A new measure, the implied Sharpe ratio, helps investors choose among European options.
problem No concise measure exists to compare different European options.
method Taylor series expansion of state-dependent coefficients in a nonlinear PDE.
result The option with the highest implied Sharpe ratio improves utility the most.
We show that the martingale component in the long-term factorization of the stochastic discount factor due to Alvarez and Jermann (2005) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) is highly volatile, produces a downward-sloping term structure of bond Sharpe ratios, and implies that the long bond is far from growth optimality. In…
When trading incurs proportional costs, leverage can scale an asset's return only up to a maximum multiple, which is sensitive to its volatility and liquidity. In a model with one safe and one risky asset, with constant investment opportunities and proportional costs, we find strategies that maximize long term returns …
Perpetual futures offer leverage without maturity, with prices influenced by funding rates.
problem Understanding and pricing perpetual futures with funding rates.
method Derive no-arbitrage prices and bounds in markets with trading costs. Empirically analyze deviations and Sharpe ratios of implied arbitrage strategies.
result Implied arbitrage strategies in crypto markets yield high Sharpe ratios, indicating significant pricing inefficiencies.
The total duration of drawdowns is shown to provide a moment-free, unbiased, efficient and robust estimator of Sharpe ratios both for Gaussian and heavy-tailed price returns. We then use this quantity to infer an analytic expression of the bias of moment-based Sharpe ratio estimators as a function of the return distrib…
We study the finite horizon Merton portfolio optimization problem in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Using model coefficient expansion techniques, we derive approximations for the both the value function and the optimal investment strategy. We also analyze the `implied Sharpe ratio' and derive a series a…
Tests Sharpe ratio for skill vs luck in asset management.
problem Accuracy of Sharpe ratio in measuring skill vs luck.
method Statistical tests to assess the significance of Sharpe ratios.
result Tests reveal the statistical significance of Sharpe ratios and their impact of auto-correlation.
Optimal option portfolios under Sharpe Ratio maximization with skew-elliptical t-distributed returns
problem Optimal option portfolios under Sharpe Ratio maximization
method Formulation for explicit portfolio weights
result Different optimal portfolios for Sharpe Ratio and return-to-Value-at-Risk (VaR) ratio
Develops Heuristic Portfolio Optimization (HPO) as an information-restricted projection of Markowitz/tangency solution
problem Practitioners allocate capital with forecast-light rules like equal weight, inverse volatility, risk parity, HRP, and RA-HRP
method Implies-return principle and fixed-tree cluster-Sharpe recursion
result Formalizes HPO maps, proves defect equals squared inefficiency, and identifies nodewise alphas as policy-gradient coordinates
Omega ratio is shown to be equivalent to Sharpe ratio under certain distributional assumptions.
problem Comparing Omega ratio to Sharpe ratio as performance indicators.
method Computation and analysis of Omega ratio for normal distribution and proof for elliptic distributions.
result Omega ratio is equivalent to Sharpe ratio for returns with elliptic distributions.
The Sharpe ratio is a way to compare the excess returns (over the risk free asset) of portfolios for each unit of volatility that is generated by a portfolio. In this paper we introduce a robust Sharpe ratio portfolio under the assumption that the risk free asset is unknown. We propose a robust portfolio that maximizes…
We discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios for portfolio optimization. The Sharpe ratio is only one example of such generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios. Another example is what we term the Fano ratio (which, unlike the Sharpe ratio, is independent of the time horizon)…
Sharpe ratio is widely used in asset management to compare and benchmark funds and asset managers. It computes the ratio of the excess return over the strategy standard deviation. However, the elements to compute the Sharpe ratio, namely, the expected returns and the volatilities are unknown numbers and need to be esti…
Post hoc test for Sharpe ratio improves pairwise comparisons.
problem Improving pairwise comparisons of Sharpe ratios.
method Analogous to Tukey's test, applied after rejecting equal Signal-Noise ratios.
result Maintains nominal type I rate and is moderately powerful.
Estimates true Sharpe ratio of selected assets with various methods.
problem Estimating the true Sharpe ratio of a selected asset with high in-sample ratio.
method Polyhedral lemma, James Stein shrinkage, debiasing, thresholding, empirical Bayes.
result James Stein estimator performs best across various parameter values.
A simple example shows that losing all money is compatible with a very high Sharpe ratio (as computed after losing all money). However, the only way that the Sharpe ratio can be high while losing money is that there is a period in which all or almost all money is lost. This note explores the best achievable Sharpe and …
When the in-sample Sharpe ratio is obtained by optimizing over a k-dimensional parameter space, it is a biased estimator for what can be expected on unseen data (out-of-sample). We derive (1) an unbiased estimator adjusting for both sources of bias: noise fit and estimation error. We then show (2) how to use the adjust…
New method for Sharpe ratio analysis in high dimensions using residual-based nodewise regression.
problem Consistency of Sharpe ratio estimators in high-dimensional portfolios.
method Residual-based nodewise regression for estimating precision matrix of errors and returns.
result Consistent Sharpe ratio estimators in various portfolio settings.
Investments with best performance are not associated with best Sharpe ratios.
problem The relationship between performance and risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ratio) is counterintuitive for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Synthetic and real data analysis of returns distributions.
result The best-performing investments are not the best in terms of Sharpe ratio, and vice versa.
The paper develops methods for conditional inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio.
problem Performing inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio among correlated assets.
method Conditional inference procedure using multivariate Sharpe ratio standard error, alternative tests, and asymptotic adjustments.
result The conditional inference procedure achieves nominal type I rate and maintains near-nominal rejection rates under the conditional null.
We prove that the Omega measure, which considers all moments when assessing portfolio performance, is equivalent to the widely used Sharpe ratio under jointly elliptic distributions of returns. Portfolio optimization of the Sharpe ratio is then explored, with an active-set algorithm presented for markets prohibiting sh…
We present a new methodology of computing incremental contribution for performance ratios for portfolio like Sharpe, Treynor, Calmar or Sterling ratios. Using Euler's homogeneous function theorem, we are able to decompose these performance ratios as a linear combination of individual modified performance ratios. This a…
We prove trace identities for commutators of operators, which are used to derive sum rules and sharp universal bounds for the eigenvalues of periodic Schroedinger operators and Schroedinger operators on immersed manifolds. In particular, we prove bounds on the eigenvalue lambda_{N+1} in terms of the lower spectrum, bou…
Grover search for optimal portfolios based on Sharpe ratio.
problem Finding optimal portfolios with specific risk-return characteristics.
method Grover's algorithm applied to portfolio selection with oracles.
result Quantum algorithms can efficiently find optimal portfolios.
Double descent in portfolio optimization shows improved performance with complexity, then declines, due to overfitting.
problem Improving portfolio optimization performance with model complexity.
method Investigates the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in mean-variance portfolio optimization.
result Performance of low-dimensional models initially improves with complexity but declines due to overfitting. High-dimensional models show double ascent Sharpe ratio curve.
The paper proposes an asset allocation strategy using the Sortino ratio for better performance.
problem Traditional asset allocation methods like the Sharpe ratio do not penalize negative returns adequately.
method The Sortino ratio is used to maximize asset allocation, penalizing only negative return variances.
result The Sortino ratio-based strategy outperforms traditional methods like the Kelly criterion.
Paper uses AI to predict option volatility surfaces with improved accuracy.
problem Difficult to predict dynamic evolution of option volatility smile surface.
method Combines deep learning (LSTM) with attention mechanism.
result Predicted volatility surfaces lead to higher returns and Sharpe ratios.
We introduce a new measure of performance of investment strategies, the monotone Sharpe ratio. We study its properties, establish a connection with coherent risk measures, and obtain an efficient representation for using in applications.
The paper describes a method to infer the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization.
problem Estimating the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization problems.
method A statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion is used for inference.
result The method works well for reasonable sample and asset universe sizes.
The Sharpe ratio is the most widely used risk metric in the quantitative finance community - amazingly, essentially everyone gets it wrong. In this note, we will make a quixotic effort to rectify the situation.
The paper optimizes portfolios using clustering and Sharpe ratio-based optimization.
problem Optimizing portfolio performance in financial modeling.
method Combines K-Means clustering for asset segmentation and Sharpe ratio-based optimization.
result Optimized portfolios outperform traditional equal-weighted benchmarks.
The VIX is used to enhance quantitative trading strategies.
problem Improving Sharpe ratio and reducing trading risks in quantitative strategies.
method Postprocessing quantitative strategies with VIX signals.
result Increased Sharpe ratio and reduced trading risks.
Bayesian Parametric Portfolio Policies corrects overestimation of utility and risk in traditional PPP.
problem Traditional Parametric Portfolio Policies ignore policy risk, leading to overestimation of expected utility and understatement of portfolio risk.
method Developed Bayesian Parametric Portfolio Policies (BPPP) by placing a prior on policy coefficients to correct the decision rule.
result BPPP delivers higher Sharpe ratios, lower turnover, larger investor welfare, and lower tail risk compared to traditional PPP.
Study the impact of overfitting on linear predictive models' performance.
problem Overfitting reduces the out-of-sample performance of linear predictive trading strategies.
method Computed in- and out-of-sample means and variances of PnLs to derive replication ratios.
result Replication ratio diminishes for complex strategies with many assets.
Sharp volume growth ratio for 3D manifolds with positive scalar curvature.
problem Volume growth and scalar curvature in non-compact Riemannian manifolds.
method Analyzing 3D complete, non-compact manifolds with non-negative Ricci and positive scalar curvature.
result Obtained sharp linear volume growth ratio and rigidity.
Sharp Sobolev and Michael-Simon inequalities on curved manifolds.
problem Proving inequalities on manifolds with nonnegative curvature.
method Analyzing asymptotic volume ratio and curvature properties.
result Sharp Sobolev and Michael-Simon inequalities established.
We study the profitability of optimal mean reversion trading strategies in the US equity market. Different from regular pair trading practice, we apply maximum likelihood method to construct the optimal static pairs trading portfolio that best fits the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, and rigorously estimate the parameters.…
The Sharpe ratio, which is defined as the ratio of the excess expected return of an investment to its standard deviation, has been widely cited in the financial literature by researchers and practitioners. However, very little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the estimation of the ratio. Lo (200…
Proposes a new model to maximize out-of-sample Sharpe ratios by forecasting tangency portfolios.
problem Maximizing Sharpe ratios when returns and covariances are not stationary.
method Forecast the tangency portfolio using vector autoregressions and invest in the minimum Euclidean distance portfolio.
result Empirically validated superior out-of-sample Sharpe ratios.
We investigate the continuity of expected exponential utility maximization with respect to perturbation of the Sharpe ratio of markets. By focusing only on continuity, we impose weaker regularity conditions than those found in the literature. Specifically, we require, in addition to the V-compactness hypothesis of La…
Paper uses ABP method to prove logarithmic Sobolev inequalities on curved spaces.
problem Proving logarithmic Sobolev inequalities on manifolds with nonnegative curvature.
method Employing the ABP method developed by Brendle.
result Sharp L2 and Lp logarithmic Sobolev inequalities established. Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
problem Predicting mutual funds' performance accurately.
method Deep learning models (LSTM, GRUs) trained with Bayesian optimization and ensemble methods.
result Ensemble method of LSTM and GRUs achieves the highest accuracy in forecasting mutual funds' Sharpe ratios.
The study infers risk preferences from portfolio choices and measures portfolio efficiency.
problem Measuring the efficiency of household investment portfolios based on risk preferences.
method Statistical analysis of portfolio choices and demographic information over six years.
result Implied risk aversion increases with wealth and financial literacy, impacting portfolio efficiency.
Classification outperforms regression in portfolio construction, yielding higher Sharpe ratios.
problem Determining which machine learning approach (classification vs. regression) is more effective for portfolio construction.
method Used stacking ensemble of gradient boosted tree, random forest, and neural network models.
result Classification yields higher Sharpe ratios and economically significant alphas compared to regression.
This paper optimizes portfolio selection by penalizing tracking error, improving Sharpe ratio.
problem Optimizing portfolio allocation with a penalty for deviation from a reference portfolio.
method Formulated as a McKean-Vlasov control problem, provides explicit solutions and asymptotic expansions.
result The penalized portfolio strategy outperforms standard mean-variance and reference portfolios in most cases.
Investment strategy using fractional Kelly portfolios for better growth expectations.
problem Understanding optimal growth strategies for investors with varying risk appetites.
method Developed a mathematical framework for fractional-Kelly portfolios, analyzing Sharpe ratios and log-returns.
result Fractional Kelly portfolios provide a simple distributional relationship between Sharpe ratio, fractional coefficient, and log-returns.
Optimizes PnL using linear signals in quantitative finance.
problem Maximizing profit and loss in financial trading.
method Unsupervised machine learning approach that maximizes Sharpe Ratio through linear relationships and parameter optimization.
result Empirical validation and effectiveness of the model on U.S. Treasury ETF.
Hybrid approach combines Markowitz's theory with reinforcement learning for optimal portfolio management.
problem Optimizing investment portfolios while balancing returns and risks.
method Knowledge distillation for training reinforcement learning agents.
result Achieves highest yield and Sharpe ratio of 2.03, ensuring top profitability with low risk.