Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

134267401534 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for individual analysis

Sensitivity analysis for individualized effects in OTRs with binary risk factors.

problem Addressing omitted confounding in individualized effects of OTRs.
method Simulation-based sensitivity analysis to simulate unmeasured confounders.
result Benchmarking the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors.

The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We are concerned in the phenomena of good selection and economic fairness. In Arrow'…

2006-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A new privacy accountant for Gaussian differential privacy measures individual privacy losses.

problem Bounding differential privacy loss for each participant in data analysis.
method Developed a privacy accountant for adaptive compositions of randomised mechanisms using Gaussian differential privacy.
result Provided optimal bounds for the Gaussian mechanism and constructed an approximative individual privacy accountant.

A new method models individual survival curves using conditional normalizing flows.

problem Precise per-individual predictions in survival analysis.
method Conditional normalizing flows for flexible and individualized survival distributions.
result Efficient estimation of individual survival curves without overfitting.

Meta-analysis improves personalized treatment rules across multiple sites.

problem Lack of generalizability in learning individualized treatment rules across different medical sites.
method Developed a method for individual-level meta-analysis of ITRs, borrowing sign-coherency information between sites.
result Jointly learned site-specific ITRs with improved generalizability.

We propose nonparametric methods for individual calibration in regression models.

problem Uncertainty quantification and individual calibration for regression models.
method Nonparametric methods agnostic of the underlying model, combining nonparametric and covering number arguments.
result Established matching upper and lower bounds for calibration error.

Differentially private method for estimating individualized treatment rules.

problem Estimating individualized treatment rules while preserving privacy.
method Differentially private two-stage empirical risk minimization (DP-2ERM).
result Improved privacy-utility trade-off demonstrated through simulations and applications.

Unified model learns joint and individual features from brain imaging data.

problem Integrating structural and functional connectivity data for behavioral phenotypes.
method Cross-Modal Joint-Individual Variational Network (CM-JIVNet) with multi-head attention fusion.
result CM-JIVNet outperforms in cross-modal reconstruction and behavioral trait prediction.

The paper develops deep learning models for personalized treatment rules in survival analysis.

problem Deriving optimal treatment rules for bivariate survival outcomes in randomized trials.
method Adaptive prediction-powered learning using deep neural networks and stochastic policies.
result Maximizes joint survival probability beyond fixed time points (t1,t2)(t_1, t_2).

A new method for tighter privacy loss accounting in adaptive analyses.

problem Ensuring individual privacy in adaptive analyses while staying within a privacy budget.
method A personalized privacy loss estimate and a Rényi differential privacy filter.
result Personalized privacy loss accounting can be practical and tighter than existing methods.

The study analyzes the conflict between group fairness and individual fairness in machine learning.

problem The conflict between group fairness (optimal statistical parity) and individual fairness in machine learning.
method Established sufficient conditions for the compatibility between optimal statistical parity and individual fairness requirements.
result Identified regions along the Pareto frontier that satisfy individual fairness requirements.

Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.

problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.

Integrative analysis of disparate data blocks measured on a common set of experimental subjects is a major challenge in modern data analysis. This data structure naturally motivates the simultaneous exploration of the joint and individual variation within each data block resulting in new insights. For instance, there i…

2017-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.

problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.

A framework combining HSMM and survival analysis for lifecycle-oriented mobility analysis.

problem Understanding individual metro usage dynamics over multi-year horizons.
method A state-based lifecycle modeling framework integrating HSMM and discrete-time survival analysis.
result Identification of interpretable mobility states, transition dynamics, and state-dependent exit and re-entry processes.

Study integrates causal inference and temporal complexity measures to analyze mental health symptoms.

problem Examining how individual symptom trajectories reveal diagnostic patterns in mental disorders.
method Causal inference, graph analysis, temporal complexity measures, machine learning.
result 91% accuracy in diagnosing symptom dynamics, highlighting disorder-specific causal mechanisms.

In this paper, we propose a data collaboration analysis method for distributed datasets. The proposed method is a centralized machine learning while training datasets and models remain distributed over some institutions. Recently, data became large and distributed with decreasing costs of data collection. If we can cen…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic Hedge achieves optimal regret bounds in two-player zero-sum games.

problem Achieving optimal regret bounds for optimistic Hedge in two-player zero-sum games.
method Refined regret analysis and optimization problem formulation.
result Optimistic Hedge achieves O(logmlogn)O(\sqrt{\log m \log n}) regret bounds, matching upper and lower bounds.

Method estimates group structure in panel data using variance information.

problem Estimating group structure in panel data with unknown groups.
method Proposes a method to estimate unobserved groupings for panel data models using variance information.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods in simulations and empirical applications.

The paper analyzes how clustering sensitive data can improve model generalization without revealing individual information.

problem Ensuring user data privacy in personalized recommendation systems.
method Look-alike clustering to replace sensitive features with cluster averages, analyzed using Convex Gaussian Minimax Theorem.
result Training models using anonymous cluster centers can improve generalization error, especially in high-dimensional settings.

Continuous monitoring of cardiac health under free living condition is crucial to provide effective care for patients undergoing post operative recovery and individuals with high cardiac risk like the elderly. Capacitive Electrocardiogram (cECG) is one such technology which allows comfortable and long term monitoring t…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Currently, pension providers are running into trouble mainly due to the ultra-low interest rates and the guarantees associated to some pension benefits. With the aim of reducing the pension volatility and providing adequate pension levels with no guarantees, we carry out mathematical analysis of a new pension design in…

2019-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Wisdom of the crowd, the collective intelligence derived from responses of multiple human or machine individuals to the same questions, can be more accurate than each individual, and improve social decision-making and prediction accuracy. This can also integrate multiple programs or datasets, each as an individual, for…

2017-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Differential privacy for simple linear regression protects small datasets from individual data leaks.

problem Protecting sensitive personal information in small datasets from individual data leaks.
method Differential privacy algorithms for simple linear regression tailored for small datasets (tens to hundreds of datapoints).
result Robust estimators like Theil-Sen perform well on small datasets, but standard algorithms improve as dataset size increases.

Optimal timing for converting savings into annuities considering mortality risk.

problem Determining the best time to annuitize retirement savings under stochastic mortality.
method Formulated as a three-dimensional optimal stopping problem, reduced to nested one-dimensional problems, solved using PDMP structure.
result Rich structure for the optimal annuitization rule, covering various parameter specifications.

In many contexts, we have access to aggregate data, but individual level data is unavailable. For example, medical studies sometimes report only aggregate statistics about disease prevalence because of privacy concerns. Even so, many a time it is desirable, and in fact could be necessary to infer individual level chara…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes in variables like interest rates, exchange rates, etc. We demonstrate that the sy…

2004-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds key investing characteristics for success in equity markets.

problem Understanding what traits lead to financial success in equity markets.
method Exploratory factor analysis and multiple linear regression on 403 respondents' data.
result Investing characteristics significantly impact individual investors' excess return.

We derive the most probable distribution of resources for a simple society. We find that a probabilistic analysis forbids both too much and too less equity, and selects instead a minimally ordered state. We give the detailed calculations for a special model where the population and resources are fixed, and resources ar…

2002-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

DGSAM improves domain generalization by minimizing individual sharpness.

problem Improving domain generalization models that perform well on unseen target domains.
method Shifts DG paradigm toward minimizing individual sharpness across source domains.
result DGSAM reduces performance variance across domains with less computational overhead.

Paper proposes a new metric to evaluate survival models, especially for censored data.

problem Challenges in evaluating survival prediction models due to censored data.
method Developed a novel approach to estimate Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for survival datasets with censored data.
result The proposed MAE metric using pseudo-observations accurately ranks model performance and closely matches true MAE.

Q-SHAP efficiently calculates feature contributions in boosting trees.

problem Global evaluation of feature contributions in tree models.
method Q-SHAP, an efficient algorithm that reduces Shapley values calculation to polynomial time.
result Q-SHAP improves computational efficiency and enhances accuracy of feature-specific R2R^2 estimates.

Topological methods improve neuron analysis and tracer injection summary.

problem Traditional methods fail to capture the tree-like structure of neurons.
method Discrete Morse (DM) Theory for neuron skeletonization and consensus tree summarization.
result Significant performance improvements over non-topological methods.