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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4285127169 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for ideology detection

Model predicts political ideology using context vectors to mitigate bias and scarcity.

problem Scarcity and selection bias in political ideology prediction.
method Proposes a statistical model decomposing embeddings into context and position vectors, training an end-to-end model for deployment.
result Model can predict ideological labels even with minimal biased data, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Social Media has influenced the way people socially connect, interact and opinionize. The growth in technology has enhanced communication and dissemination of information. Unfortunately,many terror groups like jihadist communities have started consolidating a virtual community online for various purposes such as recrui…

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Probabilistic methods for classifying text form a rich tradition in machine learning and natural language processing. For many important problems, however, class prediction is uninteresting because the class is known, and instead the focus shifts to estimating latent quantities related to the text, such as affect or id…

2017-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of ranking a set of objects given some measure of similarity is one of the most basic in machine learning. Recently Agarwal proposed a method based on techniques in semi-supervised learning utilizing the graph Laplacian. In this work we consider a novel application of this technique to ranking binary choice…

2009-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This article is a prologue to the article "Why Markets are Inefficient: A Gambling 'Theory' of Financial Markets for Practitioners and Theorists." It presents important background for that article --- why gambling is important, even necessary, for real-world traders --- the reason for the superiority of the strategic/g…

2018-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Past literature has been effective in demonstrating ideological gaps in machine learning (ML) fairness definitions when considering their use in complex socio-technical systems. However, we go further to demonstrate that these definitions often misunderstand the legal concepts from which they purport to be inspired, an…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we bring to bear some new tools from statistical learning on the analysis of roll call data. We present a new data-driven model for roll call voting that is geometric in nature. We construct the model by adapting the "Partition Decoupling Method," an unsupervised learning technique originally developed fo…

2011-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework explains diverse explanatory values.

problem Understanding and predicting human preferences for explanations.
method Developed a Bayesian account to integrate various explanatory values.
result Core values from psychology, statistics, and philosophy emerge from a common framework.

The aim of this thesis is to analyze and renovate few main-stream models on inflation derivatives. In the first chapter of the thesis, concepts of financial instruments and fundamental terms are introduced, such as coupon bond, inflation-indexed bond, swap. In the second chapter of the thesis, classic models along the …

2020-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a comprehensive framework for financial product lead recommendations using graph representation learning and link prediction.

problem Challenges in surface lead recommendations for financial products due to changing market scenarios and difficulty in capturing holder's mindset.
method Bi-partite graph representation of financial holders and funds, GraphSage model for learning representations, link prediction model for ranking recommendations.
result The proposed graph ML solution outperforms baseline by 42%, 22%, and 14% in hit rate for top-k recommendations (50, 100, 200) and 18%, 19%, and 18% on unseen holders.

Neural Architecture Search (NAS) is an emerging topic in machine learning and computer vision. The fundamental ideology of NAS is using an automatic mechanism to replace manual designs for exploring powerful network architectures. One of the key factors of NAS is to scale-up the search space, e.g., increasing the numbe…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the problem of wealth distribution from the viewpoint of asset exchange. Robust nature of Pareto's law across economies, ideologies and nations suggests that this could be an outcome of trading strategies. However, the simple asset exchange models fail to reproduce this feature. A yardsale(YS) model in w…

2009-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The concept of mathematical modeling is widespread across almost all of the fields of contemporary science and engineering. Because of the existing necessity of predictions the behavior of natural phenomena, the researchers develop more and more complex models. However, despite their ability to better forecasting, the …

2019-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper argues the bear case for Bitcoin is bounded and terminal states are neutral to positive.

problem The identity of Bitcoin's creator and the associated overhang risk.
method Quantitative analysis of Satoshi's 1.148 million BTC position, considering various preference sets.
result The terminal states most consistent with observed behavior are neutral to slightly positive for Bitcoin's effective supply.

New method uses small perturbations to improve representation learning from few labels.

problem Stability issues and label scarcity in representation learning.
method Introduces small-perturbation ideology on representation probability distribution models.
result Proposed models show better performance in clustering compared to baseline methods.

New method predicts dynamic relationships in terrorist networks.

problem Dynamic co-evolution of multiplex graphs and nodal attributes in terrorism networks.
method Time-varying stochastic latent factor models with neural network Gaussian processes.
result Superior performance in predicting unobserved dynamic relationships.

Graph energy helps detect communities in networks better than traditional methods.

problem Detecting communities in sparse networks where traditional methods fail.
method Using graph energy based on the full spectrum of adjacency matrices.
result The difference in graph energy between a planted partition model and an Erdős--Rényi network has a distinct transition at the detectability threshold.

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

Tackles the computational hardness of HPC detection, conjecturing equivalence to PC detection.

problem Computational hardness of hypergraphic planted clique detection.
method No specific method mentioned; focuses on conjecturing equivalence.
result Equivalence of computational hardness between HPC and PC detection.

Study on detecting hierarchical community structures in networks.

problem Detecting hierarchical community structures in networks.
method Analysis of planted hierarchies of partitions in networks, identifying additional detectability phases.
result There are additional phases in which the presence of multiple consistent partitions can either help or hinder detection of hierarchical structures.

Deep object detection improves mitotic nucleus detection in breast cancer biopsies.

problem Challenges in automated mitotic nucleus detection in breast cancer histopathological images.
method Adapted Mask R-CNN for deep object detection, initially selects candidate regions with maximum recall, refines them with multi-object loss function.
result Improved discrimination ability (F-score of 0.86) and significant precision (0.86) for mitotic nuclei compared to two-stage models.

ECAD detects anomalies without data exchangeability, improving traffic flow detection.

problem Detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data with missing values.
method ECAD uses conformal prediction to wrap around any regression algorithm, controlling Type-I error without data exchangeability.
result ECAD outperforms other methods in detecting anomalous traffic flow.

Autonomous driving requires 3D perception of vehicles and other objects in the in environment. Much of the current methods support 2D vehicle detection. This paper proposes a flexible pipeline to adopt any 2D detection network and fuse it with a 3D point cloud to generate 3D information with minimum changes of the 2D d…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper offers a distribution-free method for post-detection changepoint localization.

problem Locating the exact time of a change in distribution after a sequential detection procedure.
method A distribution-free framework using conformal test martingales for sequential change detection and post-detection inference.
result Valid post-detection coverage guarantees and non-asymptotic bounds on confidence set size.

Detects data drift in deep learning models using neural embeddings.

problem Detecting changes in data distribution in deep learning models.
method Formulates drift detection in a sequential decision framework and introduces a loss function to balance false alarms and quick detection.
result Demonstrates improved ability to balance false alarms and quick detection in change detection.

It follows from earlier work of Silver-Williams and the authors that twisted Alexander polynomials detect the unknot and the Hopf link. We now show that twisted Alexander polynomials also detect the trefoil and the figure-8 knot, that twisted Alexander polynomials detect whether a link is split and that twisted Alexand…

2013-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This research identifies flaws in drift detection methods and creates adversarial data streams to exploit them.

problem The challenge of detecting data distribution changes (drift) in real-time systems.
method Developed adversarial data streams to show weaknesses in existing drift detection schemes.
result Demonstrated that common drift detection methods can be fooled by adversarial data streams.