A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Efficiently evaluate generative models at the prompt level using tensor factorization.
Meta-Router optimizes LLM selection using gold-standard and preference-based data.
With success on controlled tasks, generative models are being increasingly applied to humanitarian applications [1,2]. In this paper, we focus on the evaluation of a conditional generative model that illustrates the consequences of climate change-induced flooding to encourage public interest and awareness on the issue.…
Generative models have made immense progress in recent years, particularly in their ability to generate high quality images. However, that quality has been difficult to evaluate rigorously, with evaluation dominated by heuristic approaches that do not correlate well with human judgment, such as the Inception Score and …
Study scaling laws of reward model overoptimization in reinforcement learning.
Paper proposes active learning for mining conflict dynamics from textual data.
A simple and widely adopted approach to extend Gaussian processes (GPs) to multiple outputs is to model each output as a linear combination of a collection of shared, unobserved latent GPs. An issue with this approach is choosing the number of latent processes and their kernels. These choices are typically done manuall…
PPI++ outperforms gold-standard labels only if pseudo-labels are highly correlated.
Polysomnography (PSG) is the gold standard for diagnosing sleep obstructive apnea (OSA). It allows monitoring of breathing events throughout the night. The detection of these events is usually done by trained sleep experts. However, this task is tedious, highly time-consuming and subject to important inter-scorer varia…
Knowledge about frequency and location of snow avalanche activity is essential for forecasting and mapping of snow avalanche hazard. Traditional field monitoring of avalanche activity has limitations, especially when surveying large and remote areas. In recent years, avalanche detection in Sentinel-1 radar satellite im…
Nonlinear methods such as Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are the gold standard for various challenging machine learning problems, e.g., image classification, natural language processing or human action recognition. Although these methods perform impressively well, they have a significant disadvantage, the lack of transpar…
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is continuous and there is no confirmative threshold, ROC curve becomes less useful…
New method improves statistical inference using machine learning-imputed data.
Objective: To evaluate unsupervised clustering methods for identifying individual-level behavioral-clinical phenotypes that relate personal biomarkers and behavioral traits in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) self-monitoring data. Materials and Methods: We used hierarchical clustering (HC) to identify groups of meals with simila…
New method for valid inference from ML-predicted data.
New neural network models speed up Bayesian multilevel modeling.
Semantic Web knowledge representation standards, and in particular RDF and OWL, often come endowed with a formal semantics which is considered to be of fundamental importance for the field. Reasoning, i.e., the drawing of logical inferences from knowledge expressed in such standards, is traditionally based on logical d…
The task of drug-target interaction prediction holds significant importance in pharmacology and therapeutic drug design. In this paper, we present FRnet-DTI, an auto encoder and a convolutional classifier for feature manipulation and drug target interaction prediction. Two convolutional neural neworks are proposed wher…
Circadian rhythms influence multiple essential biological activities including sleep, performance, and mood. The dim light melatonin onset (DLMO) is the gold standard for measuring human circadian phase (i.e., timing). The collection of DLMO is expensive and time-consuming since multiple saliva or blood samples are req…
Speech produced by human vocal apparatus conveys substantial non-semantic information including the gender of the speaker, voice quality, affective state, abnormalities in the vocal apparatus etc. Such information is attributed to the properties of the voice source signal, which is usually estimated from the speech sig…
Paper proposes a new method to measure model sensitivity using final model only.
Despite an explosion in the number of experimentally determined, atomically detailed structures of biomolecules, many critical tasks in structural biology remain data-limited. Whether performance in such tasks can be improved by using large repositories of tangentially related structural data remains an open question. …
Regardless of the gold-standard being considered as outdated, it provides valuable signs concerning the development of novel monetary standards, better adjusted to the current macroeconomic environment. By using a point of view of classical physics, the intent of this work is doing a review of the concept of monetary s…
We present an algorithm, AROFAC2, which detects the (CP-)rank of a degree 3 tensor and calculates its factorization into rank-one components. We provide generative conditions for the algorithm to work and demonstrate on both synthetic and real world data that AROFAC2 is a potentially outperforming alternative to the go…
New design detects confounders from treatment intent in ICU data.
The article explains how to estimate confusion matrices for classifiers using unlabeled data.
New method uses imperfect LLM annotations for valid statistical inference in social science.
AM-PPI uses multiple predictors to reduce label cost in healthcare AI.
We describe a method for parameter estimation in bipartite probabilistic graphical models for joint prediction of clinical conditions from the electronic medical record. The method does not rely on the availability of gold-standard labels, but rather uses noisy labels, called anchors, for learning. We provide a likelih…
Bandit structured prediction describes a stochastic optimization framework where learning is performed from partial feedback. This feedback is received in the form of a task loss evaluation to a predicted output structure, without having access to gold standard structures. We advance this framework by lifting linear ba…
Bayesian inference was once a gold standard for learning with neural networks, providing accurate full predictive distributions and well calibrated uncertainty. However, scaling Bayesian inference techniques to deep neural networks is challenging due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space. In this paper, we …
Differential privacy, a notion of algorithmic stability, is a gold standard for measuring the additional risk an algorithm's output poses to the privacy of a single record in the dataset. Differential privacy is defined as the distance between the output distribution of an algorithm on neighboring datasets that differ …
Study causal effects on humans in mixed human-AI systems with unobserved unit types.
Pairs trading strategy fails to outperform market benchmarks, but performs well during bear markets.
Optimizes subset selection in sparse learning problems.
Two new methods improve forecasting of functional time series data.
The original contributions of this paper are twofold: a new understanding of the influence of noise on the eigenvectors of the graph Laplacian of a set of image patches, and an algorithm to estimate a denoised set of patches from a noisy image. The algorithm relies on the following two observations: (1) the low-index e…
New methods use ML predictions to improve statistical inference.
Gradient matching is a promising tool for learning parameters and state dynamics of ordinary differential equations. It is a grid free inference approach, which, for fully observable systems is at times competitive with numerical integration. However, for many real-world applications, only sparse observations are avail…
When machine predictors can achieve higher performance than the human decision-makers they support, improving the performance of human decision-makers is often conflated with improving machine accuracy. Here we propose a framework to directly support human decision-making, in which the role of machines is to reframe pr…
Conformal prediction sets improve human decision making by quantifying model uncertainty.
Efficient algorithm solves best subset selection problem.
This paper argues for more realistic human models in RL.
We develop a multi-task convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify multiple diagnoses from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) using a dataset comprised of over 40,000 ECGs, with labels derived from cardiologist clinical interpretations. Since many clinically important classes can occur in low frequencies, approaches…
Human-AI teaming suffers from calibration issues.
While we would like agents that can coordinate with humans, current algorithms such as self-play and population-based training create agents that can coordinate with themselves. Agents that assume their partner to be optimal or similar to them can converge to coordination protocols that fail to understand and be unders…
This paper presents a method to generate synthetic data with differential privacy to protect user privacy while maintaining data trends.
A test measures artificial agents' human-like behavior in video games.