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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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55110164219 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for hybrid decisions

Framework for robust decision making in changing environments with privacy constraints.

problem Interactive decision making in changing environments with constraints.
method Hybrid Decision Making with Structured Observations (hybrid DMSO) framework, local differentially private decision making, query-based learning, robust and smooth decision making.
result Strong connections and bounds derived for DEC, SQ dimension, local minimax complexity, learnability, and joint differential privacy.

Bayesian hybrid models fuse physics-based insights with machine learning constructs to correct for systematic bias. In this paper, we compare Bayesian hybrid models against physics-based glass-box and Gaussian process black-box surrogate models. We consider ballistic firing as an illustrative case study for a Bayesian …

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid model uses LLM to build transparent Bayesian networks for trading decisions.

problem Rigorous and transparent reasoning required in financial trading, especially for options strategies.
method Combines LLM strengths with Bayesian Networks, using LLM to construct context-specific networks and select relevant data.
result Empirically, the hybrid system outperforms market benchmarks with superior risk-adjusted performance.

Unified framework for hybrid learning and optimization via active inference.

problem Sequential decisions in black-box evaluations requiring both task improvement and uncertainty reduction.
method Pragmatic Curiosity (PraC) framework that evaluates queries by balancing information gain and pragmatic value.
result Unified approach reduces decision risk and improves coverage of critical regions without task-specific rules.

Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.

problem Jointly satisfying distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision in clinical decision-making.
method Integrates Bayesian hierarchical random forests with group-aware conformal calibration, using posterior uncertainties to weight conformity scores.
result Achieves target coverage (94.3% vs 95% target) with adaptive precision, 21% narrower intervals for low-uncertainty cases.

Paper proposes hybrid machine learning for tuning first principles models in engineering systems.

problem Inaccurate first principles models in process engineering due to changing conditions.
method Hybrid machine learning framework using Bayesian Neural Networks.
result Uncertainty estimates improve operation decisions in multiphase flow modeling.

A hybrid impurity measure balances theoretical soundness and computational efficiency.

problem Developing a robust impurity measure for decision trees.
method Integrates Tsallis entropy with an exponential polarization component.
result Simple parametric measures outperform ITC, but ITC variants are competitive with strong theoretical guarantees.

Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.

problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.

Improved ExO method achieves near-optimal bounds in both stochastic and adversarial settings.

problem Finding optimal exploration strategies in online decision-making with limited feedback.
method Exploration by Optimization with hybrid regularizers for locally observable games.
result Achieved nearly optimal bounds of O(aeqak2m2logT/Δa)O(\sum_{a eq a^*} k^2 m^2 \log T / Δ_a) in stochastic and adversarial environments.

Hybrid model combines VAR and neural network for OFI prediction.

problem Accurate prediction of Order Flow Imbalance (OFI) in high frequency trading.
method Combines Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and a simple feedforward neural network (FNN).
result Hybrid model achieves superior predictive accuracy compared to standalone models.

Hybrid framework optimizes reinsurance using generative models and reinforcement learning.

problem Traditional reinsurance optimization relies on restrictive assumptions and static designs.
method Combines VAEs for joint distribution learning and PPO for dynamic treaty parameter adaptation.
result Hybrid method produces more resilient outcomes with higher surpluses and lower tail risk.

Study compares forecasting models for European financial markets and cryptocurrencies, finding hybrid ETS-ANN model best.

problem Challenges in predicting financial market fluctuations and cryptocurrency prices.
method Comparative analysis of ARIMA, hybrid ETS-ANN, and kNN models on European financial markets and cryptocurrency data.
result Hybrid ETS-ANN model performs best over extended periods, with moderate accuracy.

Hybrid Policy Optimization tackles reinforcement learning in hybrid spaces, improving performance over PPO.

problem Credit assignment issues and biased gradients in hybrid discrete-continuous action spaces.
method Mixed gradient estimator combining pathwise and score-function gradients, reformulating problems in hybrid form.
result HPO substantially outperforms PPO on inventory control and switched systems, with performance gaps increasing with continuous action dimension.

The study improves Bitcoin price prediction using hybrid machine learning and enhances interpretability.

problem Improving Bitcoin price prediction accuracy and interpretability.
method Hybrid machine learning algorithms (OLS, LASSO, LSTM, decision tree regressors) and preprocessing techniques for time-series data.
result Linear regression achieves the best performance in predicting Bitcoin prices.

Paper presents a hybrid framework combining sentiment analysis and market indicators for financial portfolio optimization.

problem Improving financial portfolio optimization through better integration of sentiment and market data.
method A three-tier hierarchical RL framework integrating LLMs, DRL, and market data.
result Achieved a 26% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.2, outperforming benchmarks.

Hybrid quantum-classical model boosts S&P 500 prediction accuracy to 60.14%.

problem Challenges in financial market prediction, especially high noise and non-stationarity.
method Combines quantum sentiment analysis, Decision Transformer, and model selection strategies.
result Achieved 60.14% directional accuracy on S&P 500, a 3.10% improvement.

Optimizes control of hybrid systems with multiple switching processes.

problem Optimal control of hybrid systems with multiple Markov switching processes.
method Combines two separate Markov chains into one synthetic chain, derives HJB equations, and solves the portfolio choice problem.
result Derives explicit solutions and value functions for the optimal control problem.

Review of uncertainty representation methods in risk management.

problem Inadequate consideration of uncertainty in risk management.
method Systematic literature review of 370 publications.
result Probabilistic methods are predominant, but fuzzy and evidence-based approaches are also useful.

Hybrid framework predicts Arctic permafrost decline, risks infrastructure, and provides tools.

problem Tackles permafrost decline and infrastructure risk assessment in Arctic territories.
method Hybrid physics-machine learning framework integrating 2.9 million observations.
result Projects mean permafrost fraction decline of -20.3 pp under RCP8.5 forcing, with high-risk zones identified.

A contextual care protocol is used by a medical practitioner for patient healthcare, given the context or situation that the specified patient is in. This paper proposes a method to build an automated self-adapting protocol which can help make relevant, early decisions for effective healthcare delivery. The hybrid mode…

2018-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid model for online nonlinear prediction using LSTM and soft GBDT.

problem Online nonlinear prediction with manual feature selection and model selection issues.
method End-to-end architecture with LSTM for feature extraction and soft GBDT for regression, jointly optimized.
result Significant performance improvements over conventional methods on real datasets.

Paper proposes a hybrid MTL framework for improved stock market prediction accuracy.

problem Inaccurate stock market predictions due to financial data's complexities.
method Multi-layer hybrid MTL structure with Transformer, BiGRU, and KAN.
result Achieved low MAE (1.078), MAPE (0.012), and high R^2 (0.98) compared to other models.

Hybrid model uses GNNs and pathfinding to optimize portfolio rebalancing costs.

problem Optimizing transaction costs in dynamic portfolio rebalancing.
method Combines GNNs for cost prediction and Dijkstra's algorithm for pathfinding.
result Significantly reduces transaction costs in financial asset graphs.

Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.

problem Forecasting central bank policy decisions, especially the Fed's rate changes.
method Multi-modal approach combining structured data and unstructured text from Fed communications.
result Hybrid models outperform unimodal baselines, achieving a test AUC of 0.83.

Trinary decision tree improves handling of missing data in machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy in decision tree algorithms when dealing with missing data.
method Introduces Trinary decision tree, which does not assume missing values contain information about the response.
result Trinary decision tree outperforms other algorithms in Missing Completely at Random settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample.

Educational game on crypto investment helps students grasp macroeconomics.

problem Weak connections between microeconomic decision-making and macroeconomic concepts in classroom games.
method Design and study of an educational game on cryptocurrency investment.
result Engages students in understanding macroeconomics through incentivized individual investment decisions.

Adaptive RL optimizes testing resource allocation for dynamic software environments.

problem Optimizing resource allocation for evolving software testing environments.
method Integrates Q-learning with hybrid reward design for sequential decision-making.
result Consistently outperforms static and optimization-based baselines in simulation studies.

This work proposes robust reinforcement learning methods using both offline and online data.

problem Designing robust policies against parameter uncertainties in high-dimensional systems.
method Proposes RPQ for model-free learning with historical data and HyTQ for hybrid learning with both historical and online data.
result Unified analysis and theoretical guarantees for robust optimal policies in high-dimensional systems.