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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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144288431575 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for indirect utility process

Study stability of trading strategy under market perturbations.

problem Dynamic stability of trading strategy under market changes.
method Established reverse conjugacy characterizations, proved continuity and convergence of indirect utility process.
result Continuity and first-order convergence of indirect utility process under market perturbations.

The comparative statics of the optimal portfolios across individuals is carried out for a continuous-time complete market model, where the risky assets price process follows a joint geometric Brownian motion with time-dependent and deterministic coefficients. It turns out that the indirect utility functions inherit the…

2008-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal reinsurance contracts designed for a continuum of risk types.

problem Designing optimal reinsurance contracts with a continuum of risk types.
method Principal-agent model, VaR at risk tolerance level, change of variables, univariate approach.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts are in stop-loss form, classifying agents into high and low risk groups.

This study measures price risk aversion using indirect utility functions in a lab experiment.

problem Measuring risk aversion with uncertain prices in experimental economics.
method Using indirect utility functions and a multiple price list method in a lab experiment.
result Price risk aversion is statistically greater than payoff risk aversion.

Weakly-supervised learning is a paradigm for alleviating the scarcity of labeled data by leveraging lower-quality but larger-scale supervision signals. While existing work mainly focuses on utilizing a certain type of weak supervision, we present a probabilistic framework, learning from indirect observations, for learn…

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles RUL prediction with scarce data using indirect supervision.

problem Predicting RUL with indirect supervision and scarce time series data.
method Unified framework called parameterized static regression, handling data scarcity without interpolation.
result Competitive performance in prediction accuracy with simulated data scarcity.

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms have been successfully applied to a range of challenging sequential decision making and control tasks. In this paper, we classify RL into direct and indirect RL according to how they seek the optimal policy of the Markov decision process problem. The former solves the optimal poli…

2019-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates stability of Epstein-Zin problem under market distortions.

problem Stability of Epstein-Zin problem in incomplete markets.
method Analyzes perturbations in returns and volatility, and interest rate; proves convergence of optimal solutions.
result Proves convergence of optimal consumption streams and value functions in the limit of model perturbations.

MediEncoder learns nonlinear representations for causal mediation analysis.

problem High-dimensional noisy covariates and mediators in biomedical studies.
method Coupled encoder-decoder architecture with cross-factor network.
result Improves estimation accuracy in high-dimensional causal mediation analysis.

Decomposes bias in linear models under demographic parity constraints.

problem Understanding and quantifying bias in linear models under fairness constraints.
method Post-processing framework to decompose bias into direct and indirect components.
result Analytical characterization of how demographic parity reshapes model coefficients.

Study relaxes identification assumptions for natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.

problem Identifying causal direct effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Developed relaxed conditions for identifying natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
result Identified natural direct effect under unmeasured confounding conditions.

This article presents a proof of the existence of Bertrand-Nash equilibrium prices with multi-product firms and under the Logit model of demand that does not rely on restrictive assumptions on product characteristics, firm homogeneity or symmetry, product costs, or linearity of the utility function. The proof is based …

2010-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

FairDTD improves fairness in GNNs by distilling dual teacher knowledge, balancing utility and bias.

problem Bias in GNN predictions due to sensitive attributes.
method Dual-Teacher Distillation with a causal graph model, feature and structure teachers, and graph-level distillation.
result Achieves optimal fairness while preserving high model utility.

Investors optimize equity and CDS trading to mitigate default risk.

problem Optimizing investment in equity and CDS markets to manage default risk.
method Semi-linear PDE for certainty equivalent, proving existence and optimality of policies.
result Optimal CDS policies cover both equity and future trading losses, increasing investor utility.

Machine learning models trained on indirect data labels can fail on real-world examples.

problem Validity issues in machine learning when target labels are indirectly defined.
method Identification of problematic datasets and models using a general procedure.
result Machine learning models trained on indirect data labels will fail on real-world examples.

Unified framework for learning with indirect supervision signals.

problem Learning from indirect supervision signals when gold labels are missing or costly.
method Developed a unified theoretical framework for multi-class classification with variable supervision.
result Introduced the concept of separation to characterize learnability and generalization bounds.

This paper studies how to capture dependency graph structures from real data which may not be Gaussian. Starting from marginal loss functions not necessarily derived from probability distributions, we utilize an additive over-parametrization with shrinkage to incorporate variable dependencies into the criterion. An ite…

2016-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

PLRM synthesizes labels from mismatched sources for better training sets.

problem Creating labeled training sets is a major challenge in machine learning.
method PLRM uses probabilistic modeling to synthesize labels from indirect supervision sources with different output spaces.
result PLRM outperforms baselines by 2%-9% on various tasks.

We address the problem of gauging the influence exerted by a given country on the global trade market from the viewpoint of complex networks. In particular, we apply the PWP method for computing indirect influences on the world trade network.

2014-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient algorithm for learning from indirect feedback in complex decision-making scenarios.

problem Learning from indirect feedback in realistic scenarios with personalized mechanisms.
method IGW algorithm for policy optimization, extending reward-estimator construction from single-step to multi-step.
result Achieves sublinear regret guarantee for contextual episodic MDPs with personalized feedback.

Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.

problem How informed traders strategically reveal signals impacts market prices and utility.
method Modeling a market with an informed trader, an uninformed trader, and liquidity providers, proving equilibrium existence.
result In equilibrium, the insider strategically reveals a noisier signal, making prices less responsive to public information.

Unified framework for estimating indirect effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounding.

problem Challenges in evaluating indirect effects due to unmeasured confounding and unethical exposures.
method Developed a unified identification and estimation framework using proximal causal inference.
result Unified identification and estimation of PIIE and causal effect of an intervening variable in settings with pervasive unmeasured confounding.

New methods resolve conflicting treatment effect estimates in health tech assessments.

problem Conflicting conclusions from different sponsors analyzing the same data.
method Arbitrated indirect treatment comparisons (ArMAIC) targeting a common target population.
result Estimates treatment effects in a common target population, resolving the MAIC paradox.

This study compares direct and indirect methods for estimating own funds in life insurance, finding indirect methods more effective under realistic asset-liability coupling.

problem Computing own funds for life insurers using direct and indirect methods in a risk-neutral pricing framework.
method Introduced a novel family of mixed estimators including both direct and indirect methods, integrated into a control variate framework for variance reduction.
result The indirect method is more effective under realistic asset-liability coupling, but neither method is universally superior.

Estimates causal effects using machine learning for binary treatment and mediator.

problem Estimating direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under selection-on-observables.
method Double/debiased machine learning estimators based on efficient score functions.
result Uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of effect estimators.

The relationship between international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the main features of globalization. In this paper we investigate the effects of FDI on trade from a network perspective, since FDI takes not only direct but also indirect channels from origin to destination countries because of f…

2017-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The widespread use of automated decision processes in many areas of our society raises serious ethical issues concerning the fairness of the process and the possible resulting discriminations. In this work, we propose a novel approach called GANsan whose objective is to prevent the possibility of any discrimination i.e…

2019-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.

New method handles indirect mediators in CMA for complex scenarios.

problem Handling indirect and multi-dimensional mediators in causal mediation analysis.
method Identifiable Variational Autoencoder (iVAE) architecture for multi-dimensional, indirectly observed mediators.
result Accurate estimation of direct and mediated effects in synthetic and semi-synthetic experiments.

Develops exact and invariant study-based decompositions for network meta-analysis.

problem Lack of exact contribution decompositions in network meta-analysis.
method Contrast-space projection formulation of NMA, study-based definition of direct and indirect evidence.
result Exact covariance-aware decompositions of NMA estimator into direct and indirect contributions.

Identification of causal direction between a causal-effect pair from observed data has recently attracted much attention. Various methods based on functional causal models have been proposed to solve this problem, by assuming the causal process satisfies some (structural) constraints and showing that the reverse direct…

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Driven by the goal to enable sleep apnea monitoring and machine learning-based detection at home with small mobile devices, we investigate whether interpretation-based indirect knowledge transfer can be used to create classifiers with acceptable performance. Interpretation-based indirect knowledge transfer means that a…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗