A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Social media reduces individual investors' disposition effect through negative information.
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
The paper proposes methods to extract and analyze individual variable information from complex dependencies.
Method estimates group structure in panel data using variance information.
This work develops a model to distinguish network and covariate information.
Automated prediction of valence, one key feature of a person's emotional state, from individuals' personal narratives may provide crucial information for mental healthcare (e.g. early diagnosis of mental diseases, supervision of disease course, etc.). In the Interspeech 2018 ComParE Self-Assessed Affect challenge, the …
Proposes a new bound on generalization error using conditional mutual information.
Adaptive truncation improves privacy in online Bayesian estimation.
We revisit the notion of individual fairness proposed by Dwork et al. A central challenge in operationalizing their approach is the difficulty in eliciting a human specification of a similarity metric. In this paper, we propose an operationalization of individual fairness that does not rely on a human specification of …
Paper introduces a method to learn physics between digital twins using imperfect models.
Confidentiality of patient information is an essential part of Electronic Health Record System. Patient information, if exposed, can cause a serious damage to the privacy of individuals receiving healthcare. Hence it is important to remove such details from physician notes. A system is proposed which consists of a deep…
We study notions of fairness in decision-making systems when individuals have diverse preferences over the possible outcomes of the decisions. Our starting point is the seminal work of Dwork et al. which introduced a notion of individual fairness (IF): given a task-specific similarity metric, every pair of individuals …
Proposes a deep learning framework for estimating counterfactual outcomes.
Meta-analysis improves personalized treatment rules across multiple sites.
Universal supervised learning is considered from an information theoretic point of view following the universal prediction approach, see Merhav and Feder (1998). We consider the standard supervised "batch" learning where prediction is done on a test sample once the entire training data is observed, and the individual s…
Algorithm samples fair rankings to ensure individual fairness while maintaining group fairness.
Proposes a model to handle mobile health data with irregular measurements.
In machine learning, classification models need to be trained in order to predict class labels. When the training data contains personal information about individuals, collecting training data becomes difficult due to privacy concerns. Local differential privacy is a definition to measure the individual privacy when th…
Before the massive spread of computer technology, information was far from complex. The development of technology shifted the paradigm: from individuals who faced scarce and costly information to individuals who face massive amounts of information accessible at low costs. Nowadays we are living in the era of big data a…
We propose a new problem formulation which is similar to, but more informative than, the binary multiple-instance learning problem. In this setting, we are given groups of instances (described by feature vectors) along with estimates of the fraction of positively-labeled instances per group. The task is to learn an ins…
The paper introduces CPICFs for better counterfactual explanations in high-dimensional spaces.
New framework for forecasting psychological processes from ILD.
Estimating individual level treatment effects (ITE) from observational data is a challenging and important area in causal machine learning and is commonly considered in diverse mission-critical applications. In this paper, we propose an information theoretic approach in order to find more reliable representations for e…
Information-theoretic bounded rationality describes utility-optimizing decision-makers whose limited information-processing capabilities are formalized by information constraints. One of the consequences of bounded rationality is that resource-limited decision-makers can join together to solve decision-making problems …
New method to quantify feature contributions to disparity without access to decision-making model.
New method refines prediction intervals for individual treatment effects using cross-world correlation.
When investors have heterogeneous attitudes towards risk, it is reasonable to assume that each investor has a pricing kernel, and that these individual pricing kernels are aggregated to form a market pricing kernel. The various investors are then buyers or sellers depending on how their individual pricing kernels compa…
GWIB improves counterfactual regression by balancing latent distributions and reducing selection bias.
This work transfers causal knowledge between tasks for Individual Treatment Effect estimation.
Personalized medicine has become an important part of medicine, for instance predicting individual drug responses based on genomic information. However, many current statistical methods are not tailored to this task, because they overlook the individual heterogeneity of patients. In this paper, we look at personalized …
The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We are concerned in the phenomena of good selection and economic fairness. In Arrow'…
Proposes a new model for estimating individual treatment effects.
Specialists outperform generalists in ensemble classification.
Improves representation learning for individual treatment effect estimation.
Estimating the largest community in a mixed population via sequential sampling.
Graphs are widely used as a natural framework that captures interactions between individual elements represented as nodes in a graph. In medical applications, specifically, nodes can represent individuals within a potentially large population (patients or healthy controls) accompanied by a set of features, while the gr…
In this work, we investigate the use of three information-theoretic quantities -- entropy, mutual information with the class variable, and a class selectivity measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence -- to understand and study the behavior of already trained fully-connected feed-forward neural networks. We analyze …
This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
Investor flows in Korean equity market transmit shared information, not private signals.
As algorithmic prediction systems have become widespread, fears that these systems may inadvertently discriminate against members of underrepresented populations have grown. With the goal of understanding fundamental principles that underpin the growing number of approaches to mitigating algorithmic discrimination, we …
Depression and anxiety are critical public health issues affecting millions of people around the world. To identify individuals who are vulnerable to depression and anxiety, predictive models have been built that typically utilize data from one source. Unlike these traditional models, in this study, we leverage a rich …
Differential privacy for simple linear regression protects small datasets from individual data leaks.
New method finds balanced clusters in graphs using auxiliary information.
Deep learning shows ETF imbalances are more informative than market imbalances.
Study reveals how investor flows impact stock prices, especially during herding episodes.
This paper evaluates heterogeneous information fusion using multi-task Gaussian processes in the context of geological resource modeling. Specifically, it empirically demonstrates that information integration across heterogeneous information sources leads to superior estimates of all the quantities being modeled, compa…
EB-VAE combines tumor growth and dropout data for personalized treatment response modeling.
Machine learning algorithms are increasingly involved in sensitive decision-making process with adversarial implications on individuals. This paper presents mdfa, an approach that identifies the characteristics of the victims of a classifier's discrimination. We measure discrimination as a violation of multi-differenti…