Optimizes personalized medicine prediction by individual tuning.
problem Predicting individual drug responses using genomic information.
method Introduces a new ridge estimator and tuning parameter calibration scheme.
result Optimal in terms of oracle inequalities, fast, and highly effective.
There is tremendous interest in precision medicine as a means to improve patient outcomes by tailoring treatment to individual characteristics. An individualized treatment rule formalizes precision medicine as a map from patient information to a recommended treatment. A treatment rule is defined to be optimal if it max…
Recent exploration of optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) for patients in precision medicine has attracted a lot of attention due to the heterogeneous responses of patients to different treatments. In the existing literature of precision medicine, an optimal IDR is defined as a decision function mapping from t…
A new method models individual survival curves using conditional normalizing flows.
problem Precise per-individual predictions in survival analysis.
method Conditional normalizing flows for flexible and individualized survival distributions.
result Efficient estimation of individual survival curves without overfitting.
Develops methods for near-optimal personalized treatment recommendations.
problem Assigning optimal treatments to patients based on individual characteristics.
method Outcome weighted learning framework to estimate near-optimal alternative individualized treatment recommendations (A-ITR).
result Consistency of proposed methods and upper bound for risk between optimal and estimated recommendations.
SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.
problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.
AI enhances personalized drug development and decision-making in pharma.
problem Traditional drug development lacks personalized treatment plans.
method Application of AI in drug discovery, clinical trials, and post-marketing assessment.
result AI improves personalized medicine, optimizing health outcomes.
Causal ML predicts treatment outcomes, aiding personalized medicine.
problem Predicting individualized treatment effects for personalized medicine.
method Flexible, data-driven methods using causal inference with clinical trial and real-world data.
result Causal ML allows for estimating individualized treatment effects.
RL algorithms with medical integration improve personalized treatment recommendations.
problem Developing effective personalized treatment strategies for chronic diseases.
method Integrating medical knowledge into RL algorithms for DTR.
result Enhanced treatment recommendations with increased confidence.
PDX studies help personalize cancer treatment.
problem Precision medicine in cancer treatment.
method Machine learning methods for estimating optimal ITRs from PDX data.
result Superlearner approach combining multiple ITRs improves personalized treatment recommendations.
Bandit algorithms optimize treatment decisions for precision medicine.
problem Optimizing treatment decisions for individual patients based on genetic or molecular profiling.
method Contextual bandit algorithms that consider patient characteristics.
result Bandit algorithms are useful for mobile health and digital phenotyping.
In many practical tasks it is needed to estimate an effect of treatment on individual level. For example, in medicine it is essential to determine the patients that would benefit from a certain medicament. In marketing, knowing the persons that are likely to buy a new product would reduce the amount of spam. In this ch…
Scientific investigations that incorporate next generation sequencing involve analyses of high-dimensional data where the need to organize, collate and interpret the outcomes are pressingly important. Currently, data can be collected at the microbiome level leading to the possibility of personalized medicine whereby tr…
Estimates individualized treatment effects using shared RBF-net neurons.
problem Identifying differential treatment effects based on covariates.
method Non-parametric radial basis function (RBF)-nets with shared hidden neurons in a Bayesian framework.
result Demonstrated through simulations and real data, the method identifies interesting treatment effects.
The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, has many important applications, from precision medicine to recommender…
Estimates personalized models for individualized policies.
problem Localized effects are critical in precision medicine and advertising.
method Low-rank personalized regression with sample-specific models.
result Sample-specific models provide fine-grained interpretations without sacrificing predictive accuracy.
For many complex diseases, there is a wide variety of ways in which an individual can manifest the disease. The challenge of personalized medicine is to develop tools that can accurately predict the trajectory of an individual's disease, which can in turn enable clinicians to optimize treatments. We represent an indivi…
Develops a weighting framework to generalize ITRs from source to target populations.
problem Challenges in generalizing ITRs from a source population to a target population with differing characteristics.
method A robust sample weighting framework using a reproducing kernel Hilbert space to balance covariates and improve ITR learning methods.
result Improves ITR estimation for the target population compared to other weighting methods.
Proposes a federated transfer learning method to improve precision medicine models for underrepresented populations.
problem Underrepresentation of minorities in precision medicine research leads to underperforming risk prediction models.
method Two-way federated transfer learning strategy integrating diverse populations and healthcare institutions.
result Improves risk prediction models for underrepresented populations, reducing performance gaps.
Framework integrates mental disorder measurements for personalized treatment.
problem Optimizing treatment for mental disorders with latent mental states and heterogeneity.
method Measurement theory and multi-layer neural network for complex treatment effects.
result Learned treatment policies outperform alternatives on heterogeneous treatment effects.
Study uses LLMs to create personalized treatment plans for rare gynecological tumors.
problem Suboptimal management and poor prognosis due to low incidence and heterogeneity of rare gynecological tumors.
method Developed a digital twin system using LLMs to integrate clinical and biomarker data.
result LLM-enabled digital twins efficiently model individual patient trajectories and identify potential treatment options.
Causal ML methods failed to validate their personalized treatment effects in two large trials.
problem Validating causal machine learning methods for personalized treatment effects in precision medicine.
method Assessed 17 mainstream causal heterogeneity ML methods using two large randomized controlled trials.
result None of the ML methods reliably validated their performance, internal or external, showing significant discrepancies between training and test data.
Generates new human genomic sequences for LAI training.
problem Lack of accessible reference data sets for LAI.
method Class-conditional VAE-GAN to generate realistic sequences.
result Generated sequences improve LAI method performance.
The paper compares methods for estimating individual treatment effects.
problem Estimating the optimal treatment effect for each individual.
method Comparison of machine learning methods for individual treatment effect estimation.
result Combination of Logistic Regression and Difference Score method, as well as Uplift Random Forest method, provides the best prediction accuracy.
Generative models create personalized patient health simulations.
problem Creating accurate digital twins for personalized medicine.
method Neural network architecture for conditional generative models of clinical trajectories.
result Same architecture generates accurate twins across 13 indications.
New method identifies important features and interactions in RF models.
problem Limited theoretical understanding of local feature and interaction importance in RF models.
method Combines global and local analysis to identify frequent feature co-occurrences.
result Proves consistent recovery of true local signal features and interactions.
The field of precision medicine aims to tailor treatment based on patient-specific factors in a reproducible way. To this end, estimating an optimal individualized treatment regime (ITR) that recommends treatment decisions based on patient characteristics to maximize the mean of a pre-specified outcome is of particular…
Estimating the individual treatment effect (ITE) from observational data is essential in medicine. A central challenge in estimating the ITE is handling confounders, which are factors that affect both an intervention and its outcome. Most previous work relies on the unconfoundedness assumption, which posits that all th…
The paper proposes a method to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using pretraining strategies.
problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in the presence of many covariates.
method The approach leverages prognostic factors that also predict treatment effect heterogeneity, using the R-learner framework.
result The proposed method improves estimation accuracy and power for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity.
Proposes DSW for unbiased ITE estimation with dynamic confounders.
problem Estimating ITE from dynamic observational data with time-varying confounders.
method Deep Sequential Weighting (DSW) infers hidden confounders using current treatment assignments and historical information.
result DSW generates unbiased and accurate treatment effects.
Precision medicine has received attention both in and outside the clinic. We focus on the latter, by exploiting the relationship between individuals' social interactions and their mental health to develop a predictive model of one's likelihood to be depressed or anxious from rich dynamic social network data. To our kno…
Proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for multi-arm HTE estimation.
problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in multi-arm settings.
method Rule-based ensemble approach for HTE estimation in multi-arm trials.
result Achieved lower bias and higher estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.
Network medicine predicts repurposable drugs for COVID-19.
problem Identifying effective drugs for SARS-CoV-2 infections quickly.
method Artificial intelligence, network diffusion, and network proximity algorithms.
result A multimodal approach combining predictions from multiple algorithms outperforms individual methods.
LI-ITR combines flexible ML with interpretable approximations for personalized treatment rules.
problem Combining flexibility and interpretability in personalized treatment rules.
method Uses variational autoencoders and a mixture of interpretable experts.
result Accurately recovers true local coefficients and optimal treatment strategies.
Adapts randomization for single unit time-series data for optimal treatment.
problem Statistical methods for precision medicine in single unit time-series data.
method Adaptive sequential design, nonparametric model, double robust structure, efficient influence function.
result Valid inference for mean target parameter based on single sample.
Predicting the efficacy of a drug for a given individual, using high-dimensional genomic measurements, is at the core of precision medicine. However, identifying features on which to base the predictions remains a challenge, especially when the sample size is small. Incorporating expert knowledge offers a promising alt…
Develops a method to estimate personalized treatment regimes from summary statistics.
problem Estimating optimal treatment regimes for a target population when individual-level data is unavailable.
method A weighting framework that tailors a treatment regime for the target population using summary statistics.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for optimal treatment regimes.
There is intense interest in applying machine learning to problems of causal inference in fields such as healthcare, economics and education. In particular, individual-level causal inference has important applications such as precision medicine. We give a new theoretical analysis and family of algorithms for predicting…
Assessing heterogeneous treatment effects has become a growing interest in advancing precision medicine. Individualized treatment effects (ITE) play a critical role in such an endeavor. Concerning experimental data collected from randomized trials, we put forward a method, termed random forests of interaction trees (RF…
Framework assesses variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem High-risk domains need reliable methods to assess treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Inferential framework based on Shapley values and semiparametric theory.
result Valid inference on variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects.
A new method optimizes individual treatment effects in dynamic settings.
problem Optimizing individual treatment effects in changing environments.
method Uplifted contextual multi-armed bandit (U-CMAB) approach.
result U-CMAB outperforms state-of-the-art methods in dynamic environments.
Reflective of income and wealth distributions, philanthropic gifting appears to follow an approximate power-law size distribution as measured by the size of gifts received by individual institutions. We explore the ecology of gifting by analysing data sets of individual gifts for a diverse group of institutions dedicat…
MSBM extends SB for multi-marginal trajectory inference.
problem Trajectory inference from multiple discrete snapshots.
method Multi-Marginal Schrödinger Bridge Matching (MSBM) using iterative Markovian fitting (IMF).
result MSBM effectively captures complex trajectories and respects intermediate distributions.
In medicine, both ethical and monetary costs of incorrect predictions can be significant, and the complexity of the problems often necessitates increasingly complex models. Recent work has shown that changing just the random seed is enough for otherwise well-tuned deep neural networks to vary in their individual predic…
Missing data enhances privacy in differential privacy.
problem Privacy preservation in datasets with missing values.
method Formalized missing data as a privacy amplification mechanism within differential privacy.
result Incomplete data can yield privacy amplification for differentially private algorithms.
Proposes MRIV framework for unbiased CATE estimation using binary IVs.
problem Bias in estimating CATEs due to unobserved confounders.
method Multiply robust machine learning framework (MRIV) for binary IVs.
result MRIV yields multiple robust convergence rates and outperforms existing methods.
Given two possible treatments, there may exist subgroups who benefit greater from one treatment than the other. This problem is relevant to the field of marketing, where treatments may correspond to different ways of selling a product. It is similarly relevant to the field of public policy, where treatments may corresp…
Practitioners in medicine, business, political science, and other fields are increasingly aware that decisions should be personalized to each patient, customer, or voter. A given treatment (e.g. a drug or advertisement) should be administered only to those who will respond most positively, and certainly not to those wh…