Hurricanes are cyclones circulating about a defined center whose closed wind speeds exceed 75 mph originating over tropical and subtropical waters. At landfall, hurricanes can result in severe disasters. The accuracy of predicting their trajectory paths is critical to reduce economic loss and save human lives. Given th…
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48 results for “hurricane trajectories”
Improved neural network predicts tropical storm trajectories and Bayesian intervals.
problem Accurately predicting the trajectories of tropical storms to prevent damage.
method Developed an improved RNN model with dropout to predict Bayesian intervals.
result Neural network dropout values significantly affect prediction accuracy and intervals.
FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.
problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.
Predict real-time crash risks during hurricane evacuations using connected vehicle data.
problem Mitigate crash risks during hurricane evacuations by predicting high-risk locations.
method Used connected vehicle data to predict crash risks in real-time, considering weather and traffic features.
result Gaussian Process Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting models performed best, with recall of 0.91.
We use splines and the Sasaki metric to analyze and compare manifold-valued trajectories.
problem Analyzing and comparing trajectories on Riemannian manifolds.
method Riemannian hierarchical model, Bézier splines, Sasaki metric.
result Spline-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art methods in intensity classification of trajectories.
Efficiently samples conformal boundaries in high dimensions using flows.
problem Difficulty in interpreting and using prediction sets in high-dimensional or structured output spaces.
method Flow-based approach using differentiable nonconformity scores to induce deterministic flows on the output space.
result Sampling conformal boundaries in arbitrary dimensions becomes computationally efficient and training-free.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.
Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting using Fused Deep Learning from Aligned Reanalysis Dataphysics.ao-ph
Deep learning predicts tropical cyclone tracks efficiently.
problem Forecasting tropical cyclone trajectories with high precision and speed.
method Fused neural network model using past trajectory data and reanalysis atmospheric images.
result Deep learning can provide valuable and complementary predictions for tropical cyclone tracks.
Paper detects important sub-events in disaster tweets.
problem Identifying useful information during large-scale disasters.
method Extract noun-verb pairs, learn semantic embeddings, rank and cluster.
result Effective unsupervised learning framework for sub-event detection.
Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We consider the case of having many labeled observations from one distribution, $P_…
Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.
problem Accurately predicting power outage durations from geospatial and weather data.
method Graph Attention Networks (GAT) for semi-supervised learning.
result GAT model outperforms existing methods by 2% - 15% in accuracy.
Transfer learning framework for fragility modeling under domain shift and class imbalance
problem Data gaps in structural fragility modeling
method Transfer learning
result Improves failure detection and predictive stability in low-data regimes
Event Detection in Noisy Streaming Data with Combination of Corroborative and Probabilistic Sourcescs.LG
Real-time event detection using human sensor data and adaptive machine learning.
problem Lack of effective real-time event detection using human sensor data.
method Combination of corroborative and probabilistic sources with drift adaptive machine learning.
result Automated continuous learning maintains high performance in the face of concept drift.
Transforms curves and surfaces for efficient geometric analysis.
problem Efficiently analyzing and comparing curves and surfaces.
method Square root velocity transformation for curves and intrinsic comparison for surfaces.
result Fundamental geometric properties of curves under the transformation.
Proposes ridge regression on Riemannian manifolds for time-series prediction.
problem Time-series prediction on Riemannian manifolds.
method Combines Riemannian least-squares fitting via Bézier curves, empirical covariance on manifolds, and Mahalanobis distance regularization.
result Significant error reduction in synthetic spherical experiments and hurricane forecasting.
In this paper we study the shape space of curves with values in a homogeneous space , where is a Lie group and is a compact Lie subgroup. We generalize the square root velocity framework to obtain a reparametrization invariant metric on the space of curves in . By identifying curves in with thei…
Proposes a new Hawkes process bandit model for disaster search and rescue.
problem Forecasting and detecting spatio-temporal events with undersampled or biased data.
method Upper confidence bound algorithm using Bayesian spatial Hawkes process estimation.
result Model outperforms state-of-the-art spatial MAB algorithms in disaster search and rescue.
We study the problem of discriminative sub-trajectory mining. Given two groups of trajectories, the goal of this problem is to extract moving patterns in the form of sub-trajectories which are more similar to sub-trajectories of one group and less similar to those of the other. We propose a new method called Statistica…
Paper uses deep imitation learning to predict aircraft trajectories accurately.
problem Inefficient and costly Air Traffic Management system limits predictability.
method Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning framework with trajectory clustering and classification.
result Accurate predictions for entire trajectory stages, pre- and tactical.
Paper infers human mobility from sparse trajectories.
problem Modeling and inferring human mobility from sparse trajectory data.
method Proposes a single trajectory inference algorithm and a deep learning architecture for multiple trajectories.
result Deep learning model achieves 2x overall accuracy improvement on sparse trajectories.
New method explains anomalies in multivariate time series data.
problem Understanding and explaining anomalies in multivariate time series data.
method Counterfactual reasoning applied to MDI-detected anomalous intervals.
result Our method accurately identifies and explains anomalies in various extreme events.
Pattern Ensembling for Spatial Trajectory Reconstructionphysics.data-an
Pattern ensembling fills in missing or inaccurate trajectory data.
problem Incompleteness, missing information, and inaccuracies in geolocation data.
method Probabilistically ensemble similar trajectory patterns from the vicinity.
result Reconstructs missing or unreliable trajectory segments effectively.
Study shows magnetic trajectories in Berger spheres are homogeneous.
problem Homogeneity of contact magnetic trajectories in Berger spheres.
method Proved every contact magnetic trajectory is a product of a homogeneous geodesic and a charged Reeb flow.
result Contact magnetic trajectories in Berger spheres are homogeneous.
Anomaly-aware forecast improves accuracy for extreme events.
problem Challenges in automatically detecting and learning from extreme events and anomalies in large-scale datasets.
method Proposes an anomaly-aware forecast framework that automatically detects and incorporates anomalies using an attention mechanism and dynamic uncertainty optimization.
result Demonstrated superior accuracy and reduced uncertainty on three datasets with different types of anomalies.
Improved trajectory prediction for team sports using sparse outputs.
problem Challenging to train deep learning models for player trajectory prediction.
method Sparse trajectory prediction and constant acceleration interpolation.
result Interpolation improves performance for all tested models.
WS-II algorithm segments trajectories with high accuracy.
problem Trajectory segmentation for diverse data sources.
method Supervised learning with sliding window analysis.
result WS-II outperforms other methods in all datasets.
A framework clusters vehicle motion trajectories efficiently.
problem Costly manual annotation of vehicle motion data.
method Five-stage framework: align, embed, extract, embed, cluster.
result Framework achieves promising results on real-world dataset.
Proposes a CNN-based method for better trajectory owner prediction.
problem Improves trajectory owner prediction for better personalized recommendations and urban planning.
method Connects POIs in a graph, encodes POIs into vectors, transforms trajectories into matrices, and uses a CNN to detect features and predict owners.
result Significantly outperforms existing methods in various metrics.
In this paper we propose a new parameter-free method for trajectory classification which finds the best trajectory partition and dimension combination for robust trajectory classification. Preliminary experiments show that our approach is very promising.
TrajGAIL: Generating Urban Vehicle Trajectories using Generative Adversarial Imitation Learningcs.LG
Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.
problem Data sparsity and privacy issues in urban vehicle trajectory analysis.
method Generative adversarial imitation learning framework for urban vehicle trajectory generation.
result TrajGAIL model produces synthetic trajectories similar to real ones, achieving significant performance gains.
Many AI problems, in robotics and other domains, are goal-directed, essentially seeking a trajectory leading to some goal state. In such problems, the way we choose to represent a trajectory underlies algorithms for trajectory prediction and optimization. Interestingly, most all prior work in imitation and reinforcemen…
CoverNet predicts urban driving trajectories using diverse sets of possible actions.
problem Multimodal probabilistic trajectory prediction for urban driving.
method Frame trajectory prediction as classification over a diverse set of trajectories; dynamically generate sets based on current state.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world self-driving datasets.
Method detects trajectory outliers using Hodge Laplacian embeddings.
problem Detecting outliers in trajectory data on simplicial complexes.
method Flow-embeddings using Hodge 1-Laplacian of simplicial complexes.
result Classifies trajectories based on topological behavior.
Study on billiard trajectories with fixed bounces.
problem Counting periodic trajectories with specific bounces.
method Analyzes two-dimensional dispersive billiard systems.
result Asymptotic growth of primitive periodic trajectories.
Representation learning of pedestrian trajectories transforms variable-length timestamp-coordinate tuples of a trajectory into a fixed-length vector representation that summarizes spatiotemporal characteristics. It is a crucial technique to connect feature-based data mining with trajectory data. Trajectory representati…
Study optimizes climate adaptation strategies for NYC.
problem Catastrophic damages from extreme weather in NYC.
method Real options analysis and extreme value theory.
result Optimal adaptation pathways identified for NYC.
Method predicts NBA players' multi-modal movement trajectories.
problem Understanding NBA players' decision-making during games.
method LSTM-based architecture with multi-modal loss function.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art in predicting realistic trajectories.
We address the problem of abnormal event detection from trajectory data. In this paper, a new adversarial approach is proposed for building a deep neural network binary classifier, trained in an unsupervised fashion, that can distinguish normal from abnormal trajectory-based events without the need for setting manual d…
Physics-informed diffusion model detects anomalous trajectories in GPS data.
problem Detecting fake GPS trajectories in international waters.
method Physics-informed diffusion model integrating kinematic constraints.
result Higher prediction accuracy and lower error rate for anomaly detection.
Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories: Second-Moment Geometry, Attribution, and Change Pointsstat.ML
Develops MENT for interpreting and detecting changes in network trajectories.
problem Distortion of network geometry and invalidation of temporal comparisons in dynamic network analysis.
method Develops Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories (MENT) framework based on second-moment geometry.
result Validates and interprets network trajectories through isotropic normalization and orthogonal transformations.
Gaussian processes model geospatial trajectories with uncertainty.
problem Interpolating and predicting complex spatiotemporal data.
method Gaussian process models trajectories as multidimensional Gaussian distributions.
result Gaussian processes provide a flexible and probabilistic way to interpolate geospatial data.
The paper defines and analyzes conformal trajectories in 3D space forms.
problem Understanding trajectories in curved 3D spaces.
method Defined conformal trajectories and studied their properties in , , and .
result Conformal trajectories in and have constant curvature and torsion.
TRAKNN: Efficient Trajectory Aware Spatiotemporal kNN for Rare Meteorological Trajectory Detectionstat.ML
TRAKNN detects rare atmospheric trajectories efficiently.
problem Detecting rare atmospheric anomalies over long periods.
method Unsupervised, recurrence-based kNN algorithm.
result Rare trajectories correspond to physical anomalies.
Algorithm learns mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short trajectories.
problem Learning mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short unlabeled trajectories.
method Subspace estimation, spectral clustering, EM algorithm, model estimation, classification.
result 96.6% average accuracy on a mixture of two MDPs in gridworld, outperforming EM algorithm with random initialization.
DETECT clusters mobility behaviors from trajectories using deep learning.
problem Clustering similar mobility behaviors in large, complex trajectory data.
method DETECT uses deep learning to cluster mobility behaviors from trajectories, transforming and summarizing them to identify similar behaviors.
result DETECT effectively clusters mobility behaviors from real-world datasets.
Homogeneous magnetic trajectories in a special linear group proven.
problem Proving homogeneity of magnetic trajectories in a specific group.
method Using contact magnetic curves and geodesics.
result Every contact magnetic trajectory is a product of a homogeneous geodesic and a charged Reeb flow.
The study finds billiard trajectories with infinitely many reflections in certain cones.
problem Existence of billiard trajectories with infinitely many reflections.
method Analysis of convex cones and elliptic cones in .
result Existence of convex cones with billiard trajectories having infinitely many reflections.
Paper proposes a method for optimizing local policies for trajectory-centric reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in global policy optimization for non-linear systems and poor performance of open-loop trajectory optimization.
method Formulates trajectory optimization and local policy synthesis as a single optimization problem and solves it as a nonlinear programming instance.
result Demonstrates improved performance of the proposed technique under simplifying assumptions.