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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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285683111 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for individual vitality

New approach models individual vitality for better mortality predictions.

problem Limited ability of existing mortality models to capture individual complexity.
method Developed a four-component framework for individual vitality dynamics.
result Demonstrates improved analytical and practical outcomes in life insurance and lifetime decision-making.

The paper compares methods for estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating the optimal treatment effect for each individual.
method Comparison of machine learning methods for individual treatment effect estimation.
result Combination of Logistic Regression and Difference Score method, as well as Uplift Random Forest method, provides the best prediction accuracy.

Novel metrics improve machine learning models for ICU patient care.

problem Predicting vital sign trajectories for early detection of adverse events.
method Developed novel performance metrics aligned with clinical contexts, validated on simulated and real datasets, and optimized neural networks using these metrics.
result Neural networks trained with these metrics excel in predicting clinically significant events.

KACDP model improves credit default prediction with enhanced interpretability.

problem Insufficient interpretability and limited performance in credit default prediction.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for handling complex multi-dimensional data.
result KACDP model outperforms mainstream models in performance metrics.

The ability to automatically estimate the quality and coverage of the samples produced by a generative model is a vital requirement for driving algorithm research. We present an evaluation metric that can separately and reliably measure both of these aspects in image generation tasks by forming explicit, non-parametric…

2019-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.

problem Analyzing time-varying health vitals for disease onset prediction.
method Gradient boosting for nonparametric hazard function estimation with time-dependent covariates.
result Novel interaction effects among risk factors identified in cardiovascular disease onset data.

We present a proxy dataset of vital signs with class labels indicating patient transitions from the ward to intensive care units called Ward2ICU. Patient privacy is protected using a Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network to implicitly learn an approximation of the data distribution, allowing us to sample synthetic…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based on the assumption that all variables have been jointly measured in a single dat…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New concept of within-group fairness improves AI fairness without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Fairness issues in AI models treating individuals in the same sensitive group unfairly.
method Introducing within-group fairness, proposing mathematical definitions, and developing learning algorithms.
result Improves within-group fairness without sacrificing accuracy and between-group fairness.

Paper analyzes trade-offs between fairness, privacy, and accuracy using Chernoff Information.

problem The relationship between fairness and privacy in machine learning.
method Utilizes Chernoff Information to characterize trade-offs, proposes Chernoff Difference and Noisy Chernoff Difference, develops CINE for neural estimation.
result Shows three distinct behaviors of Noisy Chernoff Difference based on data distribution.

Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.

problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.

Social activities play an important role in people's daily life since they interact. For recommendations based on social activities, it is vital to have not only the activity information but also individuals' social relations. Thanks to the geo-social networks and widespread use of location-aware mobile devices, massiv…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Timely prediction of clinically critical events in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is important for improving care and survival rate. Most of the existing approaches are based on the application of various classification methods on explicitly extracted statistical features from vital signals. In this work, we propose to elim…

2018-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey on ML advances for personalized prediction considering entity characteristics.

problem Sub-optimal performance in personalized prediction due to heterogeneity in data across entities.
method Organized current literature on entity-aware modeling based on characteristics availability and training data amount.
result Recent innovations in uncertainty quantification, fairness, and knowledge-guided machine learning can improve entity-aware modeling.

The study optimizes supply chain management through a dice-based model to predict cleaner production.

problem Uncertainty in supply chain management and economic predictions.
method A 4-component SC module (environmental, demand, economic, social uncertainties) ranked by weight, using Analytical Hierarchical Process and optimization of a weighted cost function.
result Identifies conditions validating the sustainability of a business venture and optimizes market uncertainty.

Improved financial sentiment analysis using simple instruction tuning of LLMs.

problem Lack of accurate financial sentiment analysis by large language models.
method Instruction tuning of general-purpose LLMs with a small portion of financial sentiment data.
result Significant improvement in financial sentiment analysis, especially in complex scenarios.

We analyzed multifractal properties of 5-minute stock returns from a period of over two years for 100 highly capitalized American companies. The two sources: fat-tailed probability distributions and nonlinear temporal correlations, vitally contribute to the observed multifractal dynamics of the returns. For majority of…

2004-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.

problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.

Deep learning classifies keratoconus patients with high accuracy.

problem Accurately identifying keratoconus patients for early intervention.
method Unsupervised and semi-supervised machine learning models using corneal topography and clinical data.
result Unsupervised method with 29 variables shows better classification accuracy.

The paper evaluates the importance of monotonicity in AI fairness across various fields.

problem Ensuring fairness in AI applications across criminology, education, health care, and finance.
method Theoretical reasoning, simulation, and extensive empirical analysis of monotonic neural additive models (MNAMs).
result Monotonicity is essential for fairness in AI ethics and society, especially in criminology, education, health care, and finance.

Driver identification has emerged as a vital research field, where both practitioners and researchers investigate the potential of driver identification to enable a personalized driving experience. Within recent years, a selection of studies have reported that individuals could be perfectly identified based on their dr…

2019-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates treatment effects across different populations.

problem Estimating treatment effects across populations with changing distributions.
method SBRL-HAP framework combining balancing and independence regularizers with hierarchical attention.
result Significant improvement in HTE estimation across out-of-distribution populations.

Study compares price limit and circuit breaker effects in stock markets.

problem Preventing rapid and steep price drops in stock exchanges.
method Agent-based model for financial market simulation.
result Price limit and circuit breaker have similar effects under same conditions, but price limit less effective with shorter limit time range.

Utilizing a splitting of geometric flows on surfaces introduced by Buzano and Rupflin, we present a general scheme to prove blow up criteria for such geometric flows. A vital ingredient is a new compactness theorem for families of metrics on surfaces with a uniform bound on their volumes, square integrals of their curv…

2018-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Market liquidity plays a vital role in the field of market micro-structure, because it is the vigor of the financial market. This paper uses a variable called convexity to measure the potential liquidity provided by order-book. Based on the high-frequency data of each stock included in the SSE (Shanghai Stock Exchange)…

2012-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Density ratio estimation is a vital tool in both machine learning and statistical community. However, due to the unbounded nature of density ratio, the estimation procedure can be vulnerable to corrupted data points, which often pushes the estimated ratio toward infinity. In this paper, we present a robust estimator wh…

2017-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Expert system predicts credit card charge-offs using macroeconomic indicators.

problem Managing charge-off rates in the credit card industry.
method Developed an expert system using machine learning and macroeconomic indicators.
result Achieved mean squared error values of 1.15E-03 and 1.04E-03.