Study increasing profits in a flexible financial market model.
problem Characterize increasing profits in a 1D diffusion market with interest rates.
method Characterize increasing profits using an auxiliary deterministic signed measure and a canonical trading strategy.
result Existence and characterization of increasing profits in terms of ν and θ. Study shows adding similar investors can either increase or decrease profits, depending on their strategy.
problem Investors argue conflictingly about the impact of adding similar investors on their profits.
method Built an agent-based financial market model with additional agents and investigated their earnings.
result Adding similar fundamental agents stabilizes market prices and decreases profits, while adding similar technical agents makes prices unstable and increases profits.
Study upper hedging prices for contingent claims in models with various types of arbitrage.
problem Valuation of contingent claims in market models with different types of arbitrage.
method Analysis of market models with increasing profit, strong arbitrage, and arbitrage of the first kind.
result Option prices are reduced when increasing profit is present, and corporate stock price processes can be derived from issuance and repurchase plans.
Corporate transparency reduces investors' disposition effect by increasing confidence in holding profitable and losing stocks.
problem Irrational disposition effect in investors selling profitable assets too soon and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Examined the impact of corporate transparency on individual investors' disposition effect.
result Increased corporate transparency significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…
Game theory models storage investment to balance market competition and profits.
problem Strategic storage investment impacts electricity market prices and revenues.
method Formulated a non-cooperative game between investors to model strategic storage decisions.
result Increasing storage capacity reduces individual profits but increases total investment.
Dark blockchain venues increase miners' profits but raise users' execution risk.
problem Exploitable information leakage in blockchain transactions.
method Economic incentive analysis and empirical study of dark venues.
result Dark venues increase miners' profits but raise users' execution risk.
Fossil power firms have recently profited more than renewables, but this may be a temporary phenomenon.
problem The profitability gap between renewable and fossil power firms in Europe.
method Machine-learning clustering and Bayesian model averaging.
result Renewable power firms are becoming more profitable, while fossil power firms are becoming less so.
Study on energy storage's impact on electricity prices and profitability.
problem Analyzing the profitability of energy storage in electricity markets.
method Characterized optimal operating strategy for storage systems, determined equilibrium price in a market with storage, renewables, and conventional producers, and characterized price process using stochastic differential equations.
result Increased average revenues and interquantile ranges for storage assets in energy transition scenarios.
The paper is aware of the importance of certain figures that are essential to an understanding of Credit Scoring models in credit acceptance process optimization, namely if the power of discrimination measured by Gini value is increased by 5% then the profit of the process can be increased monthly by about 1 500 kPLN (…
This paper monetizes customer load data to boost energy retailer profits.
problem Improving load forecasts to reduce energy imbalance costs.
method Cooperative game theory approach to quantify and distribute profits.
result Retailer gains significant profit from customer load data.
Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.
Investment strategies derived from commodity futures curves exploit dynamics in price movements.
problem Modeling and predicting the term structure of commodity futures prices.
method Employed the Nelson-Siegel framework to model term structure, and developed investment strategies based on changes in slope and curvature parameters.
result Significant profits generated from systematic strategies based on the change in slope, unrelated to risk factors and robust to transaction costs.
Credit risk may be warehoused by choice, or because of limited hedging possibilities. Credit risk warehousing increases capital requirements and leaves open risk. Open risk must be priced in the physical measure, rather than the risk neutral measure, and implies profits and losses. Furthermore the rate of return on cap…
In our empirical study, we examine the price of liquid stocks after experiencing a large intraday price change using data from the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find significant reversal for both intraday price decreases and increases. The results are stable against varying parameters. While on the NYSE the large widening of…
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
problem Analyzing efficiency and profitability of Chinese banks over time.
method Used Data envelopment analysis (Super-SBM-UND-VRS based DEA) model considering non-performing loans as undesired output.
result State-owned banks and Rural/City Commercial Banks have better profitability super-efficiency than Joint-stock Banks.
New method decomposes profits and losses continuously, avoiding discrete reporting issues.
problem Analyzing profits and losses at discrete dates ignores detailed paths.
method Constructs a large class of continuous-time decompositions using extended Itô's formula.
result Identifies a preferred decomposition from exactness, symmetry, and normalization axioms.
Neoclassical economics has two theories of competition between profit-maximizing firms (Marshallian and Cournot-Nash) that start from different premises about the degree of strategic interaction between firms, yet reach the same result, that market price falls as the number of firms in an industry increases. The Marsha…
We point out a simple equities trading strategy that allows a sufficiently large, market-neutral, quantitative hedge fund to achieve outsized returns while simultaneously contributing significantly to increasing global wealth inequality. Overnight and intraday return distributions in major equity indices in the United …
The paper analyzes CEX-DEX arbitrage and profitability on Ethereum, revealing centralization trends and market impacts.
problem Ethereum's decentralization and CEX-DEX arbitrages.
method Empirical analysis of 19 months' data from 7.2M CEX-DEX transactions, refining heuristics to identify and estimate arbitrage revenue.
result Three searchers captured three-quarters of volume and extracted value, and profitability is tied to integration with block builders.
LG algorithm finds profitable trading paths in decentralized exchanges.
problem Identifying optimal trading paths in decentralized exchanges.
method Line-graph-based algorithm (LG) for efficient route discovery.
result LG consistently identifies more profitable paths than DFS with comparable costs.
We consider a single security market based on a limit order book and two investors, with different speeds of trade execution. If the fast investor can front-run the slower investor, we show that this allows the fast trader to obtain risk free profits, but that these profits cannot be scaled. We derive the fast trader's…
Diversification improves profits for heavy-tailed investments.
problem Investment portfolios of Pareto-distributed returns.
method Stochastic dominance and majorization order.
result Diversification increases first-order stochastic dominance for heavy-tailed returns.
Bitcoin draws the highest degree of attention among cryptocurrencies, while coin mining is one of the most important fashion of profiting in the Bitcoin ecosystem. This paper constructs fresh coin circulation networks by tracking the fresh coin transfer routes with transaction referencing in Bitcoin blockchain. This pa…
Paper optimizes battery storage in multiple energy markets for better profits.
problem Optimizing battery storage participation in multiple energy markets to balance supply and demand.
method Developed a joint bidding strategy combining intraday and frequency markets using mixed integer linear programming and a learned classifier strategy.
result The LCS increases overall profits by over 4% compared to static strategies and by more than 3% over a naive dynamic benchmark.
Study finds CRPS learning doesn't improve day-ahead bidding profits despite better accuracy.
problem Improving day-ahead bidding profits through better probabilistic price forecasting.
method CRPS learning to minimize continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) for ensemble predictions.
result Higher diversity in ensemble predictions improves accuracy but doesn't lead to higher profits.
High-frequency trading strategy boosts battery storage profits.
problem Maximizing revenue for battery energy storage systems in intraday markets.
method Adapted dynamic programming for continuous intraday markets, considering limit order book dynamics.
result Dynamic programming strategy outperforms standard re-optimization methods, increasing profits by 58% and 14% respectively.
Big data from phone calls improves credit scoring models and profits.
problem Improving credit scoring models to enhance financial inclusion.
method Combining call-detail records and traditional data to build scorecards using social network analytics.
result Combining call-detail records with traditional data significantly increases model performance and profit.
Investor and firm optimize sustainable investment and emission reduction through a dynamic game.
problem Optimal sustainable investment and emission reduction in a dynamic game setting.
method Formulated as a nonzero-sum dynamic game, solved via variational inequalities and verified in a diffusive setup.
result Nash equilibria show moving boundaries increasing with emission abatement, triggered by both investor and firm actions.
Study uses Open Banking data to estimate customer value, showing potential 21% increase.
problem Limited CLV estimation using single-entity data.
method Introduces PCLV framework using Open Banking data for comprehensive customer value estimation.
result Open Banking data can estimate PCLV per competitor, showing a 21.06% increase over Actual CLV.
Combines deep learning and reinforcement learning for profitable trading.
problem Analytical methods fail to fully capture market dynamics.
method Deep learning on order books combined with reinforcement learning.
result Successful trading models for multiple financial instruments.
Study models weather index insurance pricing by insurers and farmers, finding flexible pricing kernels boost profits.
problem Monopoly pricing of weather index insurance with risk and flexibility considerations.
method Bowley-type sequential game with insurer and farmer, using neural networks for farmer's payoff.
result Flexible pricing kernels increase insurer profits closer to indemnity insurance levels.
AI simplifies trading strategies, potentially making markets more efficient.
problem Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) relies on traders optimising trading strategies based on information.
method Generalised notion of market efficiency, distinguishing model complexity through investor beliefs and trading strategies.
result Increased availability of low-cost AI systems may push towards more advanced trading strategies, potentially harder for inefficient traders.
Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the sense that the ``constant pricing rule " actually assumes an adaptive expected price…
Study finds gender bias in human evaluators and shows how machine learning can mitigate it.
problem Gender bias in human decision-making on micro-lending platforms.
method Structural econometric model and machine learning algorithms trained on real-world data.
result Machine learning algorithms can mitigate both preference-based and belief-based biases.
The paper tackles backtest overfitting in cryptocurrency trading using deep reinforcement learning.
problem Backtest overfitting in deep reinforcement learning for cryptocurrency trading.
method Formulated hypothesis test for overfitting detection, trained agents, estimated overfitting probability, and rejected overfitted agents.
result Less overfitted deep reinforcement learning agents outperformed more overfitted agents and market benchmarks.
Modeling gas fee competition in decentralized exchanges to optimize arbitrage profits.
problem Gas fees and transaction ordering in decentralized exchanges create arbitrage opportunities.
method Developed a first equilibrium model of gas fee competition between two arbitrageurs under three transaction reversion settings.
result Mixed equilibria exist, and their characteristics depend on inventory risk and transaction settings.
In order to face the expected increasing demand of energy crops without creating conflicts of land occupation sustainability, farmers need to find reliable alternatives in marginal agricultural areas where the production of food hardly ever is economically and environmentally sustainable. The purpose of this work was t…
Paper proves using historical trading info improves trading strategies.
problem Improving trading strategies through historical data.
method Develops a new strategy using self-generated historical trading information.
result A new strategy consistently outperforms existing ones.
AI traders learn to exploit meta-orders from slower traders, increasing their profits.
problem Adverse selection of medium-frequency traders by high-frequency AI agents.
method Reinforcement learning in a Hawkes LOB model, with impulse control and PPO.
result AI agents can learn to capitalize on meta-orders, increasing their profits.
The Labouchere gambling system is hypothesized to increase the probability of winning a predetermined arbitrary profit in a gambling system such as a coin flip or a roulette game in which both payouts and odds are 1:1. However, use of the system increases the downside monetary risk in the event of a streak of multiple …
Two firms compete in a financial market, choosing dividend strategies to avoid default and maximize profits.
problem Strategic interaction between two financially constrained firms in a market with default risk.
method Construct Nash equilibria in feedback form for a class of two-person stochastic games of singular control.
result Explicit identification of optimal strategies and equilibrium payoffs for different initial conditions.
Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for 1000 and 730 trading days of the slovak emerging capital market. The Buy and Hold…
This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.
problem Improving financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies in a competitive market.
method Financial competitiveness evaluation index system using key financial ratios and a scoring system.
result Companies with high scores have strong profitability and operational capacity, while those with lower scores struggle with solvency and working capital.
How can graph theory be applied to investing in the stock market? The answer may help investors realize the true risks of their investments, help prevent recessions like that of 2008, and increase financial literacy amongst students. Using several original Python programs, we take a correlation matrix with correlations…
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
problem Evaluating profitability of commercial banks in Bangladesh.
method Examined bank-specific, industry-specific, and banking system factors on profitability.
result Islamic banks consistently outperform conventional banks in profitability.
A trading system predicts stock prices using DNNs for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. shares.
problem Complexity and unpredictability of stock market prices.
method Feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for price prediction, technical indicators for trade generation.
result Increased profitability with high Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios.
Study identifies Bitcoin arbitrageurs and their trading strategies.
problem Detecting and understanding Bitcoin arbitrageurs on Mt. Gox.
method Analyzing historical trade data from Mt. Gox (2011-2014) to identify and categorize arbitrageurs.
result Expert arbitrageurs have a positive profit margin, while novice users do not.