PEER tackles multi-response regression with incomplete outcomes efficiently.
problem Challenges in estimating, predicting, and computing with large-scale multi-response regression and incomplete outcomes.
method PEER converts multi-response regression into parallel univariate-response regressions.
result PEER achieves consistency in estimation, prediction, and variable selection.
Investor finds a fair outcome in complex financial markets.
problem Finding a fair outcome in complex financial markets.
method Recalled and proved the existence of personal equilibrium in a multistep, generically incomplete financial market model.
result Personal equilibrium exists in a multistep, generically incomplete financial market model under appropriate assumptions.
We consider the problem of sequential sampling from a finite number of independent statistical populations to maximize the expected infinite horizon average outcome per period, under a constraint that the expected average sampling cost does not exceed an upper bound. The outcome distributions are not known. We construc…
Data mining and machine learning techniques such as classification and regression trees (CART) represent a promising alternative to conventional logistic regression for propensity score estimation. Whereas incomplete data preclude the fitting of a logistic regression on all subjects, CART is appealing in part because s…
The results of data mining endeavors are majorly driven by data quality. Throughout these deployments, serious show-stopper problems are still unresolved, such as: data collection ambiguities, data imbalance, hidden biases in data, the lack of domain information, and data incompleteness. This paper is based on the prem…
New framework estimates target functions from incomplete data.
problem Estimating target functions from partially observed data.
method IF-learning framework using influence functions.
result Two learning algorithms developed for estimation.
Deep learning model predicts severe COVID-19 outcomes.
problem Predicting severe COVID-19 outcomes in ED patients.
method Deep feature fusion model using EHR data and CXR images.
result CO-RISK score achieved AUC of 0.95 and 0.92 for 24 and 72 hours predictions, superior to human performance.
In this paper I empirically investigate prediction markets for binary options. Advocates of prediction markets have suggested that asset prices are consistent estimators of the "true" probability of a state of the world being realized. I test whether the market reaches a "consensus." I find little evidence for converge…
Predicting an individual's risk of experiencing a future clinical outcome is a statistical task with important consequences for both practicing clinicians and public health experts. Modern observational databases such as electronic health records (EHRs) provide an alternative to the longitudinal cohort studies traditio…
PPI uses predictions to improve inference from incomplete data.
problem Incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in research fields.
method Leverages large unlabeled datasets for improved statistical efficiency with bias correction.
result PPI variants produce tighter confidence intervals than complete-case analysis.
Proposes a new Q-learning method for survival outcomes in clinical trials.
problem Incomplete follow-up data and nonlinear covariate effects in clinical trials.
method Combines Buckley-James boosting with flexible base learners for estimating optimal treatment regimes.
result Improves treatment decision accuracy and stability in longitudinal clinical trials.
Researchers tackle insider trading in incomplete markets using a discrete-time jump process approach.
problem Tackles insider trading in incomplete markets under the trinomial model.
method Uses a marked binomial process and stochastic analysis with Malliavin calculus.
result Identifies insider expected additional utility with Shannon entropy of extra information.
Proposes Causal k-Means Clustering to identify subgroup effects.
problem Identifying subgroup effects with heterogeneous treatment effects.
method Leverages k-means clustering to uncover unknown subgroup structure.
result Developed bias-corrected estimator with fast root-n rates and asymptotic normality.
Proposes a new CBO method without known causal graphs.
problem Optimizing outcomes with unknown causal graphs.
method New CBO method focusing on direct causal parents, learning Bayesian posterior over them.
result Empirical validation and competitive performance with GP approximation.
We consider thin incomplete financial markets, where traders with heterogeneous preferences and risk exposures have motive to behave strategically regarding the demand schedules they submit, thereby impacting prices and allocations. We argue that traders relatively more exposed to market risk tend to submit more elasti…
New method clusters strong and weak views effectively, improving performance by up to 40%.
problem Clustering incomplete multi-view data with unbalanced incompleteness.
method View evolution scheme and weighted multi-view subspace clustering.
result Improves clustering performance by up to 40% on three metrics.
The noncompact Yamabe flow can lead to incomplete metrics over infinite time.
problem Incompleteness of noncompact Yamabe flow solutions over infinite time.
method Analysis of long-time behavior of the noncompact Yamabe flow.
result Existence of a long-time solution that is complete for each time but converges to an incomplete metric.
New flow preserves singularities on incomplete manifolds.
problem Evolve incomplete manifolds with bounded curvature.
method Construct Ricci de Turck flow uniformly equivalent to initial metric.
result Any incomplete manifold can be evolved for a short time.
The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients convert a complete market model into a incomplete one.…
Develops GNNs for incomplete graphs, improving learning from missing node attributes.
problem Learning from incomplete graphs with missing node attributes.
method Introduces PaGNNs with novel partial aggregation functions for incomplete graph data.
result Demonstrates effectiveness and efficiency of PaGNNs on various datasets.
HPPCA improves imputation of longitudinal data with missing values.
problem Handling incomplete, high-dimensional longitudinal data with nested sources of variation and temporal dependency.
method Hierarchical probabilistic principal component analysis (HPPCA) with a two-level latent factor model and Gaussian process.
result HPPCA outperforms standard PPCA and multivariate functional PCA in imputation accuracy, even under heavy missingness and model misspecification.
In order to find a way of measuring the degree of incompleteness of an incomplete financial market, the rank of the vector price process of the traded assets and the dimension of the associated acceptance set are introduced. We show that they are equal and state a variety of consequences.
This paper solves hedging in incomplete markets using neural networks.
problem Hedging in incomplete markets with risk factor, illiquidity, and discrete transaction dates.
method Proposes a jump-diffusion model and uses RNN, LSTM, and Mogrifier-LSTM neural networks for hedging strategies.
result Mogrifier-LSTM is the fastest and most effective model for hedging.
Optimal privacy-preserving ranking from noisy comparisons.
problem Protecting individual privacy in ranking from noisy comparisons.
method Differentially private ranking algorithms under edge and individual differential privacy.
result Achieved minimax optimal rates of convergence under privacy constraints.
We investigate the possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness for discrete time stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients convert a complete market model into a incomplete one. The paper shows that market inc…
We consider the problem of optimal consumption of multiple goods in incomplete semimartingale markets. We formulate the dual problem and identify conditions that allow for existence and uniqueness of the solution and give a characterization of the optimal consumption strategy in terms of the dual optimizer. We illustra…
In the setting of exponential investors and uncertainty governed by Brownian motions we first prove the existence of an incomplete equilibrium for a general class of models. We then introduce a tractable class of exponential-quadratic models and prove that the corresponding incomplete equilibrium is characterized by a …
Study Dirac operators on incomplete cusp edge spaces, proving self-adjointness and Fredholm properties.
problem Analyzing Dirac operators on complex geometric spaces.
method Construct heat kernel, prove self-adjointness and Fredholm properties, establish index formula.
result Proved Dirac operators are essentially self-adjoint and Fredholm.
Algorithm recovers sparse PCA support from incomplete data.
problem Sparse PCA with incomplete and noisy data.
method Semidefinite program (SDP) relaxation of non-convex l1-regularized PCA. result SDP enables exact recovery of true support of sparse leading eigenvector.
New ML method detects incomplete bid-rigging cartels.
problem Detecting incomplete bid-rigging cartels in competitive bidding.
method Combines statistical screens with machine learning.
result Algorithm outperforms existing methods in incomplete cartels.
We show that when the price process S represents a fully incomplete market, the optimal super-replication of any Markovian claim g(ST) with g(⋅) being nonnegative and lower semicontinuous is of buy-and-hold type. Since both (unbounded) stochastic volatility models and rough volatility models are examples of …
The paper extends cost-efficiency analysis to incomplete markets.
problem Cost-efficiency in incomplete financial markets.
method Extends results from complete markets to incomplete markets, introduces new preferences.
result Optimal portfolios in non-decreasing preferences are perfectly cost-efficient.
New estimator for symmetric kernel expectations, robust to missing data.
problem Efficient estimation of symmetric kernel expectations with missing data.
method Median-of-Incomplete-U-Statistics (MIU) estimator.
result Established finite-sample concentration rate for MIU.
Study optimal investment and consumption in incomplete markets with nonlinear expectations.
problem Utility maximization in incomplete markets with general constraints.
method Utilizes g-martingale method to solve optimization problem for various utility functions. result Characterizes optimal investment-consumption strategy through quadratic BSDE solutions.
New model bridges pricing and reserving for insurance claims.
problem Incomplete claim data due to reporting and settlement delays.
method Develops an occurrence and development model to estimate both claims and premiums.
result Effective resolution of pricing and reserving inconsistencies.
Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.
problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.
Improved VAE estimation from incomplete data using variational mixtures.
problem Estimating VAEs from incomplete data increases posterior complexity.
method Introducing variational mixtures based on finite and imputation distributions.
result Variational mixtures improve VAE estimation accuracy from incomplete data.
When training a machine learning model with observational data, it is often encountered that some values are systemically missing. Learning from the incomplete data in which the missingness depends on some covariates may lead to biased estimation of parameters and even harm the fairness of decision outcome. This paper …
Motivated by recent interest in the spectrum of the Laplacian of incomplete surfaces with isolated conical singularities, we consider more general incomplete m-dimensional manifolds with singularities on sets of codimension at least 2. With certain restrictions on the metric, we establish that the spectrum is discrete …
Solves ambiguity in incomplete markets by minimizing price measure entropy.
problem Ambiguity in pricing incomplete markets.
method Minimizes the entropy of the price measure from the economic measure, subject to mark-to-market constraints.
result Resolves ambiguity and provides a consistent pricing measure.
Proves limit curve theorem for incomplete metric spaces, applies to null distance in Lorentzian manifolds.
problem Control of Lorentzian lengths of limit curves in incomplete metric spaces.
method Proves limit curve theorem for incomplete metric spaces and applies to null distance.
result Strong control on Lorentzian lengths of limit curves in Sormani and Vegas' null distance.
Abstract and counterexamples show limitations of cost-efficiency in incomplete markets.
problem Understanding cost-efficiency in incomplete financial markets.
method Simple 3-state model and expected utility maximization problem.
result Characterization of perfectly cost-efficient claims and its application to incomplete markets.
In this paper, we propose PCKID, a novel, robust, kernel function for spectral clustering, specifically designed to handle incomplete data. By combining posterior distributions of Gaussian Mixture Models for incomplete data on different scales, we are able to learn a kernel for incomplete data that does not depend on a…
GapNet uses incomplete datasets to train neural networks, improving disease detection.
problem Training neural networks with incomplete datasets, especially in health care.
method Split dataset into subsets, train individual neural networks, combine and fine-tune.
result Improved identification of patients with Alzheimer's and Covid-19 risk.
The paper proves pseudolocality theorems for Ricci flows on incomplete manifolds.
problem Pseudolocality of Ricci flows on incomplete manifolds.
method Proves pseudolocality theorems for Ricci flows under specific curvature and isoperimetric conditions.
result Constructs solutions of Ricci flow in balls with pseudolocality property.
New method estimates model parameters from incomplete data.
problem Estimating model parameters from incomplete data.
method Variational Gibbs Inference (VGI)
result Competitive or better performance compared to existing methods.
We introduce a new class of context dependent, incomplete information games to serve as structured prediction models for settings with significant strategic interactions. Our games map the input context to outcomes by first condensing the input into private player types that specify the utilities, weighted interactions…
New method discovers causal structures from incomplete data.
problem Discovering causal structure from incomplete data.
method Encoder and reinforcement learning integrated approach.
result Our method outperforms existing methods by 43.2%.