A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper is a continuation of Ishitani and Kato (2015), in which we derived a continuous-time value function corresponding to an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact as the limit of a discrete-time value function. Here, we investigate some properties of the derived value function. In particular, we …
We construct a price impact model between stocks in a correlated market. For the price change of a given stock induced by the short-run liquidity of this stock itself and of the information about other stocks, we introduce a self- and a cross-impact function of the time lag. We model the average cross-response function…
We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of metaorder size, i.e., the impact per share of large metaorders is smaller than that…
In this study, we extend the optimal execution problem with convex market impact function studied in Kato (2014) to the case where the market impact function is S-shaped, that is, concave on and convex on for some . We study the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-…
Study examines market impact of small orders in futures contracts.
As the dynamic structure of the financial markets is subject to dramatic changes, a model capable of providing consistently accurate volatility estimates must not make strong assumptions on how prices change over time. Most volatility models impose a particular parametric functional form that relates an observed price …
Develops SPT with price impact, deriving formulas for wealth and arbitrage conditions.
Study analyzes price response and spread impact in foreign exchange markets.
We provide an asymptotic expansion of the value function of a multidimensional utility maximization problem from consumption with small non-linear price impact. In our model cross-impacts between assets are allowed. In the limit for small price impact, we determine the asymptotic expansion of the value function around …
The paper analyzes optimal liquidation strategies for cryptocurrencies considering both temporary and permanent price impacts.
We study an optimal execution problem with uncertain market impact to derive a more realistic market model. We construct a discrete-time model as a value function for optimal execution. Market impact is formulated as the product of a deterministic part increasing with execution volume and a positive stochastic noise pa…
Our goal in this paper is to study the market impact in a market in which the order flow is autocorrelated. We build a model which explains qualitatively and quantitatively the empirical facts observed so far concerning market impact. We define different notions of market impact, and show how they lead to the different…
We study the problem of what causes prices to change. We define the mechanical impact of a trading order as the change in future prices in the absence of any future changes in decision making, and its it informational impact as the remainder of the total impact once mechanical impact is removed. We introduce a method o…
Constant and symmetric price impact functions, most commonly used in agent-based market modelling, are shown to give rise to paradoxical and inconsistent outcomes in the simplest case of arbitrage exploitation when open-hold-close actions are considered. The solution of the paradox lies in the non-constant nature of re…
Optimal trading strategy under market resistance and concave price impact model.
We study an optimal execution problem in a continuous-time market model that considers market impact. We formulate the problem as a stochastic control problem and investigate properties of the corresponding value function. We find that right-continuity at the time origin is associated with the strength of market impact…
Chain-ladder reserving is sensitive to outliers, leading to unreliable estimates.
Modeling market makers' quoting strategies to understand price impact.
We make an extensive empirical study of the market impact of large orders (metaorders) executed in the U.S. equity market between 2007 and 2009. We show that the square root market impact formula, which is widely used in the industry and supported by previous published research, provides a good fit only across about tw…
Study finds price impact follows a 'double' square-root law, suggesting mechanical origin.
This paper investigates the market impact of passive orders.
Market impact is the link between the volume of a (large) order and the price move during and after the execution of this order. We show that under no-arbitrage assumption, the market impact function can only be of power-law type. Furthermore, we prove that this implies that the macroscopic price is diffusive with roug…
We study the problem of the optimal execution of a large trade in the presence of nonlinear transient impact. We propose an approach based on homotopy analysis, whereby a well behaved initial strategy is continuously deformed to lower the expected execution cost. We find that the optimal solution is front loaded for co…
Estimates cross-impact on derivatives markets using E-Mini futures and options.
In a recent Nature paper, Gabaix et al. \cite{Gabaix03} presented a theory to explain the power law tail of price fluctuations. The main points of their theory are that volume fluctuations, which have a power law tail with exponent roughly -1.5, are modulated by the average market impact function, which describes the r…
Transient market impact explained via Nash equilibrium in a game.
We extend the "No-dynamic-arbitrage and market impact"-framework of Jim Gatheral [Quantitative Finance, 10(7): 749-759 (2010)] to the multi-dimensional case where trading in one asset has a cross-impact on the price of other assets. From the condition of absence of dynamical arbitrage we derive theoretical limits for t…
Market impact has become a subject of increasing concern among academics and industry experts. We put forward a price impact model which considers the heteroscedasticity of price in the time dimension and dependency between permanent impact and temporary impact. We discuss and derive the extremum of the expectation of …
In the context of machine learning, disparate impact refers to a form of systematic discrimination whereby the output distribution of a model depends on the value of a sensitive attribute (e.g., race or gender). In this paper, we propose an information-theoretic framework to analyze the disparate impact of a binary cla…
In this paper, we assume that the permanent market impact of metaorders is linear and that the price is a martingale. Those two hypotheses enable us to derive the evolution of the price from the dynamics of the flow of market orders. For example, if the market order flow is assumed to follow a nearly unstable Hawkes pr…
Optimal liquidation strategy with price impact and signal exploitation.
In this short note, we study an optimization problem of expected implementation shortfall (IS) cost under general shaped market impact functions. In particular, we find that an optimal strategy is a VWAP (volume weighted average price) execution strategy when the market model is a Black-Scholes type with stochastic clo…
Investors' strategies in a market influenced by price impact are analyzed, showing aggressive behavior when impact exceeds a critical point.
The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We show that isochronic (constant trading time) MI is slightly convex, and isochoric (constant trading volume) MI is…
The paper analyzes liquidity in decentralized finance, deriving impact functions and de-pegging risks.
Develops a new model to optimize trading in markets.
Learning Granger causality for general point processes is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an effective method, learning Granger causality, for a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. We reveal the relationship between Hawkes process's impact function and its Granger caus…
We assume a continuous-time price impact model similar to Almgren-Chriss but with the added assumption that the price impact parameters are stochastic processes modeled as correlated scalar Markov diffusions. In this setting, we develop trading strategies for a trader who desires to liquidate his inventory but faces pr…
A consistency criterion for price impact functions in limit order markets is proposed that prohibits chain arbitrage exploitation. Both the bid-ask spread and the feedback of sequential market orders of the same kind onto both sides of the order book are essential to ensure consistency at the smallest time scale. All t…
We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the instantaneous impact functions and in the time-dependent market response to trades by ind…
Measures price impact in order-driven markets without relying on averages.
We consider a market impact game for risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a mean-variance functional of their costs or to maximize the expected exponential u…
In this paper we discuss the optimal liquidation over a finite time horizon until the exit time. The drift and diffusion terms of the asset price are general functions depending on all variables including control and market regime. There is also a local nonlinear transaction cost associated to the liquidation. The mode…
Machine learning impacts computational math, offering new functions approximations.
In this paper, we construct the utility-based optimal hedging strategy for a European-type option in the Almgren-Chriss model with temporary price impact. The main mathematical challenge of this work stems from the degeneracy of the second order terms and the quadratic growth of the first order terms in the associated …
Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.
Unified framework for optimal liquidation with small market impact and semimartingale strategies.
We provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of solutions to a stochastic differential equation which arises in a price impact model. These conditions are stated as smoothness and boundedness requirements on utility functions or Malliavin differentiability of payoffs and endowments.