, realifying complex operator into real blocks, using PDE residuals and boundary traces.
result Competitive with finite-difference and neural-network methods, reconstructs brain shear curl field with high correlation.
This paper introduces a spline-based method for nonparametric ADVI that handles complex posterior distributions.
problem Learning complex posterior distributions with skewness, multimodality, and bounded support.
method Develops a spline-based nonparametric approximation approach for ADVI.
result Establishes the asymptotic consistency of the derived lower bound for importance weighted autoencoder.
Tree-AMP simplifies inference in complex tree-structured models.
problem Inference in high-dimensional tree-structured models.
method Approximate Message Passing algorithms for various machine learning tasks.
result Theoretical performance predictions and automated entropy estimation.
DSNC learns binary codes for multi-class classification with sublinear inference.
problem High inference complexity in one-vs-all methods for large multi-class classification.
method DSNC learns binary codes and mappings end-to-end without a priori tuning.
result DSNC achieves sublinear inference complexity and outperforms baselines.
Amortized VI for DGPs learns efficient inference.
problem Expressive limitations in GP approximations.
method Amortized variational inference for DGPs.
result Improved expressive prior and posterior for DGPs.
We review three algorithms for Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). Two of them are variational inference algorithms: Variational Bayesian inference and Online Variational Bayesian inference and one is Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm -- Collapsed Gibbs sampling. We compare their time complexity and performance.…
A new optimization algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference on precision matrices.
problem Complex models with positive definite constraints on covariance matrices.
method Manifold Gaussian Variational Bayes (MGVBP) with natural gradient updates.
result Empirically validated as a feasible and efficient solution for VI in complex models.
Amortized inference allows latent-variable models trained via variational learning to scale to large datasets. The quality of approximate inference is determined by two factors: a) the capacity of the variational distribution to match the true posterior and b) the ability of the recognition network to produce good vari…
A new framework bridges classical and machine learning methods for reliable inference from complex models.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex systems make classical statistics ineffective for likelihood-free inference.
method Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference (LF2I) framework that combines classical statistics and machine learning.
result Valid confidence sets with near finite-sample validity can be constructed for any parameter value.
New method speeds up Bayesian inference for complex simulators.
problem Challenges in Bayesian inference for complex stochastic simulators with intractable likelihood functions.
method Optimization Monte Carlo framework reformulated as deterministic optimization problems with gradient-based methods.
result Accurate posterior inference with reduced runtimes compared to existing methods.
New method for scalable inference in large-scale regression models with complex error structures.
problem Challenges in statistical inference for large-scale regression models with dependent errors.
method Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments with Exogenous variables (GMWMX).
result Statistical validity and scalability of GMWMX for linear models with complex error structures.
Paper develops online statistical inference methods for stochastic optimization using Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithms.
problem Online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems.
method Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions, asymptotic distribution analysis.
result Developed valid confidence intervals for online statistical inference.
WrapNet optimizes inference for low-resolution neural networks by using 8-bit additions.
problem Reducing multiplication complexity in low-resolution neural networks.
method Adapting neural networks to use low-resolution (8-bit) additions in accumulators, with a cyclic activation layer and overflow penalty regularizer.
result Achieves comparable classification accuracy to 32-bit counterparts using low-resolution additions.