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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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9182736 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for hybrid HMM

Language models based on deep neural networks and traditional stochastic modelling have become both highly functional and effective in recent times. In this work, a general survey into the two types of language modelling is conducted. We investigate the effectiveness of the Hidden Markov Model (HMM), and the Long Short…

2019-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid model improves synthetic equity data generation.

problem Generating realistic synthetic financial time series.
method Discretized excess growth rates into states with Poisson jumps, estimating parameters directly.
result Framework achieved high pass rates for distributional and volatility clustering tests.

A new model separates persistence and transition priors in HDP-HMM.

problem Limitation of sticky HDP-HMM in expressing different persistence strengths.
method Developed a disentangled sticky HDP-HMM (DS-HDP-HMM) with novel Gibbs sampling algorithms.
result DS-HDP-HMM outperforms sticky HDP-HMM and HDP-HMM on synthetic and real data.

Speech Translation has always been about giving source text or audio input and waiting for system to give translated output in desired form. In this paper, we present the Acoustic Dialect Decoder (ADD) - a voice to voice ear-piece translation device. We introduce and survey the recent advances made in the field of Spee…

2016-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

HMRNN combines HMMs and neural networks for Alzheimer's disease forecasting.

problem Improving disease progression modeling with hidden states not fully known.
method Developed HMRNN combining HMMs and recurrent neural networks.
result HMRNN improves disease forecasting and offers novel clinical interpretation.

We study the problem of learning overcomplete HMMs---those that have many hidden states but a small output alphabet. Despite having significant practical importance, such HMMs are poorly understood with no known positive or negative results for efficient learning. In this paper, we present several new results---both po…

2017-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

When learning a hidden Markov model (HMM), sequen- tial observations can often be complemented by real-valued summary response variables generated from the path of hid- den states. Such settings arise in numerous domains, includ- ing many applications in biology, like motif discovery and genome annotation. In this pape…

2015-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved speech recognition with language model integration in sequence-to-sequence models.

problem Improving word error rate in speech recognition models.
method Log-linear combination of acoustic and language models with per-token renormalization.
result The proposed method shows good improvements over standard model combination on Librispeech system.

Paper tackles efficient HMM learning with conditional samples.

problem Cryptographic hardness in learning HMMs from i.i.d. samples.
method Interactive access model, polynomial-time algorithms for conditional probabilities and latent low rank structures.
result Efficient algorithms for HMM learning in both exact and approximate conditional settings.

Paper develops a deforestation detection system using optical and SAR data.

problem Detecting tree-loss in dense forests using satellite data.
method Combines optical and SAR data, uses KL expansion for anomaly detection, and Hidden Markov Model for classification.
result Hybrid method achieves high accuracy and robustness in sparse optical data.

Suppose that we are given a time series where consecutive samples are believed to come from a probabilistic source, that the source changes from time to time and that the total number of sources is fixed. Our objective is to estimate the distributions of the sources. A standard approach to this problem is to model the …

2016-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a widely-used generative model that copes with sequential data, assuming that each observation is conditioned on the state of a hidden Markov chain. In this paper, we derive a novel algorithm to cluster HMMs based on the hierarchical EM (HEM) algorithm. The proposed algorithm i) cluster…

2012-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the smoothing probabilities of hidden Markov model (HMM). We show that under fairly general conditions for HMM, the exponential forgetting still holds, and the smoothing probabilities can be well approximated with the ones of double sided HMM. This makes it possible to use ergodic theorems. As an applicatio…

2009-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Eye Movement analysis with Hidden Markov Models (EMHMM) is a method for modeling eye fixation sequences using hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this report, we run a simulation study to investigate the estimation error for learning HMMs with variational Bayesian inference, with respect to the number of sequences and the …

2018-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results to static analysis using HMMs trained on sequences of opcodes, and show that dyn…

2019-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider learning parameters of Binomial Hidden Markov Models, which may be used to model DNA methylation data. The standard algorithm for the problem is EM, which is computationally expensive for sequences of the scale of the mammalian genome. Recently developed spectral algorithms can learn parameters of latent va…

2018-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently models tree-like data with coupled branches using HMMs.

problem Modeling sequential data with coupled branches in biological systems.
method Developed a dynamic programming algorithm for tree-based HMMs with coupled branches.
result Efficiently solves likelihood, decoding, and parameter learning problems for tree-based HMMs with coupled branches.

New algorithm for aggregate inference in HMMs with continuous observations.

problem Inference in large populations with indistinguishable individuals and continuous measurements.
method Continuous observation collective forward-backward algorithm extending existing discrete case algorithm.
result Efficacy demonstrated through numerical experiments.

Since the early days of digital communication, Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have now been routinely used in speech recognition, processing of natural languages, images, and in bioinformatics. An HMM (Xi,Yi)i1(X_i,Y_i)_{i\ge 1} assumes observations X1,X2,...X_1,X_2,... to be conditionally independent given an "explanotary" Markov proc…

2007-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The technological applications of hidden Markov models have been extremely diverse and successful, including natural language processing, gesture recognition, gene sequencing, and Kalman filtering of physical measurements. HMMs are highly non-linear statistical models, and just as linear models are amenable to linear a…

2012-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗