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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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71142213284 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for individual variation

We study the cross-correlation matrix CijC_{ij} of inventory variations of the most active individual and institutional investors in an emerging market to understand the dynamics of inventory variations. We find that the distribution of cross-correlation coefficient CijC_{ij} has a power-law form in the bulk followed by …

2012-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Integrative analysis of disparate data blocks measured on a common set of experimental subjects is a major challenge in modern data analysis. This data structure naturally motivates the simultaneous exploration of the joint and individual variation within each data block resulting in new insights. For instance, there i…

2017-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

ContiVAE estimates individual dose-response curves from unobserved confounders using observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments considering unobserved confounders.
method Variational auto-encoder with a Tilted Gaussian prior distribution modeling hidden confounders as latent variables.
result ContiVAE outperforms existing methods by up to 62% in predicting individual dose-response curves.

VTD uses deep embeddings to estimate treatment effects from longitudinal data without unconfoundedness assumption.

problem Challenges in estimating individualized treatment effects from longitudinal observational data due to confounding bias.
method Leverages deep variational embeddings and observed proxies to learn hidden confounders.
result Effective in estimating treatment effects when hidden confounding is the leading bias.

Adaptive variational Bayes framework improves inference adaptively.

problem Lack of general and computationally tractable variational Bayes method for adaptive inference.
method Proposes a novel adaptive variational Bayes framework combining variational posteriors over individual models.
result Adaptive variational Bayes achieves optimal contraction rates adaptively under general conditions.

Paper proposes a novel MTL framework for personalized modeling of diverse individuals.

problem Personalized modeling of heterogeneous subpopulations with high-dimensional data.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition for multi-task learning.
result Superior performance compared to benchmarks in diverse subpopulation scenarios.

Unified model learns joint and individual features from brain imaging data.

problem Integrating structural and functional connectivity data for behavioral phenotypes.
method Cross-Modal Joint-Individual Variational Network (CM-JIVNet) with multi-head attention fusion.
result CM-JIVNet outperforms in cross-modal reconstruction and behavioral trait prediction.

Deep learning models can infer individual trajectories from sparse data.

problem Learning individual dynamics from limited data points.
method Combining variational autoencoders (VAEs) with ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for dynamic modeling.
result Deep learning can recover individual trajectories from sparse data, but requires careful adaptation.

IPGP framework improves psychological assessment by integrating shared and unique traits.

problem Tackles the debate on shared vs unique personality traits across individuals.
method Uses Gaussian process coregionalization model for non-Gaussian ordinal data, with stochastic variational inference for scalability.
result Improves prediction and estimation of individualized factor structures compared to existing methods.

This paper analyzes AJIVE for estimating shared subspace across multiple datasets, revealing its strengths and limitations.

problem Estimating shared subspace across multiple datasets with varying degrees of misalignment.
method Angle-based Joint and Individual Variation Explained (AJIVE) method, a two-stage spectral approach.
result AJIVE's performance in high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes and its non-diminishing error in low-SNR settings.

Measuring the impact of scientific articles is important for evaluating the research output of individual scientists, academic institutions and journals. While citations are raw data for constructing impact measures, there exist biases and potential issues if factors affecting citation patterns are not properly account…

2015-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New model clusters cells and individuals, revealing genetic influences on cell types.

problem Clustering nested data with group-level and observation-level variables.
method Nested Atoms Model (NAM), Bayesian nonparametric approach.
result Identifies clusters of genetically similar individuals with homogeneous cell-type profiles.

New framework improves counterfactual predictions using causal inference.

problem Challenges in predicting counterfactual outcomes with limited covariates and high-dimensional outcomes.
method Variational Bayesian causal inference framework for counterfactual generative modeling.
result Framework encourages disentangled exogenous noise and correct identification of causal effects.

We give a microscopic representation of the stock-market in which the microscopic agents are the individual traders and their capital. Their basic dynamics consists in the auto-catalysis of the individual capital and in the global competition/cooperation between the agents mediated by the total wealth invested in the s…

1998-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid continuous-discrete models naturally represent many real-world applications in robotics, finance, and environmental engineering. Inference with large-scale models is challenging because relational structures deteriorate rapidly during inference with observations. The main contribution of this paper is an efficie…

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid model learns interpretable meal-level glycemic control.

problem Lack of flexible, interpretable meal-level glycemic control methods.
method Hybrid variational autoencoder grounding latent space to mechanistic differential equation.
result Unsupervised representation discovers separation between individuals based on disease severity.

CDVI improves variational inference for survival analysis by considering censoring mechanisms.

problem Challenges in applying variational methods to survival data, especially the dependence on censoring.
method Censor-dependent variational inference (CDVI) tailored for latent variable models in survival analysis.
result Significant improvements in estimating individual survival distributions.

Novel framework predicts cell responses to perturbations using GRNs.

problem Predicting cellular responses to perturbations for drug discovery and personalized therapeutics.
method Graph variational Bayesian causal inference framework with refined GRNs and robust estimator.
result Enhanced model performance and robust estimation of perturbation effects.

A microscopic dynamic model is here constructed and analyzed, describing the evolution of the income distribution in the presence of taxation and redistribution in a society in which also tax evasion and auditing processes occur. The focus is on effects of enforcement regimes, characterized by different choices of the …

2016-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore a recently proposed Variational Dropout technique that provided an elegant Bayesian interpretation to Gaussian Dropout. We extend Variational Dropout to the case when dropout rates are unbounded, propose a way to reduce the variance of the gradient estimator and report first experimental results with individ…

2017-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic sequence model that excels at capturing high variability in time series data, both across sequences and within an individual sequence. Our method uses temporal latent variables to capture information about the underlying data pattern and dynamically decodes the latent info…

2020-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.

problem Challenges in integrating longitudinal tumor measurements, dropout information, and genetic covariates.
method Extended EB-VAE framework to jointly model longitudinal and time-to-event data, incorporating dropout hazard and genetic covariates.
result Hybrid decoder formulation yields consistent treatment-effect parameters and prior predictive performance comparable to neural decoder.

Time series models such as dynamical systems are frequently fitted to a cohort of data, ignoring variation between individual entities such as patients. In this paper we show how these models can be personalised to an individual level while retaining statistical power, via use of multi-task learning (MTL). To our knowl…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models provide statistically impressive results which might be individually unreliable. To provide reliability, we propose an Epistemic Classifier (EC) that can provide justification of its belief using support from the training dataset as well as quality of reconstruction. Our approach is based on mod…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified perspective on natural gradient methods for GMMs, improving variational inference.

problem Efficiently learning multi-modal approximations of complex distributions.
method Comparison and optimization of VIPS and iBayes-GMM methods for Gaussian mixture models.
result Hybrid approach significantly outperforms both VIPS and iBayes-GMM.

We seek to learn a representation on a large annotated data source that generalizes to a target domain using limited new supervision. Many prior approaches to this problem have focused on learning "disentangled" representations so that as individual factors vary in a new domain, only a portion of the representation nee…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional time-series methods. Motivated by the study of human aging, we present an interpr…

2018-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

LI-ITR combines flexible ML with interpretable approximations for personalized treatment rules.

problem Combining flexibility and interpretability in personalized treatment rules.
method Uses variational autoencoders and a mixture of interpretable experts.
result Accurately recovers true local coefficients and optimal treatment strategies.

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key innovations are to use the fundamental no-arbitrage condition as criterion funct…

2019-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.

problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.