CPAS uses machine learning to plan hospital resources for COVID-19.
problem Forecasting hospital resource demands during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Combining machine learning algorithms with diverse data sources.
result CPAS successfully managed hospital resource planning in the UK.
Bayesian models forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations at single sites.
problem Forecasting daily COVID-19 hospitalizations at a single hospital.
method Hierarchical Bayesian models with generalized Poisson likelihood and autoregressive/Gaussian process latent processes.
result Demonstrated superior performance compared to baselines in public datasets.
Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.
problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.
One of the main issues affecting the Italian NHS is the healthcare deficit: according to current agreements between the Italian State and its Regions, public funding of regional NHS is now limited to the amount of regional deficit and is subject to previous assessment of strict adherence to constraint on regional healt…
Deep imagination optimizes decision-making in large trees with limited resources.
problem Optimal planning in large decision trees with limited resources and time.
method Analytical solutions and numerical analysis of sampling capacity allocation.
result Optimal policy is to allocate few samples per level for deep exploration, favoring depth over breadth.
Model predicts COVID-19 growth in Senegal, highlighting health care capacity importance.
problem Impact of health care capacity on COVID-19 growth in Senegal.
method Compartmental model with logistic growth health care capacity, machine learning projection.
result Condition to avoid overwhelming health care system provided.
Study proposes managing COVID-19 without economy shutdowns.
problem Avoiding lockdowns while maintaining healthcare system capacity.
method Detailed heterogeneous epidemiological model, calibrated to data.
result Countries can avoid lockdowns if ICU beds per million > 100.
Emergent and unscheduled cardiology admissions from cardiac catheterization laboratory add complexity to the management of Cardiology and in-patient department. In this article, we sought to study the behavior of cardiology admissions from Catheterization laboratory using time series models. Our research involves retro…
Ability for accurate hospital case cost modelling and prediction is critical for efficient health care financial management and budgetary planning. A variety of regression machine learning algorithms are known to be effective for health care cost predictions. The purpose of this experiment was to build an Azure Machine…
Study improves mortality prediction in hospital patients using comprehensive feature engineering.
problem Accurate prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality in healthcare.
method Comprehensive feature engineering approach using vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic data.
result Random Forest model achieved highest performance with AUC of 0.94, significantly outperforming other models.
Managing patients with chronic diseases is a major and growing healthcare challenge in several countries. A chronic condition, such as diabetes, is an illness that lasts a long time and does not go away, and often leads to the patient's health gradually getting worse. While recent works involve raw electronic health re…
Selective planning with imperfect models reduces harmful effects of model inadequacy.
problem Harmful effects of using an imperfect model in reinforcement learning.
method Selective planning with heteroscedastic regression to estimate predictive uncertainty from model inadequacy.
result Effective selective planning requires considering both parameter uncertainty and model inadequacy.
Monitoring patients in ICU is a challenging and high-cost task. Hence, predicting the condition of patients during their ICU stay can help provide better acute care and plan the hospital's resources. There has been continuous progress in machine learning research for ICU management, and most of this work has focused on…
Framework uses RL and simulation for optimal microgrid energy storage planning.
problem Optimal investment in diverse energy storage technologies for microgrids.
method Combines reinforcement learning with simulation-based optimization for long-term planning.
result Derives better engineering solutions for future microgrid applications.
This study compares community detection algorithms for delineating health service areas.
problem Delineating health service areas to improve health care services.
method Comparative analysis of community detection algorithms on hospital-patient discharge networks.
result Infomap algorithm produced the best delineation of health service areas.
The hierarchical structure of production planning has the advantage of assigning different decision variables to their respective time horizons and therefore ensures their manageability. However, the restrictive structure of this top-down approach implying that upper level decisions are the constraints for lower level …
Study uses data to analyze COPD patients' impact on hospital systems.
problem Understanding and quantifying resource requirements for COPD patients.
method Combines segmentation, queuing theory, and data recovery techniques.
result Finding useful operational results from incomplete administrative data.
This work aims to create a large-scale model for critical care time series data.
problem Lack of large-scale datasets and distribution shifts in critical care time series data.
method Harmonized dataset creation and transfer learning research.
result Established a foundation for large-scale multi-variate time series models in critical care.
Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.
problem Jointly satisfying distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision in clinical decision-making.
method Integrates Bayesian hierarchical random forests with group-aware conformal calibration, using posterior uncertainties to weight conformity scores.
result Achieves target coverage (94.3% vs 95% target) with adaptive precision, 21% narrower intervals for low-uncertainty cases.
Study on limits of LLM-based multi-agent planning reliability.
problem Reliability limits of LLM-based multi-agent planning.
method Modeling LLM-based multi-agent architecture as a decision network, showing dominance by centralized Bayes decision maker.
result Optimizing multi-agent directed acyclic graphs under communication budget is equivalent to choosing a constrained experiment.
Study predicts future hospitalizations to manage COVID-19 patient surge.
problem Managing hospitalization needs during COVID-19 pandemic.
method Used 4 recurrent neural networks to predict hospitalization changes.
result Sequence to sequence model with attention achieved high accuracy and AUC.
This paper solves steady-state planning for multichain MDPs.
problem Specifying constraints on the steady-state behavior of an agent.
method Linear programming solution for multichain MDPs.
result Optimal solutions yield stationary policies with rigorous guarantees.
Resource scheduling and coordination is an NP-hard optimization requiring an efficient allocation of agents to a set of tasks with upper- and lower bound temporal and resource constraints. Due to the large-scale and dynamic nature of resource coordination in hospitals and factories, human domain experts manually plan a…
Early results in using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on x-rays to diagnose disease have been promising, but it has not yet been shown that models trained on x-rays from one hospital or one group of hospitals will work equally well at different hospitals. Before these tools are used for computer-aided diagnosis i…
Natural language processing improves COVID-19 hospitalization identification.
problem Identifying patients hospitalized due to COVID-19 among those with positive SARS-CoV-2 tests.
method Used natural language processing on provider notes and structured EHR data elements to create classification algorithms.
result Classification algorithms using provider notes outperformed those using only structured EHR data elements, with AUROC of 0.894 compared to 0.841.
Optimizes electric aircraft deployment for Canadian aviation to reduce emissions.
problem Limited fleet capacity and operational structure hinder electric aircraft transition.
method Multi-period mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) framework.
result Electric aircraft can reduce emissions by over 70% within five years.
Adversarial method improves pneumonia classifier's performance across hospitals.
problem Robust classification of pneumonia from chest radiographs across different hospitals.
method Adversarial optimization to learn models invariant to confounders.
result Improved out-of-hospital generalization performance compared to baselines.
Deep neural network predicts diabetic readmission with high accuracy.
problem Predicting 30-day readmission for diabetic patients.
method Categorical embeddings and deep neural network.
result 95.2% accuracy and 97.4% AUROC on diabetic readmission data.
This paper offers a methodological contribution at the intersection of machine learning and operations research. Namely, we propose a methodology to quickly predict tactical solutions to a given operational problem. In this context, the tactical solution is less detailed than the operational one but it has to be comput…
In this short note we consider a dynamic assortment planning problem under the capacitated multinomial logit (MNL) bandit model. We prove a tight lower bound on the accumulated regret that matches existing regret upper bounds for all parameters (time horizon T, number of items N and maximum assortment capacity K)…
Robust policies improve ICU transfer outcomes by predicting patient deterioration.
problem Higher mortality rates for unplanned ICU transfers.
method Markov Decision Process model to predict patient severity and optimize transfer policies.
result Robust policies are more aggressive in transferring patients than nominal policies, improving overall patient care.
Cultural activity is an inherent aspect of urban life and the success of a modern city is largely determined by its capacity to offer generous cultural entertainment to its citizens. To this end, the optimal allocation of cultural establishments and related resources across urban regions becomes of vital importance, as…
Acute Kidney Injury (AKI), a sudden decline in kidney function, is associated with increased mortality, morbidity, length of stay, and hospital cost. Since AKI is sometimes preventable, there is great interest in prediction. Most existing studies consider all patients and therefore restrict to features available in the…
The paper uses SHAP for interpreting machine learning models in hospital data.
problem Interpreting machine learning models in healthcare.
method SHAP for feature importance and feature packing techniques.
result SHAP provides better interpretability of machine learning models in healthcare.
The study uses stock market indicators to forecast COVID-19 cases.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 for resource allocation.
method Reinterpreting daily cases as candlesticks and applying stock market indicators.
result The stock market indicators show statistical significance in predicting COVID-19 cases.
FUALA improves Federated Learning for EHR data, enhancing model uncertainty.
problem Applying ML to EHR data while maintaining privacy and accuracy.
method FUALA embeds uncertainty in federated learning, using ensembling and averaging.
result FUALA outperforms FedAvg on out-of-distribution data in EHR model predictions.
Study analyzes Airbnb booking lead times during global crises using a new metric.
problem Disruptions in booking behaviors during global crises affect forecasting accuracy.
method Normalized L1 (Manhattan) distance to assess lead time divergences.
result Identified two-phase disruption: abrupt change at pandemic onset followed by partial recovery.
Paper shows federated learning can train models on private data.
problem Training predictive models on private hospital data.
method Distributed training in federated learning framework.
result Federated learning achieves comparable performance to traditional methods.
Machine learning improves early detection of patient deterioration in Brazilian hospitals.
problem Challenges in recognizing clinical deterioration in hospital settings.
method Application of machine learning to analyze EHR data from multiple hospitals.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional protocols by 25 percentage points in AUC.
Deep network clusters hospital patients' vital signs.
problem Sparse and irregularly collected vital sign data.
method Deep interpolation network for latent representation extraction.
result Extracted 7 distinct clusters from vital sign data.
This paper focuses on martingale optimal transport problems when the martingales are assumed to have bounded quadratic variation. First, we give a result that characterizes the existence of a probability measure satisfying some convex transport constraints in addition to having given initial and terminal marginals. Sev…
Trans-GLMC tackles source heterogeneity in transfer learning for structured clusters.
problem Source heterogeneity makes it hard to use multiple related auxiliary sources effectively.
method Trans-GLMC constructs clusters of sources, then combines global fusion, within-cluster refinement, and target debiasing.
result Improves facility-specific prediction and identifies interpretable communities of hospitals with mutual transferability.
Hospital readmissions have become one of the key measures of healthcare quality. Preventable readmissions have been identified as one of the primary targets for reducing costs and improving healthcare delivery. However, most data driven studies for understanding readmissions have produced black box classification and p…
New scalable method balances hospital profit status and heart attack outcomes.
problem Balancing covariate distributions and minimizing weight dispersion in large datasets.
method Combines kernel basis expansion and convex optimization for efficient and flexible weighting.
result For-profit hospitals use interventional cardiology similarly to other hospitals but have higher mortality and readmission rates.
A large volume of research has considered the creation of predictive models for clinical data; however, much existing literature reports results using only a single source of data. In this work, we evaluate the performance of models trained on the publicly-available eICU Collaborative Research Database. We show that cr…
Transportation systems can be conceptualized as an instrument of spreading people and resources over the territory, playing an important role in developing sustainable cities. The current rationale of transport provision is based on population demand, disregarding land use and socioeconomic information. To meet the cha…
Study compares ARIMA, ETS, NNAR and hybrids for COVID-19 hospitalizations.
problem Forecasting the second wave of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Italy.
method ARIMA, ETS, NNAR, and hybrid models.
result Hybrid models outperform single models in capturing epidemic patterns.
Bayesian system helps identify and thwart terrorist plans.
problem Identifying and thwarting terrorist plans before they occur.
method Develops a Bayesian decision support system to integrate member and group activities.
result Estimates the combined threat posed by a terrorist group.