Improved learning of relational models from partial network data.
problem Inaccurate parameter estimates for relational models from network samples.
method Stochastic gradient descent for relational logistic regression from partial network crawls.
result Accurate parameter estimates and confidence intervals achieved.
A new method reduces dimensionality for better likelihood-free parameter estimation.
problem Estimating parameters from data with no closed-form likelihood.
method Combines reconstruction map estimation with dimension-reduction techniques.
result The proposed method outperforms existing techniques in accuracy and efficiency.
Two simulation-based methods improve optimal sampling design in systems biology.
problem Optimal selection of sampling points for accurate parameter estimation in dynamical systems.
method E-optimal-ranking (EOR) and LSTM neural network-based methods.
result Simulation studies show the proposed methods outperform random selection and classical E-optimal design.
SBI provides more accurate pole positions than chi-squared minimization in model misspecification.
problem Accurate pole position estimation in pi-pi scattering models.
method Simulation Based Inference (SBI) method compared to chi-squared minimization.
result SBI leads to more robust predictions of pole positions in models of pi-pi scattering.
New method improves simulation-based inference by avoiding model misspecification.
problem Inefficient parameter estimation for models with intractable likelihoods.
method Proposes a robust SNL method with additional adjustment parameters.
result Demonstrates more accurate point estimates and uncertainty quantification.
The study examines how many samples are needed to minimize a noisy convex function with inaccurate gradient estimates.
problem Determining the number of samples needed to minimize a noisy convex function with inaccurate gradient estimates.
method Using Stochastic Convex Optimization as a case study, the study analyzes the relationship between the number of samples and the accuracy of gradient estimates.
result The study provides partial answers to the question, showing that a general analyst requires Ω(1/ε3) samples and that under certain assumptions, ildeΩ(1/ε2.5) samples are necessary for gradient descent to interact with the oracle. A new method uses recurrent nets to efficiently estimate SEIR model parameters.
problem Estimating SEIR model parameters is slow and inaccurate with grid search.
method Transform non-differentiable problem to differentiable one using recurrent nets.
result Significantly better parameter estimations with fewer simulations.
Enhances reinforcement learning uncertainty estimation with a generalized Gaussian error model.
problem Inaccurate error representations and compromised uncertainty estimation in conventional uncertainty-aware TD learning.
method Introduces a novel framework for generalized Gaussian error modeling in deep reinforcement learning, incorporating higher-order moments, particularly kurtosis, to improve uncertainty estimation and mitigation.
result Significant performance gains in policy gradient algorithms with the proposed framework.
Unified method for inference on partially identified causal effects using covariates.
problem Partial identification of causal effects due to unobserved joint potential outcomes.
method Model-agnostic approach using duality theory for optimal transport problems.
result Uniformly valid inference for a wide class of estimands, even with inaccurate nuisance parameter estimates.
Bayesian model tackles high-dimensional inverse problems efficiently.
problem Estimating spatially-varying parameters in expensive models.
method Multiscale Bayesian inference with deep generative models and MCMC.
result Efficient estimation of global and local parameter features.
Privacy preserving mechanisms such as differential privacy inject additional randomness in the form of noise in the data, beyond the sampling mechanism. Ignoring this additional noise can lead to inaccurate and invalid inferences. In this paper, we incorporate the privacy mechanism explicitly into the likelihood functi…
Paper stabilizes DARTS algorithm for better neural architecture search.
problem Weak stability of DARTS algorithm leading to unreliable results.
method Amended gradient estimation method to bridge optimization gap.
result Significant improvement in search stability and larger search spaces explored.
Framework corrects noisy labels to improve DNN performance.
problem Performance degradation due to noisy labels in large-scale datasets.
method Joint optimization of DNN parameters and true labels estimation.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in experiments.
TARP tests accuracy of generative posterior estimators.
problem Assessing the accuracy of posterior estimators from generative models.
method TARP coverage testing method.
result TARP can detect inaccurate inferences in high-dimensional spaces.
Deep learning detects inaccurate smart meters for resource savings.
problem Detecting and replacing inaccurate smart meters to save resources.
method Developed a deep-learning method using LSTM and CNN to predict electricity usage trajectories.
result High accuracy in detecting inaccurate meters for practical usage.
The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is assumed to be constant but this may be inaccurate when there are covariates that cou…
New bounds for sampling algorithms without log-concavity assumptions.
problem Sampling high-dimensional probability measures without log-concavity assumptions.
method Euler discretisation of SDEs with novel convergence rates and coupling construction.
result Explicit L2 convergence rates and non-asymptotic bounds for sampling algorithms. We study the value of information in sequential compressed sensing by characterizing the performance of sequential information guided sensing in practical scenarios when information is inaccurate. In particular, we assume the signal distribution is parameterized through Gaussian or Gaussian mixtures with estimated mean…
New method estimates HMM hidden states efficiently.
problem Inaccurate posterior predictive distribution in HMMs.
method Autoregressive-flow for estimating hidden states.
result Estimates comparable to SMC algorithm.
Incorporating domain knowledge into the modeling process is an effective way to improve learning accuracy. However, as it is provided by humans, domain knowledge can only be specified with some degree of uncertainty. We propose to explicitly model such uncertainty through probabilistic constraints over the parameter sp…
We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of assets remains comparable in magnitude to the sample size, we provide a characte…
Paper uses robust GMM to reconstruct missing data in Sentinel-2 images for crop monitoring.
problem Missing data in remote sensing images, especially from multispectral and SAR sensors.
method Robust Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) with outlier detection using isolation forest.
result Robust GMM outperforms standard GMM in reconstructing imputed values, reducing errors.
Neural networks estimate spatial process likelihoods efficiently.
problem Challenges in estimating spatial processes with slow or intractable likelihoods.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on a classification task to learn likelihood function.
result Neural likelihood surfaces provide fast and accurate parameter estimation.
Study proposes method to estimate causal effects from noisy treatment data.
problem Estimating causal effects from noisy treatment data without side information.
method Deep latent variable model with neural network parameterization and amortized importance-weighted variational objective.
result Causal effect estimates are identifiable without side information and measurement error variance knowledge.
New method controls false edge detections in Gaussian graphical models.
problem High false edge detections in well-established estimators.
method Nodewise variable selection approach to control false discovery rate.
result Significant gain in performance compared to competing methods.
A multiple instance dictionary learning method using functions of multiple instances (DL-FUMI) is proposed to address target detection and two-class classification problems with inaccurate training labels. Given inaccurate training labels, DL-FUMI learns a set of target dictionary atoms that describe the most distincti…
Method captures fabric mechanics from depth images without expensive setups.
problem Estimating mechanical parameters of fabrics accurately and efficiently.
method Sim-to-real strategy using learning-based framework trained on synthetic data.
result Metric correlates with human judgments of fabric drape similarity.
New normalization method makes neural networks more robust to adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial vulnerability of BatchNorm in deep neural networks.
method Identified distribution shift caused by adversarial images, proposed RobustNorm to use inference-time statistics.
result RobustNorm makes models more robust to adversarial attacks without sacrificing BatchNorm benefits.
Proposes adjusting neural network errors for time series forecasting.
problem Autocorrelated errors in neural networks for time series.
method Jointly learn autocorrelation coefficient with model parameters.
result Enhances performance in almost all time series forecasting cases.
Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models assume spike counts to be Poisson-distributed, which ignores the fact that many neur…
Study reveals why polls were inaccurate in 2016 US election.
problem Why opinion polls were inaccurate in 2016 US election.
method Proposes clean sensing framework for optimal parameter estimation from heterogeneous data sources.
result Optimal polling strategy allocates resources based on data quality and quantity.
Multivariate regular variation plays a role assessing tail risk in diverse applications such as finance, telecommunications, insurance and environmental science. The classical theory, being based on an asymptotic model, sometimes leads to inaccurate and useless estimates of probabilities of joint tail regions. This pro…
A scalable model estimates revenue uncertainty for SMEs.
problem Estimating revenue uncertainty for SMEs to manage credit limits.
method Scalable Natural Gradient Boosting Machines.
result The method distinguishes accurate from inaccurate revenue forecasts.
Variational inference provides approximations to the computationally intractable posterior distribution in Bayesian networks. A prominent medical application of noisy-or Bayesian network is to infer potential diseases given observed symptoms. Previous studies focus on approximating a handful of complicated pathological…
We apply multiple testing procedures to the validation of estimated default probabilities in credit rating systems. The goal is to identify rating classes for which the probability of default is estimated inaccurately, while still maintaining a predefined level of committing type I errors as measured by the familywise …
A new algorithm SRG-DQN reduces variance in deep Q-learning.
problem Inaccurate estimation of anchor points in SVRG for deep Q-learning.
method Introduces recursive gradient variance reduction for stochastic gradient updates.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and effectiveness of SRG-DQN on reinforcement learning tasks.
While the authors of Batch Normalization (BN) identify and address an important problem involved in training deep networks-- Internal Covariate Shift-- the current solution has certain drawbacks. Specifically, BN depends on batch statistics for layerwise input normalization during training which makes the estimates of …
While the authors of Batch Normalization (BN) identify and address an important problem involved in training deep networks-- \textit{Internal Covariate Shift}-- the current solution has certain drawbacks. For instance, BN depends on batch statistics for layerwise input normalization during training which makes the esti…
We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we show that it is non-trivial to select a good estimator without knowledge about the …
Popular interpretability methods often produce inaccurate feature importance estimates.
problem Inaccurate feature importance estimates in deep neural networks.
method Empirical measure of feature importance accuracy across large-scale image classification datasets.
result Only certain ensemble-based methods (VarGrad and SmoothGrad-Squared) outperform random assignment of feature importance.
Develops new methods to evaluate data influence in SAM for improved model training.
problem Challenges in mislabeled noisy data and privacy concerns in SAM.
method Two innovative data valuation methods based on influence functions (IF) for SAM.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in identifying mislabeled data and enhancing interpretability.
Paper proposes hybrid machine learning for tuning first principles models in engineering systems.
problem Inaccurate first principles models in process engineering due to changing conditions.
method Hybrid machine learning framework using Bayesian Neural Networks.
result Uncertainty estimates improve operation decisions in multiphase flow modeling.
New method improves robustness of deep learning with noisy labels.
problem Robust deep learning on corrupted labels with noisy samples.
method Meta-transition adaptation through clean meta data guidance.
result More accurate estimation of noise transition matrix and classifier parameters.
A new method improves graph-based semi-supervised classification by removing noise and mixed signs.
problem Inaccurate soft labels and noise in graph-based semi-supervised classification.
method Triple-matrix-recovery-based robust auto-weighted label propagation framework (ALP-TMR).
result Improved robustness to noise and outliers in label estimation.
New techniques improve the accuracy of identifying nonlinear systems from noisy data.
problem Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems from noisy state measurements.
method Comparative study of local and global smoothing techniques to denoise state measurements and improve sparse regression methods.
result Global smoothing methods outperform local methods in improving the accuracy of governing equation recovery.
DC-NAS improves neural architecture search by clustering and evaluating sub-networks.
problem Inaccurate evaluation of neural architectures in large search spaces.
method Divide-and-Conquer approach: feature representation, clustering, and evaluation of clusters.
result Achieved 75.1% top-1 accuracy on ImageNet, surpassing state-of-the-art methods.
New method improves causal effect estimation by addressing imbalance in training data.
problem Imbalance between treatment and control groups in training data.
method Combines distributionally robust optimization and weight regularization.
result Consistent improvements over existing methods in experiments.
This paper has been withdrawn by the author due to some inaccurate descriptions in the section of INTRODUCTION and CONCLUSIONS.