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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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95189284378 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for history gradients

Novel PCA method for high-dimensional inverse problems.

problem Optimizing large-scale random fields with gradient information.
method Gradient-Sensitive Principal Component Analysis (Gradient-SPCA) that modifies PCA using objective function gradients.
result Improvements in encoding quality for objective function minimization and field distribution.

Paper proposes a policy gradient method for confounded POMDPs.

problem Estimating policy gradients for confounded POMDPs with continuous state and observation spaces.
method Developed a novel identification result to estimate policy gradients using offline data, solved conditional moment restrictions, and applied min-max learning with function approximation.
result Showed global convergence of the proposed algorithm in finding the optimal policy.

Gradient boosting enhances existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.

problem Improving existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.
method Combining gradient boosting with existing Mendelian models.
result Improved model outperforms both original and gradient boosting-only models.

Adaptive online learning algorithm improves history forgetting in nonstationary environments.

problem Adversarial nonstationary environments where future data can be very different from past data.
method Discounted regret in online convex optimization, FTRL-based algorithm, adaptive learning rate.
result Improves classical gradient descent with constant learning rate in online convex optimization.

Bayesian inference over admissible histories leads to irreversible kinetics.

problem Modeling irreversible processes in systems with uncertain histories.
method A Gibbs-type measure weighted by energy-dissipation action and observation constraints, interpreted as a Bayesian posterior.
result The measure concentrates on maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) histories, recovering classical deterministic evolution.

We propose a variance reduction framework for variational inference using the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method. Our framework is built on reparameterized gradient estimators and "recycles" parameters obtained from past update history in optimization. In addition, our framework provides a new optimization algorithm …

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

HS-FNO models non-Markovian PDEs by learning history and future states.

problem Non-Markovian dynamics where future states depend on past history.
method History-Space Fourier Neural Operator (HS-FNO) for delay and memory-driven PDEs.
result HS-FNO achieves lowest aggregate errors across various PDE families.

The paper interprets policy-gradient algorithms using continuation theory.

problem Optimizing nonconvex functions in reinforcement learning.
method Formulates policy optimization as optimization by continuation, interprets policy-gradient algorithms as implicitly optimizing deterministic policies.
result Exploration in policy-gradient algorithms is seen as computing a continuation of the return of the policy.

SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.

problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional discrete or continuous state spaces.
method Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes history through running average of score evaluations.
result Improves estimator variance and mode coverage with constant memory usage.

Paper analyzes history-based RL methods for MDPs, introduces a theoretical framework and practical algorithm.

problem Improving RL performance in MDPs using history-based features.
method Theoretical framework for history-based RL, practical algorithm design.
result Practical RL algorithm shows effectiveness on continuous control tasks.

Neural networks improve cancer risk prediction from family history data.

problem Improving cancer risk prediction from family history data using machine learning.
method Developed and trained neural network models on large pedigrees to predict hereditary cancers.
result Neural networks can achieve nearly optimal prediction performance and outperform traditional models in misreported data.

The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.

problem Understanding why history-dependent policies can improve MSE in off-policy evaluation.
method The paper derives a bias-variance decomposition of MSE for various OPE estimators, showing how history-dependent policies can decrease variance and increase bias.
result History-dependent policies can decrease the variance of importance sampling estimators, leading to lower MSE.

This paper suggests claim history will be deprecated in future auto insurance rates.

problem The role of historical claim records in auto insurance rates.
method Proposes a new risk variable elimination method and real-time road risk model design.
result Claim history will be considered a 'noise' factor and deprecated in Pay-How-You-Drive models.

We present in this chapter (Chapter II) the history of ideas which lead up to the development of modern knot theory. We are more detailed when pre-XX century history is reported. With more recent times we are more selective, stressing developments related to Jones type invariants of links. In the Appendix, A.Przybyszew…

2007-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive optimization methods, which perform local optimization with a metric constructed from the history of iterates, are becoming increasingly popular for training deep neural networks. Examples include AdaGrad, RMSProp, and Adam. We show that for simple overparameterized problems, adaptive methods often find drasti…

2017-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles reinforcement learning for STL specifications with state history.

problem Learning optimal policies to satisfy STL specifications often requires too much state history, making the problem computationally intractable.
method Proposes a compact augmented state-space representation to capture state history and an approximation method to solve the objective.
result Shows the performance bound of the approximate solution and compares it with an existing technique.

We propose an online algorithm for cumulative regret minimization in a stochastic multi-armed bandit. The algorithm adds O(t)O(t) i.i.d. pseudo-rewards to its history in round tt and then pulls the arm with the highest average reward in its perturbed history. Therefore, we call it perturbed-history exploration (PHE). Th…

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

L2O-CFGD meta-learns hyperparameters for FGD, improving performance.

problem Challenges in convergence and hyperparameter selection for FGD.
method Learning to Optimize Caputo Fractional Gradient Descent (L2O-CFGD).
result Meta-learned schedule outperforms static hyperparameters and achieves comparable performance to black-box meta-learners.

OptEx accelerates first-order optimization with parallelized iterations.

problem Inefficiencies in first-order optimization algorithms for complex tasks.
method Approximately parallelized iterations using kernelized gradient estimation.
result OptEx achieves substantial efficiency improvements with an effective acceleration rate of Ω(N)Ω(\sqrt{N}).

A new model integrates claim history and covariates for non-life insurance reserving.

problem Lack of information in traditional reserving models for non-life insurance claims.
method Hierarchical reserving model integrating claim history and covariates.
result Flexibility and robustness of the hierarchical reserving model demonstrated.

We propose a new online algorithm for cumulative regret minimization in a stochastic linear bandit. The algorithm pulls the arm with the highest estimated reward in a linear model trained on its perturbed history. Therefore, we call it perturbed-history exploration in a linear bandit (LinPHE). The perturbed history is …

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the fundamental problem in non-convex optimization of efficiently reaching a stationary point. In contrast to the convex case, in the long history of this basic problem, the only known theoretical results on first-order non-convex optimization remain to be full gradient descent that converges in $O(1/\varep…

2016-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Epsilon-machines are minimal, unifilar presentations of stationary stochastic processes. They were originally defined in the history machine sense, as hidden Markov models whose states are the equivalence classes of infinite pasts with the same probability distribution over futures. In analyzing synchronization, though…

2011-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Combining deep learning and ensemble smoothers for better history matching.

problem Dealing with complex facies distributions in history matching.
method Using autoencoders and generative adversarial networks to parameterize facies models, applying distance-based localization.
result Improved history matching performance with deep learning parameterizations.

A new Bayesian filtering method speeds up stochastic Newton optimization.

problem Minimizing log-convex functions using stochastic methods.
method Contextualizes the problem as Bayesian inference, applying Bayesian filtering to update estimates.
result Establishes conditions for diminishing effect of older observations, akin to momentum.

A dangerously brief history of the developments of the main ideas in economics, as observed by a physicist, is given. This was published in 'Econophysics of Stock and Other Markets', Eds. A. Chatterjee, B. K. Chakrabarti, New Economic Windows Series, Springer, Milan, 2006, pp~219-224.

2007-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformers improve Alzheimer's disease progression prediction by accounting for irregular biomarker histories.

problem Difficult prediction of medium-horizon Alzheimer's disease progression due to tied clinical scores and irregular biomarker observations.
method Developed a residual gap-aware transformer that combines statistical reference with transformer-based residual learning.
result The proposed model reduces mean error and improves prediction-observation correlation compared to baseline models.

Foundation models improve wage gap decomposition by capturing omitted career history factors.

problem Estimating wage disparities using incomplete career history data.
method Fine-tuning foundation models to mitigate omitted variable bias and estimate wage gaps.
result Foundation models can decompose gender wage gaps more accurately than traditional econometric methods.

Marden's Tameness Conjecture predicts that every hyperbolic 3-manifold with finitely generated fundamental group is homeomorphic to the interior of a compact 3-manifold. It was recently established by Agol and Calegari-Gabai. We will survey the history of work on this conjecture and discuss its many applications.

2010-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Determining the appropriate batch size for mini-batch gradient descent is always time consuming as it often relies on grid search. This paper considers a resizable mini-batch gradient descent (RMGD) algorithm based on a multi-armed bandit for achieving best performance in grid search by selecting an appropriate batch s…

2017-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from its structure---a difficult permutation inference problem. In this paper, we in…

2018-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosting detects insider purchases predicting abnormal returns in microcap stocks.

problem Predicting abnormal returns in U.S. microcap stocks using insider purchase signals.
method Gradient boosting classifier trained on insider identity, transaction history, and market conditions.
result Gradient boosting classifier achieves AUC of 0.70 on out-of-sample data, with precision and recall of 0.38 and 0.69 respectively.

Deep learning calibrates CO2 storage formations from seismic and well data.

problem Uncertainty in CO2 storage formation properties.
method Two deep learning models for well and seismic data, integrated into MCMC history matching.
result Significant uncertainty reduction in key parameters and accurate CO2 plume predictions.

Adaptive financial dataflow system improves model robustness in dynamic markets.

problem Static historical data leads to poor performance in dynamic financial markets.
method Drift-aware dataflow system with adaptive control and optimization.
result Enhanced model robustness and improved risk-adjusted returns.

A new method uses a frozen language model to improve sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving sample efficiency in reinforcement learning with partially observable environments.
method FROZEN Hopfield network and HELM (History Embedding Language Model) method.
result HELM achieves new state-of-the-art results on Minigrid and Procgen environments.