CPAS uses machine learning to plan hospital resources for COVID-19.
problem Forecasting hospital resource demands during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Combining machine learning algorithms with diverse data sources.
result CPAS successfully managed hospital resource planning in the UK.
Unified ML approach predicts ED attendances with high accuracy.
problem Managing hospital demand at emergency departments efficiently.
method Ensemble of time series and machine learning approaches with hyperparameter tuning.
result Predictions with mean absolute error of +/- 14 and +/- 10 patients, MAE of 6.8% and 8.6%.
Bayesian models forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations at single sites.
problem Forecasting daily COVID-19 hospitalizations at a single hospital.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with generalized Poisson likelihood and autoregressive/Gaussian process latent processes.
result Demonstrated superior performance compared to baselines in public datasets.
Bayesian model forecasts hospital resource use during pandemic.
problem Modeling constrained hospital resources during pandemic.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation for an ACED-HMM.
result Mechanistic approach provides competitive probabilistic forecasts.
Paper presents forecasting models for platelet demand.
problem Managing platelet demand and supply is challenging due to variability and short shelf life.
method Utilized ARIMA, Prophet, lasso regression, and LSTM networks on a clinical dataset.
result Multivariate approaches generally have higher accuracy, but simpler ARIMA can suffice with sufficient data.
Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.
problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.
Study predicts future hospitalizations to manage COVID-19 patient surge.
problem Managing hospitalization needs during COVID-19 pandemic.
method Used 4 recurrent neural networks to predict hospitalization changes.
result Sequence to sequence model with attention achieved high accuracy and AUC.
Early results in using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on x-rays to diagnose disease have been promising, but it has not yet been shown that models trained on x-rays from one hospital or one group of hospitals will work equally well at different hospitals. Before these tools are used for computer-aided diagnosis i…
Natural language processing improves COVID-19 hospitalization identification.
problem Identifying patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 among those with positive SARS-CoV-2 tests.
method Used natural language processing on provider notes and structured EHR data elements to create classification algorithms.
result Classification algorithms using provider notes outperformed those using only structured EHR data elements, with AUROC of 0.894 compared to 0.841.
Adversarial method improves pneumonia classifier's performance across hospitals.
problem Robust classification of pneumonia from chest radiographs across different hospitals.
method Adversarial optimization to learn models invariant to confounders.
result Improved out-of-hospital generalization performance compared to baselines.
Deep neural network predicts diabetic readmission with high accuracy.
problem Predicting 30-day readmission for diabetic patients.
method Categorical embeddings and deep neural network.
result 95.2% accuracy and 97.4% AUROC on diabetic readmission data.
Acute Kidney Injury (AKI), a sudden decline in kidney function, is associated with increased mortality, morbidity, length of stay, and hospital cost. Since AKI is sometimes preventable, there is great interest in prediction. Most existing studies consider all patients and therefore restrict to features available in the…
The paper uses SHAP for interpreting machine learning models in hospital data.
problem Interpreting machine learning models in healthcare.
method SHAP for feature importance and feature packing techniques.
result SHAP provides better interpretability of machine learning models in healthcare.
FUALA improves Federated Learning for EHR data, enhancing model uncertainty.
problem Applying ML to EHR data while maintaining privacy and accuracy.
method FUALA embeds uncertainty in federated learning, using ensembling and averaging.
result FUALA outperforms FedAvg on out-of-distribution data in EHR model predictions.
Estimates shared parameters across related learning problems using robust statistics and LASSO.
problem Simultaneously learning related but heterogeneous problems like store demand or patient risk.
method Two-stage multitask learning estimator combining robust statistics and LASSO regression.
result Improved sample complexity bounds for multitask learning, especially beneficial for 'data-poor' instances.
Paper shows federated learning can train models on private data.
problem Training predictive models on private hospital data.
method Distributed training in federated learning framework.
result Federated learning achieves comparable performance to traditional methods.
Machine learning improves early detection of patient deterioration in Brazilian hospitals.
problem Challenges in recognizing clinical deterioration in hospital settings.
method Application of machine learning to analyze EHR data from multiple hospitals.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional protocols by 25 percentage points in AUC.
Deep network clusters hospital patients' vital signs.
problem Sparse and irregularly collected vital sign data.
method Deep interpolation network for latent representation extraction.
result Extracted 7 distinct clusters from vital sign data.
Trans-GLMC tackles source heterogeneity in transfer learning for structured clusters.
problem Source heterogeneity makes it hard to use multiple related auxiliary sources effectively.
method Trans-GLMC constructs clusters of sources, then combines global fusion, within-cluster refinement, and target debiasing.
result Improves facility-specific prediction and identifies interpretable communities of hospitals with mutual transferability.
Framework selects optimal historical data windows for non-stationary learning.
problem Learning in environments where conditions change over time.
method Stability principle applied to select look-back windows.
result Regret bounds are minimax optimal for strongly convex or Lipschitz population losses.
Bayesian model predicts evolving guest origin markets in tourism.
problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models achieve lower forecast error and competitive performance in guest origin market shares.
Bayesian models predict evolving guest origin markets in tourism.
problem Forecasting the changing composition of guest origin markets in tourism.
method Developed and applied Bayesian Dirichlet autoregressive moving average (BDARMA) models to Airbnb booking data.
result BDARMA models outperform standard benchmarks in forecasting guest origin market shares.
Hospital readmissions have become one of the key measures of healthcare quality. Preventable readmissions have been identified as one of the primary targets for reducing costs and improving healthcare delivery. However, most data driven studies for understanding readmissions have produced black box classification and p…
New scalable method balances hospital profit status and heart attack outcomes.
problem Balancing covariate distributions and minimizing weight dispersion in large datasets.
method Combines kernel basis expansion and convex optimization for efficient and flexible weighting.
result For-profit hospitals use interventional cardiology similarly to other hospitals but have higher mortality and readmission rates.
A large volume of research has considered the creation of predictive models for clinical data; however, much existing literature reports results using only a single source of data. In this work, we evaluate the performance of models trained on the publicly-available eICU Collaborative Research Database. We show that cr…
Study compares ARIMA, ETS, NNAR and hybrids for COVID-19 hospitalizations.
problem Forecasting the second wave of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Italy.
method ARIMA, ETS, NNAR, and hybrid models.
result Hybrid models outperform single models in capturing epidemic patterns.
This work proposes a student-teacher network for predicting hospital admission locations.
problem Accurate prediction of hospital admission locations to optimize resource allocation.
method Reinforcement learning approach where a teacher network selects data batches for a student network.
result The approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods on tabular data and image recognition.
Estimates funding impact from an algorithmic relief rule, finding little effect on hospital activities.
problem Evaluating the impact of algorithmic policy decisions.
method Developed a treatment-effect estimator using algorithmic decisions as instruments.
result Funding from an algorithmic relief rule had little effect on COVID-19-related hospital activities.
Transportation systems can be conceptualized as an instrument of spreading people and resources over the territory, playing an important role in developing sustainable cities. The current rationale of transport provision is based on population demand, disregarding land use and socioeconomic information. To meet the cha…
New method for k-modes algorithm improves clustering performance.
problem Improving initial solution selection for k-modes algorithm.
method Uses Hospital-Resident Assignment Problem to find initial cluster centroids.
result Outperforms other initialisations in most cases, especially for low-density data.
Proposes RTL model for sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews.
problem Sentiment classification and key word detection in online reviews for hospitality industry.
method Regularized Text Logistic (RTL) regression model.
result RTL model achieves satisfactory classification performance and identifies key word features.
Acute kidney injury (AKI) commonly occurs in hospitalized patients and can lead to serious medical complications. In order to optimally predict AKI before it develops at any time during a hospital stay, we present a novel framework in which AKI is continually predicted automatically from EHR data over the entire hospit…
Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.
problem Jointly satisfying distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision in clinical decision-making.
method Integrates Bayesian hierarchical random forests with group-aware conformal calibration, using posterior uncertainties to weight conformity scores.
result Achieves target coverage (94.3% vs 95% target) with adaptive precision, 21% narrower intervals for low-uncertainty cases.
The ability to accurately forecast and control inpatient census, and thereby workloads, is a critical and longstanding problem in hospital management. Majority of current literature focuses on optimal scheduling of inpatients, but largely ignores the process of accurate estimation of the trajectory of patients througho…
Febrile neutropenia (FN) has been associated with high mortality, especially among adults with cancer. Understanding the patient and provider level heterogeneity in FN hospital admissions has potential to inform personalized interventions focused on increasing survival of individuals with FN. We leverage machine learni…
Cervical spondylosis (CS) is a common chronic disease that affects up to two-thirds of the population and poses a serious burden on individuals and society. The early identification has significant value in improving cure rate and reducing costs. However, the pathology is complex, and the mild symptoms increase the dif…
New model predicts ICU patients' stay duration efficiently.
problem Efficient ICU bed allocation under resource constraints.
method Temporal Pointwise Convolution (TPC) model combining temporal and pointwise convolutions.
result Significant performance improvements over LSTM and Transformer models.
Reducing the incidence of surgical site infections (SSIs) is one of the objectives of the French nosocomial infection control program. Manual monitoring of SSIs is carried out each year by the hospital hygiene team and surgeons at the University Hospital of Bordeaux. Our goal was to develop an automatic detection algor…
Accurately predicting patients' risk of 30-day hospital readmission would enable hospitals to efficiently allocate resource-intensive interventions. We develop a new method, Categorical Co-Frequency Analysis (CoFA), for clustering diagnosis codes from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) according to the …
Ability for accurate hospital case cost modelling and prediction is critical for efficient health care financial management and budgetary planning. A variety of regression machine learning algorithms are known to be effective for health care cost predictions. The purpose of this experiment was to build an Azure Machine…
Background: Parkinson's disease (PD) is a prevalent long-term neurodegenerative disease. Though the diagnostic criteria of PD are relatively well defined, the current medical imaging diagnostic procedures are expertise-demanding, and thus call for a higher-integrated AI-based diagnostic algorithm. Methods: In this pape…
Electronic medical records (EMRs) supports the development of machine learning algorithms for predicting disease incidence, patient response to treatment, and other healthcare events. But insofar most algorithms have been centralized, taking little account of the decentralized, non-identically independently distributed…
Study evaluates cross-validation methods for clinical ECG classification, finding leave-source-out more reliable.
problem Overoptimistic cross-validation estimates for new patient sources.
method Empirical evaluation of K-fold and leave-source-out cross-validation methods.
result Leave-source-out cross-validation provides more reliable performance estimates.
Tree-based model averaging improves CATE estimation from diverse sites.
problem Limited sample size and privacy concerns prevent accurate personalized treatment effect estimation.
method Tree-based model averaging approach to estimate CATEs from multiple heterogeneous sites.
result Improved accuracy in estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across sites.
Study improves mortality prediction in hospital patients using comprehensive feature engineering.
problem Accurate prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality in healthcare.
method Comprehensive feature engineering approach using vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic data.
result Random Forest model achieved highest performance with AUC of 0.94, significantly outperforming other models.
Study uses data to analyze COPD patients' impact on hospital systems.
problem Understanding and quantifying resource requirements for COPD patients.
method Combines segmentation, queuing theory, and data recovery techniques.
result Finding useful operational results from incomplete administrative data.
Extracting actionable insight from Electronic Health Records (EHRs) poses several challenges for traditional machine learning approaches. Patients are often missing data relative to each other; the data comes in a variety of modalities, such as multivariate time series, free text, and categorical demographic informatio…
Study improves forecasting of ED crowding using advanced ML models.
problem Improving forecasting of emergency department crowding.
method Advanced machine learning models (N-BEATS, LightGBM, DeepAR) using multivariable input data.
result N-BEATS and LightGBM outperform benchmarks in forecasting ED occupancy.