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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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591418 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for hit compounds

High throughput screening of compounds (chemicals) is an essential part of drug discovery [7], involving thousands to millions of compounds, with the purpose of identifying candidate hits. Most statistical tools, including the industry standard B-score method, work on individual compound plates and do not exploit cross…

2017-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian learning improves reliability of molecular predictions for hit compound discovery.

problem Improving reliability of machine learning predictions for virtual screening.
method Bayesian learning algorithms applied to graph neural networks.
result Bayesian learning leads to well-calibrated predictions and higher hit compound success.

KANEL combines models for early hit enrichment in virtual screening.

problem Assessing model accuracy in chemical bioactivity predictions.
method Ensemble workflow using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) and other models.
result Improves early hit enrichment metrics like PPV@N.

Deep learning uses ROC cost functions to improve virtual screening accuracy.

problem Challenges in training deep learning models for virtual screening, especially class imbalance and lack of ground truth labels.
method Proposes using ROC cost functions to optimize deep learning models for virtual screening, introduces new training schemes and cost functions.
result Demonstrates improved performance of ROC-based approaches on PubChem datasets.

In this work, we attempt to solve the Hit Song Science problem, which aims to predict which songs will become chart-topping hits. We constructed a dataset with approximately 1.8 million hit and non-hit songs and extracted their audio features using the Spotify Web API. We test four models on our dataset. Our best model…

2019-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Record companies invest billions of dollars in new talent around the globe each year. Gaining insight into what actually makes a hit song would provide tremendous benefits for the music industry. In this research we tackle this question by focussing on the dance hit song classification problem. A database of dance hit …

2019-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves bond market making by adjusting hit-ratios for client flow quality.

problem Economic misleading of raw hit-ratios in corporate bond market making.
method Stochastic-control framework with residual-quality-adjusted hit-ratio.
result Optimal quotes decompose into various components, improving service/economics frontier.

Study bond market making with hit-ratio target using optimal control and HJB equations.

problem Optimizing bond market making with hit-ratio target in OTC markets.
method Stochastic optimal control approach, dualizing hit-ratio target, HJB equation, Riccati equation, linearization.
result Explicit quote decompositions into riskless spread, inventory-risk correction, and hit-ratio correction.

Paper analyzes Hit-and-Run's convergence rates and applies similar methods to randomized Kaczmarz.

problem Quantifying advantages of Hit-and-Run's coordinate-free property.
method Sharp estimates via coupling methods and mixing time bounds.
result Ballistic and superdiffusive convergence rates in certain settings.

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some financial variables over a period of time before the stock price hits its limit. S…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The hitting measure is singular and has dimension less than 1 for cocompact Fuchsian groups.

problem Analyzing the hitting measure and Hausdorff dimension for cocompact Fuchsian groups.
method Geometric and probabilistic analysis of random walks on cocompact Fuchsian groups.
result The hitting measure is singular with respect to Lebesgue measure and has a Hausdorff dimension strictly less than 1.

Study estimates Medallion's compounded return before fees at 31.8%.

problem Incorrectly using yearly returns for compounding leads to overestimation of fund performance.
method Used fund sizes and trading profits to estimate compounded return; used manager's wealth as proxy for Simons.
result Annualized compounded return of Medallion before fees is likely under 35%

Characterizes measures preserving compound mixed renewal process properties.

problem Preserving compound mixed renewal process properties under different probability measures.
method Characterization of progressively equivalent probability measures.
result Any compound mixed renewal process can be converted into a compound mixed Poisson process through a change of measures.

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…

2011-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Large unweighted directed graphs are commonly used to capture relations between entities. A fundamental problem in the analysis of such networks is to properly define the similarity or dissimilarity between any two vertices. Despite the significance of this problem, statistical characterization of the proposed metrics …

2015-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we introduce a new model for the risk process based on general compound Hawkes process (GCHP) for the arrival of claims. We call it risk model based on general compound Hawkes process (RMGCHP). The Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and the Functional Central Limit Theorem (FCLT) are proved. We also study the ma…

2017-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares two neural models for financial forecasting, showing their superiority.

problem Improving financial market trend predictions using neural networks.
method Systematic comparison of N-HiTS and N-BEATS with conventional models.
result N-HiTS and N-BEATS enhance forecast accuracy and robustness in financial time series data.

New Riemannian geometry for Compound Gaussian distributions applied to efficient change detection.

problem Change detection in multivariate image times series.
method Developed a recursive approach based on Riemannian optimization.
result Optimal performance achieved with computational efficiency.

The paper analyzes McKean-Vlasov equations with hitting times, proving global solvability.

problem Analyzing blow-ups in McKean-Vlasov equations involving hitting times.
method Connection to the supercooled Stefan problem, comparison principles, and new transform.
result Proves global solvability for McKean-Vlasov dynamics under certain conditions.

A model for hit song prediction can be used in the pop music industry to identify emerging trends and potential artists or songs before they are marketed to the public. While most previous work formulates hit song prediction as a regression or classification problem, we present in this paper a convolutional neural netw…

2017-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper simulates Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time.

problem Simulating Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time accurately and efficiently.
method Using characteristic functions and conditional characteristic functions, with conformal deformations and precalculated values on multi-grids.
result Accurate and fast simulation of Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time.

In this paper, we study the classical problem of the first passage hitting density of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. We give two complementary (forward and backward) formulations of this problem and provide semi-analytical solutions for both. The corresponding problems are comparable in complexity. By using the method…

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

SurvSurf predicts first hitting times for intermittent events without monotonic violations.

problem Predicting first hitting times for intermittent events with monotonicity guarantees.
method Partially monotonic neural network for sequential events, incorporating unobserved events.
result SurvSurf outperforms existing models in MSE and IBS metrics.

The study improves compound selection in in silico screening by focusing on model's ability to predict desirable outcomes.

problem Improving compound selection in in silico screening to reduce errors and enhance generalization.
method Extending learning theory, the study analyzes the impact of selection policies on generalization and proposes a method to mitigate challenges.
result Generalization can be enhanced by considering a model's ability to predict the fraction of desired outcomes in a batch.