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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for illiquidity network

Develops a nonparametric model for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives.

problem Modeling joint dynamics of liquid vanilla options for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives.
method Derives a state space for prices respecting underlying financial constraints using neural networks and imposes constraints to preserve no-arbitrage conditions.
result Neural SDE models are guaranteed to satisfy a set of linear inequalities and validated with numerical experiments.

Paper examines trade/no trade patterns in illiquid stocks, highlighting effects of varying zero returns probabilities.

problem Detecting long-run trade/no trade effects in illiquid stocks with varying zero returns probabilities.
method Proposes a framework considering constant and time-varying zero returns probabilities, analyzing trade/no trade categorical sequences.
result Long-run trade/no trade effects may be spuriously detected in presence of non-constant zero returns probabilities.

Study models illiquid stock prices and finds low correlation due to constant prices.

problem Modeling illiquid stock prices and measuring correlation accurately.
method Combined Markov model with Ornstein Uhlenbeck and geometric Brownian motion.
result Low correlation in USE stocks due to constant prices and illiquidity.

New concept of illiquidity linked to credit risk, using Jarrow & Turnbull's analogy.

problem Understanding illiquidity in financial markets, especially with credit risk.
method Introduces a constraint-based notion of illiquidity, using Jarrow & Turnbull's foreign exchange analogy.
result A new mathematical framework for understanding illiquidity in financial markets.

We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of two possibly correlated assets: one liquid and one illiquid. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can be traded only at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps …

2012-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial network model that combines the default and liquidity stress mechanisms into a "…

2013-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A new relaxed framework for pricing illiquid derivatives using bid-ask spreads.

problem Pricing illiquid derivatives with realistic bounds and hedging prices.
method Introducing Bid--Ask Martingale Optimal Transport (BAMOT) that relaxes the exact calibration of model marginals to mid-prices of vanilla options.
result BAMOT yields realistic price bounds and superhedging prices for illiquid derivatives.

The paper models Gasoil options using Brent benchmarks, improving volatility estimation.

problem Inability to directly model illiquid Gasoil options market.
method Jointly models Brent and Gasoil futures prices with a correlated Bachelier model, estimating volatility spread.
result The proposed framework accurately maps Brent implied volatilities to Gasoil implied volatilities.

One of the shortcomings of the Black and Scholes model on option pricing is the assumption that trading of the underlying asset does not affect the price of that asset. This assumption can be fulfilled only in perfectly liquid markets. Since most markets are illquid, this assumption might be too restrictive. Thus, taki…

2013-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved ARMA-GARCH model for illiquid assets like cryptocurrencies.

problem Inadequate modeling of illiquid assets, especially cryptocurrencies, with traditional ARMA-GARCH models.
method Introducing liquidity-adjusted liquidity jump and diffusion metrics into ARMA-GARCH framework.
result The liquidity-adjusted model improves model fit and volatility sensitivity for cryptocurrencies.

Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.

problem Maximizing wealth in an illiquid market with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Characterized no-trade region and provided asymptotic expansions of value function for small transaction costs.
result The effects of transaction costs are more pronounced in illiquid markets.

CDS (credit default swap) contracts that were initiated some time ago frequently have spreads and/or maturities that are not available on the current market of CDSs, and are thus illiquid. This article introduces an incomplete-market approach to valuing illiquid CDSs that, in contrast to the risk-neutral approach of cu…

2014-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Taylor's law of temporal fluctuation scaling, variance \sim a(a(mean)b)^b, is ubiquitous in natural and social sciences. We report for the first time convincing evidence of a solid temporal fluctuation scaling law in stock illiquidity by investigating the mean-variance relationship of the high-frequency illiquidity o…

2016-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider an optimal consumption/investment problem to maximize expected utility from consumption. In this market model, the investor is allowed to choose a portfolio which consists of one bond, one liquid risky asset (no transaction costs) and one illiquid risky asset (proportional transaction costs). We fully chara…

2016-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Introduces a new Lévy process for modeling illiquid markets.

problem Modeling dynamic of assets in illiquid markets.
method Introduces Variance Gamma++ process, a new Lévy process, and provides efficient path simulation algorithms.
result Efficient pricing formula and parameter estimation for European options.

Paper develops models to forecast private equity fund cash flows.

problem Limited literature on illiquid alternative asset cash flow forecasting.
method Develops benchmark model and two novel approaches (direct vs. indirect) using LSTM/GRU models and macroeconomic indicators.
result Direct model performs better and aligns with actual cash flows, but indirect model's performance is less clear.

The paper addresses XVA valuation under market crises using a renewal process.

problem XVA valuation without considering market crises and illiquidity.
method Using an alternating renewal process, the paper develops a framework to price XVA under a state-dependent financial regime.
result The XVA price is characterized as a solution to a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE).

This paper studies the equilibrium price of an asset that is traded in continuous time between N agents who have heterogeneous beliefs about the state process underlying the asset's payoff. We propose a tractable model where agents maximize expected returns under quadratic costs on inventories and trading rates. The un…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we introduce a generalized extension of the Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to allow for time dynamics of the interbank liabilities, including a dynamic examination of default risk. This framework separates the cash account and long-term capital account to more accurately model the health of a …

2018-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal semi-static hedging for illiquid markets using dynamic cash and static quoted derivatives.

problem Optimal pricing of exotic derivatives in illiquid markets with bid-ask spreads.
method Use Galerkin method and integration quadratures to approximate hedging problem as convex optimization, solved by interior point method.
result Semi-static hedging improves pricing and reduces transaction costs compared to static or dynamic trading alone.

This paper solves hedging in incomplete markets using neural networks.

problem Hedging in incomplete markets with risk factor, illiquidity, and discrete transaction dates.
method Proposes a jump-diffusion model and uses RNN, LSTM, and Mogrifier-LSTM neural networks for hedging strategies.
result Mogrifier-LSTM is the fastest and most effective model for hedging.

Optimizes financial decisions with illiquid assets using Kelly criterion.

problem Determining optimal betting strategies in games with external capital constraints.
method Dynamic programming and WKB approximation for multi-round games; Kelly criterion for single-round games.
result Rational players adjust their risk-taking based on the proportion of their capital locked away.

Mid-price movement prediction based on limit order book (LOB) data is a challenging task due to the complexity and dynamics of the LOB. So far, there have been very limited attempts for extracting relevant features based on LOB data. In this paper, we address this problem by designing a new set of handcrafted features …

2019-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗